Facts Building Lies


Let’s start this discussion with the story of a baseball player.  This is a baseball player who played many decades ago.  Lots of people liked him, and he was quite popular, but he wasn’t very good.  Let me tell you a few things about this player:

  • He led the league in strikeouts 5 times in his career, and is in the top 100 all-time in strikeouts.
  • He used to be a good athlete with lots of speed, but over time, he let himself get slow and out of shape.
  • He committed one of the greatest baserunning blunders in World Series history, trying to steal a base in the bottom of the 9th of Game 7 in 1926, getting thrown out to end the game and costing his team a chance at victory.
  • He had a strong temper which would occasionally get in his way.  He once got thrown out of a game for arguing with the umpire after walking the first batter of a game.  The pitcher who relieved him, coincidentally, pitched a perfect game in his place.
  • He drank a lot and was known as a womanizer.
  • He batted a paltry .181 in his final season.

Sounds like a fairly average player, doesn’t he?  Maybe even a slightly below average one.  Using these facts, I have just “proven” that Babe Ruth wasn’t all that great.

Everything I just noted above is 100% factual, but that isn’t really the point.  The point is the problem of the facts that I am leaving out, not because I don’t think they are important, but because they disagree with my hypothesis.  It’s hard for me to argue that Ruth wasn’t a great player if I accept the fact that he hit 714 career home runs, or that he hit 60 in a season when the record for a season before he started playing was 12.  I can ignore any of the other large lot of statistics that prove why many consider him to be the greatest player ever if no one is going to call me on it.

Unfortunately for me and my “hypothesis”, the data is readily available for anyone to see, so I would be discredited pretty quickly.  But let’s say I’m a scientist studying global warming, and I’m doing exactly the same thing:  taking any little piece of evidence that agrees with my theory and trumping it up no matter how minor it is, and ignoring extremely obvious and major things that don’t agree with my beliefs.  It is harder for people to disprove my hypothesis if the data isn’t readily available, or if people are too lazy to find it themselves.  (As an aside, the above is a perfect summation of how Michael Moore constructs his “documentaries”.)

Another problem with my Babe Ruth hypothesis is that there isn’t any incentive for people to believe it, unless they are rabid Yankee-haters.  The global warming science certainly gives politicians leverage for implementing their agendas, however (just like Michael Moore’s movies make him money and advance his agenda), which is another reason facts get suppressed.

The point here is that one can take a subset of the relevant facts and construct any conclusion they want with them, and that is what the leaked CRU e-mails prove has been happening with the global warming myth.  While some of the data may be factual, the overall conclusion is a lie because not all of the data is being included.  Some of the data can be used to show that temperatures have risen from time to time (which is obviously going to happen), but it’s the data being omitted which clearly disproves the theory that we need to see and incorporate to get the full picture.  It is this data that you are not allowed to ignore if you want to consider yourself a legitimate scientist.


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Greetings To The RS Community

qsclues (Diary) Saturday, November 28th at 10:41AM EST (link)

As an addendum, let me just say “Hello” to all out there, as I have just joined the community in the last couple of days.

Main Entry: rac·ism
Pronunciation: \ˈrā-ˌsi-zəm also -ˌshi-\
Function: noun
Date: 1933
1 : a belief that race is the primary determinant of human traits and capacities and that racial differences produce an inherent superiority of a particular race
2 : racial prejudice or discrimination
3 : term used by a liberal to concede an argument

 

Welcome, and this isn't a half bad diary

Jack_Savage (Diary) Saturday, November 28th at 11:07AM EST (link)

Nice insight.

 

Computer models are ONLY as good as the information....

JadedByPolitics (Diary) Saturday, November 28th at 11:43AM EST (link)

provided to the computers…..I can make people believe absolutely ANYTHING I want vis a vis computer models based upon the date I insert into the computer. The bottom line on Global Warming is it has ALWAYS been a leftist religion…..they have to BELIEVE in their faith no matter the data. The Rev Al Gore and his church of followers unfortunately have a TON of POWER politically around the world.

It really is up to the people to STOP this fraud actually CRIMINAL ENTERPRISE. If WE allow the elites of each nation to BREAK US we will be living in servitude for the rest of our existence. NEVER has anything terrified me so much as the possibility of religion of Global Warming and its high priests deciding our future fate. It is and will be HELL ON EARTH!

Zactly Jaded. It can be referred as GIGO

Danielle Davis (ocleverone) (Diary) Saturday, November 28th at 11:56AM EST (link)

Garbage in, garbage out. A most excellent 5.

To me, “consensus” seems to be the process of abandoning all beliefs, principles, values and policies. So it is something in which no one believes and to which no one objects … There are still people in my party who believe in “consensus” politics. I regard them as Quislings, as traitors … I mean it. — Margaret Thatcher

Well the old line about statistics always holds true

Richard Mullins (Diary) Saturday, November 28th at 12:10PM EST (link)

“Lies,Damned Lies and Statistics”. That sums things up when it comes to things like Global Warming. Using stats isn’t the way to deal with everything.

Richard Phillip Mullins BlogThe Squash Satire SiteNews on Happy Jet Airlines
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Joe Biden is like a Decrepit Park owner with a Meth lab that happens to not only be a dealer but a user.

Let’s Bankrupt the Democratic paty. Make spend all the money to defend thier candidates.

 
 

I Can Identify...

qsclues (Diary) Saturday, November 28th at 12:49PM EST (link)

As a computer programmer myself, I can agree that your point is spot on.

Main Entry: rac·ism
Pronunciation: \ˈrā-ˌsi-zəm also -ˌshi-\
Function: noun
Date: 1933
1 : a belief that race is the primary determinant of human traits and capacities and that racial differences produce an inherent superiority of a particular race
2 : racial prejudice or discrimination
3 : term used by a liberal to concede an argument

 
 

Nice diary, qsclues...

rbdwiggins (Diary) Saturday, November 28th at 12:08PM EST (link)

Welcome to Redstate…

“Well, the trouble with our liberal friends is not that they are ignorant, but that they know so much that isn’t so.” – Ronald Reagan

 

Liberalism and Their Academia in Climatology

pirate55 (Diary) Saturday, November 28th at 1:09PM EST (link)

Your analogy clearly identifies what liberals and the “select” climatologists aligned with them wish the masses to believe. Simply put, identify your desired result and build only that hypothesis which supports it rather than carefully consider all things in any given hypothesis to identify the answer. Probably great liberalism but very bad science.

“I do not believe in a fate that will fall on us no matter what we do. I do believe in a fate that will fall on us if we do nothing.” Ronald Reagan