And global climate change. And speaking of which, Idaho schoolkids are enjoying their earliest snow day in recorded history and Colorado ski resorts are opening at their earliest in forty years.

Bring on that cap and tax, Dems. See how popular you are THEN.

Gallup and RCP are still useful, in their way.

RCP does not do its own polls – it compiles the averages of all the major ones – including Rasmussen, Gallup, ABC/Washington Post, etc. In fact, RCP does a great breakdown of all the gory details, keeps histories, and all that. Fun for number junkies like myself.

Gallup is useful, because it’s in general only moderately left-biased and represents the poll most uninformed take as the most authoritative. In general, nowadays the ‘great unwashed’ are somewhat onto the major media, and so polls that contain the name ABC, NBC, CBS, or CNN have some influence but not that much.

So Gallup is the ‘pollster of record’, that even lefties will accept. And if you are sucking wind on Gallup, you are REALLY sucking wind in reality (which would be ‘whatever Rasmussen says’).

So, take it for what it’s worth, but this is my input.

The interesting thing about the ’94 election is how *few* of the mainstream polls actually had the GOP ahead on the Generic Congressional Ballot question.

I think one poll (don’t remember which) did have R+5 going into the 1994 election.

But all the other polls had it basically “tied” – somewhere between R+2 and D+2 (roughly) – and I think most were more like D+2.

So if Gallup is showing D+2 (among just Registered Voters), it means that if the election were held *right now*, the GOP would likely take the House. (Because, among other things, the ‘Undecideds’ would break towards challengers, which means 46D-44R would likely end up being a 50-50 or even 49D-51R election result – and that’s still just among *Registered Voters*!).

Translation: Moe is absolutely correct – There is *NO* good news for Dems in this poll result!

RCP as an aggregator of third party polls is fine.

RCP as a producer of ‘averages’ should be ignored. Their averages are nonsense. They combine unrelated numbers in mathematically unjustified ways, and should be ignored.

Interesting article at American Thinker today, questioning the validity of a poll done by Gallup, as to weather a majority support Obamacare. I believe we all know that you can change the outcome of a poll, just by including/not including one word, or the wrong word. Still, as has been said elsewhere on here, for Gallup to declare the R’s and the D’s so close, you can probably believe that the R’s are doing much better than the D’s, and have real reason for hope to bring about good change, more so than the pocket type.

To win, you must first believe you can.

Keep the faith, and the spartan spirit.