I read an article by Malcolm Gladwell, “How David Beats Goliath: When Underdogs Break the Rules,” some months ago and have been thinking about it ever since. In it, Gladwell highlights an analysis of when Davids took on Goliaths in history. The Goliaths, the ones ten-times stronger in the fight, won the encounters over 70% of the time. But in instances when the Davids broke the rules and stuck to a strategy that played to their strengths, the Davids’ win percentage rose to almost 64%. In other words, the Davids won when they chose not to play by the assumed rules of engagement. Something about this just clicked with me, and I believe it might lead to a new strategy for conservatives.
The key anecdote for me in Gladwell’s article involved Doug Lenat, the developer of an artificial-intelligence program that he called Eurisko to compete in a war game tournament. Essentially Lenat fed the rules of the tournament to Eurisko, which allowed a gamer to spend $1 trillion on a naval force. The program learned the rules and then spent hours upon hours coming up with a strategy to defeat all the other contestants. “Most teams fielded some version of a traditional naval fleet—an array of ships of various sizes, each well defended against enemy attack.” Gladwell writes. “Eurisko thought differently. ‘The program came up with a strategy of spending the trillion on an astronomical number of small ships like P.T. boats, with powerful weapons but absolutely no defense and no mobility,’ Lenat said. ‘They just sat there. Basically, if they were hit once they would sink. And what happened is that the enemy would take its shots, and every one of those shots would sink our ships. But it didn’t matter, because we had so many.’” Lenat won the tournament in a runaway as his P.T. boats swarmed the opposing battleships. He entered the tournament the next year, won again … and was essentially asked not to compete in future tournaments.
So what’s my point? We are confronted by ever-expanding government in DC, and the massive unions are not going anywhere. Yet the current strategy with many conservatives is seemingly to become a mirror image of that which they are supposed to be combating. The conservative movement has been playing by Goliath’s rules for too long. It’s time conservatives built a flexible, nimble American Armada of P.T. boats to beat the Left, but not at its own game.
I’ve always wondered why if we don’t believe Washington has the answers, why do so many conservative groups decide to come to DC? I’m proposing that the conservative movement change its strategy from DC-centric to more state-based: most conservatives would agree with federalism, yet at times our behavior says just the opposite.
I think in many ways we’ve been trying to create our own battleships in DC to combat the Left’s battleships, and if we continue to do so, we will never win. Many would say that the Heritage Foundation is the largest DC-based conservative battleship, with an annual budget of probably $60-70 million. But to put it into perspective, the National Education Association’s annual budget is $307 million. SEIU’s is $300 million. AFL-CIO’s is $120 million plus. I could continue on laying out the annual budgets of left-leaning groups, but I think you get the point.
We are faced with a massive Leviathan of government, surrounded by a fleet of allied battleships, and we’re going to try and compete with this? We’re going to try and play by their rules? If we play by Goliath’s rule, we’ll never win. All we’ll be doing is fighting rearguard action against the inevitability of statism.
It is time to challenge the way things are done: the Davids only win if they don’t play by Goliath’s rules. They only win, as Gladwell points out, if they do what might be considered socially horrifying at the onset. So what is the new David approach? It’s the 1,000 new light and agile P.T. boats. Let me highlight a few examples of what I believe to be the winning strategy for conservatives.
Most of you have never heard of Wendy Day in Michigan, but Wendy has launched a 501c3 and 501c4 on what many would consider shoe string budgets. For pennies on the dollar, with projects like Make Lansing Listen, she has begun to wreak havoc in their state. State legislators on both sides of the aisle know who she is now. Recently, she shone the light on SB 731, which would have given $4 million in taxpayer dollars to SEIU, not only spreading the word about the bill, but demanding to know what the real reason was for handing over the money to an ally of ACORN’s. Her message is one of honesty and integrity: you promised the voters you would vote one way and yet now that you are in Lansing, your votes reflect an ideology diametrically opposed to that of your constituents.
Michael Quinn Sullivan of Empower Texans, which he runs with the help of one staffer, has brought about significant changes in Texas politics. In 2007, he targeted a Republican lawmaker who was constantly thwarting tax reform and spending restraint. He did mail, phone calls and targeted appearances in the district during the summer. The lawmaker’s response was to mostly ignore the clamor from his constituency, then go to his local party chair and say in essence: “I’ve had enough of Sullivan and his guys talking about my record, so I’m getting out.” He was replaced in the next election by one of Empower Texans’ “taxpayer advocates.” Last year, Sullivan did auto-dial calls into two legislators’ districts to inform constituents of their elected officials’ real voting record. The two officials complained to a reporter that Empower Texans was “behind” mean auto-dials. The reporter called Sullivan, heard the audio and he laughed the whole thing off. But what Sullivan did was provide greater accountability for those officials by informing their constituents of what was actually taking place in Austin.
And then there is the Franklin Center for Government and Public Integrity, with a budget that is a fraction of most conservative organizations, and its forty-plus investigative reporters. It is these very reporters who break stories like last fall’s phantom Congressional districts. American Majority, (which, for full disclosure, is the group I founded and run) with just under 20 staff, did 151 activist and candidate trainings in 26 states last year, training just under 5,000 people, 510 of which were candidates running for state and local office. Just the other month, 71 American Majority alumni filed to run for office in Arkansas, from school board to state senate. In February, 19 of the 25 candidates identified and trained by American Majority won school board races in Oklahoma. While not massive numbers, the model works. I’m pretty sure next year or the next we’ll be saying, “Of the 200 some school board candidates in Oklahoma, 150 plus won.”
What’s my point here? Two things: these are relatively small groups, with very, very low overhead. I joked about this before, but it’s true: American Majority’s entire annual budget in 2009 was less than the Republican National Committee’s 2009 airfare budget. Second, all of the groups mentioned above are focused very much on the idea that not only is all politics local, but all accountability is local.
The problems we face in DC are not going to be fixed by camping in DC and growing our mini-versions of the government aircraft carrier or the Left’s battleships. It’s going to be about creating our American Armada of 1,000 P.T. boat organizations, highly mobile, hard-hitting, able to adapt quickly and hit fast. Only when we shift our paradigm are we going to be able to win.
Steve Maley
KnightsofMalta
Brilliant Thinking!
TFS Monday, April 12th at 10:49AM EST (link)I think that you’re absolutely right. But how do we get this strategy started and implemented? Perhaps you are starting it by spreading the word so that it will encourage more of us to make a difference at the local level.
I didn’t know anything about Wendy Day in Michigan, Empower Texans or the Franklin Center. These stories are inspiring and do provide a great example of what us “Davids” can do to help save the country. I’m going to get the Malcolm Gladwell article, read it, and think about what I can do. Thank you!
The Tea Party people already exist
leehazel Wednesday, April 14th at 1:11AM EST (link)The Tea Party people are precisely the ones needed to fill the ranks of a 50 State level organizations. They already exist and have shown a proclivity for “getting involved” These are the kind of people to do the kind of work necessary to sustain and grow a “grassroots” organization with “teeth”
Running back and forth across the country in RVs can’t last forever. These people are going to return home and then ???
What you are proposing here is exactly what is needed to utilize a ready made “army” already spread completely into every nook and cranny of the United States.
PC is Thought Control
Grassroots are the key.
ceili_dancer (Diary) Monday, April 12th at 10:54AM EST (link)If you can get the grassroots onboard and motivated it makes for an easier victory. During the ’04 campaign with local folks going around knocking on doors for Bush and other Republicans, can be compared to Democrats bussing in whomever to do the same, made a huge difference for voters. When you see a neighbor campaigning for someone and a stranger campaigning for the other person the odds have increased for victory. During ’06 and ’08 the grassroots were suppressed by circumstances and candidates they could not really get behind.
On another note keeping it small and nimble makes it harder to attack and counter. Using a warfare scenario, a well organized and motivated small force iof people will always defeat larger non-motivated (read true astroturfs like the SEIU) forces. Look at the tea parties and see how the national press has conniptions over them.
Keep it local and win nationally.
Absolutely!
redneck_hippie (Diary) Monday, April 12th at 11:14AM EST (link)Our American resistance must be an all of the above strategy. The large organizations are in place to keep the dream alive, but we urgently need the uncoordinated smaller groups. Heritage et al weren’t made to have eyes in every cave and cesspool of the left. It takes the 1,000 PT boats so we can stop playing whack-a-mole and instead surround them.
Redneck, what do you think about RedState members being.....
penguin2 (Diary) Monday, April 12th at 12:34PM EST (link)organized in each state? It seems to me a site like RS and members of other conservative groups within each state, could pull together and help to create this fleet of smaller, faster combat vehicles.
One thing I’ve noticed as I’ve become involved in my local GOP organizations is a sort of the same old thing and and no longer successful methods. I know we are trying to get conservatives in to positions to take over the party, but local politics doesn’t yield that quickly.
I think that is why the Tea Party folks seem to be carrying some of the passion, because the establishment doesn’t quite have a place for the fire in the belly types. The next couple of years are going to require significant passion and effort to stop not only the Left’s takeover of our country, but unseating the incumbents of our own party that contributed to this disaster.
Resistance to tyrants is obedience to God. – Benjamin Franklin
When Good stands up to Evil, Evil blinks. – Vassar Bushmills
Conservative Education: Suggested Reading List
Activists Taking Action: Unified Patriots
I know what
redneck_hippie (Diary) Monday, April 12th at 8:43PM EST (link)CW would say about that. I’ve also thought I ought to volunteer for a candidate that is outside my congressional district who will have a tough fight, like the county where I work (suburban Cook County). After all if our employer pays taxes in a congressional district, then we should be concerned about damage control there, too.
An important post
Viator Monday, April 12th at 12:43PM EST (link)1) Republicans go to Washington or a state capitol because, to paraphrase Willy Sutton, that is were the money is. Does anybody remember the K Street Project? How about the junior GOP staffer in Florida who ran up $1.3 million on her credit card? Or Joe Bruno the GOP ex NY Senate Majority Leader? I think it is very important for Republicans to differentiate themselves favorably from Dem corruption. They have some work to do.
2) It reminds me of “Think Globally, Act Locally” which our lefty friends have been using for years to good effect. They have burrowed into a variety of American institutions (from their eyes)
effectively. They will have to be rooted out.
3) Does it have to be either/or? Local or national?
4) Corrupt power grabs depend on ignorance, timidity and laziness. Recent developments: resistance, communication, education about issues, morale, audacity make me very hopeful but we have one heck a fight on our hands. We need widespread, ongoing discussions and education about strategy and tactics.
Coordinated Effort
kipling (Diary) Monday, April 12th at 12:44PM EST (link)I agree completely.
The only point I would add is that each of these organizations, and the new ones which will soon appear, must network with one another and coordinate their efforts. We must all lay ego aside and strive against the enemy. We must be like Lord Nelson’s fleet at Trafalgar and every “American” must do his duty.
Special thanks to the author and Red State for highlighting these efforts. I hope to read of more in the future.
The individual groups can also learn from each other.
zollistar (Diary) Monday, April 12th at 1:46PM EST (link)Smart businesses trade what-works information in their diverse business units. Franchisers do too.
An idea that works well in one area is sometimes gangbusters in another. OR with a tweak, can be gangbusters where it was originally “invented” — someone else elsewhere offering the “tweak” idea.
We don't need to reinvent the wheel!!
From ME to You (Diary) Monday, April 12th at 4:56PM EST (link)The organizations mentioned above have proven methods! They should put together some materials to help out organizers in other states!
Brilliant -nt
E Pluribus Unum (Diary) Monday, April 12th at 1:25PM EST (link)Kill the Terrorists
Protect the Borders
Punch the Hippies h/t IMAO
Very interesting!
Ann_W (Diary) Monday, April 12th at 1:40PM EST (link)Malcolm Gladwell’s book “The Tipping Point” is also very good and has implications for those interested in politics. Word of mouth is much more valuable than advertisement. You learn about the stickiness of the message, etc. Definitely worth the time to read.
“One of the great mistakes is to judge policies and programs by their intentions rather than their results.”
— Milton Friedman
The War on Poverty– forty-six years and counting!
re: stimulus comparison
livefreenh Tuesday, April 13th at 6:44AM EST (link)On a side note, regarding your metaphor about Govt. stimulus, don’t forget that now there is a bureaucrat somewhere who may make that very medical decision for you, and you are required, by law, to have that transfusion from your left arm to your right arm, and insurance MUST cover the costs of reclaiming the spilled blood to avoid contamination of ground water and……
Really good points, sorry didn't see 'til now. nt
Ann_W (Diary) Wednesday, April 21st at 1:30PM EST (link)“One of the great mistakes is to judge policies and programs by their intentions rather than their results.”
— Milton Friedman
The War on Poverty– forty-six years and counting!
This is another version of the Principle of Subsidiarty
zollistar (Diary) Monday, April 12th at 1:48PM EST (link)And because this idea is a version of the principle, it has the power to be very, very effective.
Here’s an interesting article on the subject:
http://www.acton.org/publications/randl/rl_article_200.php
100% agreement here..
jenniferjmilleresq Monday, April 12th at 2:33PM EST (link)D.C. is toxic and with the internet and communications the way they are, who needs it. Start with the precincts and work our way up.
And the best way to start with the precincts is to...
mriggio (Diary) Monday, April 12th at 3:38PM EST (link)become a Precinct Committeeman! Hello ColdWarrior! Recruit, recruit, and then recruit some more! BTW, I’ll be at the American Majority training in Indianapolis at the end of the month. Thanks for the post and the strategy!
mriggio
SMSgt, USAF (Ret)
Precinct Committeeman (R)
Tazewell County, Illinois
Save the
CheerleaderParty, save the World! (Heroes, ed.)I knew there was a reason I liked you!!
From ME to You (Diary) Monday, April 12th at 5:48PM EST (link)gneault aka From ME to you
MSgt, USAF (Ret)
Netwar applied to politcs
toadold Monday, April 12th at 3:48PM EST (link)http://www.wikio.co.uk/video/rules-war-hanson-arquilla-3059997
The “leadership” of the Republican party doesn’t seem to get this. They still don’t realize the value of Bloggers and alternative media. The ground is being washed away under their feet.
The good news is the Left doesn’t get it either. They have done their Gramscian long march into the nodes of power just at the time those nodes are becoming target rich enviroments. They are getting frustrated trying to find big visible leaders of the political netwar organizations to demonize.with their increasingly impotent Main Stream Media operatives.
Toadold:
superamerican (Diary) Tuesday, April 13th at 11:21AM EST (link)We have no choice but to support the Republican Party and to make it better than it has been. Give it a backbone. (B-A-C-K-B-O-N-E.) And the tools to take back our governments, our freedom to make our own decisions. Get to work I am.
Superamerican
(http://www.periodictablet.com)
We'd better get on it.
Flagstaff (Diary) Monday, April 12th at 11:02PM EST (link)The Democrats are already doing it.
“The press is so powerful in its image-making role that it can make a criminal look like he’s the victim and make the victim look like he’s the criminal. If you aren’t careful, the newspapers will have you hating the people who are being oppressed and loving the people who are doing the oppressing.”– Malcolm X, Audubon Ballroom, December 13, 1964
I agree
livefreenh Tuesday, April 13th at 6:39AM EST (link)This fundamentally is the problem. The Left continues to state the rules of engagement, yet faults us when we do not comply. We never gave them the authority to make those decisions for us (read that again please). They tell us we need better healthcare, and then act surprised when we complain about the bill passing. Our only mistake is that we accepted their evaluation of the current condition of things. Progressives think that we need “progress” when in fact, things are just fine the way they are. Things are not perfect, and we readily admit that nothing man-made is perfect, but this does not meet THEIR standard and then they require US to change. And then they later say that we are never happy.
It Still Takes Work
edintexas Tuesday, April 13th at 7:39AM EST (link)These organizations are great, but don’t expect miracles without a lot of work. Empower Texans supported my (soon to be ex) State Representative Betty Brown, She lost the primary to someone who claims to be Conservative (or maybe just conservative). We’ll have to see how he works out since he has no legislative record and allegedly moved to the district to run. In one area we lost an NRA A+ rated legislator (based on voting record) and replaced her with an NRA A rated candidate (based on question response).
Distributeed Decision-Making
superamerican (Diary) Tuesday, April 13th at 11:17AM EST (link)The major difference between Democrat/Liberal and Republican/conservative is that we conservatives believe in the people. Distributed decision-making by millions of voters, consumers, investors, innovators, entrepreneurs. Liberals believe in centralized power and decision-making by the very few, they do not trust the “MIFs” (Masses of Ignorant Fools).
The Left is taking free decision-making from us. Rules, regulations and laws about our healthcare, education, commerce, what to eat, what to wear, what toys our kids play with, the cars we drive, all eliminate choices and distributed decision-making in favor of the few.
The Tea Parties are taking back decision making to each individual, who, after all can make better decisions for her- or himself than some president in Washington, D.C. who has never worked for a living. We need to extend that Tea Party concept to November and make the Republicans the
Party of No-vember!
And please read my conservative blog and novel if it comes out.
http://www.periodictablet,com
Superamerican
Thank you
momofthecastle (Diary) Wednesday, April 14th at 5:22PM EST (link)I had begun to think that we conservatives had too many little groups, and we needed to combine into one big one, but your article has given me much to think about — and much more hope.
Get involved locally
Chuck From Dayton Thursday, April 15th at 10:50PM EST (link)http://theprecinctproject.wordpress.com/
Chuck,
Dayton OH