Courtesy of Ike Brannon and Chris Edwards. A key passage follows:
Keynesians thought that fiscal stimulus would work by counteracting the problem of sticky wages. Workers would be fooled into accepting lower real wages as price levels rose. Rising nominal wages would spur added work efforts and increased hiring by businesses. However, later analysis revealed that the government can’t routinely fool private markets, because people have foresight and they are generally rational. Keynes erred in ignoring the actual microeconomic behaviour of individuals and businesses.
The dominance of Keynesianism ended in the 1970s. Government spending and deficits ballooned, but the result was higher inflation, not lower unemployment. These events, and the rise in monetarism led by Milton Friedman, ended the belief in an unemployment-inflation trade-off. Keynesianism was flawed and its prescription of active fiscal intervention was misguided. Indeed, Friedman’s research showed that the Great Depression was caused by a failure of government monetary policy, not a failure of private markets, as Keynes had claimed.
Even if a government stimulus were a good idea, policymakers probably wouldn’t implement it the way Keynesian theory would suggest. To fix a downturn, policymakers would need to recognize the problem early and then enact a counter-cyclical strategy quickly and efficiently. But U.S. history reveals that past stimulus actions have been too ill-timed or ill-suited to have actually helped. Further, many policymakers are driven by motives at odds with the Keynesian assumption that they will diligently pursue the public interest.
The end of simplistic Keynesianism in the 1970s created a void in macroeconomics that was filled by “rational expectations” theory developed by John Muth, Robert Lucas, Thomas Sargent, Robert Barro and others. By the 1980s, old-fashioned Keynesian was dead, at least among the new leaders of macroeconomics.
Well, it has come back to life. But only because we appear to be determined to forget the mistakes of the past.
Actually, scratch that. Not “we.” Better to say “some.” Better still to say “mainly the Obama Administration and its Congressional Democratic allies.”
Steve Maley
Neil Stevens
Daniel Horowitz
Keynesian ism is being used as a front man for growing government to be a permanent
Mike gamecock DeVine (Diary) Saturday, January 31st at 4:00AM EST (link)democratic party majority maintenance stimulus.
Mike DeVine’s Examiner.com, Charlotte Observer and The Minority Report columns
“One man with courage makes a majority.” – Andrew Jackson
Keynesian economic theory is a complete and utter failure... Period...
rbdwiggins (Diary) Saturday, January 31st at 10:53AM EST (link)It is wholly incompatible and at odds with free-markets and democratic society, because Keynesian economics requires a closed system in which government controls the economy and human behavior.
“Well, the trouble with our liberal friends is not that they are ignorant, but that they know so much that isn’t so.” – Ronald Reagan
Depends on your measuring stick
MikeO Saturday, January 31st at 4:30PM EST (link)Keynesian economic theory is an effective means of bribing the rabble into relinquishing their freedom to the government. For those whose only purpose in life is to maximize their ability to lord over others, Keynesian economics is the soft sell bridge to utopian success.
Keynesian == win for wannabe tyrants.
One of the best points, buried in the first paragraph:
Praying (Diary) Saturday, January 31st at 12:39PM EST (link)“However, later analysis revealed that the government can’t routinely fool private markets, because people have foresight and they are generally rational.” Is anyone besides me getting sick and tired of the government telling us the American people are stupid, ignorant (especially those not of the liberal intellectual elitist circle) and we can’t possibly solve our problems (which the government in fact created) without massive infusion of government intervention? How many people in Washington ever worked in private industry? How many have a clue how the free market actually works, Heck, our esteemed President has hardly worked a day in his life for anything, much less for private business! Wasn’t it Mr. Obama’s hero, Abe Lincoln, who declared “You can fool some of the people some of the time, but you can’t fool all of the people all of the time”? So why do they keep trying? And for Obama to decry the lousey state of the economy, day after day, week after week, will lead to a self fulfilling prophecy, not to any solutions to the problem. And he has the audacity to tell the “wall street companies” (which ones?) that they are wrong to give bonuses – not all of them wanted bail-out money, not even all of them needed it. Some were told they had to take it (b/c the gov’t wanted their preferred stock, apparently) Arrrgggghhhhh!
No!!!11!1!!1!1! The Bilderbergers are coming