Cap and Tax is NOT Energy Policy


Promoted from the diaries by Neil Stevens

One of the lamest arguments in favor of the passage of Cap and Tax was that it was good “energy policy”.  Rep. John Larson (D-CT 1), among others, went off at length in this direction.  You might suspect from the title that I may take exception with this assessment.

Before we go further, a couple of definitions:

Policy: A governmental plan (contrast with “program”), generally formulated within the executive branch which has the purpose of solving a particular problem facing the nation.

Elasticity: The percent change of the quantity of a good/service supplied or demanded for a unit percent change of price.  This definition can be confirmed in any undergrad microeconomics text.

So we see “energy policy” thrown out there as an argument.  What problem facing the nation does are we trying to solve?  In this case, it is the inelastic demand for fossil fuels (primarily oil) combined with the inelastic supply of the same fossil fuels.  The supply is inelastic in that the nation imports a sizable percent of its oil and thus does not have direct control over supply quantity.

Given the definition of the problem, it seems that there is a two part solution:

1. Increase the elasticity of supply by expanding the domestic supply of oil (or, as the 45th President said in Minneapolis last September, “drill baby drill”).  There are areas under our control where reserved can be tapped – the Continental Shelf, ANWR, offshore of my home state of Florida, and if we can get the technology developed (program evolving from policy…), oil shale such as that found in the Bakken Formation.  When price goes up, we have the power to increase supply – supply price elasticity.

2. Increase the elasticity of demand by promoting alternatives – ALL alternatives.  Power generation can be accomplished with nuclear, domestic natural gas, clean coal (even if Babbling Joe Biden says we’ll never switch to coal…), and the green technologies when further developed (there’s policy begetting programs again) like solar, wind, and geothermal.  Transportation can add hybrids (as a side note – let’s add some “heft” to these cars – I certainly wouldn’t put my butt in a Smartcar on PGA Blvd. or I-95), and for that matter use CNG as a fuel source.  When the price of oil goes up, we start using other sources to accomplish the same goals – substitution = demand price elasticity.

These two points have been summed up as an “All of the Above” energy policy.

Then we have this Cap and Tax, umm, thing.  It taxes ANYTHING that uses combustion to generate power.  Does it matter if my Mustang’s gasoline came from oil drilled in Texas or Saudi Arabia?  Nope – tax it all.  Does it matter if FPL uses natural gas from Louisiana or Algeria?  Nope – tax it all.  What about West Virginia coal?  Nope – tax it all.

All Cap and Tax does is produce a step change in the cost to anyone who uses some fuel to generate power via combustion.  One more definition:

Cost Push Inflation: The upward/leftward shift of the aggregate supply curve caused by an increase in the cost of the production of goods/services.  For a constant aggregate demand curve the resulting market clearing point is at a lower output (GDP) and higher price (inflation).

The relevance of that definition to Cap and Tax should be self-evident.  By the way, the cost push inflation associated with the oil shocks was one source of the stagflation of the 1970s.

One more reason that we’re headed back to the 1970s, and why Barack Obama will be remembered as the Jimmy Carter of the 21st Century.

Malaise.


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Good Cap & Trade links

izoneguy (Diary) Saturday, June 27th at 3:17PM EST (link)

http://rustyware.blogspot.com/2009/05/modern-day-indulgences-cap-trade-scam.html

So, to recap… The government picks a number between 1 and a gazillion and then sells licenses to pollute that amount. These are then bid on and traded between polluters. As a consumer of energy, you are abused like a casino ATM spitting out winnings to a drunk. For reference, the Democrats estimate it to be about a $300 per year increase while the Republicans estimate it closer to $3500 per year. Clearly they have all this climate change down to a science and the numbers prove it, right Mr. Gore?

Of course, those who think this is such an outstanding policy are those with a vested interest in the whole scam. Never mind the fact that there is no conclusive science that the same CO2 that comes out of your mouth when you exhale damages the “environment” – ambiguously defined as the atmosphere around anyone interested in global warming…

http://www.newswithviews.com/Peterson/rosalind2.htm

Step back and take another realistic look at what you are all being asked to do and why. If you believe as Al Gore does that one of the “…keys to solving the climate crisis is finding ways to use the powerful force of market capitalism…” then there is little hope of making worldwide reductions in the pollution we all create and alleviating some of the stressors that may the cause of a rise in human health problems. Apparently reducing pollution and improving public health is not as important as selling these money market schemes and levying “carbon taxes” on Americans citizens.

Let us all ask the hard questions about these money market schemes. Make sure that the action you take today really reduces pollutants without causing other pollution problems. When you switch from incandescent light bulbs to the highly hazardous mercury laden fluorescent light bulbs you are just trading one problem for a huge toxic waste problem.

We have been almost at a standstill for over two decades in pollution reduction. It is time to ask the hard questions and really study the solutions that are now being presented to us that contain very few hard facts, no standards or regulations, and no penalties. Don’t be railroaded into market schemes that will not benefit us in the end or reduce the pollution that is negatively impacting the health of every American. Ask questions of those in office and those running for office. And then take action, voice your opinion, organize, write letters, and vote to stop these “cap and trade” congressional bills.

http://www.cosmicconservative.com/weblog/?p=4839

What does Cap and Trade really mean?

I like to think of myself as a well-informed citizen who keeps up on the issues of the day. But I am sometimes surprised by how ignorant I can be of very important issues. I get the feeling that I have been less than fully informed about Cap and Trade schemes, and I wonder how many other people really don’t understand what the system is and how it is supposed to work.

In theory the system is supposed to utilize market forces to drive to the most efficient means to achieve a desired goal. In the case of CO2 emissions the idea is that every business will have a “cap” of CO2 emissions they are allowed to generate, and that cap will be determined by the number of “coupons” they hold which allow a certain amount of CO2 to be emitted. If the business emits more than they hold coupons for, they receive hefty fines and potential criminal charges. That’s the “Cap” part of the system.

The “Trade” part of the system is where market forces are supposed to come into play. Basically the coupons are treated as negotiable items and can be freely traded between businesses. If one business is well below their cap, they can sell their unneeded coupons to a business that is over their cap. Since the fines and other penalties for being over the cap are so severe, this will generate a high demand for coupons, making them a profitable commodity for the sellers.
(snip)
It is hard for me to imagine the government running this scheme without interfering with it on a regular basis, pretty much negating any true market forces that would potentially create a desired result.

My guess is that the actual impact of this scheme will be a huge increase in energy costs, a minor increase in “green” power generation, and a near-certain negative impact on the economy which will extend and exacerbate any coming recession/depression.

If it were me I’d take every penny of the revenue from this and put it into a Manhattan Project style approach to make nuclear fusion economically viable.

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121236237789236363.html?mod=opinion_main_review_and_outlooks

Cap and Trade: It’s all about money and power

…..Of course most of the money will go to human constituencies, especially those with the most political clout. In the Boxer plan, revenues are allocated down to the last dime over the next half-century. Thus $802 billion would go for “relief” for low-income taxpayers, to offset the higher cost of lighting homes or driving cars. Ms. Boxer will judge if you earn too much to qualify.

There’s also $190 billion to fund training for “green-collar jobs,” which are supposed to replace the jobs that will be lost in carbon-emitting industries. Another $288 billion would go to “wildlife adaptation,” whatever that means, and another $237 billion to the states for the same goal. Some $342 billion would be spent on international aid, $171 billion for mass transit, and untold billions for alternative energy and research – and we’re just starting.

Ms. Boxer would only auction about half of the carbon allowances; she reserves the rest for politically favored supplicants. These groups might be Indian tribes (big campaign donors!), or states rewarded for “taking the lead” on emissions reductions like Ms. Boxer’s California. Those lucky winners would be able to sell those allowances for cash. The Senator estimates that the value of the handouts totals $3.42 trillion. For those keeping track, that’s more than $6.7 trillion in revenue handouts so far.

The bill also tries to buy off businesses that might otherwise try to defeat the legislation. Thus carbon-heavy manufacturers like steel and cement will get $213 billion “to help them adjust,” while fossil-fuel utilities will get $307 billion in “transition assistance.” No less than $34 billion is headed to oil refiners. Given that all of these folks have powerful Senate friends, they will probably extract a larger ransom if cap and trade ever does become law.

The point cannot be made often enough: Modern liberalism, as embodied in the Obama presidency, is the defender of the status quo. And the status quo is a road to economic ruin. Political forces cannot redistribute the wealth that the economic system does not produce.

You mentioned a key phrase

Mike Gesner (Diary) Saturday, June 27th at 3:34PM EST (link)

That key phrase is “vested interest”. I think it is very interesting that Al Gore, after spending 8 years as VP with full access to the bully pulpit which he used to scare the hell out of the masses about “man-made global warming”, has parlayed that into becoming a partner at Kleiner, Perkins, Caufield and Byers heading up their Greentech VC area. I also think it’s interesting that he was nowhere to be found during the HR 2454 debate – I guess he’s too busy cashing in on the panic he created to be bothered with public policy (regardless of whether the policy is right or wrong).

That’s strictly my opinion. Take it for what it may be worth.

“Doveriai, no proveriai” (Trust, but verify) – Ronald Reagan, as spoken to Gorbachev.

Pelosi puts Gore on the phones for climate lobbying

izoneguy (Diary) Saturday, June 27th at 4:21PM EST (link)

http://thehill.com/leading-the-news/pelosi-puts-gore-on-the-phones-for-climate-lobbying-2009-06-25.html

House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) has put the brakes on having former Vice President Al Gore travel to Washington on Thursday to personally lobby Democrats on the climate change bill, opting instead to have Gore make calls from Tennessee.

One aide said that, with Democrats still eyeing a Friday floor vote on legislation that much of the caucus has yet to digest, the Speaker wanted Gore to spend his time and energy calling individual members who are still on the fence.

The point cannot be made often enough: Modern liberalism, as embodied in the Obama presidency, is the defender of the status quo. And the status quo is a road to economic ruin. Political forces cannot redistribute the wealth that the economic system does not produce.

 
 

Not to threadjack, but ...

skorrent1 (Diary) Sunday, June 28th at 10:35AM EST (link)

You slipped way off base with your comments: “We have been almost at a standstill for over two decades in pollution reduction. … or reduce the pollution that is negatively impacting the health of every American.” If you use as a starting point the ’50s or ’60s, we accomplished much “pollution reduction” even before Clinton took over. Once you reduce airborne particulates by 86% it is harder to get rid of the last few particles. When you’ve taken 95% of arsenic out of the water, you’ve pretty much cleaned it up. In order to stay in business, the EPA has to dream up new “pollutants”, like CO2, to scare the public with. “Second-hand smoke”, anyone? Anybody that really thought that cigarette smoke could be drawn directly into a smoker’s lungs, where much of the bad stuff gets filtered out, then mixed with surrounding air to a concentration of about 1 PPM, and still pose a health threat to the passers-by, is a natural audience for “An Inconvenient Truth”. There are still some, very local, usually government created/owned, areas of “pollution”, properly defined. But rest easy, izoneguy, the “health of every American” is in pretty good shape, pending passage of Obammacare!

 
 

Thank you!

Mike Gesner (Diary) Saturday, June 27th at 4:46PM EST (link)

Neil Stevens – thanks for the promotion!

“Doveriai, no proveriai” (Trust, but verify) – Ronald Reagan, as spoken to Gorbachev.

 

No responsible conservative should promote magic alternative energy fairies

drothgery Saturday, June 27th at 7:31PM EST (link)

… and anything but dismissing wind and ground-based solar as small-time projects that are of pretty much no value in the grand scheme of things is doing that. Large scale energy transportation and storage just aren’t good enough to rely on sources that don’t work 24/7, and there’s nothing out there with a realistic chance of changing that. And we’ve got to convince people of this, or we’re not going to get serious about nukes, and nukes are the only non-fossil fuel source that we can reasonably increase our use of significantly in the next twenty years.

5^5. Bingo. nt

Steve Maley (Diary) Saturday, June 27th at 7:47PM EST (link)

The blogger formerly known as ‘Vladimir’.

 

Space-based solar's no better

Next93 (Diary) Saturday, June 27th at 8:40PM EST (link)

I fully agree, but I wanted to point out that space-based solar’s just as much a pipe dream. Sure, the solar constant’s higher, but potovoltaic systems are hugely inefficient, mechanical energy conversion is too heavy and unreliable to work unattended in orbit, and once you’ve generated the power, any thought of using microwaves or lasers to “beam” it down is still more science fiction than science.

Obama was The One in 2008.
He’ll be a BIGGER one in 2012.

Then all three of you need to contact Juan Williams pronto.

janis (Diary) Sunday, June 28th at 10:47AM EST (link)

Because he was busy defending the crap and tax bill as a wonderful thing that will prove to the world that we are serious about developing alternative energy sources including solar and wind. He used to be somewhat more objective about Obama’s moves, but he’s been completely co-opted by now and is chugging the Kool-Aid by the drum.

When Bill Chrystal brought up the fact that France gets 85% of its energy from nuclear power, Juan had no comment.

 
 
 

And it not a bill either

djemi (Diary) Saturday, June 27th at 7:50PM EST (link)

Form Powerline comes this

“At The Examiner, David Freddoso adds a coda to the bizarre story of the cap-and-trade energy tax that passed the House yesterday. The bill that the House voted on doesn’t, strictly speaking, exist:

Texas Republican Reps. Joe Barton and Louie Gohmert have just asked the chair whether there exists a complete, updated copy of the Waxman-Markey carbon-cap bill.
“If a bill for which there is no copy were to actually pass this body,” Barton asked, “could the bill without a copy be sent to the Senate for its consideration?”

Through a series of parliamentary inquiries, the Republicans learned that the 300-plus page managers’ amendment, added to the bill last night in the House Rules Committee, has not even been been integrated with the official copy of the 1,090-page bill at the House Clerk’s desk, let alone in any other location. The two documents are side-by-side at the desk as the clerk reads through the instructions in the 300 page document for altering the 1,090 page document.

But they cannot be simply combined, because the amendment contains 300 pages of items like this: “Page 15, beginning line 8, strike paragraph (11)…” How many members of Congress do you suppose have gone through it all to see how it changes the bill?

I can answer that question: none. There hasn’t been time to do so. The manner in which the Democrats have run the House since taking control in 2007 has been disgraceful. ”

Just throught I’d throw that out there.

“If I can’t shoot rabbits,then I can’t shoot fascist”
“With age, comes Wisdom, but only if you are paying Attention, son” my ‘Old Man’
RS Help files (h/t JLenardDetroit) Grassroots in Michigan
Moes Strategy

The congress of the most technologically advanced country in the word...

Next93 (Diary) Saturday, June 27th at 8:48PM EST (link)

Haven’t these people ever heard of WORD PROCESSORS? Jeez, every newspaper office in the country has the ability to do collaborative editing.

Jeez, are they using quill pens and tying the files closed with red tape?

Obama was The One in 2008.
He’ll be a BIGGER one in 2012.

well it has to be a hard copy that gets sent to the senete

djemi (Diary) Saturday, June 27th at 10:09PM EST (link)

And as it was in pieces and the type in instrutions that it describes, makes me think that it was a Big Dirty trick being played by the Dem leadership on the Country.
I would like to know what The 8 slices of Bacon got for their home districts.

“If I can’t shoot rabbits,then I can’t shoot fascist”
“With age, comes Wisdom, but only if you are paying Attention, son” my ‘Old Man’
RS Help files (h/t JLenardDetroit) Grassroots in Michigan
Moes Strategy