Negative Multipliers on Government Spending


Let’s examine a few different tiers of government destruction of economic activity.

The first level involves negative marginal multipliers on spending. Government taxation takes money away from private projects that have higher multipliers. Perhaps both of these options have multipliers greater than one, but the private activity is still clearly a better use of funds.

The next level involves government spending on a boondoggle with no physical benefits. People dig holes in the ground and fill them. They get paid for the work and spend their paychecks, but there is no discernible benefit resulting from their efforts. There’s some waste of resources since they drive their cars to work and have to buy new shovels to do the job, but they’re relatively negligible.

The 3rd level involves government destruction of real assets. Imagine the government killing 6 million pigs in order to raise pork prices and thus offset deflation. (See FDR, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Deal, under Farm and Rural Programs) The multiplier is negative since there are fundamentally fewer resources for use. The same will be true of federal dollars spent on enforcement of carbon emissions limits, collective bargaining agreements, bank bailouts, and government health care.

Given that climate change is an international leftist pretext for the redistribution of wealth, it should come as no surprise that spending on carbon inspection and other green jobs programs will carry negative economic multipliers. Every dollar that they spend preventing more plant food from entering the atmosphere reduces the availability of electricity and plants! It causes metal to be improperly allocated to the construction of windmills and their necessitated power collection grids, thus taking it away from more productive uses.

Labor is a scarce resource. Collective bargaining causes a reduction in labor output. Restrictive work rules result in pay for idleness. Protection against layoffs make companies disinclined to hire during times of high demand. Consider the rubber rooms run by the automakers. Also, a lack of merit-based raises and terminations puts a damper on personal efforts. Aside from this, union organizers disrupt work sites. Employees are busy contemplating how to get a bigger share of the pie for less effort instead of how to do their jobs better. Spending on federal mediators who will impose outcomes favorable to unions should strikes be protracted will result in longer strikes and reduced production.

Bank bailouts may have been necessary to prevent another Great Depression, but this need was only induced by flaws in our corporate tax policy and our bankruptcy code. Giving fresh money to those investors who have shown historic levels of ineptitude in its deployment is very likely to result in a repetition of historical performance. Let’s also not forget that every dollar spent on enforcement of the Community Reinvestment Act resulted in a negative multiplier since it forced these banks to make bad loans.

The centrally planned reimbursement rates for Medicare and Medicaid already induce physicians to train for certain specialties at different frequencies than they otherwise would. The same is true for malpractice laws that have resulted in a dearth of obstetricians across the country. Just wait for the comparative effectiveness research to be politically gerrymandered. Kids don’t vote now. Dead kids never will. ACORN members vote early and often. We’ll see funding for leukemia cut while abortion funding is increased. That’s how the crooked politicians will shortchange our future, both morally and economically.

So, is this level of economic malaise the new normal? It sure could be if the leftists get their way. Don’t let them get away with their Keynesian hogwash justification for giving themselves unlimited power or the consequences will be most severe.



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Good points

Whitesands (Diary) Wednesday, October 21st at 9:19AM EST (link)

he economy would be better off if control was relaxed from Washington.

A brief historical comment on the national debt.

A pamphleteer named Brutus in the 18th century warned against a centralized government’s power to borrow money.” borrow money on the credit of the United States . The Congress may mortgage any or all of the revenues of the union and may borrow of foreign nations a principle sum, the interest of which will be equal to the annual revenues the country. By this means, they may create a national debt so large as to exceed the ability of the country ever to sink. I can scarcely contemplate a greater calamity that could befall this country than to be loaded with a debt exceeding their ability to discharge. If this be a just remark, it is unwise and improvident to vest in the general government a power to borrow at discretion, without any limitation or restriction.”

Lets get down to real work.

Distrust plagues the economy. The federal government’s quest for control hampers the ability of knowledgeable people to move the economy forward. Individuals cannot plan when government has fostered an environment with autocratic laws and inconsistent rules. Large companies profit from this centralized approach with out true competition. The CEO’s of Wal-mart and GE have both backed the latest junk science coming out of Washington (current Heath care and Energy bills). They run to government and back every centralized plan being introduced without the spine to exercise commonsense and put the country first. Thankfully, so far small business is the largest employer of workers in the country.

 

Let's not forget cash for clunkers...

revivefederalism (Diary) Thursday, October 22nd at 12:11AM EST (link)

Aside from succeeding in stimulating the economy….of Japan, this program has increased social stratification by cutting the availability of functioning used cars. this will create new barriers to the ability of people to improve themselves gradually and by degrees without government interference. it’s an obviously negative multiplier.