Comments on: Why McCain should win Tuesday http://www.redstate.com/josh_painter/2008/10/31/why-mccain-should-win-tuesday/ Tue, 15 Dec 2009 12:51:26 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1 By: nogyro35 http://www.redstate.com/josh_painter/2008/10/31/why-mccain-should-win-tuesday/#comment-6 nogyro35 Sat, 01 Nov 2008 13:16:34 +0000 #comment-6 <p>Don't forget Operation Chaos also added to the Democrats' registration numbers and we all know those voters didn't temporarily switch parties to vote for Obama.</p> Don’t forget Operation Chaos also added to the Democrats’ registration numbers and we all know those voters didn’t temporarily switch parties to vote for Obama.

]]> By: MichaelBDR http://www.redstate.com/josh_painter/2008/10/31/why-mccain-should-win-tuesday/#comment-5 MichaelBDR Sat, 01 Nov 2008 13:06:10 +0000 #comment-5 <p>These 'young' and 'newly' registered voters are named Micjey Mouse and Donald Duck. They make it appear that there are more dems on the registry than really are. This innacuracy in registered dems is why democratic candidates always poll better in weighted polls that they perform in the election. Mickey Mouse and Donald Duck may be registered as dems, but they don't vote. This is a psychological warfare method to demoralize republicans and suppress the republican vote.</p> These ‘young’ and ‘newly’ registered voters are named Micjey Mouse and Donald Duck. They make it appear that there are more dems on the registry than really are. This innacuracy in registered dems is why democratic candidates always poll better in weighted polls that they perform in the election. Mickey Mouse and Donald Duck may be registered as dems, but they don’t vote. This is a psychological warfare method to demoralize republicans and suppress the republican vote.

]]> By: Josh_Painter http://www.redstate.com/josh_painter/2008/10/31/why-mccain-should-win-tuesday/#comment-4 Josh_Painter Fri, 31 Oct 2008 12:56:43 +0000 #comment-4 <p>is an attempt by the pollster to predict what the electorate will look like on election day. Scott obviously thinks that there will be a high turnout among young and newly-registered Dems. </p> <p>This goes against historical precedent. In the past, these voters haven't turned out, even though it is always predicted that they will. "This time will be different," is what they say, and they say it every fout years.</p> <p>The reason they believe that this time will really be different is because of the widely-hyped excitement that The One has generated.</p> <p>But so far, early voting numbers are not backing up this assumption. These young and new voters will have to show up on election day. </p> <p>personally, I don't think they will vote in appreciably higher numbers than they did in 2004, which would be bad news indeed for the Obama campaign.</p> <p>We will see...</p> <ul> <li>JP</li> </ul> is an attempt by the pollster to predict what the electorate will look like on election day. Scott obviously thinks that there will be a high turnout among young and newly-registered Dems.

This goes against historical precedent. In the past, these voters haven’t turned out, even though it is always predicted that they will. “This time will be different,” is what they say, and they say it every fout years.

The reason they believe that this time will really be different is because of the widely-hyped excitement that The One has generated.

But so far, early voting numbers are not backing up this assumption. These young and new voters will have to show up on election day.

personally, I don’t think they will vote in appreciably higher numbers than they did in 2004, which would be bad news indeed for the Obama campaign.

We will see…

  • JP
]]> By: bigfoot http://www.redstate.com/josh_painter/2008/10/31/why-mccain-should-win-tuesday/#comment-3 bigfoot Fri, 31 Oct 2008 10:40:54 +0000 #comment-3 <p>I've been hammering this the past several weeks. The great Rasmussen polls. Scott is weighing the dems with an 8% advantage. </p> <p>He doesn't disclose how he arrived at this. If he's not correct his poll is utterly meaningless. Let me repeat, meaningless.</p> <p>Not one pollster has any idea what percentage of dems are gonna crossover. </p> <p>This is a presidential election. People think differently than state or local elections. We have no precedence. Ergo, no way to predict. </p> I’ve been hammering this the past several weeks. The great Rasmussen polls. Scott is weighing the dems with an 8% advantage.

He doesn’t disclose how he arrived at this. If he’s not correct his poll is utterly meaningless. Let me repeat, meaningless.

Not one pollster has any idea what percentage of dems are gonna crossover.

This is a presidential election. People think differently than state or local elections. We have no precedence. Ergo, no way to predict.

]]> By: Josh_Painter http://www.redstate.com/josh_painter/2008/10/31/why-mccain-should-win-tuesday/#comment-2 Josh_Painter Fri, 31 Oct 2008 10:40:05 +0000 #comment-2 <p>And a big part of that reason would be "The PUMA Factor," which is the topic of my next journal entry.</p> <p>Thanks,</p> <ul> <li>JP</li> </ul> And a big part of that reason would be “The PUMA Factor,” which is the topic of my next journal entry.

Thanks,

  • JP
]]> By: janis http://www.redstate.com/josh_painter/2008/10/31/why-mccain-should-win-tuesday/#comment-1 janis Fri, 31 Oct 2008 10:27:22 +0000 #comment-1 <p>The reason is that so many Dems are voting for John and Sarah, and that's not an idea that pollsters and the MSM are talking about, or even acknowledging.</p> The reason is that so many Dems are voting for John and Sarah, and that’s not an idea that pollsters and the MSM are talking about, or even acknowledging.

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