Did Dan Rather Certify Iran’s Election Results?


Update: Andrew Sullivan breaks down the graph further.  Not solid proof of fraud but still brings up questions.

Recall a few years ago how documents damning George W. Bush as a lazy do-nothing National Guardsmen turned out to be all out fakes created in Microsoft Word?  Did Dan Rather make his way to Tehran to certify the latest election results?

The Tehran Buereu (a self-declared independent news source) has posted an interesting graph showing that the election results between Ahmadinejad and Mousavi are in an almost perfect plot line across all points at which results were given.

In short, somebody in the election bureau used an equation early on in the day and seems to have applied the same ratio at other intervals on up to the final result.

Here’s the graphic which they post here:

They note:

Statistically and mathematically, it is impossible to maintain such perfect linear relations between the votes of any two candidates in any election — and at all stages of vote counting. This is particularly true about Iran, a large country with a variety of ethnic groups who usually vote for a candidate who is ethnically one of their own. For example, in the present elections, Mr. Mousavi is an Azeri and speaks Turkish. The Azeries make up 1/4 of all the eligible voters in Iran and in his trips to Azerbaijan province, where most of the Azeri population lives, Mr. Mousavi had been greeted by huge rallies in support of his campaign. Likewise, Mr. Karroubi, the other reformist candidate, is a Lor. But according to the data released by Iran’s Interior Ministry, in both cases, Mr. Ahmadinejad has far outdone both candidates in their own provinces of birth and among their own ethnic populations.

Juan Cole makes some excellent points here.


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Thought you would have seen the news report already......

Kenny Solomon (Diary) Saturday, June 13th at 8:17PM EST (link)

This just in: Iranian President For Life, Iminthemoodfor Abigwhompinjihad has won re-election with 105% of the vote.

Asked for comment, USA President-For-Life-Designate Barry SmokeTooMuch said, “I heartily congratulate my 2nd cousin uhhh, whatshisname for his victory over any slight amount of freedom and liberty in our homeland uhhhhhhh, in Iran.”

Former US President Jimmy Carter certified the vote and offered his congratulations, along with this comment: “The 2009 Iranian Presidential election and result-certification process was the smoothest we’ve seen to date.”

 

Hmmm.

Tim Sunday, June 14th at 7:14PM EST (link)

I should preface this with the statement that I suspect the election wasn’t free or fair. Still, it seems right to pass this along:

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/06/statistical-evidence-does-not-prove.html

Nate Silver is pretty good with the maths thing, and he makes a good point; that graph isn’t actually that unusual, or a smoking gun.

 

I'm pissed off enough about how AGW "forcing constants"...

Chemical Sam (Diary) Sunday, June 14th at 11:16PM EST (link)

…are created from such correlations. So I can’t help but look at this gem with a skeptical eye. People claiming fraud will have to do better than that.

The page that contains the graph posted above is already suspended. I’d be careful about perpetuating this graph.

Criterion Chemical was in the black for FY2010!
Not bad considering the forces arrayed against small business these days.
Let’s see about actually making some serious profit this year. Shameless capitalism, by:
www.criterionchemical.com

 

Who knew that ACORN had a Tehran branch? -nt-

Lammo (Diary) Monday, June 15th at 4:20PM EST (link)

Don’t be so open minded that your brains fall out. (John Corapi, The Black Sheep Dog)

I laughed!

E Pluribus Unum (Diary) Monday, June 15th at 4:38PM EST (link)

Fortunately I was not drinking, or I’d be turning the keyboard upside down about now.

Kill the Terrorists
Protect the Borders
Punch the Hippies h/t IMAO

Sometimes I think there should be

Lammo (Diary) Monday, June 15th at 4:41PM EST (link)

official RedState keyboard protectors. Many times I have been glad I wasn’t drinking anything while browsing here. Glad to have contributed to the hilarity.
:-)

Don’t be so open minded that your brains fall out. (John Corapi, The Black Sheep Dog)

 

Can/will we get Intl observers to watch for ACORN fraud next election?!?!

JLenardDetroit (Diary) Monday, June 15th at 4:49PM EST (link)

Iranians learned well from Democrats…. They kept certain advantagous Polling places open late to pad the vote…. Certainly there are some Dead folk and Fictional characters with votes cast…. Oops, wait… they probably didn’t even count the votes – that will be the next Democrat emulation here.

Regards from NoMoTown (the MOTORlessCITY)
“Liberals, looking to do for? America what they’ve done for? Detroit! which is DESTROY IT!”
“I think, therefore I am Conservative”
“Conservative by choice, Republican by necessity”
“You can lead a Liberal to the Truth/Facts, but you cannot make them THINK!”
“Romney [No, not my first choice] does NOT have a MORMON problem. He has a, far too many Americans; these days; are MORONS problem!”


(RS:Help) (JLD) (Hollyweird) (Brain-deads) (SPIN-cycle) (Obamaocare) (Party of kNOw) (Conservatism) (TEApeats) (respectful) (message) (Warning: Children Will Die!!)
Heil “O” Hell No Obamao is NOT MY PRESIDENT! “No U won’t”
I want “O” to FAIL (here, here, & whole Diary (Ofail) here, is why)
The first Liberal was Satan” – a Rush caller (other Quotes)

We'll need a Voting Czar asap

molybdanthan (Diary) Monday, June 15th at 4:55PM EST (link)

“Wake the President. Fake votes are not getting counted, and the soldiers’ vote is. It’s a crisis, people.”