A new poll of 300 likely voters conducted by Basswood Research for the Club for Growth shows that Doug Hoffman is currently leading in the NY-23 Special Election. The results? Hoffman 31.3%, Owens at 27.0%, and Scozzafava at 19.7%.
This helps to emphasize my theory that it is not Hoffman who is the spoiler, but Scozzafava. According to the poll, Hoffman is leading amongst Independents and Republicans. All Scozzafava’s continued inclusion in the race serves to do is siphon votes away from the Conservative candidate who, if elected, will caucus with the GOP. As Basswood pollster Jon Lerner said, “Hoffman now has a wide lead among both Republicans and Independents, while Owens has a wide lead among Democrats. Dede Scozzafava’s support continues to collapse, making this essentially a two-candidate race between Hoffman and Owens in the final week.”
I see no benefit in the GOP continuing to spend any money on Scozzafava. They should cut their losses now and allow Hoffman the freedom to continue his bid for Congress unfettered and unattacked by the party he wishes to caucus with. If you want to help the cause – donate to Doug Hoffman to help him in this final stretch.
Cross posted at Old Line Elephant
UPDATE: The Club for Growth posted the cross-tabs for their poll here. Party breakdown is 48.3% GOP, 36.0% Democrat, 13.3% Independent. Without leaners it’s Hoffman 28.3%, Owens 23.7%, and Scozzafava 18.0%.
Moe Lane
Steve Maley
Dan McLaughlin
Neil Stevens
Daniel Horowitz
Scozzafava
Steph C (Diary) Monday, October 26th at 1:02PM EST (link)reminds me of Specter and the GOP establish seems incapable of learning from the comparisons.
“[I]f the public are bound to yield obedience to laws to which they cannot give their approbation, they are slaves to those who make such laws and enforce them.” –Candidus in the Boston Gazette, 1772
Hillbilly Politics
Establishment.
Steph C (Diary) Monday, October 26th at 1:03PM EST (link)Sorry, typo up there.
“[I]f the public are bound to yield obedience to laws to which they cannot give their approbation, they are slaves to those who make such laws and enforce them.” –Candidus in the Boston Gazette, 1772
Hillbilly Politics
Close IS a cigar
the_reelman (Diary) Monday, October 26th at 1:09PM EST (link)HOFFMAN: A VITAL BAROMETER?
There is a most interesting congressional district race in NY this fall. A mush mouth half-way Republican gal is up against the standard democrat (secular socialist) in a district that went 52% for Xerxes last November. A true conservative named Doug Hoffman is polling at about 25% of the 3 way split vote. Some are saying 35% could win the seat.
The megabillion dollar question (actually trillion these days) is…will liberal NY voters finally wake up after 9 months of political insanity, of trillions in new debt, of 10+% unemployment, of power grabs and so on OR will it happen once again that the voters are blind suckas that still believe Pelosi-ism is good for America?
True, its wacko NY but the nation will look closely at this race as an early “pigeon in the mine” politically.
Close IS a NY cigar in the big scheme of things this time.
Keep in mind two factions will be piling on Hoffman along with the media.
Maybe America is not yet “face down in the mud” enough. We shall see.
A win will mean the mush mouth RHINO losers will finally get the overdue lesson they so need to learn.
That would be an early Christmas for millions of us exiled conservatives.
http://conservablogs.com/theconservativecrawfish
They're too arrogant to learn...
AceInTX (Diary) Monday, October 26th at 1:43PM EST (link)it’ll make them all the more determined to come back…missing teeth and all…to prove the base to be too ignorant and stupid to be allowed to govern…and they’ll double down in 2010 with squishes and losers!
to the author
rossy (Diary) Monday, October 26th at 1:48PM EST (link)superb one
wake me up...
dave_in_atl (Diary) Monday, October 26th at 2:08PM EST (link)Wake me up when you find a poll from a real pollster. After 2008 we should have all learned our lesson about cherry picking polls.
Where?
Finrod (Diary) Monday, October 26th at 4:22PM EST (link)Rasmussen is the only pollster I trust and he hasn’t polled NY-23.
Let’s get down to brass tacks here. How much for the ape?
No matter how badly the poll may be skewed
Scope (Diary) Monday, October 26th at 2:28PM EST (link)it still gives that extra push for the Hoffman campaign team to give it the extra amount of gusto with only a week left before the election. And, for those voters that only vote for the likely winner, they have their candidate to vote for now. I’d love to know who or what propelled Hoffman from last place not long ago, to first place today, and gaining. I’d like to think it was Fred Thompson and Sarah Palin, but I don’t think we will ever know.
No matter how badly the poll may be skewed
Scope (Diary) Monday, October 26th at 2:28PM EST (link)it still gives that extra push for the Hoffman campaign team to give it the extra amount of gusto with only a week left before the election. And, for those voters that only vote for the likely winner, they have their candidate to vote for now. I’d love to know who or what propelled Hoffman from last place not long ago, to first place today, and gaining. I’d like to think it was Fred Thompson and Sarah Palin, but I don’t think we will ever know.
FYI, Doug Hoffman will be on Sean Hannity if a couple of minutes
ColdWarrior (Diary) Monday, October 26th at 4:54PM EST (link)It’s 3:52 p.m. Eastern time. Hannity said “in a couple of minutes” and “at the top of the hour.”
Thank you.
ColdWarrior
www.theprecinctproject.wordpress.com
In 2012, will YOU become a “voting member” of the Republican Party in your precinct?
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Unified Patriots.
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Listen live
redneck_hippie (Diary) Monday, October 26th at 4:59PM EST (link)wabc new york:
http://wabcradio.com/article.asp?id=531472
He’ll be up after the news break.
Kowalski: You can listen over the net to Hoffman here:
ColdWarrior (Diary) Monday, October 26th at 5:00PM EST (link)http://www.wabcradio.com/
Also, Doug Hoffman will be a guest on Glenn Beck’s television show this afternoon, and I believe that broadcast begins at the top of the hour, too.
Thank you.
ColdWarrior
www.theprecinctproject.wordpress.com
In 2012, will YOU become a “voting member” of the Republican Party in your precinct?
Where it all started. Twitter @kaltkrieger
Unified Patriots.
Learn how to GOTV at The Concord Project and at Procinct and