![]() Keynes (right) with Harry Dexter White |
The volume of Keynesian and neo-Keynesian economic prescriptions churning out of the newspapers and talking heads on TV right now is a something to behold, ain’t it? One shudders at the thought of the despondency that will greet the eventual failure of most of these remedies. We have a very unusual and in a basic sense unstable condition where the economic outlook is grim as grim can be, and yet there is an extraordinary outpouring of vague political hopes, much of the substance of which rests on a dubious foundation of Keynesian assumptions and platitudinous rhetoric.
But even leaving aside the specifics of the Keynesian prescriptions, I think it can be shown that they all participate in an error so fundamental as to undermine whatever merits they might otherwise possess.
In the Financial Times, though surrounded by some useful advice, we find this peculiar statement: “Keynes’s genius – a very English one – was to insist we should approach an economic system not as a morality play but as a technical challenge.” Here, concisely stated, is the error of modern economics, and indeed an aspect of the modern error itself.
Technical challenge drastically underestimates the character of what we face. It underestimates the character of what is called the economic system. It underestimates the nature of man.
It is common enough for modern man to assume that the technical characteristics of a thing amount to the whole. But this is an grave and crippling error.
There is so much more to it than that. The Keynesian may think he has captured “demand” or “consumer confidence” or any other of a thousand elements — captured and bound it neatly to a number in a statistical model. But even he, if pressed, would acknowledge the reality of things like psychology, fear, exuberance, etc — things outside the competence of statistical models, or at least incompletely assayed by models. So there is human psychology, which is not technical.
There is also the spiritual crisis of our age, which is about the farthest thing from technical. The spiritual crisis of modernity — that same streak of madness which shall insure that my generation is one of whom history will remember it invented the school-shooter, a peculiar and depraved innovation in suicide-murder — is quite real, despite the impotence of techincal analysis to explain it. Modernity imagined it could dislodge man from the foundations of his spiritual order and his moral framework, and go on his technical mastery alone, but it was a terrible error. It is an error many centuries in the making. A colossal and ruinous error.
The spiritual nature of man cannot be apprehended by numbers and technique alone. And the spiritual nature of man affects everything about him, even his economic systems.
But our dear Keynesians, like all those crippled by the modern error, have stifled their perception of the spiritual nature of man, on the grounds that it is fundamentally unreal. Man does not kill or steal or defraud, or race off, enraptured, in reckless speculation, because of his spiritual nature! There is no such thing as his spiritual nature. No, no: it’s always the Technicals.
So the school-shooter or the thief or the high-finance charlatan is fundamentally an irresolvable puzzle to modern man. The depravity of man is not a feature of his technical appartus of explanation or analysis. And unless we want to hold the view that the economic crisis is quite unrelated to the spiritual crisis, we must say that the economic crisis will be fundamentally a puzzle to the Keynesian as well. All the technical expertise in the world will not enlighten him.
The causes of this economic crisis lie, at base, in those things this Financial Times writer has dismissed as a “morality play,” and Keynes is commonly thought to have dismissed with his quip we’re all dead in the long run. The causes cannot be spiritual, for if so then they must be fundamentally unreal in his mind. For him it is always a technical question. The great Technicals will save us, in golly good English fashion.
To hell with that premise. It’s part of what got us here in the first place. The modern vision of man as always and ever driven by material factors — the doctrine that matter is all, or that matter is real and mind illusory, or that all mind is the mere epiphenomena of matter — is, as I say, a crippling error.
In truth man is a dualistic creature, matter and spirit, body and soul. In truth there is an objective moral order, conformity to which is a duty of that same man. His spiritual aspect or nature is quite real despite our general inability to quantify it, and sheer techne will never replace the moral arts or the science of theology. A man cannot leverage himself out of theft anymore than a Keynesian can save us by overcoming technical challenge.

Steve Maley
Daniel Horowitz
Jake Walker
Victoria Coates
Aaron Gardner
It's very much a morality problem
kowalski (Diary) Sunday, January 4th at 5:30PM EST (link)These two sentences are almost complete garbage:
The crisis we’re seeing right now ultimately devolves to lending money to people who couldn’t pay it back during a time when everybody was encouraging everyone else to do so, and then taking that debt obligation and wrapping it in an abstraction and selling it as an AAA bond-level investment.
A permanent answer most certainly does exist, and did exist before anyone who was truly a Conservative was systematically purged from the banking system in this country. They knew that you shouldn’t lend money to people who can never pay it back, and you should never encourage people to get in over their heads by taking out second mortgages on their homes to pay for vacations and braces and throwaway luxury items.
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This country knows exactly what
kowalski (Diary) Sunday, January 4th at 5:33PM EST (link)This country knows exactly what caused the problem we’re having right now is, and where it came from.
As I’ve said before, one good way to prevent it from happening again is to start making an example of the people who allowed it to happen by shooting them in public.
Defend Liberty — Join the NRA | Live in Massachusetts? Join GOAL.
to elaborate on your exposition Kowalski
kyle8 (Diary) Sunday, January 4th at 5:55PM EST (link)Sound lending practices, like sound accountancy could have certainly made this present situation a lot better.
However, it would not have stopped a speculative bubble, unfortunately there is nothing short of eliminating the free market that would do away with those.
This is what Marx reacted to. Marx understood that markets are prone to boom and bust cycles. Marx thought that it was better not to have a market at all rather than just to put up with it.
That is why our present so called leaders are intellectual descendants of Marx. They also are doing all they can to do away with the business cycle.
But the cycle is very necessary. Just as you cannot live unless you have times of sleep, you cannot have a market without corrective phases.
“Nothing works like freedom, Nothing succeeds like liberty”
Kyle
555 (nt)
zuiko (Diary) Monday, January 5th at 1:33AM EST (link)Underlying most arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. – Milton Friedman
Yeah !!!
10ksnooker (Diary) Sunday, January 4th at 6:46PM EST (link)The crisis we’re seeing right now ultimately devolves to lending money to people who couldn’t pay it back during a time when everybody was encouraging everyone else to do so, and then taking that debt obligation and wrapping it in an abstraction and selling it as an AAA bond-level investment.
Giving loans to people who were not credit worthy and many who were very likely in the country illegally was not a good idea. Yes I have first hand knowledge of how the lending was done, and to whom. As long as the fees and commissions were paid, no one cared what happened to the eventual crap sandwiches — They just moved them up the food chain.
They way you put it, it really struck me...
bk (Diary) Monday, January 5th at 4:40AM EST (link)Isn’t the Madoff fraud an exact parallel to the mortgage fiasco? Take something you know is unsustainable for the long run, make it look good for the short term, and pat yourself on the back.
And..let's not forget a Man's pursuit of Women...
speciallist (Diary) Sunday, January 4th at 5:52PM EST (link)that makes for poor decisions…..lol
If it weren't for pretty women, fast cars/boats, and old whiskey,
Achance (Diary) Sunday, January 4th at 6:11PM EST (link)I wouldn’t have to work at all!
In Vino Veritas
5's
speciallist (Diary) Sunday, January 4th at 6:19PM EST (link)lol
I have found it actually a lot less hassle
kyle8 (Diary) Sunday, January 4th at 6:23PM EST (link)to go with slow boats, old women, and cheap whiskey.
“Nothing works like freedom, Nothing succeeds like liberty”
Kyle
I'm making that transition, kyle8.
Achance (Diary) Sunday, January 4th at 8:18PM EST (link)Still got the fast boat since I don’t want to give it away and you couldn’t sell one these days if your life depended on it. The pretty women are a thing of the past other than the one I’m married to. And I’ve given up whiskey – most of the time. And I STILL can’t afford myself!
In Vino Veritas
Are you presuming that the self-professed Finance gurus of MSM are accurately describing the theories of Keynes?
Rod_Patrick (Diary) Sunday, January 4th at 7:32PM EST (link)If my memory serves me right, many self-proclaimed Finance experts after WW2 attempted to muddle Keynes’ works to fit their own agenda. Such effort gave birth to the so-called “Post-Keynesian” Theory of Finance.
Somewhat contrary to the MSM’s misrepresentation of Keynesian principles/theories is the following statement from Keynes himself:
“When the capital development of the a country becomes a by-product of the activities of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done.”
In addition, Keynes clearly specified the importance of the so-called “fundamental theory of value” that the market supply-demand interactions should be fully linked with. The “present” market must fully incorporate what we really value based on the “changing views of the future” (i.e., expectations).
These “moral” elements of Keynes’ works are generally ignored by the self-proclaimed experts.
My main points are the following:
1. I find the MSM and liberals’ characterization of Keynes to be “highly flawed” and self-serving. I don’t want to be a part of such shadow effort in maligning a great thinker like Keynes,.
2. MSM and Liberals’ theories are always “skewed” and adulterated. For example, the sham “Poverty Economics” as a branch of social science has been established through the incessant brainwashing by the MSM and the “liberal” sector of the academe.
My Conclusion;
NEVER LISTEN TO MSM AND LIBERALS ESPECIALLY WITH REGARDS TO THE MATTERS OF SCIENCE, POLITICS, RELIGION, AND MORALITY.
No doubt
Paul Cella (Diary) Sunday, January 4th at 7:52PM EST (link)I don’t doubt that Keynes’s followers have adulterated his thinking. I do find it high doubtful that they have adulterated his thinking on this question of modern reductionism.
And the Lord upon the Golden Horn is laughing in the sun.
The Right needs anti-Keynesiam economics...
Jim Sunday, January 4th at 10:28PM EST (link)This over-emphasis on the technical is typical of most mainstream economists these days. It is all about reducing human beings and their actions to mere formulas.
This is why I am an adherent to Austrian free-market economics (arch-rivals of the Keynesians), as championed by the likes of Ludwig von Mises, Carl Menger, and Murray Rothbard. This school of though starts with the basic idea that “human’s act” and go from there. It is not convoluted modeling and dry formulas, but an examination of how human beings act and react to the world.
The work of the Ludwig von Mises Institute has been great is destroying the work of Lord Keynes.
“If we wish to preserve a free society, it is essential that we recognize that the desirability of a particular object is not sufficient justification for the use of coercion.”
F.A. Hayek
“Laws are no longer made by a rational process of public discussion; they are made by a process of blackmail and intimidation, and they are executed in the same manner. The typical lawmaker of today is a man wholly devoid of principle — a mere counter in a grotesque and knavish game. If the right pressure could be applied to him, he would be cheerfully in favor of polygamy, astrology or cannibalism.”
H.L. Mencken
Infantilism
Robert A. Hahn (Diary) Monday, January 5th at 1:25AM EST (link)Fortunately for me, I am now old enough to have forgotten all the economics I once studied. This allows me to hear what the media is telling us about the economy without even thinking about Keynes.
What I hear is infantilism, not Keynesian economics (misrepresented or otherwise). The prescriptions we’re hearing for the economy have a childishly naive quality about them… an apparent belief that “leaders” know how to “fix” the economy. And that once they do, there will be rainbows and singing birds.
To my mind it most closely approximates the faith that children have that their parents can make anything bad go away. For most of 2008, the media was looking for (and tried to sell us) the Daddy who would give us back our allowances, after the mean BushMonster took them away.
After all, to hear the media tell it, as soon as Obama is sworn in he will push the secret magic button that will make the rainbows come out and the birds sing. Bush does not do this now because he is a Republican and he wants us to suffer.
Missing from all this is the frightening (but adult) knowledge that there exist systems that are so complex that no one, anywhere, knows how to “treat them as a technical challenge” without making things even worse.
It is extremely disturbing to realize that no one is going to “fix the economy” because no one knows how to fix an economy; it is beyond human capability to do such a thing. Children cannot abide this idea. There must be, somewhere, a Mommy or a Daddy who can make the bad recession go away.
I don’t hear ‘Keynesian’ prescriptions so much as I hear one group of children trying to reassure other children that Daddy is coming and will make the owie go away.
Drink Good Coffee. You can sleep when you’re dead.
5*5*5 nt
Rod_Patrick (Diary) Monday, January 5th at 3:53AM EST (link)Douglas Adams said it best
qlangley (Diary) Monday, January 5th at 5:44AM EST (link). . . as always.
After the heroes of HHGG steal a completely black space ship (“when you press this button, labelled in black on a black background, a little black light lights up black to tell you that you’ve done it”) they are completely unable to control it. It veers around so violently that Arthur Dent approaches the point of nausea (“go right ahead, we could do with the colour in here”).
Finally – and recall this is a radio series, so we are dependent on dialogue to communicate what is happening – someone yells out “Ahh, that’s better. Have you finally mastered the controls” to get the response “no, we’ve just stopped fiddling with them”.
This seems like a wonderful analogy for politicians running the economy.
1. It doesn’t belong to them. They stole it.
2. They don’t understand it.
3. They are making everyone sick.
4. It would be better if they just left everything alone.
Quentin Langley
Editor of http://www.quentinlangley.net