Here’s how I think the 2012 elections, state and federal, will go 9 months out.

Presidency:

Mitt Romney/Rick Santorum: (375 EV’s)(54.5%)AL, AK, AZ, AR, CO, FL, GA, ID, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NM, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY
Barack Obama/Joe Biden: (163 EV’s)(44.8%)CA, CT, DE, DC, HI, IL, MD, MA, NJ, NY, RI, VT

Governorships:

Delaware: Jack Markell(D) 64-36 over Jeff Cragg(R). DEM HOLD.
Indiana: Mike Pence(R) 59-41 over John Gregg(D). GOP HOLD.
Missouri: Jay Nixon(D) 56-44 over Dave Spence(R). DEM HOLD.
Montana: Rick Hill(R) 55-45 over Steve Bullock(D). GOP GAIN.
New Hampshire: Ovide LaMontagne(R) 54-46 over Maggie Hassan(D). GOP GAIN.
North Carolina: Pat McCrory(R) 58-42 over Walter Dalton(D). GOP GAIN.
North Dakota: Jack Darymphle(R) 60-40 over Ryan Taylor(D). GOP HOLD.
Utah: Gary Herbert(R) wins running unopposed. GOP HOLD.
Vermont: Peter Shumlin(D) 53-47 over Randy Brock(R). DEM HOLD.
Washington: Rob McKenna(R) 54-46 over Jay Inslee(D). GOP GAIN.
West Virginia: Bill Maloney(R) 52-48 over Earl Tomblin(D). GOP GAIN.

Senate:

Arizona: Jeff Flake(R) 56-44 over Richard Cardona(D). GOP HOLD.
California: Dianne Feinstein(D) 58-41 over Dirk Konopik(R). DEM HOLD.
Connecticut: Chris Murphy(D) 55-45 over Linda McMahon(R). DEM GAIN.
Florida: Adam Hasner(R) 52-48 over Bill Nelson(D). GOP GAIN.
Hawaii: Linda Lingle(R) 54-46 over Ed Case(D). GOP GAIN.
Indiana: Richard Mourdock(R) 58-42 over Joe Donnelly(D). GOP HOLD.
Maine: Olympia Snowe(R) 61-39 over Matt Dunlap(D). GOP HOLD.
Maryland: Ben Cardin(D) 59-40 over Dan Bongino(R). DEM HOLD.
Massachusetts: Scott Brown(R) 52-48 over Elizabeth Warren(D). GOP HOLD.
Michigan: Pete Hoekstra(R) 53-47 over Debbie Stabenow(D). GOP GAIN.
Minnesota: Amy Klobuchar(D) 53-45 over Dan Severson(R). DEM HOLD.
Mississippi: Roger Wicker(R) 63-37 over Albert N. Gore Jr.(D). GOP HOLD.
Missouri: Sarah Steelman(R) 55-45 over Claire McCaskill(D). GOP GAIN.
Montana: Denny Rehberg(R) 53-47 over Jon Tester(D). GOP GAIN.
Nebraska: Jon Bruning(R) 66-34 over Steven Lustgarten(D). GOP GAIN.
Nevada: Dean Heller(R) 54-45 over Shelley Berkley(D). GOP HOLD.
New Jersey: Bob Menendez(D) 53-46 over Anna Little(R). DEM HOLD.
New Mexico: Heather Wilson(R) 56-44 over Martin Heinrich(D). GOP GAIN.
New York: Kirsten Gillibrand(D) 62-38 over George Maragos(R). DEM HOLD.
North Dakota: Rick Berg(R) 51-49 over Heidi Heitkamp(D). GOP GAIN.
Ohio: Josh Mandel(R) 51-47 over Sherrod Brown(D). GOP GAIN.
Pennsylvania: Bob Casey Jr.(D) 52-46 over Tom Smith(R). DEM HOLD.
Rhode Island: Sheldon Whitehouse(D) 65-35 over Barry Hinckley(R). DEM HOLD.
Tennessee: Bob Corker(R) 68-32 over Larry Crim(D). GOP HOLD.
Texas: David Dewhurst(R) 63-37 over Paul Sadler(D). GOP HOLD.
Utah: Orrin Hatch(R) 69-31 over Pete Ashdown(D). GOP HOLD.
Vermont: Bernie Sanders(I/D) 60-40 over Thom Lauzon(R). INDY/DEM HOLD.
Virginia: George Allen(R) 51-48 over Tim Kaine(D). GOP GAIN.
Washington: Maria Cantwell(D) 57-43 over Michael Baumgartner(R). DEM HOLD.
West Virginia: Joe Manchin(D) 53-46 over John Raese(R). DEM HOLD.
Wisconsin: Mark Neumann(R) 52-47 over Tammy Baldwin(D). GOP GAIN.
Wyoming: John Barrasso(R) wins running unopposed. GOP HOLD.

House:

Republicans:(+60)AZ-2, AR-4, CA-3, CA-9, CA-16, CA-41, CA-47, CO-7, CT-2, CT-4, CT-5, GA-12, HI-1, IL-12, IN-2, IA-1, IA-2, IA-3, ME-1, ME-2, MD-2, MD-5, MA-1, MA-3, MA-4, MA-6, MA-8, MA-9, MI-5, MN-1, MO-5, NV-4, NJ-6, NJ-12, NM-1, NM-3, NY-1, NY-22, NY-23, NY-26, NC-7, NC-8, NC-11, NC-13, OK-2, OR-1(Cornilles wins 51-47 over Bonamici tomorrow), OR-4, OR-5, PA-12, PA-13, RI-1, TN-5, TX-25, UT-4, VA-11, WA-1, WA-2, WA-9, WA-10, WV-3
Democrats: (+8)FL-22, FL-25, IL-8, MD-6, NH-2, TX-14, TX-27, TX-35

Many arguments can be made as to who’s the stronger candidate to face President Obama and why, whether it’s Willard M. Romney’s name recognition and Moderate image or Richard J. Santorum’s appeal to the pivotal base of support that is the grassroots activists. I will be looking at the electoral aspects of their strengths, where, and why they would perform strongest.

WM Romney’s Strengths:

New England-Home to none other than Mitt Romney himself, New England is obviously and unarguably going to be his sole strength. He will play well with the Moderates/Independents, which constitute the majority of voters up here(minus Vermont) and fiscally oriented Conservatives. If he’s the nominee, he would put away New Hampshire, give Obama a serious fight for his money in Maine, and stand a decent shot in Connecticut. Santorum, however, would lose Connecticut in a landslide, be in a slightly weaker position in Maine, and probably still be ahead in New Hampshire. While Santorum would play well with the aforementioned fiscally oriented Conservatives and Independents, he wouldn’t play terribly well with the Moderates.

RJ Santorum’s Strengths:

Midwest-An anchor of Conservatism, the Midwest is likely to vote for the GOP nominee regardless. That said, Santorum has a better chance of turning out the Conservative voters than does Romney. A Romney vs Obama race could well dampen turnout(as did McCain vs Obama in 2008) and put Missouri, the Dakotas, and Nebraska’s Second Congressional district in play, as the district went to Obama in 2008.

Old Confederacy-The biggest anchor of Conservatism since Oklahoma, both candidates should be expected to do well here, right? Not so. The Old Confederacy, more than anywhere else, would be a problem spot for the Moderate Romney. Why? In 2008, John McCain underperformed across the board(losing Florida, North Carolina, and Virginia in the process) because of a rightly perceived Moderate streak running straight through his legislative record. Such would be about the same for Romney, except with more of a Moderate record plus the radical inconsistencies in what he says on a day to day basis, he would be in worse shape than McCain was(losing Georgia and possibly Texas and South Carolina in the process).

Rocky Mountains-With the exceptions of Colorado and New Mexico, the Rocky Mountains are a hotbed of Conservatism. Considering Obama’s approvals as of late, either candidate would stand a chance against Obama in the two swingy states and rake in landslide victories in the others. That said, Conservatives will be less inclined to get out and vote if the Moderate candidate Romney(like John McCain in 2008 and Bob Dole in 1996) is the nominee, while they will turn out big time if the Conservative candidate Santorum is the nominee.

Equal Strengths:

Great Lakes-The Great Lakes states[minus Illinois(Democrat), Indiana(Republican), and New York(Democrat)] will be by and far the most hotly contested region in the entire country in the upcoming Presidential race. Several factors will influence the end result, such as high unemployment, Obama’s flagging approvals, and the ongoing war against public-sector unions. If the union busting is successful, unemployment is high, and Obama’s approvals continue to flag, then it does not matter if the nominee is Romney or Santorum, as either will win handily. But if the inverse happens, then Romney would have to be considered the best bet to defeat Obama. If the latter circumstances transpire, even Romney would face long odds.

Pacific Northwest-The Pacific Northwest has tended toward favoring Liberalism in the past few decades. Oregon may be within reach if my predicted Presidential numbers by Congressional district averages pan out(resulting in a 49.8%-49.4% GOP victory), and Washington is definitely within reach for two reasons. (1) The President has registered negative approval ratings in Washington State, and (2) state Attorney General Rob McKenna is poised for a landslide victory in the Governors race, which may provide coattails for either Romney or Santorum.

These are my views on how either candidate will perform in the various regions, and I would like to hear yours in the comments.

In this ongoing Presidential election, there are many candidates out there angling for our support. After long and careful consideration, I have decided to support former US Senator Rick Santorum, and here are the issues on which I base my support:

1. Health Care: Mr. Santorum has been a long-time proponent of market-driven, patient-centered health care solutions. He believes that everybody should have access to high-quality and affordable health care, with decisions being made by patients and their doctors instead of by government. If elected, Santorum will work to repeal President Obama’s universal health care plan, make more readily available such options as Health Savings Accounts and high deductible insurance plans, reduce health care costs through competition, allow patients to buy coverage with pre-tax dollars, and enact meaningful tort reform. By contrast, Mitt Romney was the genius behind the universal health care system in Massachusetts on which Obama based his health care system, and Newt Gingrich was, at one time or another, a proponent of the individual mandate, which was an instrumental part of Obama’s health care plan.

2. Second Amendment: Mr. Santorum is an ardent defender of every law abiding citizen’s Second Amendment rights. As a US Senator, Santorum wrote legislation eliminating the requirement that fishermen and hunters turn over their Social Security numbers when obtaining a license, supported legislation protecting law-abiding gun manufacturers and dealers from frivolous lawsuits, and vehemently opposed the Assault Weapons Ban, guided by his belief that the real answer to gun violence is the enforcement of existing laws. If elected, Santorum would be guided by the same principles that guided him through those votes in the Senate. By contrast, Romney was a supporter of gun control during his gubernatorial run and signed gun control legislation into law on July 1, 2004.

3. Entitlements & Spending: Rick Santorum believes that entitlement reform and caps on spending are the way to economic solvency. He believes we must live within our means, prioritize our national security and defense spending, refocus the government on constitutional principles, consolidate duplicative programs, eliminate wasteful programs, and reform and modernize Medicare and Social Security in order to put us on the path to fiscal solvency. If elected, Santorum pledges to cut $5 trillion of congressional spending within five years, reduce spending levels down to at least 2008 levels, freeze defense and entitlement spending levels for five years, pass a balanced budget amendment to the Constitution, stop the implementation of all remaining federal stimulus dollars, freeze pay for federal workers for four years, eliminate agriculture and energy subsidies, and eliminate funding for the following: United Nations-owned agencies, the National Labor Relations Board, Dodd/Frank regulatory reform, and Planned Parenthood. He also vows to phase out bankrupt mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac within five years and sell wasteful and inefficient federal properties. By contrast, during his term of office as Governor, spending levels increased by 32%(from $26.3 billion to $34.7 billion), which does not account for the costs of RomneyCare.

4. Foreign Policy: Rick Santorum is one of the few people sounding the alarm about the dangers that Iran poses to the United States. While a US Senator, he sponsored a bill authorizing taxpayer dollars to support Iranian pro-democracy movements and keep dictator Mahmoud Ahmadinejad from attaining a nuclear warhead. If elected, Santorum will assist Iranian pro-democracy groups, refuse to negotiate with Iran, work with Israel to deflect the nuclear threat and determine the proper course of military action against Iran, treat all scientists tied to the Iranian regime as enemy combatants, freeze bank accounts and issue travel restrictions to Iranian officials, build a comprehensive missile defense system, re-evaluate the Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty, and authorize research into the threats posed by an electromagnetic pulse attack. This all sharply contrasts with Ron Paul’s views on this matter. Paul’s positions are that Iranian affairs are none of our business, that it does not concern us if Iran attains a nuclear weapon, and that Israel’s safety is of no importance in the greater scheme of things.

5. Taxes: Mr. Santorum is a staunch advocate for lower taxes and a simplified tax code. As a US Senator, he voted for both Bush tax cuts. If elected, Santorum will work to eliminate the Alternative Minimum Tax, the Death Tax, the Marriage Tax penalties, the cap on deductions for losses stemming from real estate sales, the corporate income tax for manufacturers, and the tax on repatriated taxable corporate income. He would also work to lower the capital gains and dividend taxes, to triple personal tax deductions for every child, to cut the corporate tax rate in half, to retain deductions for charitable giving and necessities, and to increase and make permanent the research & development tax credit. By contrast, taxes went up during Romney’s tenure to pay for programs he implemented.

6. Life & Marriage: Rick Santorum is one of the leaders in the charge against abortion, same-sex marriage, and embryonic stem cell research. As a US Senator, he supported measures banning both partial birth abortions and judicial extension of marriage rights to same-sex and unmarried couples. He also supported extending legal protection both to babies who survive attempts at induced abortion and to unborn babies who are victims of crimes. If elected, Santorum would work to stop taxpayer funding of both overseas abortions and embryonic stem cell research. He would also defend the Defense of Marriage Act in court, ban all chaplains from performing same-sex marriage ceremonies on federal property, and amend the Constitution to include a Personhood Amendment(declaring everybody, born and unborn, a person) and a Federal Marriage Act(banning judicial extension of marriage rights to same-sex and unmarried cohabiting couples). By contrast, Gingrich and Romney have taken alternating positions on these issues through the years, while Paul is a proponent of same-sex marriage.

7. Border Security & Immigration: Rick Santorum is an ardent proponent of securing our borders and restricting illegal immigration. As a US Senator, Santorum opposed amnesty, in-state tuition, health care services, Welfare, and educational benefits for illegal immigrants. In addition, he opposed chain migration(meaning one immigrant sponsors numerous other immigrants for admission), the establishment of guest worker programs, and allowing illegals to participate in Social Security. He supported building a border fence on the mexican border, the visa lottery, allowing foreign workers into the US for farm work, and visas for skilled workers. If elected, Santorum would do as he did in the Senate and fight to secure our borders and to make the legal immigration process faster and more efficient so that we can attract skillful, talented entrepreneurs from all regions around the world. Contrast this with Romney, who has favored an in-state tuition program and hired illegals for work at his home, and Paul, who has compared a border fence to the Iron Curtain, and you see the stark differences.

8. Energy & Offshore Oil Drilling: Rick Santorum is an ardent proponent of energy independence and offshore oil drilling. As a US Senator, Santorum opposed disallowing oil leasing programs in Alaska’s “Arctic National Wildlife Refuge;” opposed slashing oil usage by 40% by 2040; and opposed banning drilling in ANWR. He supported the Bush administration’s energy policy, which targeted 100,000 hydrogen powered vehicles by 2010, drilling in ANWR on national security grounds, preserving a budget for ANWR oil drilling, and the authorization of a nuclear waste repository at Yucca Mountain in Nevada. If elected, Santorum would approve the Keystone Pipeline slated to go from Canada, through the Midwest, to Illinois. By contrast, Romney opposed the Yucca Mountain Repository.

In conclusion, I hope this endorsement has been informative and has convinced you to support Rick Santorum for president. Since this election is the most important one in modern times, there is a high volume of other options out there, so choose carefully.

In case you’re not aware, in the closest vote in Iowa Caucus history, Mitt Romney beat out Rick Santorum by 8 votes. One week ago, Santorum was in the single digits. Considering his strong showing in IA and Conservative desperation to support a formidable alternative to Romney, the money and poll numbers will start flowing Santorum’s way. Bachmann’s departure will most assuredly help Santorum more than anyone else. People are skeptical that Santorum can make it. I’m optimistic that he can. Here’s how I think Santorum could wrap up the nomination battle by Super Tuesday.

New Hampshire(1/10/12): Santorum’s got no shot at winning here. The best he can shoot for is third place. One thing that could really hurt Mitt Romney is Newt Gingrich’s attacks on him going into NH. Gingrich may not reasonate, but his attacks just might. If some of those attacks stick, we could be looking at either a narrow Romney victory over Ron Paul or an outright defeat of Romney. I currently think Romney will win with 34%, versus Paul’s 29%, Santorum’s 19%, Jon Huntsman Jr’s 9%, Gingrich’s 6%, and Rick Perry’s 3%. Huntsman would drop out and endorse Romney, but seeing how thin Huntsman’s support is, I don’t see how that particularly helps Romney.

South Carolina(1/21/12): This will be the big fight. A make or break moment for Santorum, and Perry’s last stand. Santorum must unify the Evangelical vote behind him in order to win. Romney only needs a Perry/Santorum split to win. I see Santorum unifying the Evangelicals(who will realize soon enough that Perry is doomed) and winning SC with 44%, versus Romney’s 28%, Gingrich’s 15%, Perry’s 9%, and Paul’s 4%. Perry would drop out and, like Bachmann, not endorse anybody, and his voters would largely go to Santorum, with the rest going to Gingrich.

Florida(1/31/12): Another make or break moment for Santorum, and Gingrich’s last stand. Gingrich must win over the large senior vote that has flocked in droves to the home of the fountain of youth in the past few decades in order to win. Santorum, buoyed by his win in SC, must win over the Grassroots Conservatives, for which an endorsement from Senator Marco Rubio, Governor Rick Scott, and/or Congressman Allen West would go a long way. I see Santorum unifying the Grassroots Conservatives and winning FL with 39%, versus Romney’s 29%, Gingrich’s 21%, and Paul’s 11%. Out of money, out of hope, and verging on destruction, Gingrich drops out and endorses Santorum.

Nevada(2/4/12): Santorum’s got no shot at winning here. This is viewed by many as a Romney stronghold, but this could be what breaks Romney. Why? Paul polled a formidable second place here in 2008, and with his organization and the number of youth voters in the Las Vegas area, he could poll either a narrow second or actually beat out Romney, delivering the fatal blow to Romney’s campaign. Don’t worry, Romney will be in this until Super Tuesday, but by this point, his once great chances at the Presidency have just about vanished overnight.

Maine(2/4/12-2/11/12): With the support of Governor Paul LePage(and the forthcoming support of Senators Susan Collins and Olympia Snowe, if they’ve not endorsed him already), Romney’s got a decent advantage going in. Santorum only has a remote chance here. I see Romney prevailing 47-36-17 over Santorum and Paul.

Colorado(2/7/12): There’s not been any polling from Colorado for one month, but the last one showed Gingrich up 19 over Romney. Considering all that’s gone on by this time and vote pockets in Boulder and Denver, Paul starts this one out with a built-in advantage. Paul prevails over Santorum and Romney 40-31-29.

Minnesota(2/7/12): With Bachmann not endorsing anybody and former Governor Tim Pawlenty behind Romney, Romney’s chances are pretty good here. Santorum still may have a decent shot, though. At this point, I see Romney winning by a 45-39-16 margin over Santorum and Paul.

Arizona(2/28/12): Senator and 2008 GOP Presidential nominee John McCain’s endorsement is supposed to help Romney, right? Not necessarily. McCain’s job approval numbers have been flagging for the better part of a year, and is now almost as unpopular in AZ as Joe Lieberman is in Connecticut. With the high volume of Conservative Republicans in AZ accounted for, I see Santorum winning Arizona with 49%, versus Romney’s 38% and Paul’s 13%.

Michigan(2/28/12): Michigan, the state that elected Mitt’s father, George Romney, to the Governorship way back when. For this reason, Romney’s home free here. Santorum’s got no chance. Romney wins with 54%, versus Santorum’s 37% and Paul’s 9%.

Washington(3/3/12): There has been no polling on this, so there is no way to tell.

And then it’s on to Super Tuesday, where Santorum attains the GOP nomination for President of the United States of America.

Tonight’s the night of the Louisiana elections. Here’s my final predictions on these races which are on the ballot in LA.

LA-GOV:

Bobby Jindal(R)-69%
Tara Hollis(D)-17%
David Blanchard(I)-8%
Cary Deaton(D)-6%

All others register below 1%. Jindal carries all 64 parishes.

LA-LT GOV:

Jay Dardenne(R)-56%
Billy Nungesser(R)-44%

LA-SOS:

Tom Schedler(R)-51%
Jim Tucker(R)-49%

LA-AGF:

Mike Strain(R)-71%
James LaBranche(D)-27%
Belinda Alexandrenko(Reform)-2%

LA-INS COM:

Jim Donelon(R)-71%
Donald Hodge(D)-29%

From the UK Daily Express:

Gaddafi was captured and wounded in both legs at dawn as he tried to flee in a convoy which NATO warplanes attacked, National Transitional Council official Abdel Majid Mlegta said.

“He was also hit in his head,” the official said. “There was a lot of firing against his group and he died.”

Gaddafi died of wounds near his home town, according to NTC officials

The Libyan dictator was wounded and captured near Sirte as he tried to flee in convoy after attacks, according to reports.

The U.S. State Department said it could not confirm that deposed Muammar Gaddafi has been captured.
“We’ve seen the media reports but can’t confirm them,” State Department spokeswoman Beth Gosselin.

Libyan fighters drove the last holdouts of Gaddafi out of his hometown of Sirte in a few hours of fierce gunbattles, then declared victory over the last major resistance two months after the fall of Tripoli.

The ecstatic former rebels celebrated by firing endless rounds into the sky, pumping their guns, knives and even a meat cleaver in the air and singing the national anthem.

This is great news for the Libyan people and the rest of the world. May he burn in hell.

From the Greenwich Times:

BISMARCK, N.D. (AP) — Bob Stenehjem, the Republican majority leader of the North Dakota Senate for a decade, was killed Monday when the SUV he was riding in overturned during a fishing trip in Alaska, family members said.

Stenehjem, 59, of Bismarck, had been on a halibut fishing vacation near Homer on the state’s southern coast. He had been visiting his older brother, John, and his son, Rob, both of whom live in Alaska, said Attorney General Wayne Stenehjem, Bob Stenehjem’s brother.

Gov. Jack Dalrymple called Bob Stenehjem “a great asset to the North Dakota Legislature” and said in a statement Monday night that his “warmth and friendliness will be sorely missed.”

“He was the glue that held (the Senate) together,” said Rep. Al Carlson, R-Fargo, the House majority leader.

Bob Stenehjem was an avid hunter and fisherman, Carlson said. “He had been up doing one of the most favorite things in his whole life, and that was going to Alaska fishing,” Carlson said.

Rest in peace.

2011 races

1. House Specials

NY-26 Special:

Jack Davis(TP)-36%
Jane Corwin(R/C/IP)-35%
Kathy Hochul(D)-29%

CA-36 Special:

Debra Bowen(D)-27%
Janice Hahn(D)-24%
Mike Webb(R)-19%
Marcy Winograd(D)-9%
Mike Gin(R)-6%
Dan Adler(D)-4%
Lorraine Goodwin(D)-4%
Kit Bobko(R)-3%
Stephen Eisele(R)-2%
George Newberry(R)-1%
Craig Huey(R)-1%

CA-36 Special Runoff:

Debra Bowen(D)-53%
Janice Hahn(D)-47%

NV-2 Special:

Kate Marshall(D)-51%
Brian Krolicki(R)-32%
Mark Amodei(R)-10%
Greg Brower(R)-4%
Sharron Angle(R)-2%
Kirk Lippold(R)-1%

Dem +1, Tea Party +1

2. Gubernatorial Races

KY-GOV:

David Lewis Williams/Richard Dwight Farmer Junior(R)-49%
Steven Lynn Beshear/Jerry Edwin Abramson(D)-48%
Louis Gatewood Galbraith/Dea Riley(I)-3%

LA-GOV:

Piyush Jindal(R)-59%
Cathryn Caroline Fayard(D)-33%
John Georges(D)-7%
Daniel Northcutt(I)-1%

MS-GOV:

Phillip Bryant(R)-66%
Johnny DuPree(D)-33%
Shawn O’Hara(Reform)-1%

WV-GOV:

Earl Ray Tomblin(D)-55%
William Maloney(R)-44%
Robert Henry Baber(M)-1%

GOP +1

2012 Races

1. United States Senate Races to Watch

CT-SEN:

Susan Bysiewicz(D)-57%
Michael Fedele(R)-43%

FL-SEN:

Adam Hasner(R)-51%
Bill Nelson(D)-49%

MA-SEN:

Alan Khazei(D)-52%
Scott Brown(R)-48%

MI-SEN:

Thad McCotter(R)-53%
Debbie Stabenow(D)-47%

MO-SEN:

Sarah Steelman(R)-54%
Claire McCaskill(D)-46%

MT-SEN:

Dennis Rehberg(R)-52%
Jon Tester(D)-48%

NE-SEN:

Jon Bruning(R)-60%
Benny Nelson(D)-40%

NJ-SEN:

Joseph Pennachio(R)-51%
Robert Menendez(D)-49%

NM-SEN:

Greg Sowards(R)-51%
Martin Heinrich(D)-49%

ND-SEN:

Brian Kalk(R)-71%
Jasper Schneider(D)-29%

OH-SEN:

Kevin Coughlin(R)-53%
Sherrod Brown(D)-47%

PA-SEN:

Samuel Rohrer(R)-52%
Robert Casey Junior(D)-48%

VA-SEN:

George Allen(R)-54%
Timothy Kaine(D)-46%

WA-SEN:

David Reichert(R)-51%
Maria Cantwell(D)-49%

Resulting in a GOP net gain of +11

2. Gubernatorial Races to Watch

MO-GOV:

Peter D. Kinder(R)-53%
Jeremiah Wilson Nixon(D)-47%

MO-GOV:

Richard Hill(R)-55%
Steve Bullock(D)-45%

NH-GOV:

Ovide LaMontagne(R)-51%
John H. Lynch(D)-49%

NC-GOV:

Patrick Lloyd McCrory(R)-57%
Beverly Eaves Perdue(D)-43%

WA-GOV:

Robert McKenna(R)-53%
Jay Robert Inslee(D)-47%

WV-GOV:

Earl Ray Tomblin(D)-54%
Clark Barnes(R)-46%

GOP +5

3. United States House of Representatives Pickups

Democrats(+2): NY-25, TX-27
Republicans(+72): AZ-7, AZ-8, AR-4, CA-11, CA-18, CA-20, CA-47, CA-51, CO-7, CT-2, CT-4, CT-5, GA-2, GA-12, IN-2, IA-1, IA-2, IA-3, KY-3, KY-6, ME-1, ME-2, MA-3, MA-5, MA-6, MA-10, MI-5, MI-9, MI-15, MN-1, MN-7, MO-3, MO-5, NJ-6, NJ-9, NJ-12, NM-1, NM-3, NY-1, NY-4, NY-9, NY-22, NY-23, NY-26, NY-27, NC-7, NC-8, NC-11, NC-13, OH-9, OH-10, OH-13, OK-2, OR-1, OR-4, OR-5, PA-4, PA-12, PA-13, PA-17, RI-1, TN-5, TX-5, TX-15, TX-25, UT-2, VA-11, WA-2, WA-6, WA-9, WV-3, WI-3

Resulting in a GOP net gain of +70

4. United States Presidency

Republican Ticket: Donald John Trump/Richard John Santorum
Democratic Ticket: Barack Hussein Obama/John Forbes Kerry

Trump/Santorum(389 EV’s)(54%): AL, AK, AZ, AR, CO, FL, GA, ID, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY
Obama/Kerry(149 EV’s)(43%): CA, CT, DC, DE, HI, IL, MA, MD, NY, RI, VT

Those races I didn’t mention were held by the incumbent party. In several states, I see Democrats getting demoted to 3rd party status. Pretty soon, Democrats will be the equivalent of the old Whigs. These are my thoughts, and I’d love to hear yours.

If Conservatives are to get a bulletproof majority in the House in 2012, these are the seats they must target:

Democrat-held seats:

AZ-7: Raul Grijalva
AZ-8: Gabrielle Giffords
AR-4: Mike Ross
CA-10: John Garamendi
CA-11: Jerry McNerney
CA-18: Dennis Cardoza
CA-20: Jim Costa
CA-47: Loretta Sanchez
CA-51: Bob Filner
CO-7: Ed Perlmutter
CT-1: John Larson
CT-2: Joe Courtney
CT-3: Rosa DeLauro
CT-4: Jim Himes
CT-5: Chris Murphy
DE-AL: John Carney
GA-2: Sanford Bishop
GA-12: John Barrow
IN-2: Joe Donnelly
IN-7 Andre Carson
IA-1: Bruce Braley
IA-2: Dave Loebsack
IA-3: Leonard Boswell
KY-3: John Yarmuth
KY-6: Ben Chandler
ME-1: Chellie Pingree
ME-2: Mike Michaud
MA-3: Jim McGovern
MA-4: Barney Frank
MA-5: Niki Tsongas
MA-6: John Tierney
MA-10: Bill Keating
MI-5: Dale Kildee
MI-9: Gary Peters
MI-15: John Dingell
MN-1: Tim Walz
MN-7: Collin Peterson
MO-3: Russ Carnahan
MO-5: Emmanuel Cleaver
NJ-6: Frank Pallone
NJ-9: Steve Rothman
NJ-12: Rush Holt
NM-1: Martin Heinrich
NM-3: Ben Lujan
NY-1: Tim Bishop
NY-4: Carolyn McCarthy
NY-22: Maurice Hinchey
NY-23: Bill Owens
NY-27: Brian Higgins
NC-4: David Price
NC-7: Mike McIntyre
NC-8: Larry Kissell
NC-11: Heath Shuler
NC-13: Brad Miller
OH-9: Marcy Kaptur
OH-10: Dennis Kucinich
OH-13: Betty Sutton
OK-2: Dan Boren
OR-1: David Wu
OH-4: Peter DeFazio
OH-5: Kurt Schrader
PA-4: Jason Altmire
PA-12: Mark Critz
PA-13: Allyson Schwartz
PA-17: Tim Holden
RI-1: David Cicilline
SC-6: Jim Clyburn
TN-5: Jim Cooper
TX-15: Ruben Hinojosa
TX-25: Lloyd Doggett
TX-28: Henry Cuellar
UT-2: Jim Matheson
VA-11: Gerry Connolly
WA-2: Rick Larsen
WA-6: Norm Dicks
WA-9: Adam Smith
WV-3: Nick Rahall
WI-3: Ron Kind

Republicans to keep an eye on for RINO tendencies:

AL-2: Martha Roby
CA-19: Jeff Denham
CA-41: Jerry Lewis
FL-5: Rick Nugent
FL-13: Vern Buchanan
IL-15: Tim Johnson
IL-16: Don Manzullo
IA-4: Tom Latham
KS-3: Kevin Yoder
LA-5: Rodney Alexander
KY-5: Hal Rogers
MD-1: Andy Harris
MI-6: Fred Upton
MS-1: Alan Nunnelee
NE-2: Lee Terry
NH-2: Charlie Bass
NJ-2: Frank LoBiondo
NJ-4: Chris Smith
NJ-7: Leonard Lance
NC-3: Walter Jones Jr.
VA-5: Robert Hurt
WA-8: Dave Reichert
WV-1: David McKinley

GUBERNATORIAL RACES:

AL-GOV:

Bentley(R)-56%
Sparks(D)-44%

AK-GOV:

Parnell(R)-59%
Berkowitz(D)-39%
Others-2%

AZ-GOV:

Brewer(R)-60%
Goddard(D)-40%

AR-GOV:

Beebe(D)-62%
Keet(R)-38%

CA-GOV:

Brown(D)-51%
Whitman(R)-42%
Others-7%

CO-GOV:

Tancredo(C)-49%
Hickenlooper(D)-47%
Maes(R)-4%

CT-GOV:

Foley(R)-51%
Malloy(D)-49%

FL-GOV:

Scott(R)-52%
Sink(D)-48%

GA-GOV:

Deal(R)-52%
Barnes(D)-43%
Monds(L)-5%

HI-GOV:

Aiona(R)-50.5%
Abercrombie(D)-49.5%

ID-GOV:

Otter(R)-72%
Allred(D)-28%

IL-GOV:

Brady(R)-49%
Quinn(D)-42%
Others-9%

IA-GOV:

Branstad(R)-65%
Culver(D)-35%

KS-GOV:

Brownback(R)-71%
Holland(D)-29%

ME-GOV:

LePage(R)-41%
Cutler(I)-32%
Mitchell(D)-25%
Others-2%

MD-GOV:

O’Malley(D)-55%
Ehrlich(R)-45%

MA-GOV:

Baker(R)-46%
Patrick(D)-45%
Cahill(I)-9%

MI-GOV:

Snyder(R)-58%
Bernerio(D)-37%
Others-5%

MN-GOV:

Emmer(R)-47%
Dayton(D)-44%
Horner(I)-9%

NE-GOV:

Heineman(R)-87%
Meister(D)-13%

NV-GOV:

Sandoval(R)-64%
Reid(D)-36%

NH-GOV:

Lynch(D)-53%
Stephen(R)-47%

NM-GOV:

Martinez(R)-55%
Denish(D)-45%

NY-GOV:

Cuomo(D)-54%
Paladino(R)-45%
Others-1%

OH-GOV:

Kasich(R)-52%
Strickland(D)-48%

OK-GOV:

Fallin(R)-54%
Askins(D)-46%

OR-GOV:

Dudley(R)-51%
Kitzhaber(D)-49%

PA-GOV:

Corbett(R)-57%
Onorato(D)-43%

RI-GOV:

Chaffee(I)-38%
Robitaille(R)-33%
Caprio(D)-29%

SC-GOV:

Haley(R)-59%
Sheheen(D)-41%

SD-GOV:

Daugaard(R)-63%
Heidepriem(D)-37%

TN-GOV:

Haslam(R)-70%
McWherter(D)-30%

TX-GOV:

Perry(R)-54%
White(D)-44%
Others-2%

UT-GOV:

Herbert(R)-67%
Corroon(D)-33%

VT-GOV:

Dubie(R)-51%
Markowitz(D)-47%
Others-2%

WI-GOV:

Walker(R)-56%
Barrett(D)-44%

WY-GOV:

Mead(R)-73%
Petersen(D)-27%

SENATE RACES:

AL-SEN:

Shelby(R)-74%
Barnes(D)-26%

AK-SEN:

Miller(R)-37%
McAdams(D)-35%
Murkowski(WI)-28%

AZ-SEN:

McCain(R)-62%
Glassman(D)-35%
Others-3%

AR-SEN:

Boozman(R)-63%
Lincoln(D)-37%

CA-SEN:

Fiorina(R)-48%
Boxer(D)-47%
Others-5%

CO-SEN:

Buck(R)-53%
Bennet(D)-47%

CT-SEN:

Blumenthal(D)-56%
McMahon(R)-43%
Vassar(L)-1%

DE-SEN:

O’Donnell(R)-52%
Coons(D)-47%
Rash(L)-1%

FL-SEN:

Rubio(R)-46%
Meek(D)-29%
Crist(I)-25%

GA-SEN:

Isakson(R)-60%
Thurmond(D)-35%
Donovan(L)-5%

HI-SEN:

Inouye(D)-84%
Cavasso(R)-16%

ID-SEN:

Crapo(R)-78%
Sullivan(D)-22%

IL-SEN:

Kirk(R)-44%
Giannoulias(D)-43%
Jones(G)-8%
Labno(L)-5%

IN-SEN:

Coats(R)-65%
Ellsworth(D)-35%

IA-SEN:

Grassley(R)-63%
Conlin(D)-37%

KS-SEN:

Moran(R)-79%
Johnston(D)-21%

KY-SEN:

Paul(R)-55%
Conway(D)-43%
Others-2%

LA-SEN:

Vitter(R)-59%
Melancon(D)-38%
Others-3%

MD-SEN:

Mikulski(D)-62%
Wargotz(R)-38%

MO-SEN:

Blunt(R)-57%
Carnahan(D)-43%

NV-SEN:

Angle(R)-50%
Reid(D)-46%
Others-4%

NH-SEN:

Ayotte(R)-58%
Hodes(D)-42%

NY-SEN A:

Schumer(D)-58%
Townsend(R)-42%

NY-SEN B:

DioGuardi(R)-51%
Gillibrand(D)-49%

NC-SEN:

Burr(R)-57%
Marshall(D)-43%

ND-SEN:

Hoeven(R)-81%
Potter(D)-19%

OH-SEN:

Portman(R)-59%
Fisher(D)-41%

OK-SEN:

Coburn(R)-88%
Rodgers(D)-12%

OR-SEN:

Wyden(D)-55%
Huffman(R)-45%

PA-SEN;

Toomey(R)-54%
Sestak(D)-46%

SC-SEN:

DeMint(R)-76%
Greene(D)-24%

SD-SEN:

Thune(R)-100%

UT-SEN:

Lee(R)-63%
Granato(D)-37%

VT-SEN:

Leahy(D)-59%
Britton(R)-41%

WA-SEN:

Rossi(R)-51%
Murray(D)-49%

WV-SEN:

Raese(R)-52%
Manchin(D)-48%

WI-SEN:

Johnson(R)53%
Feingold(D)-47%

AL-GOV:

Bentley(R)-54%
Sparks(D)-46%

AR-GOV:

Beebe(D)-57%
Keet(R)-43%

CA-GOV:

Whitman(R)-52%
Brown(D)-48%

CO-GOV:

Hickenlooper(D)-55%
Maes(R)-31%
Tancredo(C)-14%

CT-GOV:

Malloy(D)-51%
Foley(R)-49%

GA-GOV:

Deal(R)-53%
Barnes(D)-44%
Monds(L)-3%

ID-GOV:

Otter(R)-77%
Allred(D)-23%

IL-GOV:

Brady(R)-56%
Quinn(D)-44%

IA-GOV:

Branstad(R)-58%
Culver(D)-42%

KS-GOV:

Brownback(R)-71%
Holland(D)-29%

ME-GOV:

LePage(R)-53%
Mitchell(D)-47%

MI-GOV:

Snyder(R)-57%
Bernerio(D)-43%

MN-GOV:

Emmer(R)-51%
Dayton)D)-47%
Horner(IP)-2%

NE-GOV:

Heineman(R)-80%
Meister(D)-20%

NV-GOV:

Sandoval(R)-65%
Reid(D)-35%

NM-GOV:

Martinez(R)-52%
Denish(D)-48%

OH-GOV:

Kasich(R)-54%
Strickland(D)-46%

OK-GOV:

Fallin(R)-55%
Askins(D)-45%

OR-GOV:

Kitzhaber(R)-53%
Dudley(D)-47%

PA-GOV:

Corbett(R)-59%
Onorato(D)-41%

SC-GOV:

Haley(R)-59%
Sheheen(D)-41%

SD-GOV:

Daugaard(R)-61%
Heidepriem(D)-39%

TN-GOV:

Haslam(R)-57%
McWherter(D)-43%

TX-GOV:

Perry(R)-55%
White(D)-45%

UT-GOV:

Herbert(R)-64%
Corroon(D)-36%

WY-GOV:

Mead(R)-67%
Petersen(D)-33%

In summary, of the states that have held Primaries, Democrats are poised to pick up 1 seat and Republicans are poised to pick up 12 seats.

Here’s a rundown of how I think tomorrow night’s GA Primaries will go:

Governor:

Republican Primary:

Handel 27%
Deal 24%
Johnson 19%
Oxendine 15%
McBerry 9%
Chapman 5%
Putnam 1%

Deal wins the Runoff 54-46.

Democratic Primary:

Barnes 55%
Baker 29%
Porter 13%
Poythress 2%
Mangham 1%
Camon and Bolton receive less than 1%.

Deal beats Barnes 52-48.

Lieutenant Governor:

Democratic Primary:

Porter 80%
McCracken 20%

I See Incumbent Republican Lieutenant Governor Casey Cagle beating Porter 57-43.

Secretary of State:

Republican Primary:

Kemp 55%
MacGinnitie 45%

Democratic Primary:

Buckner 27%
Mills 23%
Horlacher 20%
Moore 19%
Sinkfield 11%

Mills wins the Runoff 53-47.

I see Kemp beating Mills 59-41.

Attorney General:

Republican Primary:

Olens 39%
Wood 38%
Smith 23%

Wood wins the Runoff 51-49.

Democratic Primary:

Teilhet 56%
Hodges 44%

Wood beats Teilhet 53-47.

State School Superintendent:

Republican Primary:

Woods 55%
Barge 45%

Democratic Primary:

Martin 37%
Westlake 34%
Farokhi 29%

Westlake wins the Runoff 50.5-49.5.

Woods beats Westlake 58-42.

Agriculture Commissioner:

Republican Primary:

Black 70%
Carter 30%

Black beats Democratic State Senator JB Powell 56-44.

Insurance Commissioner:

Republican Primary:

Purcell 18%
Harp 16%
Knox 15%
Sheffield 12%
Hudgens 11%
Northington 10%
Mamalakis 8%
Collum 7%
Cain 3%

Harp wins the Runoff 53-47.

Harp beats former Democratic State Senator Mary Squires 65-35.

Labor Commissioner:

Republican Primary:

Everson 55%
Butler 45%

Democratic Primary:

Coleman 60%
Hicks 40%

Coleman beats Everson 54-46.

US Senate:

Democratic Primary:

Thurmond 61%
Hadley 39%

Incumbent Republican US Senator Johnny Isakson beats Thurmond 55-45.

CD-2:

Republican Primary:

Keown 54%
Ferrell 29%
Allen 17%

Keown beats Incumbent Democratic US Congressman Sanford Bishop 53-47.

CD-4:

Republican Primary:

Carter 54%
Gause 35%
Ruth 11%

Democratic Primary:

Johnson 67%
Jones 26%
Stokes 7%

Guam does not tip over by a margin of 71-29.

CD-7:

Republican Primary:

Efstration 35%
Woodall 29%
Cox 28%
Kirby 5%
Parrott 3%
Hice, Fincher, and Grist poll below 1%

Woodall wins the Runoff 52-48.

Woodall beats Democratic Financial Executive Doug Heckman 64-36.

CD-8:

Republican Primary:

Scott 60%
Deloach 31%
Vann 9%

I see Scott beating Incumbent Democratic US Congressman Jim Marshall 54-46.

CD-9:

Graves 33%
Tarvin 28%
Hawkins 19%
Reese 14%
Cates 6%

Tarvin wins the Runoff 51-49.

Tarvin beats Independent Marketing Executive Eugene Moon 86-14.

CD-12:

Republican Primary:

Smith 58%
McKinney 33%
Seaver 8%
Horner 2%

Democratic Primary:

Thomas 56%
Barrow 44%

Thomas beats Smith 57-43.

CD-13:

Democratic Primary:

Scott 43%
Frisbee 42%
Murphy 15%

Frisbee beats Scott 51.5-48.5.

Republican Primary:

Honeycutt 51%
Parchment 33%
Dudek 9%
Crane 6%
Orr 1%
Flanegan receives less than 1%.

Frisbee beats Honeycutt 60-40.

Your thoughts.

The June 22 Primary is fast approaching, Here are the states that are hosting Primaries:

North Carolina: Polls close here at 8 PM EDT. Here are the races to watch:

NC-SEN DEM Primary Runoff: This race is in a runoff after Secretary of State Elaine Marshall and State Senator Cal Cunningham failed to clear 40%. I have no dog in this race. I see Marshall prevailing 56-44.

NC-08 GOP Primary Runoff: This race is in a runoff after Businessman Tim D’Annunzio and former Sportscaster Harold Johson failed to clear 40%. I have no dog in this race. I see D’Annunzio prevailing 54-46.

NC-13 GOP Primary Runoff: This race is in a runoff after Insurance Agent Bill Randall and Magazine Publisher Bernie Reeves failed to clear 40%. I have no dog in this race. I see Randall prevailing 51-49.

South Carolina: Polls close here at 7 PM EDT. Here are the races to watch:

SC-GOV GOP Primary Runoff: This race is in a runoff after State Representative Nikki Haley and Congressman Gresham Barrett failed to clear 50%. I am all in for Barrett. Sadly, I see Haley prevailing 59-41.

SC-01 GOP Primary Runoff: This race is in a runoff after State Representative Tim Scott and Charleston County Commissioner Paul Thurmond failed to clear 50%. I have no dog in this race. I see Scott prevailing 57-43.

SC-03 GOP Primary Runoff: This race is in a runoff after State Representative Jeff Duncan and Pastor Richard Cash failed to clear 50%. I’m all in for Cash. I see Cash prevailing 52.5-47.5.

SC-04 GOP Primary: This race is in a runoff after Congressman Bob Inglis and Spartanburg County Solicitor Trey Gowdy failed to clear 50%. I have no dog in this race. I see Gowdy prevailing 54-46.

SC-06 GOP Primary: This race is in a runoff after Businesswoman Nancy Harrelson and Reserve Deputy Sheriff Jim Pratt failed to clear 50%. I have no dog in this race. I see Pratt prevailing 60-40.

Utah: Polls close here at 10 PM EDT. Here are the races to watch:

UT-SEN GOP Primary: After failing to clear 60% of the vote at the State Convention, Businessman Tim Bridgewater and former Gubernatorial Aide Mike Lee will face each other in the Primary. I’m all in for Bridgewater. I see Bridgewater prevailing 58-42.

UT-02 DEM Primary: After failing to clear 60% of the vote at the State Convention, Congressman Jim Matheson and retired Teacher Claudia Wright will face each other in the Primary. I have no dog in this race. I see Wright prevailing 51-49.

Your thoughts are welcome.

Here are my predictions for today’s Primaries:

AL-GOV GOP Primary:

Byrne 34%
Moore 31%
James 26%
Bentley 5%
Johnson 3%
Potts 1%
Taylor 1%

AL-GOV GOP Runoff:

Byrne 54%
Moore 46%

AL-GOV DEM Primary:

Davis 55%
Sparks 45%

I see Byrne beating Davis 53-47.

AL-LT GOV GOP Primary:

Ivey 65%
Erwin 28%
Ponder 7%

I see Incumbent Democrat Jim Folsom Jr. beating Ivey 54-46.

AL-AG GOP Primary:

King 64%
Strange 36%

AL-AG DEM Primary:

Perkins 55%
Anderson 36%
Nicrosi 9%

I see this race as a TOSSUP.

AL-State Treasurer GOP Primary:

Wallace Jr. 68%
Boozer 32%

AL-State Treasurer DEM Primary:

Grimsley 73%
Sherer 27%

I see Wallace Jr. beating Grimsley 57-43.

AL-Agriculture Commissioner GOP Primary:

McMillan 58%
Grace 35%
Peterson 8%

I see Democratic challenger Glen Zorn beating McMillan 56-44.

AL-SEN GOP Primary:

Shelby 87%
Moser 13%

AL-SEN DEM Primary:

Barnes 79%
De Moore 21%

I see Shelby beating Barnes 74-26.

AL-02 GOP Primary:

Barber 45%
Roby 38%
Bell 13%
McKinney III 4%

AL-02 GOP Runoff:

Barer 53%
Roby 47%

I see Barber beating Incumbent Democrat Bobby Bright 52-48.

AL-05 GOP Primary:

Brooks 51%
Griffith 42%
Phillip 7%

AL-05 DEM Primary:

Shepard 47%
Raby 44%
Howie 8%
Maker 1%

AL-05 DEM Runoff:

Shepard 51%
Raby 49%

I see Brooks beating Shepard 55-45.

AL-06 GOP Primary:

Bachus 81%
Cooke 19%

AL-07 GOP Primary:

Waller 50%
Salter 41%
Hendrickson 6%
Chamberlain 3%

AL-07 DEM Primary:

Hilliard Jr. 49%
Smoot 40%
Sewell 10%
Bozeman 1%

AL-07 DEM Runoff:

Hilliard Jr. 57%
Smoot 43%

I see Hilliard Jr. defeating Waller 69-31.

MS-01 GOP Primary:

Nunnelee 48%
Ross 39%
McGlowan 13%

MS-01 GOP Runoff:

Nunnelee 58%
Ross 42%

I see Nunnelee beating Incumbent Democrat Travis Childers 50-47.

MS-02 GOP Primary:

Cook 60%
Marcy 31%
Bailey 9%

I see Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson beating Cook 66-33.

MS-03 DEM Primary:

Gill 63%
O’Hara 29%
Jackson 8%

I see Incumbent Republican Gregg Harper beating Gill 71-27.

MS-04 GOP Primary:

Palazzo 62%
Tegerdine 38%

I see Palazzo beating Incumbent Democrat Gene Taylor 49-48.

NM-GOV DEM Primary:

Denish 98%
Driggs 2%

NM-GOV GOP Primary:

Martinez 53%
Weh 39%
Domeneci Jr. 7%
Turner 1%

NM-LT GOV DEM Primary:

Campos 41%
Colon 37%
Rael 12%
Pino 7%
Lopez 3%

NM-LT GOV GOP Primary:

Cravens 50%
Sanchez 36%
Moore 11%
Damron 3%

I see Martinez/Cravens beating Denish/Campos 51-49.

NM-State Land Commissioner:

Cornelius 52%
Vassilopoulos 37%
Jackson 7%
Rush 4%

NM-02 GOP Primary:

Pearce 85%
Pirtle 15%

I see Pearce beating Incumbent Democrat Harry Teague 55-45.

NM-03 GOP Primary:

Mullins 59%
Kokesh 41%

I see Incumbent Democrat Ben Ray Lujan beating Mullins 63-37.

Your thoughts.

Here are my predictions for the upcoming Primaries on May 18:

KY-SEN GOP Primary:

Paul 53%
Grayson 44%
Stephenson 2%
Martin and Scribner poll either at or below 1%.

KY-SEN DEM Primary:

Mongiardo 51%
Conway 45%
Price 3%
Buckmaster and Farmer poll either at or under 1%.

Paul beats Mongiardo 51-49 in the General.

KY-03 GOP Primary:

Lally 50%
Reetz 41%
Hausman 4%
Durbin 3%
Wicker 2%

Lally loses to Incumbent Democrat Yarmuth 53-47 in the General.

KY-05 DEM Primary:

Prince 59%
Holbert 35%
Stepp 6%

Prince loses to Incumbent Republican Rogers 69-31 in the General.

KY-06 GOP Primary:

Barr 48%
Kemper III 39%
Lockett 8%
Barnes 4%
Pendergrass 1%

Barr loses to Incumbent Democrat Chandler 55-45 in the General.

AR-SEN DEM Primary:

Halter 47%
Lincoln 44%
Morrison 9%

AR-SEN GOP Primary:

Boozman 47%
Baker 24%
Holt 19%
Hendren 7%
Coleman 2%
Alexander, Ramey, and Reynolds will poll either at or below 1%.

I see Boozman beating Halter 55-45 in the General.

AR-LT GOV GOP Primary:

Darr 68%
Copeland 32%

I see Democratic challenger Broadway beating Darr 58-42 in the General.

AR-SoS DEM Primary:

Wilcox 55%
O’Brien 31%
Tate 14%

I see Wilcox beating Republican challenger Martin 59-41 in the General.

AR-State Land Commissioner DEM Primary:

Davenport 76%
Bryant 13%
Berg 11%

I see Davenport beating Republican challenger Thurston 64-36 in the General.

AR-01 DEM Primary:

Bryles 30%
Causey 29%
Cook 28%
Wooldridge 7%
Ponder 5%
Green 1%

AR-01 GOP Primary:

Smith 58%
Crawford 42%

AR-01 DEM Runoff:

Bryles 54%
Causey 46%

I see Bryles defeating Smith 54-46 in the General.

AR-02 DEM Primary:

Wills 48%
Elliott 43%
Boling 7%
Kennedy 1%
Adams 1%

AR-02 GOP Primary:

Griffin 60%
Wallace 40%

AR-02 DEM Runoff:

Elliott 51%
Wills 49%

I see Griffin beating Elliott 52-48 in the General.

AR-03 GOP Primary:

Womack 44%
Bledsoe 29%
DeLay 16%
Maddox 7%
Matayo 2%
Skoch 1%
Lowry 1%

AR-03 GOP Runoff:

Womack 62%
Bledsoe 38%

I see Womack beating Democratic challenger David Whitaker 57-43 in the General.

AR-04 GOP Primary:

Gallas 65%
Rankin 35%

I see Incumbent Democrat Ross beating Gallas 56-41 in the General.

PA-GOV DEM Primary:

Onorato 46%
Hoeffel 27%
Wagner 21%
Williams 6%

PA-GOV GOP Primary:

Corbett 78%
Rohrer 22%

I see Corbett beating Onorato 57-43 in the General.

PA-LT GOV GOP Primary:

Beilert 23%
Metcalfe 21%
Cawley 18%
Kennedy 13%
Urban 9%
Pepper 7%
McCue 5%
Diamond 4%

PA-LT GOV DEM Primary:

Saidel 47%
Conklin 42%
Smith-Ribner 11%

I see the General Election as a TOSSUP.

PA-SEN DEM Primary:

Sestak 53%
Specter 46%
Vodvarka 1%

PA-SEN GOP Primary:

Toomey 83%
Lusisk 17%

I see the General Election as a TOSSUP.

PA-03 DEM Primary:

Dahlkemper 92%
Marin 8%

PA-03 GOP Primary:

Kelly 51%
Fisher 32%
Grabb 13%
Huber 2%
Moore 1%
Franz 1%

I see Kelly beating Incumbent Democrat Dahlkemper 51-48 in the General.

PA-04 GOP Primary:

Buchanan 59%
Rothfus 41%

I see Buchanan beating Incumbent Democrat Altmire 50-49 in the General.

PA-06 DEM Primary:

Pike 47%
Trivedi 30%
Sellers 23%

I see Incumbent Republican Gerlach beating Pike 51-49 in the General.

PA-07 DEM Primary:

Lentz 68%
Touey 26%
Conner 6%

I see Meehan beating Lentz 49-48 in the General.

PA-08 GOP Primary:

Fitzpatrick 53%
Jones 34%
Hoffman 8%
Carlineo 5%

I see Fitzpatrick beating Incumbent Democrat Murphy 52-48 in the General.

PA-10 GOP Primary:

Marino 47%
Derk 47%
Madeira 6%

After weeks of recounts, Marino wins by 1 vote.

I see Marino beating Incumbent Democrat Carney 50.1-49.6 in the General.

PA-12 DEM Primary:

O’Brien 46%
Kanjorski 45%
Kelly 9%

PA-11 GOP Primary:

Barletta 77%
Paige 23%

I see Barletta beating O’Brien 53-47 in the General.

PA-12 Special Election:

Burns(R) 52 %
Critz(D) 48 %

PA-12 DEM Primary:

Critz 54%
Bucchianeri 44%
Mackell 2%

PA-12 GOP Primary:

Burns 56%
Russell 44%

I see Burns winning a full term over Critz 54-44 in the General.

PA-13 GOP Primary:

Adcock 48%
Quinter 43%
Haughton 9%

I see Incumbent Democrat Schwartz beating Adcock 63-37 in the General.

PA-15 GOP Primary:

Dent 85%
Benol 15%

I see Dent beating Democratic challenger Callahan 55-43 in the General.

PA-17 DEM Primary:

Holden 56%
Dow Ford 44%

PA-17 GOP Primary:

Argall 55%
Griffith 33%
First 10%
Ryan 2%

I see Argall beating Incumbent Democrat Holden 50.5-49.5 in the General.

PA-19 GOP Primary:

Plaats 64%
Smeltzer 36%

I see Incumbent Republican Plaats beating Democratic challenger Sanders 67-33 in the General.

OR-GOV DEM Primary:

Kitzhaber 59%
Bradbury 36%
Wilson 4%
Obrist 1%

OR-GOV GOP Primary:

Dudley 35%
Alley 29%
Lim 16%
Sizemore 13%
Watkins 4%
Colvin 2%
Karr 1%
Cutright and Forthan will finish either at or below 1%.

I see Kitzhaber beating Dudley 55-44.

OR-State Treasurer DEM Primary:

Wheeler 57%
Metsger 43%

I see Incumbent Democrat Wheeler beating Republican challenger Telfer 58-42 in the General.

OR-SEN DEM Primary:

Wyden 92%
Hooker 5%
Goberman 3%

OR-SEN GOP Primary:

Huffman 30%
Stutzman 24%
Parker 19%
Waldron 14%
Later 9%
Woodland 3%
Dinkel 1%

I see Incumbent Democrat Wyden beating Huffman 60-37.

OR-01 DEM Primary:

Wu 79%
Robinson 21%

OR-01 GOP Primary:

Kuzmanich 41%
Cornilles 38%
Brodhead 12%
Keller 9%

I see Incumbent Democrat Wu beating Kuzmanich 56-39.

OR-03 DEM Primary:

Blumenauer 84%
Sweeney 16%

I see Incumbent Democrat Blumenauer beating Republican challenger Lopez 71-24.

OR-04 GOP Primary:

Robinson 63%
Germond 37%

OR-05 GOP Primary:

Bruun 77%
Thompson 23%

I see Bruun beating Incumbent Democrat Schrader 51-49

Your thoughts.

Tonight, there’s going to be Senate Primaries in NC, OH, and IN. Here’s my predictions for the races:

IN-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Evan Bayh is retiring. Congressman Brad Ellsworth is unopposed for the Democratic nomination. Bank Branch Manager Don Bates Jr., Plumbing Contractor Richard Behney, former US Senator Dan Coats, former Congressman John Hostettler, and State Senator Marlin Stutzman are in the hunt for the GOP nomination. I see Hostettler winning 39-36-23-1-1 over Coats, Stutzman, Behney, and Bates Jr.

NC-SEN: Incumbent Republican Senator Richard Burr is running for re-election. Senator Burr, Asheboro City Councilman Eddie Burks, Electronics Store Owner Brad Jones, and former State Representative Larry Linney are in the hunt for the GOP nomination. Former State Senator Cal Cunningham, Accountant Susan Harris, Attorneys Kenneth Lewis and Marcus Williams, Secretary of State Elaine Marshall, and Minister W. Ann Worthy are in the hunt for the Democratic nomination. I see Burr dominating Linney, Burks, and Jones 90-7-2-1. I see Marshall avoiding a runoff over Cunningham, Lewis, Williams, Harris, and Worthy 50-34-11-4 with Harris and Worthy polling at or below 1%.

OH-SEN: Incumbent Republican Senator George Voinovich is retiring. Former Bush OMB Director Rob Portman is unopposed for the GOP nomination. Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner and Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher are in the hunt for the Democratic nomination. I see Fisher crushing Brunner 67-33.

Here’s a rundown of how I think the 2010 GA races will go:

Governor: Incumbent Republican Governor George “Sonny” Perdue is term-limited. On the Republican side, State Senators Jeff Chapman and Eric Johnson, Congressman Nathan Deal, former Secretary of State Karen Handel, Radio Station Owner Ray McBerry, State Insurance Commissioner John W. Oxendine, and Wal-Mart Employee Otis Putnam are in the running. On the Democratic side, Attorney General Thurbert Baker, former Governor Roy Barnes, Management Technical Consultant Bill Bolton, Ray City Mayor Carl Camon, Entrepreneur Randal Mangham, State House Minority Leader DuBose Porter, and former Labor Commissioner David Poythress are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind Grady County Planning Commission Member John Monds. The Independents have unified behind Ray Boyd. Environmental Activist Sam Hay III is running as a write-in candidate. I expect Oxendine and Deal to make it into the Runoff. Oxendine will defeat Deal 59-41 in the Runoff. I expect Barnes to handily emerge 55-34-8-2-1 over Baker, Porter, Poythress, and Camon(Bolton and Mangham will poll below 1%). I see Oxendine prevailing over Barnes, Monds, and Boyd 52-43-4-1. GOP HOLD.

Lieutenant Governor: Incumbent Republican Lieutenant Governor Casey Cagle is running for re-election. The Republicans have unified behind Cagle. On the Democratic side, Journalist Tricia Carpenter-McCracken and Businesswoman and wife of State House Minority Leader DuBose Porter Carol Porter. I see Porter emerging over McCracken and Sinkfield 76-24. I expect Cagle to trounce Porter 63-37. GOP HOLD.

Secretary of State: Appointed Incumbent Republican Secretary of State Brian Kemp will stand for election. On the Republican side, Kemp and Sandy Springs City Councilor Doug MacGinnitie are in the running. On the Democratic side, State Senator and 06′ nominee Gail Buckner, Attorney Gary Horlacher, Real Estate Saleswoman Georganna Sinkfield, Public Relations Executive Michael Mills, and Businesswoman Angela Moore are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind Aeronautics Industry Analyst David Chastain. The GOP Primary is a complete tossup. I see Buckner, Horlacher, and Mills as the Democratic frontrunners. Whoever the GOP nominates will defeat whoever the Democrats nominate. Kemp 65-35 over Horlacher, Kemp 61-39 over Mills, Kemp 59-41 over Buckner, MacGinnitie 60-40 over Horlacher, MacGinnitie over Mills 58-42, or MacGinnitie over Buckner 55-45. GOP HOLD.

Attorney General: Incumbent Democratic Attorney General Thurbert Baker is running for Governor. On the Democratic side, former Dougherty Circuit District Attorney Ken Hodges and State Representative Rob Teilhet are in the running. On the Republican side, Cobb County Commission Chairman Sam Olens, State Senator Preston Smith, and former US Attorney Max Wood are in the running. I see Teilhet emerging over Hodges 65-35. The GOP Primary is a complete Tossup. Regardless of who wins the GOP Primary, the race is a TOSSUP.

State School Superintendent: Incumbent Republican State School Superintendent Kathy Cox is running for re-election. On the Republican side, Cox and School System Administrators John D. Barge and Richard Woods are in the running. On the Democratic side, University Administrator Beth Farokhi, Educator Sandra Cannon Scott, and Teachers Joe Martin and Brian Westlake are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind Teacher Kira Willis. The GOP Primary is a complete Tossup. I see Farokhi prevailing over Westlake, Martin, and Scott 57-34-5-4. I see whoever the Republicans nominate defeating Farokhi. Cox 53-42-5, Barge 55-42-3, or woods 57-40-3. GOP HOLD.

State Agriculture Commissioner: Incumbent Democratic State Agriculture Commissioner Tommy Irvin is retiring. The Democrats have unified behind State Senator JB Powell. On the Republican side, Georgia Agribusiness Council President Gary Black and former USDA Official Darwin Carter are in the running. I see Black beating Carter 61-39. I see Black beating Powell 56-44. GOP GAIN.

State Insurance Commissioner: Incumbent Republican State Insurance Commissioner John W. Oxendine is running for Governor. On the Republican side, Attorney’s Rick Collum and Maria Sheffield, State Senators Seth Harp and Ralph Hudgens, State Representative Tom Knox, Insurance Brokers Dennis Cain, John Mamalakis, and Stephen D. Northington, and Health Benefits Consultant Gerry Purcell are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind former State Senator Mary Squires. I see Harp, Knox, Northington, and Purcell as the frontrunners for the GOP Primary. Whoever wins will beat Squires by a large margin. Harp 64-63, Knox 64-36, Northington 60-40, or Purcell 59.5-40.5. GOP HOLD.

State Labor Commissioner: Incumbent Democratic State Labor Commissioner Michael Thurmond is running for the US Senate. On the Democratic side, Deputy Agriculture Commissioner Terry Coleman and Lobbyist Darryl Hicks. On the Republican side, State Representatives Mark Butler and Melvin Everson are in the running. Coleman will defeat Hicks 57-43. The GOP Primary is a tossup. I see the General as a TOSSUP.

Public Service Commission: Incumbent Republican Public Service Commissioner Bobby Baker is retiring. On the Republican side, Developer B. Joseph Brush, State Senators John Douglas and Jeff May, and Non-Profit Executive Tim Echols are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind Government Affairs Consultant Keith Moffett. I see Douglas, May, and Echols as the GOP frontrunners. Whoever wins will handily defeat Moffett. Douglas 62-38, May 60-40, or Echols 58-42. GOP HOLD.

US Senate: Incumbent Republican US Senator Johnny Isakson is running for re-election. The Republicans have unified behind Isakson. On the Democratic side, former Rockdale County Commission Chief of Staff RJ Hadley and State Labor Commissioner Michael Thurmond are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind Airline Pilot Chuck Donovan. I see Thurmond crushing Hadley 67-33. I see Isakson prevailing over Thurmond 53-47. GOP HOLD.

US Congress:

GA-01: Incumbent Republican Congressman Jack Kingston is running for re-election. The Republicans have unified behind Kingston. The Democrats have unified behind Retired Farmer Oscar L. Harris II. I see Kingston defeating Harris 70-30. GOP HOLD.

GA-02: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Sanford Bishop is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Bishop. On the Republican side, President of Medical Supply Company Rick Allen, Retiree Lee Ferrell, and State Representative Mike Keown are in the running. I see Keown defeating Ferrell and Allen 58-31-11. I see Keown narrowly upending Bishop 52-48. GOP GAIN.

GA-03: Incumbent Republican Congressman Lynn Westmoreland is running for re-election. The Republicans have unified behind Westmoreland. The Democrats have unified behind Educator Frank Saunders. The Independents have unified behind Alan Weaver. I see Westmoreland defeating Saunders and Weaver 68-31-1. GOP HOLD.

GA-04: Incumbent Hank “Guam” Johnson is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Johnson, former DeKalb County Commission Chairman Vernon Jones, and DeKalb County Commissioner Connie Stokes are in the running. On the Republican side, Publisher Victor Armendariz, Management Consultants Liz Carter and Cory Ruth and Airport Hangar Manager Larry Gause are in the running. I see Guam standing 67-21-12 over Stokes and Jones. I see Carter pausing Gause, Ruth, and Armendariz 57-36-5-2. Guam won’t be tipping over this cycle. He’ll stand against Carter 71-29. DEM HOLD.

GA-05: Incumbent Democratic Congressman John Lewis is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Lewis. On the Republican side, Attorney Fenn Little and Graphic Designer Kelly Nguyen are in the running. I see Little beating Nguyen 75-25. I see Lewis defeating Little 83-17. DEM HOLD.

GA-06: Incumbent Republican Congressman Tom Price is running for re-election. The Republicans have unified behind Price. The Democrats have no candidates. GOP HOLD.

GA-07: Incumbent Republican Congressman John Linder is retiring. On the Republican side, State Representative Clay Cox, Gwinett County GOP Chairman Chuck Efstration, Real Estate Consultant Jef Fincher, Retiree Ronnie Grist, Minister Jody Hice, Human Resource Safety Manager Tom Kirby, CPA Tom Parrott, and Chief of Staff Rob Woodall are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind Marketer Doug Heckman. I see Cox, Efstration, Kirby, and Woodall as the GOP frontrunners. Whoever wins will defeat Heckman. Cox 62-38, Efstration 60-40, Kirby and Woodall 58-42. GOP HOLD.

GA-08: Incumbent Democratic Congressman Jim Marshall is running for re-election. The Demorats have unified behind Marshall. On the Republican side, Central Fellowship Christian Academy Dean Ken DeLoach, State Representative Austin Scott, and Nurse Diane Vann are in the running. I see Scott trumping DeLoach and Vann 63-29-8. I see Scott defeating Marshall 54-46. GOP GAIN.

GA-09: Former Republican Congressman Nathan Deal resigned on March 21, 2010. A Special Election will be held to see who fills out the remainder of his term. On the Republican side, Cardiologist Chris Cates, State Representatives Tom Graves and Bobby Reese, State Senator Lee Hawkins, retired Neurosurgeon Bert Loftman, former State Senator Bill Stephens, and Chickamauga City Councilman Steve Tarvin are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind Hall County Democratic Chairman Mike Freeman for the Special Election, but no Democrats filed for the General Election. The Independents have unified behind Marketing Executive Eugene Moon. I see the Special and Primary Elections as a tossup between Graves, Hawkins, and Stephens. GOP HOLD.

GA-10: Incumbent Republican Congressman Paul Broun Jr. is running for re-election. The Republicans have unified behind Broun. The Democrats have unified behind Consultant Russell Edwards. I see Broun defeating Edwards 72-28. GOP HOLD.

GA-11: Incumbent Republican Congressman Phil Gingrey is running for re-election. The Republicans have unified behind Gingrey. The Democrats have no candidates. GOP HOLD.

GA-12: Incumbent Democratic Congressman John Barrow is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Barrow and former State Senator Regina Thomas are in the running. On the Republican side, Special Investigator Michael Horner, Project Manager Raymond McKinney, Aviation Executive Jeanne Seaver, and Thunderbolt Fire Chief Carl Smith are in the running. I see Barrow defeating Thomas 60-40. I see McKinney, Seaver, and Smith as the GOP frontrunners. I see Barrow winning over whoever the GOP nominates. Barrow 52-48 over Smith, 53-47 over McKinney, or 55-45 over Seaver. DEM HOLD.

GA-13: Incumbent Democratic Congressman David Scott is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Scott, Web Content and Graphic Designer Michael Frisbee, and Regional Manager Mike Murphy are in the running. On the Republican side, General Contractor Mike Crane, Salesman Hank R. Dudek, Small Business Owners Chip Flanagan and Rupert Parchment, Physician Deborah Honeycutt, and Restaurant Manager Dave Orr are in the running. I see Scott prevailing over Frisbee and Murphy 64-27-9. The GOP Primary is a tossup between Honeycutt and Parchment. Whoever wins the GOP Primary will lose to Scott. Scott 70-30 over Honeycutt, or Scott 61-39 over Parchment. DEM HOLD.

After long consideration, I have decided to endorse former Congressman John N. Hostettler for the Indiana Senate seat vacated by Evan Bayh, and here’s the issues and a list of his accomplishments in the House that bring me to my decision:

The Issues:

1. Taxes and Spending: Mr. Hostettler believes that it is not that the federal government taxes too little, it is that it spends too much. As a member of the House, Hostettler consistently voted for tax cuts including the creation of the child tax credit, lowering of capital gains rates and dividend tax rates, accelerated depreciation schedules and the phase out and outright elimination of the estate tax, and that fundamental tax reform is necessary to grow the economy and create long term job growth. He voted to repeal the Sixteenth Amendment to the Constitution, which authorized the income tax. He also believes that if all taxpaying Americans were compelled to write a check to the federal government for the taxes that are currently withheld, those same Americans would demand that Congress reduce spending and stop taking so much of their hard-earned income. If elected, he will work in the Senate to make permanent the tax cuts passed in 2001 and scheduled to sunset in 2011.

2. Health Care: Mr. Hostettler opposes the government takeover of the US health care system recently passed by Congress and signed into law by President Obama. He believes that Congress should allow for more competition and work to reduce health care costs by building on the success of Health Savings Accounts by making all health insurance premiums either deductible or a tax credit, creating Health Marts and Association Health Plans which allow individuals and families to negotiate collectively for health care services based on where they live and on their profession, religion, membership in an organization, etc., allowing health insurance plans to be purchased across state lines, and enacting tort reform, which will result in lower health care costs because medical professionals will not be compelled to practice “defensive medicine” which they do now for no other reason than to defend themselves in a potential lawsuit. If elected, Mr. Hostettler will work to repeal ObamaCare and work to bring our health care system out of the Federal Government’s grip.

3. Abortion: Mr. Hostettler is pro-life, period. He believes that we are endowed by our Creator with certain unalienable rights, and that first and most important of these God-given rights is the right to life. In Congress, Hostettler has voted for the Partial Birth Abortion Ban, the Mexico City Policy which prohibited the use of US taxpayer dollars for abortion and abortion counseling in foreign countries, and the Right to Life Act which would give legal protection to the unborn under the Fourteenth Amendment. As a result of this record, Mr. Hostettler’s election to the House of Representatives was consistently endorsed by the National Right to Life and Indiana Right to Life. If elected, he will not give his consent to a judicial nominee if he concludes that the nominee in question believes the constitution allows the destruction of innocent, unborn human life.

4. Marriage: Mr. Hostettler believes that marriage is between one man and one woman. In Congress, he co-sponsored and voted for the Defense of Marriage Act, the utilization of Congress’ authority under Article IV of the United States Constitution to regulate full faith and credit relationships and protects states that do not issue marriage licenses to same-sex couples from being compelled to recognize such licenses issued by states that do, and the Marriage Protection Act, the utilization of authority found in Article III to limit the appellate jurisdiction of the United States Supreme Court. If elected, he will introduce DOMA and MPA and push for their passage so that Indiana is not compelled by a federal court to recognize same-sex marriage licenses issued by another state.

5. Guns: Mr. Hostettler is a staunch defender of our Second Amendment Rights. He is a gun owner and hunter. As a Congressman, he voted to repeal the Clinton Gun Ban on semi-automatic firearms and magazines, led the effort to defund the Smith & Wesson agreement between that manufacturer and the Clinton Administration that would have given preferences to Smith & Wesson after its previous corporate leadership arranged a deal in order to get out of legal proceedings against the gun industry, led the effort to allow civilian airline pilots to carry firearms on board after the 9/11 tragedy was perpetrated by terrorists who were able to overpower pilots and fly airplanes into buildings and a rural field, and sponsored legislation to allow national reciprocity for conceal and carry of firearms. As a result of this record, Mr. Hostettler’s election to the U.S. House of Representatives was consistently endorsed by the National Rifle Association and Gun Owners of America. He will build on the above if he is elected.

6. Illegal Immigration: Mr. Hostettler opposed to amnesty that would grant legal status for the millions of aliens illegally in the United States. As a Congressman, he led the efforts to stop House consideration of the amnesty bill passed by the US Senate in 2006 and voted to build the fence along the southern border and to authorize military personnel to aid in securing the border from the massive influx of illicit drugs and potential movement of terrorists attempting to enter the country from Mexico. As a senator, he will lead the effort to oppose any attempt at amnesty, he will work to further strengthen our borders and give immigration law enforcement the resources and support they need as they protect us, and he will press the Executive Branch to aggressively enforce employer sanctions – in place since 1986 – and turn off the “jobs magnet” that attracts wave after wave of illegal migrants into the United States.

His Accomplishments:

1. In 1995, Mr. Hostettler successfully amended the District of Columbia Appropriations Bill to eliminate the “Domestic Partnership” policy of Washington.

2. In 1995, Mr. Hostettler voted for reinstatement of former President Ronald Reagan’s Mexico City Policy which prohibited the use of US taxpayer dollars for abortion and abortion counseling in foreign countries.

3. In 1996, Mr. Hostettler voted for the Defense of Marriage Act, which utilizes Congress’ authority under Article IV of the United States Constitution to regulate full faith and credit relationships and protects states that do not issue marriage licenses to same-sex couples from being compelled to recognize such licenses issued by states that do.

4. In 1998, Mr. Hostettler traveled to Moscow as part of a Congressional delegation to discuss US deployment of a national missile defense system with members of the Russian Duma.

5. In 2002, Mr. Hostettler was one of six GOP Members of the United States House of Representatives and one of three Conservative GOP Members to vote against the House resolution authorizing President George W. Bush to preemptively engage in military conflict with the nation of Iraq. At the time, in October 2002, Hostettler said the intelligence supporting the claim of a program of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq was “tenuous at best”.

6. In 2003, as Chairperson of the House Judiciary Subcommittee on Immigration, Border Security, and Claims, Mr. Hostettler successfully amended the Department of State reauthorization bill to require the State Department to regulate the use of consular cards of foreign nations in the US.

7. In 2003, Mr. Hostettler successfully amended the Commerce, State and Justice appropriations bill to discontinue funding of the enforcement of the 11th Circuit Court of Appeals ruling which called for the removal of the Ten Commandments from the Alabama State Supreme Court House placed there by Alabama State Chief Justice Roy Moore.

8. In 2003, Mr. Hostettler sponsored and voted for the Marriage Protection Act, which utilized authority found in Article III to limit the appellate jurisdiction of the United States Supreme Court.

9. In 2004, the House passed Mr. Hostettler’s Marriage Protection Act (MPA) which would make it illegal for federal courts from imposing Massachusetts same-sex marriage licenses on any other state.

10. In 2005, Mr. Hostettler voted against the unprecedented disaster relief package that Republicans pushed after Hurricane Katrina struck the Gulf Coast.

11. In 2006, Mr. Hostettler led the efforts to stop House consideration of the amnesty bill passed by the US Senate.

12. In 2006, the House passed Mr. Hostettler’s Public Expression of Religion Act (PERA) which would make forbidden federal courts from requiring defendants such as a Board of County Commissioners to pay a plaintiff’s lawyers, such as the ACLU, fees after the federal courts order the removal of a religious symbol such as the Ten Commandments from the County courthouse lawn.

And in 2008, he wrote a book titled “Nothing for the Nation: Who Got What Out of Iraq”, a book that has received positive reviews from Conservative minded people. What I just mentioned above makes him, IMO, the best qualified candidate for IN-SEN. However, this is just my opinion, and I’d like to hear yours in the comments.

After long consideration, I have decided to support Chuck Purgason for Missouri Senate. Here are the issues I base my support of Purgason on:
1. Balanced Budget: Purgason knows that the number one plank of the Republican Party platform is a balanced budget. But when the GOP was in charge with the President, House, and Senate, why was it not balanced? Spending increased under their leadership. What we had were politicians who said they were for a balanced budget but voted for budgets that put more debt on our families. He promises to not vote for a budget that is not balanced, offer amendments, and show leadership to bring fiscal sanity back to our nation’s capitol.

2. Earmarks: Purgason also knows that another plank in the Republican platform was no earmarks. How is budget of the United States balanced when 535 members of Congress are allowed to use our governments “credit card”? In our debtor nation, we must stop this runaway and unaccountable spending. Purgason pledges to not vote for any earmarks and work to reform this failed system.

3. Family Lobbyists: Purgason believes that family lobbyists are a conflict of interest. No member of his family is involved in any function of government other than being a working taxpayer who gets stuck paying bills lobbyists and politicians come up with.

4. Stimulus: Purgason believes that the TARP program opened the door for the process of government picking who survives and who dies in our free market system. Instead of protecting taxpayers hard earned dollars and allowing taxpayers to stimulate the economy by spending their money, the politicians put us more and more into debt by increasing government spending and involvement in our lives and free market system. He will vote against any spending measure put before the Senate if elected.

5. Campaign Funds for Bailed-out Companies: Purgason sees that an example of this monstrosity is Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. How can you use tax dollars to bail out those companies and then accept campaign contributions from them? He will do what it takes to put an end to this.

6. Out-of-State Fundraisers: After seeing the other candidates hosting fundraisers in places like Chicago, New York, Washington, and a lobster bake on a beach in Florida, Purgason pledges to hold no fundraisers outside the state of Missouri.

7. Term Limits: Purgason has served under term limits his whole career. In order for us to break the corrupt cycle of entrenched politicians, he pledges to serve only two terms as Missouri’s Senator.

Here’s my take on the 2010 Senate races 8 months out.

Retiring Incumbents:

CT-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Chris Dodd is retiring. On the Democratic side, Software Executive Merrick Alpert, Attorney General Richard Blumenthal, and former Greenwich First Selectman Roger Pearson are in the running. On the Republican side, former World Wrestling Entertainment CEO Linda McMahon, former Congressman Rob Simmons, and Euro Pacific Capital President Peter Shiff are in the running. I expect Blumenthal and Simmons to emerge from their respective Primaries. At this point, I rate this DEMOCRAT FAVORED.

DE-SEN: Appointed Democratic US Senator Ted Kaufman will not stand for election. The Democrats have unified behind behind New Castle County Executive Chris Coons. On the Republican side, Congressman Mike Castle, Political Consultant Christine O’Donnell, and Child Advocate Carlet Deetta Ward are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind School Mentoring Volunteer Wendy Jones. I see Castle handily emerging from his Primary. At this point, I rate this REPUBLICAN FAVORED.

FL-SEN: Appointed Republican US Senator George LeMieux will not stand for election. On the Republican side, Mechanical Engineer Bob Coggans, Governor Charlie Crist, Attorney Linda Vasquez Littlefield, Thomas Mangum, Evangelist Gwyn McClellan, Attorney Belinda Noah, former Speaker of the Florida State House Marco Rubio, former New Hampshire US Senator Bob Smith, Businessman Shawn Teeters, and Physician Marion Thorpe Jr. are in the running. On the Democratic side, Pastor Tyrone Brown, North Miami Mayor Kevin Burns, former Miami Mayor Maurice Ferré, Raphael Herman, ’02 Okaloosa County School Board Candidate Chuck Lynch, Congressman Kendrick Meek, and Retired Postal Worker Lawrence Penpeck are in the running. The Constitution Party has unified behind Prison Ministry Group Founder Bernie DeCastro. The Libertarians have unified behind Business Account Manager Alex Snitker. The Veterans Party has unified behind Businessman Dennis Bradley. On the Independent side, Lewis Armstrong, Farmer Bobbie Bean, College Professor Piotr Blass, Pest Management Company Co-Owner Todd Oifer, and Accountant Dave Roberts are in the running. I expect Rubio and Meek to emerge from their Primaries, Rubio 57-38 over Crist and Meek 75-14-8 over Burns and Ferre. At this point, I rate this REPUBLICAN FAVORED.

IL-SEN: Appointed Democratic US Senator Roland Burris will not stand for election. The Democrats nominated State Treasurer Alexi Giannoulias. The Republicans nominated Congressman Mark Kirk. The Libertarians nominated Engineer Mike Labno. On the Independent side, Health Insurance Agency Owner John Blyth, Greenville City Councilor Will Boyd Jr., Attorney Michael Dorsey, Businessman Stan Jalga, Apostolic Minister Eric Wallace, and Bob Zadek are in the running. At this point, I rate this a TOSSUP.

IN-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Evan Bayh is retiring. The Democrats have unified behind Congressman Brad Ellsworth. On the Republican side, Bank Branch Manager Don Bates Jr., Plumbing Contractor Richard Behney, former US Senator Dan Coats, former US Representative John Hostettler, and State Senator Marlin Stutzman are in the running. The Independents have unified behind 08′ Gubernatorial candidate Timothy Lee Frye. I see Hostettler emerging over Stutzman and Coats 45-29-26. At this point, I rate this LEANS REPUBLICAN.

KS-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator Sam Brownback is running for Governor. On the Republican side, Congressmen Jerry Moran and Todd Tiahrt are in the running. On the Democratic side, Retired Communications Executive Charles Schollenberger and Attorney Stanley Wiles are in the running. I see Moran narrowly beating out Tiahrt and Schollenberger defeating Wiles in their respective Primaries. At this point, I rate this race SAFE REPUBLICAN.

KY-SEN: Incumbent Republican Senator Jim Bunning is retiring. On the Republican side, Secretary of State Trey Grayson, Business Executive Bill Johnson, World War II Veteran Gurley Martin, Physician Rand Paul, Jon Scribner, and former State Superintendent of Public Instruction John Stephenson are in the running. On the Democratic side, Physician James Buckmaster, Attorney General Jack Conway, Lieutenant Governor Dan Mongiardo, former US Customs Agent Darlene Price, and Farmer Maurice Sweeney are in the running. The Independents have unified behind Convenience Store Operator John Long. I expect Paul and Conway to emerge from their Primaries. At this point, I rate this LEANS REPUBLICAN.

MO-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator Christopher Bond is retiring. On the Republican side, Congressman Roy Blunt, Electrical Contractor Davis Conway, Iraq War Veteran Hector Maldonado, Car Salesman Mark Memoly, Database Technician Kristi Nichols, Architect Bob Praprotnik, State Senator Chuck Purgason, Police Officer James Schmidt, Marketer Deborah Solomon, and Repairman Mike Vontz are in the running. On the Democratic side, Secretary of State Robin Carnahan and retired Federal Employee Francis Vangeli are in the running. On the Constitution side, Businessman Jerry Beck and retired Furniture Maker Joe Martellaro are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind Jonathan Dine. The Progressives have unified behind State Party Co-Chair Midge Potts. I see Blunt prevailing over Purgason 53-32 and Carnahan destroying Vangeli 96-4. At this point, I rate this LEANS REPUBLICAN.

ND-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Byron Dorgan is retiring. On the Republican side, Governor John Hoeven and Retired Navy Officer and Businessman Duane Sand are in the running. The Democrats side has no announced candidates to date, but State Senator and 08′ Gubernatorial nominee Tim Mathern is a potential candidate. I expect Hoeven to pound Sand in the Primary. At this point, I rate this SAFE REPUBLICAN.

NH-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator Judd Gregg is retiring. On the Republican side, former State Representative Tom Alciere, former Attorney General Kelly Ayotte, Businessmen Jim Bender and Bill Binnie, and former State Board of Education Chair Ovide LaMontage are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind US Representative Paul Hodes. The Libertarians have unified behind Realtor Ken Blevens. I expect LaMontage to teabag Ayotte to death in the Primary. At this point, I rate this a TOSSUP.

OH-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator George Voinovich is retiring. The Republicans have unified behind former Congressman and former Bush OMB Director Rob Portman. On the Democratic side, Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner and Lieutenant Governor Lee Fisher are in the running. The Constitution Party has unified behind Electrical Engineer Eric Deaton. The Socialists have unified behind University Instructor Dan LeBotz. On the Independent side, Medical Researcher Eric LaMont Gregory, Businessmen Stephen Lahanas and Dave Myers, Engineer Bill Pierce, and IT Consultant Adam Shaffer are in the running. I see Fisher emerging 55-45 over Brunner. At this point, I rate this a TOSSUP.

Senators standing for re-election:

AL-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator Richard Shelby is running for re-election. The Republicans have unified behind Shelby. The Democrats have unified behind Attorney William Barnes. At this point, I rate this SAFE REPUBLICAN.

AK-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator Lisa Murkowski is running for re-election. The Republicans have unified behind Murkowski. The Democrats have unified behind Attorney Frank Vondersaar. At this point, I rate this SAFE REPUBLICAN.

AZ-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator John McCain is running for re-election. On the Republican side, McCain, Fire Protection Systems Contractor Jim Deakin, former Congressman JD Hayworth, and Verde Valley Justice of the Peace William Lundy are in the running. On the Democratic side, former Bell Gardens California Mayor Rudy Garcia, Tuscon City Councilor Rodney Glassman, and Teacher Stuart Starky are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind Risk Management Consultant Rick Biondi.  On the Independent side, Iraq War Veteran Leonard Clark and Management Consultant Ian Gilyeat are in the running. I see McCain emerging over Hayworth, Lundy, and Deakin 50-42-6-2. I see Glassman prevailing over Starky and Garcia 65-29-6. At this point, I rate this REPUBLICAN FAVORED.

AR-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Blanche Lincoln is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Lincoln, Lieutenant Governor Bill Halter, and DC Morrison are in the running. On the Republican side, Business Consultant Randy Alexander, State Senators Gilbert Baker, Kim Hendren, and Jim Holt, Congressman John N. Boozman, Businessman Curtis Coleman, FedEx Truck Driver Fred Ramey, and retired Army Officer Conrad Reynolds are in the running. The Greens have unified behind Greenland Mayor John Gray. On the Independent side, Businessman Jasper Beede, Larry Buffington, Writer Adam Cat, UPS Employee Trevor Drown, and Technology Consultant Christopher Nogy are in the running. I see Halter crushing Lincoln and Morrison 55-43-2. I see Boozman winning the Primary with 39%. At this point, I rate this a TOSSUP.

CA-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Barbara Boxer is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Boxer. On the Republican side, former Congressman Tom Campbell, State Assemblyman Chuck DeVore, former Hewlett Packard CEO Carly Fiorina,  Steven Greyclanus, Businessman Al Ramirez, and Evangelical Pastor Mosheh Thezion are in the running. The AIP’s have unified behind Chiropractor Don Grundmann. The Greens have unified behind Community Organizer Duane Roberts. The Libertarians have unified behind former State Party Chairwoman Gail Lightfoot. The Independents have unified behind Jerry Leon Carroll. I see Campbell emerging over Fiorina and DeVore 40-34-26. At this point, I rate this LEANS DEMOCRAT.

CO-SEN: Appointed Democratic US Senator Michael Bennet will stand for election. On the Democratic side, Bennet and former State House Speaker Andrew Romanoff are in the running. On the Republican side, Attorney Steve Barton, Weld County District Attorney Ken Buck, Physician Robert Greenheck, Water Conservancy District Manager Gary Kennedy, Investor Vincent Martinez, former Lieutenant Governor Jane Norton, Businessman Cleve Tidwell, Confectionery Distribution Company Owner Mark Van Wyk, and State Senator Tom Wiens are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind Businessman Maclyn Stringer. I see Romanoff prevailing over Bennet 53-47. I see Norton prevailing over Buck, Wiens, Kennedy, Tidwell, Barton, Martines, Greenheck, and Van Wyk 42-39-12-4-1-1 and the rest below 1%. At this point, I rate this a TOSSUP.

GA-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator Johnny Isakson is running for re-election. The Republicans are unifying behind Isakson, the Democrats are unifying behind former Rockdale County Commission Chief of Staff RJ Hadley, and the Libertarians are unifying behind Chuck Donovan. At this point, I rate this REPUBLICAN FAVORED.

HI-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Daniel Inouye is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Inouye. The Republicans have no announced candidates, but Governor Linda Lingle is a potential candidate. At this point, if Lingle runs, I rate this LEANS DEMOCRAT. If she doesn’t, then I rate this SAFE DEMOCRATIC.

ID-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator Mike Crapo is running for re-election. The Republicans have unified behind Crapo. The Demmocrats have unified behind Attorney William Bryk. At this point, I rate this SAFE REPUBLICAN.

IA-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator Chuck Grassley. The Republicans have unified behind Grassley. On the Democratic side, former US Attorney Roxanne Conlin, former State Senator Tom Fiegen, former State Representative Bob Krause, and Engineer Sal Mohamed are in the running. I see Conlin defeating Krause, Fiegen, and Mohamed 67-21-11-1. At this point, I rate this REPUBLICAN FAVORED.

LA-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator David Vitter is running for re-election. On the Republican side, Vitter and Porn Star Stormy Daniels are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind Congressman Charlie Melancon. The Libertarians have unified behind Refinery Supervisor Anthony Gentile. The Independents have unified behind retired Volunteer Fire Chief Bob Lang. I see Vitter blowing Daniels(out of the water) 83-17. At this point, I rate this REPUBLICAN FAVORED.

MD-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Barbara Mikulski is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Mikulski. On the Republican side, former State Delegate Carmen Amedori, Engineer Daniel McAndrew, Businessman John Curran, Attorney Jim Rutledge, Limousine Company Owner Corrogan Vaughn, anf Queen Anne’s County Commissioner Eric Wargotz are in the running. The Independents have unified behind retired Minister Robert Brookman. I see Wargotz prevailing over Amedori, Vaughn, McAndrew, Curran, and Rutledge 45-40-9-3-2-1. At this point, I rate this SAFE DEMOCRATIC.

NV-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Harry Reid is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Reid. On the Republican side, former State Assemblywoman Sharron Angle, Investment Banker John Chachas, State Assemblyman Chad Christensen, former State Board of Education Member Greg Dagani, Dentist Chuck Flume,  Attorney Chuck Kozak, former State GOP Chair Sue Lowden, Business Administrator Mark Noonan, Project Manager Bill Parson, and Businessmen Terry Suominen and Danny Tarkanian are in the running. The IAP’s have unified behind Businessman Tim Fasano. The Libertarians have unified behind Radio Talk Show Host Jim Duensing. On the Independent cside, Jerry Carter, Businessman Jeff Durbin, Michael Haines, Jessie Holland, Jeffrey Reeves, and Wil Stand are in the running. I see Lowden defeating Tarkanian and Angle 49-25-19 with the rest polling single digits. At this point, I rate this LEANS REPUBLICAN.

NC-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator Richard Burr is running for re-election. On the Republican side, Burr, Asheboro City Councilman Eddie Burks, Electronics Store Owner Brad Jones, and former State Representative Larry Linney are in the running. On the Democratic side, former State senator Cal Cunningham, Accountant Susan Harris, Attorney Kenneth Lewis and Marcus Williams, Secretary of State Elaine Marshall, and Minister W. Ann Worthy are in the running. The Libertarians have unified behind Business Consultant Mike Beitler. I see Burr trouncing Burks, Linney, and Jones 79-12-7-2. I see Cunning have narrowly scoring an upset with the help of the Liberal Grassroots 43-42-8-4-1-1 over Marshall, Lewis, Harris, Williams, and Worthy. At this point, I rate this REPUBLICAN FAVORED.

NY-SEN A: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Chuck Schumer is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Schumer, Comedian Randy Credico, 08′ State Assembly candidate  Lumies Huff, and Illinois Political Consultant Phil Krone are in the running. The only announced Republican candidate is GOP Activist Martin Chicon, but CNBC TV Show Host and Economist Larry Kudlow is considering getting in this race. At this point, I rate this SAFE DEMOCRAT.

NY-SEN B: Appointed Democratic US Senator Kirsten Gillibrand will stand for election. On the Democratic side, Gillibrand, Oral Surgeon Scott Noren, and former National Writers Union President Jonathan Tasini are in the running. On the Republican side, former Port Authority Commissioner Bruce Blakeman and former Congressman Joe DioGuardi are in the running. The Conservatives have unified behind Businessman Jaques Ditte. The Constitution Party has unified behind Religious Right Activist Jan Johnson. The Greens have unified behind Civil Servant Jeff Peress. I see Gillibrand crushing Tasini and Noren 74-20-6. I see Blakeman defeating DioGuardi 55-45. St this point, I rate this DEMOCRAT FAVORED.

OK-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator Tom Coburn is running for re-election. The Republicans have unified behind Coburn. The Democrats have no announced candidates, but Governor Brad Henry is a potential candidate. At this point, if Henry runs, I rate this REPUBLICAN FAVORED. If he doesn’t, then I rate this SAFE REPUBLICAN.

OR-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Ron Wyden is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Wyden, Fitness Instructor Pavel Goberman, and Farmer Loren Hooker are in the running. On the Republican side, Businessmen Kareem Hamdy and Loren Later, Businesswoman Robin Parker, Realtor Tom Stutzman, and Construction Artisan Tradesman Walter Woodman. The Greens have unified behind Psychiatrist Rick Staggenborg. The Libertarians have unified behind Financial Planner Marc Delphine. Wyden will defeat Hooker and Goberman 85-13-2. The Republican Primary is a TOSSUP. Regardless of who wins, I rate this SAFE DEMOCRAT.

PA-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Arlen Specter is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Specter, Congressman Joe Sestak, and Machinist Joe Vodvarka are in the running. On the Republican side, Conservative Activist Peg Lusisk and former Congressman and former Club for Growth President Pat Toomey are in the running. The Greens have unified behind Physician Assistant Mel Packer. The Libertarians have unified behind Businessman Larry Murphy. The Independent Americans have unified behind Pastoral Degree Student Mike Yilit. I see Sestak pulling an upset with the help of the Liberal Grassroots 49-47 over Specter. I see Toomey defeating Lusisk 72-28. At this point, I rate this a TOSSUP.

SC-SEN: Incumbent GOP US Senator Jim DeMint is running for re-election. The GOP has unified behind DeMint. On the Democratic side, Attorney Chad McGowan and retired Auto Company Executive Mike Ruckes are in the running. I expect Ruckes to defeat McGowan in the Primary. At this point, I rate this REPUBLICAN FAVORED.

SD-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator John Thune is running for re-election.The Republicans have unified behind Thune. The Democrats have no announced candidates, but State Senator Nancy Turbak Berry is considering the race. Whether or not Berry runs, thIS race is SAFE REPUBLICAN.

UT-SEN: Incumbent Republican US Senator Bob Bennett is running for re-election. On the Republican side, Bennett, Business Consultant Tim Bridgewater, Businesswoman and Conservative Activist Cherilyn Eager, Attorney Mike Lee, and Businessman James Williams are in the running. The Democrats have unified behind State Alcohol Beverage Control Commissioner Sam Granato. I expect Eager to teabag Bennett to death at the convention. At this point, I rate this SAFE REPUBLICAN.

VT-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Pat Leahy is running for re-election. On the Democratic side, Leahy and Physician Daniel Freilich are in the running. The Republicans have unified behind Lumber Store Owner Len Britton. On the Independent side, Cris Ericson and John LaPierre Jr. are in the running. I expect Leahy to trounce Freilich in the Primary. At this point, I rate this SAFE DEMOCRATIC.

WA-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Patty Murray is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Murray. On the Republican side, Physician Arthur Coday Jr., State Senator Don Benton, former Pro Football Player Clint Didier, Truck Driver Wayne Glover, Electrical Engineering Instructor Scott Johnson, Businessmen Rod Rieger and Chris Widener, Chiropractor Sean Salzar, and Energy Trader Craig Williams are in the running. I see Benton emerging over Didier, 44-29 with the rest polling in the single digits. At this point, I rate this DEMOCRAT FAVORED.

WI-SEN: Incumbent Democratic US Senator Russ Feingold is running for re-election. The Democrats have unified behind Feingold. On the Republican side, Real Estate Developer Terrence Wall and Businessman Dave Westlake are in the running. The Constitution Party has unified behind Cumberland City Alderman Rob Taylor. I see Wall defeating Westlake 59-41. At this point, I rate this DEMOCRAT FAVORED.