2 new Quinnipiac Polls out this morning
CT Dodd (D)
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1395&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0
Connecticut voters disapprove, 54% to 40%, of the job Dodd is doing, compared to a 49% to 43% disapproval in September.
In general election match ups, Dodd loses to both Rob Simmons (R), 49% to 38%, and to Linda McMahon (R), 43% to 41%.
Dodd continues to struggle with independent voters as 60 percent disapprove of the way he is handling his job
OH Open Seat (R)
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1284.xml?ReleaseID=1396&What=&strArea=;&strTime=0
Portman leads Jennifer Brunner (D), 38% to 34%, and tops Lee Fisher (D), 39% to 36%. In the battle for the Democratic Senate nomination, Fisher gets 24 percent to Brunner’s 22 percent, with 51 percent undecided. Portman leads car dealer Tom Ganley 26 – 7 percent in a GOP primary with 64 percent undecided.
Also for the first time, Ohio voters disapprove, by a 50% to 45% margin, of the job President Obama is doing
Also to note Strickland (D) and Kasich (R) are each tied at 40% for Governor’s race.
Neil Stevens
Steve Maley
Daniel Horowitz
Jake Walker
The conservative
Daniel Horowitz (Diary) Thursday, November 12th at 11:41AM EST (link)Who do you think the best conservative is in the race. Often in blue states like ct we would be forced to go with the liberal R like Simmons in order to win in the general. I think that this is the situation in Delaware with Castle. However, in CT it appears that Dodd is so damaged that he can be defeated by all of the candidates. There are several of candidates that are pretty strong and have good fund raising. Based on what I see it comes down to peter schiff and Sam Caliguiri for conservatives. What do you think?
I don't think it's worth the risk
crosley (Diary) Thursday, November 12th at 12:07PM EST (link)Connecticut is too blue a state to risk on that gamble. If this was a true swing state I would be more willing to make that bet, but Dodd will be more formidable than people think, it’s not a done deal that he gets beat.
The Dodd name is something like a Kennedy in CT, and Dodd will have a huge amount of money to spend because of his position over the years. His scandal is definitely unseemly, but CT voter’s aren’t foaming at the mouth because he got a special rate for his mortgage. It’s not like they found $100,000 cash in his freezer. Democrats also outnumber Republicans by a huge number.
I think Simmons will beat him, but he’s the only Republican that really stands a chance. The other contender, Linda McMahon (a bored millionaire housewife) doesn’t really stand a chance, plus she’s no conservative anyway, so I don’t see any advantage to support her over Simmons.
I agree
Daniel Horowitz (Diary) Thursday, November 12th at 12:35PM EST (link)in regard to McMahon. But peter shicff has raised a lot of money. Also Dodd is obviously not the Kennedy of Ct as proven from his atrocious approval numbers. It seems like anyone could beat him. I think your model holds true more for Delaware.
Simmons
proudgop (Diary) Thursday, November 12th at 12:44PM EST (link)is still best candidate
the fact he is close to 50% and has never run for state wide office is impressive