Really, this is like the 5th Donk to say that he’s not going to run for reelection. I guess he didn’t want to go down with the sinking ship that is the Democratic party.

I won’t say it’s a “slam dunk” pickup. But it’s maybe as close as you can get to one of those.

(FTR, Tanner’s TN-08 is R+6. The other GOP-leaning district is Lincoln Davis’ TN-04 which is also R+13 – I wonder if Davis is sweating buckets yet…)

I will say this – it really looks like the Dems are going to get *demolished* in TN next year – their delegation is poised to go from 5-4 Dem advantage to 6-3 or possibly even 7-2 Republican advantage.

And, yes – this really does signal bad things for Dems – we’re already near half-a-dozen retirements, and it’s not even Christmas yet! January could bring another dozen or more retirements…

Back in the ole days when was a ditchdigger, to you in Washington DC that is operating a backhoe and I didn’t need a gd Union to get me a job, a farmer would have a cow or two cattle die out in pasture and sometimes it may a week or two before they found it.
Yes out in Nebraska we didn’t have a GPS tied to their necks and sometimes you didn’t see all your cattle for a couple ot three months in the summer. I would get a call from the farmer that I needed to come out and dig a hole to bury the cow. I would dig the hole threw lime in it and rolled the dead cow into the hole with the backhoe.
When you rolled the cow over, look out for what was under it.
Many time snakes, bugs and other varmint had taken up home in the dead cow as a food source. The democrat party reminds me of the dead cow and the fleeing snakes the democrats that won’t be running for elected office again.
God Bless America

The biggest sign of a wave election is retirements. One month ago, there were only 4 open Dem seats, and all were due to pursuing higher office. Since then, there have been 4 more, all retirements. Sure, 4 retirements is not a wave, but how many will there be two months from now?

Taking this announcement into consideration, there are now 43 Dem-held seats that either Cook or CQ Politics (or both) list as Lean Democrat or worse. If the Reps pick up all these seats and only lose DE-AL and LA-02, then we can look forward to a new Speaker of the House. Of course, that’s still a daunting task, but it’s a nice piece of evidence that the goal is in sight. And there are plenty of other seats that could suddenly find themselves in play in the next six months.

It’s about time Republicans have a chance to reset the districts. I’m in District 4 which includes 24 counties, looks like a check mark which starts in West TN, goes down to the Alabama border and then swings up to NE TN. There is not one major city in the 24 county swing and there’s at least 5 media markets to be covered. Lincoln Davis never has a contested primary. With Tn open primaries the Democrats as a strategy always vote for the weakest GOP candidate.

btw – Jim Tracy, a number of times told Lou Ann Zelnik he was NOT running for Gordon’s seat. But the GOP ‘good old boys’ decided they didn’t want a woman in that seat so sought out Tracy to run. Lou Ann is a Vanderbilt grad with honors in engineering, she started and built a successful construction company, she is self made and a true conservative. She has raised funds and has picked up a number of solid fundraisers. Tracy is a squish, during his last campaign he campaigned with a Democrat running for office. There’s been a disgusting smear campaign being circulated in TN calling Lou Ann ‘crazy’ and unhinged. If there’s anything that will push me to support a candidate it’s something like that. Especially when you can see it’s nothing more than gender bias.