And healthcare is a current issue. My point would be related to polling like the initial T/S polls, or the Mario/Crist polling, one-on-one, way out, too far out to have a meaningful discussion about the candidates and the issues because essentially, there are no “issues” that far out but name rec.

Arlen the jumper is in a REAL bind. This is, after all, a general election poll – I bet the partisan breakdown of those supporting Obamacare and supporting Arlen match up pretty well. So what’s Arlen to do?

He has to win the primary first, and if he votes against killing the old and the infirmObamacare, no way that he wins the primary. If he votes for Obamacare, he may still lose the primary, but he’s dead in the water for the general. I have just one thought on that – DELICIOUS!

Mbecker’s only polling is exit polling. Any earlier than that, and it’s just too soon to tell…

Mbecker’s only polling is exit polling. Any earlier than that, and it’s just too soon to tell…

Sestak is an unknown factor and we don’t know how effectively big labor can rally votes and throw in money in the general. Nor how much voter intimidation and fraud will come down in Philadelphia. Nor the state of the economy. Nor the fate of ObamaCare, Cap-n’-Tax, and Card Check. Nor foreign events or things that aren’t even on the radar today. Plus all the state-specific issues.

Given all that, what we do know, as rightfield24 has rightly observed is the increasingly blue voting pattern of Pennsylvania. The Philadelphia suburbs have shifted noticeably blue over the past several decades. The default is for people to regress to the mean come election time, which means that conditions are going to have to be favorable for a Republican resurgence and Toomey is going to have to run a good campaign in the general. And planning will be challenging because Sestak and Specter bring radically different strengths and weaknesses, which means a different strategy depending on the opponent and thus a shorter lead time.

Now it is exciting that the voter pools have shifted so much as they have; it does remove the air of inevitability over Specter and thus help rally money and support for Toomey and perhaps preempt kneecapping efforts by RINOs. But it’s much to early to count chickens yet. The worm may well turn several times yet before November 2010.

years ’cause that portion of his anatomy ceased functioning when he started citing Scottish law as his rationale for voting to acquit Bill Clinton of the impeachment articles.

he would have seen Toomey leads Sestak by 8%. What a fool.