Just a quick survey:
- CA-10 (D+11): David Harmer isn’t quitting this particular special election, and he’s having a bit of fun with the… well, I don’t know what John Garamandi was trying to do here:
…but I hope that he does it again. A lot. - FL-08 (R+2): Alan Grayson opened his mouth again; apparently he’s under the impression that there are no such things as recording devices. Or that his constituents like being lied to, in a stupid fashion.
The challenger for this seat is still up in the air (a lot of people want the shot), but the NRCC is happy to spotlight it anyway. Nominee donation fund here. - VA-05 (R+5): We have a candidate to go up against Tom Perriello! Virginia state senator Robert Hurt. Perriello is – like Grayson, and oh, about sixty other or Democratic legislators – just a bit too liberal for his seat, and the GOP intends to bring that up. A lot.
So, as you can see: the machine is functional.
Moe Lane
Crossposted to Moe Lane.
Steve Maley
Neil Stevens
Daniel Horowitz
Sent Robert Hurt $25
The_Fastest_Squirrel (Diary) Wednesday, October 7th at 3:39PM EST (link)I’ll send more after payday…
Hurt is a tax hiker
Norm Leahy (Diary) Wednesday, October 7th at 3:41PM EST (link)Then-Del. Robert Hurt voted for Mark Warner’s tax hike in 2004 — the one that split the GOP and helped launch warner on to bigger and better things.
In 2007, Hurt voted for HB3202, another tax hike bundled with a regional government scheme (and those wildly popular abusive driving fees) that was ultimately overturned by the state’s supreme court.
If this is the best the GOP can put forward against Perriello, then they really haven’t learned anything at all.
Norm Leahy- Will we get anyone who seriously can "Hurt" Perriello
Scope (Diary) Thursday, October 8th at 12:16AM EST (link)From my readings, there are at least 5 Republicans who have stated an interest in challenging Perriello, or have filed the proper paperwork. Bradley Rees was first, and, I was so dissapointed, however, Goode had not yet made up his mind if he would challenge again in 2010. I had an immediate problem with Rees as I am not a supporter of the “Fair Tax” which was his impeteous to get into the race. Awful as it is for me to say, I can’t wrap my arms around someone who has all his knuckles tattoed. He recently was arrested for having unregistered or unauthorized guns in his vehicle. Ken Boyd declared himself a candidate on September 19, yet he has no website, you cannot find any information on his positions, and well, you just can’t find much of any info on him. As to Robert Hurt, I can’t find alot of info on him either. Moe’s link just provides a website that states only that he is running against Perriello, and, not another thing.
Perriello is so beatable, yet, in the whole of the district, the Republicans can’t find someone who can challenge him that has any chance? Do you have anymore info on the R candidates?
What are Harmer's chances?
Third Street (Diary) Wednesday, October 7th at 3:54PM EST (link)Common sense tells me “none”, but after Joseph Cao, I never say “never” when it comes to special elections.
Great ad.
“Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure nineteen nineteen six, result happiness. Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure twenty pounds ought and six, result misery.” –Wilkins Micawber, “David Copperfield”
Cao wasn't special
redtillimdead (Diary) Wednesday, October 7th at 4:34PM EST (link)It was a delayed general, the primary run-off was Nov. 3 due to Hurricane Gustav, but thats not important. The important thing is David Harmer’s poll showing him down by only 6pts, and leading among people who have actually heard of him. http://www.ibabuzz.com/politics/2009/10/01/harmer-says-poll-shows-him-ahead-of-garamendi/
Nancy Pelosi can kiss my asstroturf.
Same difference
Third Street (Diary) Wednesday, October 7th at 4:43PM EST (link)La.’s December congressional runoffs are for all practical purposes the same thing as special elections; that’s why I cited Cao. (And a Republican winning the N.O. congressional seat was pretty damn special to me!)
Thanks for the tip on Harmer. I don’t expect him to win but he could make it interesting.
“Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure nineteen nineteen six, result happiness. Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure twenty pounds ought and six, result misery.” –Wilkins Micawber, “David Copperfield”
Yep
redtillimdead (Diary) Wednesday, October 7th at 4:52PM EST (link)We don’t have them any more, we are normal now. That was only delayed because of Hurrican Gustav. I don’t expect him to win either, unless he has AMAZING GOTV efforts. But if he does win, we are in the same boat as in Cao: very unlikely he wins again, how much support do we give you? The NRCC isn’t giving Cao its first round of the Patriot Program money, so…
Nancy Pelosi can kiss my asstroturf.
You're right, I forgot about the Gustav factor...
Third Street (Diary) Wednesday, October 7th at 5:08PM EST (link)…and I myself evacuated to Nashville so one would think I’d remember these things…
“Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure nineteen nineteen six, result happiness. Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure twenty pounds ought and six, result misery.” –Wilkins Micawber, “David Copperfield”
You live in the city? nt
redtillimdead (Diary) Wednesday, October 7th at 5:12PM EST (link)Nancy Pelosi can kiss my asstroturf.
Lafayette.
Third Street (Diary) Wednesday, October 7th at 5:15PM EST (link)And I scrammed when I saw Gustav tracking into Vermilion Bay. As it turned out, the Hub City lucked out once again, but I don’t take chances anymore.
“Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure nineteen nineteen six, result happiness. Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure twenty pounds ought and six, result misery.” –Wilkins Micawber, “David Copperfield”
Oh
redtillimdead (Diary) Wednesday, October 7th at 5:20PM EST (link)After Katrina I wil never evacuate again. I was in Metairie (New Orleans) and we left…worst decision ever. We didn’t have any damage. At all. Luckily, it only took 9 hours to get to Alexandria, while we knew people that took over 15 hours to get to Baton Rouge
Nancy Pelosi can kiss my asstroturf.
An incumbent Harmer could hold!
noufa Wednesday, October 7th at 9:10PM EST (link)It’s the suburbs. Arnold took 56% when running for re-election. Wouldn’t call it a swing district, but they will respond to an effective Republican campaign.
Tauscher initially won it by running as a moderate blue-dog. She endeared herself to the electorate by campaigning against Pelosi within the Democratic caucus. Now the nutroots DESPISE Tauscher. Google “Tauscher” & “Pelosi” to see what I mean.
“Obama is not a centrist. He was never centrist. He is a uniter. He does reach across the aisle. But he always do so in pursuit of progressive ends.”
-Jonathan Stein of Mother Jones 1/31/08
Tauscher Started in a Different CA-10 District
IJB Wednesday, October 7th at 9:19PM EST (link)Tauscher’s original district (pre-2002) contained some of the more “conservative” parts of Contra Costa County. Those parts are now mostly in CA-11 (McNerney’s district) – which is why the odds of taking back CA-11 are fair-to-good in comparison.
The current CA-10 is a lot less Republican than even the old CA-10 was.
Completely agree. The 11th should be ours.
noufa Wednesday, October 7th at 9:26PM EST (link)NT
“Obama is not a centrist. He was never centrist. He is a uniter. He does reach across the aisle. But he always do so in pursuit of progressive ends.”
-Jonathan Stein of Mother Jones 1/31/08
Sorry about that, red
noufa Wednesday, October 7th at 9:21PM EST (link)Didn’t mean to lecture you about your district (I’m next door in CD7).
I just don’t want out-of-staters to think CA is hopeless.
“Obama is not a centrist. He was never centrist. He is a uniter. He does reach across the aisle. But he always do so in pursuit of progressive ends.”
-Jonathan Stein of Mother Jones 1/31/08
LOL, im not in ca
redtillimdead (Diary) Wednesday, October 7th at 11:47PM EST (link)im in la! sorry for misunderstanding!
Nancy Pelosi can kiss my asstroturf.
Third Street, I'm told it's close
Cheryl (Diary) Wednesday, October 7th at 5:38PM EST (link)if we have good Republican turnout and we’re going to work on that.
“A general dissolution of principles and manners will more surely overthrow the liberties of America, than the whole force of the common enemy.” –Samuel Adams
“The administrative state has inserted its big paws into our houses, from the toilet bowl to the light socket. Now if it would just stretch those paws from the one to the other at the same time, we might begin to recapture the spirit of ’76.” –Scott Johnson, Powerlineblog.com
Odds of Winning CA-10? Better Than Usual, But Still Not Good
IJB Wednesday, October 7th at 6:42PM EST (link)If an R wins CA-10, it would signal that the D’s will lose 100 seats (and maybe more) next year.
I’d like to believe that, but I don’t.
What’s much more likely is that the D’s still win CA-10, but with a reduced margin of something like 52%D/48% R. That, in and of itself, while not a true “win”, would have to be considered something of a “moral victory”.
Thanks Moe, happy to Facebook this and I have lots of friends in 10
Cheryl (Diary) Wednesday, October 7th at 5:27PM EST (link)I’ll be meeting Harmer tonight.
Additionally, for anyone interested, check out Brad Goehring who’s running against McNerney in CA10:
http://goehringforcongress.com
“A general dissolution of principles and manners will more surely overthrow the liberties of America, than the whole force of the common enemy.” –Samuel Adams
“The administrative state has inserted its big paws into our houses, from the toilet bowl to the light socket. Now if it would just stretch those paws from the one to the other at the same time, we might begin to recapture the spirit of ’76.” –Scott Johnson, Powerlineblog.com
Correction Brad Goehring is running against McNerney in CA11
Cheryl (Diary) Wednesday, October 7th at 5:34PM EST (link)not CA10
“A general dissolution of principles and manners will more surely overthrow the liberties of America, than the whole force of the common enemy.” –Samuel Adams
“The administrative state has inserted its big paws into our houses, from the toilet bowl to the light socket. Now if it would just stretch those paws from the one to the other at the same time, we might begin to recapture the spirit of ’76.” –Scott Johnson, Powerlineblog.com