One point I initially missed in my previous article on the California Senate race (Cross-posted to RedState), and only later pointed out on Twitter, was that the Democrats should be scared to death about the current polling of Babs Boxer versus the Republicans. Our worst result against her right now gives us a one in four chance to win.
One in four sounds poor, but this is California. Since Pete Wilson retired from the Senate to become Governor, we’ve failed to win a Senate race. We lost two in 92 (Boxer over Herschensohn, Feinstein over Seymour), 94 (Feinstein over Huffington), 98 (Boxer over [Fong, that'll each me for using Wikipedia one lazy evening]), 2000 (Feinstein over Campbell), 04 (Boxer over Jones), and 06 (Feinstein over Mountjoy) for a record of 0 wins and 8 losses since then. The fact that all three of our candidates are polling at least that well against Boxer, with her polling under 50 against anyone (she’d probably graze 50 against me on a good day), should have Democrats panicked that this will be Coakley v. Brown revisited.
It turns out I was right and they are scared. The national left is rushing out here to raise her some money, including the DNC and President Obama himself in April, this after Al Gore helped this month.
Barbara Boxer’s political future is in jeopardy. It’s time Republicans across the country tune in, because the Democrats already started.
Moe Lane
Steve Maley
KnightsofMalta
Dan Spencer
Dan McLaughlin
Boxer
proudgop (Diary) Wednesday, March 17th at 10:04PM EST (link)I loathe Boxer with such a passion if we can take down that witch finally it might be biggest thing on election night. She won’t go down without one of the nastiest scorch earth policies although
Today was filling day a bit OT but did anyone run against Cardozza or Costa?
DeVore's polling is still anemic at 9% and he needs to do some hard thinking
red_oakster (Diary) Thursday, March 18th at 11:51AM EST (link)I’ve been waiting for DeVore’s breakout, but it isn’t happening. The latest poll has him at 9%, way behind Campbell and Fiorina.
If DeVore doesn’t show meaningful improvement within 30 days, he should get out of the race, lest he become a spoiler and hand the primary to RINO Tom Campbell. Fiorina is far less than ideal, but she could beat Boxer. And that would be a tremendous improvement.
If I could choose the nominee, it would be DeVore, but it is time to recognize that the DeVore campaign is looking more and more like a hopeless situation. He really ought to start thinking about doing the right thing and stopping Campbell from becoming the nominee.
Actually, No - This Seems To Indicate Some Movement in DeVore's Direction
IJB Thursday, March 18th at 12:30PM EST (link)He was at 6% before, so there seems to be some movement in this direction.
And neither Campbell or Fiorina is cracking 30% yet, with lots of undecideds.
This primary is hardly over at this point.
I said 30 days more
red_oakster (Diary) Thursday, March 18th at 3:34PM EST (link)If Devore can get into contention in the nest month, then let him stay in. But to claim that going from 6 to 9% is meaningful progress is a bit much. The three recent polls on real clear politics going back to mid-January are 8,7, and now 9%.
My point is simply that if DeVore can’t get moving by mid-April, he should get out. Otherwise he’s a potential spoiler.
I guess Obama's not worried then
Raven (Diary) Wednesday, March 17th at 10:15PM EST (link)After all, he personally went out and tied the Obama Stone around her neck. Here’s hoping he’s miscalculated again…
“If you do not have a sword, sell your cloak and buy one.”
Luke 22:36
Encouraging
Tom_Holsinger Wednesday, March 17th at 10:21PM EST (link)This is very encouraging given that the SF Chronicle reported today that Meg Whitman is tied with Jerry Brown.
Correction
californiabarrister (Diary) Wednesday, March 17th at 10:32PM EST (link)Boxer beat State Treasurer Matt Fong in ’98, the year Lungren drug the whole ticket and state party finances down the toilet.
Oops
Neil Stevens (Diary) Thursday, March 18th at 4:32AM EST (link)That’ll teach me for using Wikipedia one lazy evening.
RS contributing editor, technical administrator, and “a hardy variety of crabgrass.”
Read the RedState Posting Rules
Unlikely Voter: Poll Analysis, Election Projection.
“I rejoice that America has resisted.” – William Pitt, the Elder
Chuck DeVore is the one
allergic2libspin Wednesday, March 17th at 11:48PM EST (link)to take Barbara Boxer down!
It’s time we send a principled, intelligent, well rounded conservative who is a strong defender of the Constitution. His resume is very impressive. Military, private sector experience and public service experience as a California Assemblyman. He’s exactly what California needs.
Please support Chuck!
https://chuckdevore.com/donate/?ref=6beccm
I agree
debbieh Thursday, March 18th at 12:44AM EST (link)I think this is one race we should fight the good fight. Boxer is toxic and CA is as ready as it will ever be to turn things around. Bring on 0 and Gore.
Consider this my official return to Red State
Kudzu (Diary) Thursday, March 18th at 1:22AM EST (link)Finally logged back on and saw this. Lets hope California is set to be swept up at least by half… I donated two months worth of combat pay to Devore’s campaign and I can only pray it helps. Boxer needs to go for no other reason than her shear arrogance that she showed towards Generals in the US Army
It always did take two of you to take down one of me. – Jo Bob Priddy, North Dallas Forty.
Now on at http://kudzu630.wordpress.com/
I hope Obama campaigns
eastbaylarry (Diary) Thursday, March 18th at 12:59PM EST (link)for every democrat in the state from dog catcher on up.
Obamas’ endorsment has turned toxic for democrats, so the more the better!
2+2=4 dammit!
Attrition and addition
factapple (Diary) Friday, March 19th at 1:06PM EST (link)The Dems and cleverly planned a 5 to 10% demographic change in Republica districts. They are using attrition (health care, global warming) and addition (illegal immigration) to affect their twisted dream of social justice.