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	<title>Comments on: Fox News meets the Swingometer</title>
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	<link>http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/2010/07/30/fox-news-meets-the-swingometer/</link>
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		<title>By: congressworksforus</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/2010/07/30/fox-news-meets-the-swingometer/comment-page-1/#comment-9214</link>
		<dc:creator>congressworksforus</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 23:17:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/?p=1394#comment-9214</guid>
		<description>This was my projection 2 months ago and I stick by it.

But don&#039;t celebrate too much; I think the Republicans will lose far more &quot;safe&quot; seats than anyone is paying attention too.

Folks like me have had it with both parties.  A pox on both their houses.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This was my projection 2 months ago and I stick by it.</p>
<p>But don&#8217;t celebrate too much; I think the Republicans will lose far more &#8220;safe&#8221; seats than anyone is paying attention too.</p>
<p>Folks like me have had it with both parties.  A pox on both their houses.</p>
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		<title>By: throwback59</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/2010/07/30/fox-news-meets-the-swingometer/comment-page-1/#comment-9210</link>
		<dc:creator>throwback59</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 20:50:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/?p=1394#comment-9210</guid>
		<description>happen if a Republican, even a black one such as Michael Steele, had called African Americans &quot;a mongrel people.&quot;
Actually, I don&#039;t have to wonder, I know exactly what would happen.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>happen if a Republican, even a black one such as Michael Steele, had called African Americans &#8220;a mongrel people.&#8221;<br />
Actually, I don&#8217;t have to wonder, I know exactly what would happen.</p>
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		<title>By: tngal</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/2010/07/30/fox-news-meets-the-swingometer/comment-page-1/#comment-9206</link>
		<dc:creator>tngal</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 20:27:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/?p=1394#comment-9206</guid>
		<description>Absolutely, kchand!.  Don&#039;t recycle them, just take out the trash.  

( as bumper stickers go,its catchy. Pelosi actually looks like she&#039;s been recycled one too many times)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Absolutely, kchand!.  Don&#8217;t recycle them, just take out the trash.  </p>
<p>( as bumper stickers go,its catchy. Pelosi actually looks like she&#8217;s been recycled one too many times)</p>
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		<title>By: gemimail</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/2010/07/30/fox-news-meets-the-swingometer/comment-page-1/#comment-9204</link>
		<dc:creator>gemimail</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 20:04:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/?p=1394#comment-9204</guid>
		<description>There is a list of them here: http://www.marstonchronicles.info/index.php?option=com_content&amp;task=view&amp;id=468&amp;Itemid=1311.  I notice that the same site ties the results of the generic congressional votes using likely voter samples to not only how many seats the Republicans will gain but which ones.  See: http://www.marstonchronicles.info/index.php?option=com_content&amp;task=view&amp;id=496&amp;Itemid=1347.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There is a list of them here: http://www.marstonchronicles.info/index.php?option=com_content&amp;task=view&amp;id=468&amp;Itemid=1311.  I notice that the same site ties the results of the generic congressional votes using likely voter samples to not only how many seats the Republicans will gain but which ones.  See: http://www.marstonchronicles.info/index.php?option=com_content&amp;task=view&amp;id=496&amp;Itemid=1347.</p>
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		<title>By: californiasam</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/2010/07/30/fox-news-meets-the-swingometer/comment-page-1/#comment-9202</link>
		<dc:creator>californiasam</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 19:11:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/?p=1394#comment-9202</guid>
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		<title>By: kchand</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/2010/07/30/fox-news-meets-the-swingometer/comment-page-1/#comment-9201</link>
		<dc:creator>kchand</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 18:22:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/?p=1394#comment-9201</guid>
		<description>November 2, 2010 is national Take-Out-The-Trash day.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>November 2, 2010 is national Take-Out-The-Trash day.</p>
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		<title>By: rdelbov</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/2010/07/30/fox-news-meets-the-swingometer/comment-page-1/#comment-9199</link>
		<dc:creator>rdelbov</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 17:13:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/?p=1394#comment-9199</guid>
		<description>compare -in my opinion-these generic numbers to actual districts is to look at a poll in specific district.  Erick did a post on WI3.  This  was a  58-41 Obama district and that means +5% over his national numbers.  

Yet the re-elect Ron Kind numbers stink plus the generic GOP numbers are good.  

So if nationally its +11R on the generic ballot and that nearly matches the numbers in a strong Obama district (58%) then the doom scenerio seems accurate.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>compare -in my opinion-these generic numbers to actual districts is to look at a poll in specific district.  Erick did a post on WI3.  This  was a  58-41 Obama district and that means +5% over his national numbers.  </p>
<p>Yet the re-elect Ron Kind numbers stink plus the generic GOP numbers are good.  </p>
<p>So if nationally its +11R on the generic ballot and that nearly matches the numbers in a strong Obama district (58%) then the doom scenerio seems accurate.</p>
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		<title>By: Repair_Man_Jack</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/2010/07/30/fox-news-meets-the-swingometer/comment-page-1/#comment-9198</link>
		<dc:creator>Repair_Man_Jack</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 16:47:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/?p=1394#comment-9198</guid>
		<description>It&#039;s a low down, dirty shame.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s a low down, dirty shame.</p>
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		<title>By: Scope</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/2010/07/30/fox-news-meets-the-swingometer/comment-page-1/#comment-9197</link>
		<dc:creator>Scope</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 16:47:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/?p=1394#comment-9197</guid>
		<description>and worse and worse for the Communists.

Yes, it will be interesting to see where the polls go after the O&#039;s mongrel comment yesterday.  I really had no desire to even hear anything about the creeps visit to the beeitches on couch potato daytime TV yesterday, however, that did make my ears perk up.  That won&#039;t go over well with as they like to say &quot;his people.&quot;  He&#039;s the pres, and he&#039;s black, but, all those lessers are just mongrels.

I&#039;ve been watching RCP polls each day for a good while.  In their averaging, they always had more polls of just adults, thank Likely or Registered voters.  That seemed to keep his approval number higher.  One day he was down maybe .5%, the next day he was up again.  For this past week, his disapprovals have overtaken his approvals by the wides margin ever- A-45.8, D-49.3= -3.5, which is still using a majority of polls of just adults.  For me, there is a psychology about the number 50.  It&#039;s almost there, thankfully.

Another interesting average poll there is the approval/disapproval of Congress.  They don&#039;t poll for that as often, but, it finally hit the magic 51% disapproval number.

RCP has also had the R&#039;s polling just slightly higher than the Dems, by a mere tenths of a percent.  They now have the R&#039;s ahead by 3.5%.

This is all really great news.  Now, it is up to the R&#039;s to keep that dial running to the right, all the way up to November 2010.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>and worse and worse for the Communists.</p>
<p>Yes, it will be interesting to see where the polls go after the O&#8217;s mongrel comment yesterday.  I really had no desire to even hear anything about the creeps visit to the beeitches on couch potato daytime TV yesterday, however, that did make my ears perk up.  That won&#8217;t go over well with as they like to say &#8220;his people.&#8221;  He&#8217;s the pres, and he&#8217;s black, but, all those lessers are just mongrels.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve been watching RCP polls each day for a good while.  In their averaging, they always had more polls of just adults, thank Likely or Registered voters.  That seemed to keep his approval number higher.  One day he was down maybe .5%, the next day he was up again.  For this past week, his disapprovals have overtaken his approvals by the wides margin ever- A-45.8, D-49.3= -3.5, which is still using a majority of polls of just adults.  For me, there is a psychology about the number 50.  It&#8217;s almost there, thankfully.</p>
<p>Another interesting average poll there is the approval/disapproval of Congress.  They don&#8217;t poll for that as often, but, it finally hit the magic 51% disapproval number.</p>
<p>RCP has also had the R&#8217;s polling just slightly higher than the Dems, by a mere tenths of a percent.  They now have the R&#8217;s ahead by 3.5%.</p>
<p>This is all really great news.  Now, it is up to the R&#8217;s to keep that dial running to the right, all the way up to November 2010.</p>
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		<title>By: Neil Stevens</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/2010/07/30/fox-news-meets-the-swingometer/comment-page-1/#comment-9196</link>
		<dc:creator>Neil Stevens</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 16:41:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/?p=1394#comment-9196</guid>
		<description>The Margins of Error blow up for subsamples of a poll like this.

The data would be mostly useless.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Margins of Error blow up for subsamples of a poll like this.</p>
<p>The data would be mostly useless.</p>
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		<title>By: Neil Stevens</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/2010/07/30/fox-news-meets-the-swingometer/comment-page-1/#comment-9195</link>
		<dc:creator>Neil Stevens</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 16:40:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/?p=1394#comment-9195</guid>
		<description>I don&#039;t really pay attention to him.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I don&#8217;t really pay attention to him.</p>
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		<title>By: romeg</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/2010/07/30/fox-news-meets-the-swingometer/comment-page-1/#comment-9194</link>
		<dc:creator>romeg</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 16:38:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/?p=1394#comment-9194</guid>
		<description>Karl Rove&#039;s prognostications?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Karl Rove&#8217;s prognostications?</p>
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		<title>By: stilhdr</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/2010/07/30/fox-news-meets-the-swingometer/comment-page-1/#comment-9193</link>
		<dc:creator>stilhdr</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 16:33:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/?p=1394#comment-9193</guid>
		<description>More information on this would be great to see.  I would be interested to see how states and districts break-down.  Personally, opinion polls make me nervous, would really like to see more concrete evidence, also to make this better for races to see where changes might be made.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>More information on this would be great to see.  I would be interested to see how states and districts break-down.  Personally, opinion polls make me nervous, would really like to see more concrete evidence, also to make this better for races to see where changes might be made.</p>
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		<title>By: bobojake</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/2010/07/30/fox-news-meets-the-swingometer/comment-page-1/#comment-9191</link>
		<dc:creator>bobojake</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 30 Jul 2010 16:15:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/neil_stevens/?p=1394#comment-9191</guid>
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