Israel, Iran, the Free-World’s weakest leader, and World War III


Now that the Supreme Court drama is over (for now), I present to you the next of Obama’s many failed policies.  If it occurs sometime between April and September, as I expect it will, it bring Obama’s Presidency to his knees.

I am talking about what I believe is the upcoming attack by Israel on Iran.  I have read that Israel has cancelled the upcoming Holiday, and has called in all its reservists.  While some may believe it may just be posturing on Netanyahu’s part, I disagree.  Netanyahu is a True Warrior, Obama is a fly.  Netanyahu knows exactly what the entire world leaders know; that is that Obama is one of, if not the weakest American President in the history of America.  He also knows, from Obama’s  first open-microphone gaffe in Paris France, where Obama himself made it clear to the French President that Israel was not Obama’s favorite country.  Netanyahu also knows that if Israel attacks Iran, Obama will most likely lose the upcoming presidential election.   Ole’ Joe Biden recently confirmed this at a speech he gave.  It is alleged that Obama offered Netanyahu advanced bunker-buster bombs if Israel held off the attack until after America’s November election.  Accusations by Israel of the White House leaking Israel’s battle plans to the press only add credence to Obama’s desperate need to hold off an attack by Israel on Iran.  Does anyone think Netanyahu wants to work with Obama for four more years than work with Mitt Romney?  No brainer.  There is nothing that Obama can give Netanyahu to stop being the Warrior that he is.  Obama will always be the fly.

And now, Obama has signaled to the world, that he is willing to roll-over on an Iranian nuclear program.  In actuality, he was going to roll-over all along.  Everyone that knows Obama knew that, most significantly, Netanyahu.  Obama’s latest roll-over in a long line of roll-overs, only confirms to Netanyahu that Israel must act for its own defense, and be prepared to act unilaterally if needed.  This is a very dangerous position for Obama to put Israel in.

The understanding I get from what I have been reading is that if Israel attacks Iran, and has a perfect attack, (that Israel hits all its intended targets) such an attack would set Iran’s quest for the nuclear bomb back a year, maybe two at most.  It would take a sustained attack to do more damage.  The only country that has the operational capacity for a sustained attack is the United States.

There are two ways Ahmadinejad and the Iranian leadership could go; ignore it, or go crazy – man, Katie-bar-the-door counter attack.  Iran has been spoiling for a fight with Israel since Ahmadinejad became President.   I believe that is why he was made President.  So I don’t see the Iranian leadership giving Israel a free-pass no matter how insignificant the damage an attack may end up being.

What I see as the likely response from Iran is an orchestrated attempt to completely over-whelm Israel’s defense.  While this may seem obvious, things have changed in the past few months with the uprisings in Syria, Egypt, and to a lesser extent Libya.  Syria is well, Syria, they might as well be Iran’s “Mini-Me.”  Egypt is being taken over by the Muslim Brotherhood.  Not a good omen in any light.  There has already been a rocket attack from Egypt into Israel.  The peace accord that Egypt had with Israel might as well be used for very scratchy toilet paper now.  If Israel attacks Iran I foresee Iran, Syria, Hezbollah vis-à-vis Lebanon, and very now very likely Egypt, going after Israel.

The dirty little secret in Iraq is that they did have chemical weapons of mass destruction.  Republicans didn’t want to admit it because they knew about them, and did not find them; made for very bad optics, incompetence being foremost.  The democrats could not acknowledge WMD’s in Iraq, because that would validate President Bush’s desire to go to invade Iraq.  Liberals can’t have a war that is a valid one; it’s not in their color-wheel.  A search of the Wikileaks for WMD’s attests to this fact.  Over 2,500 chemical weapons from Iraq have been found in Syria, Afghanistan and Pakistan.  It would be no surprise to me that Syria has the majority of Iraq’s stockpile, and has been the major distributer of chemical WMD to Afghanistan and Pakistan.  Imagine if Syria and Hezbollah used chemical WMD’s on Israel?  In short order Israel’s next attack on Iran, and Iran’s supporters could go nuclear.  While Israel has never admitted to having nuclear weapons, most assuredly they do.

For America such an attack, the foremost effort would be to keep the Strait of Hormuz open to shipping.  If there are any even small problems of shipping transit in the strait, gas will be eight or more dollars a gallon than the five or six we are expecting this summer.  If a US Navy ship suffers major damage, or is sunk while patrolling the strait, gas prices would go up even further with the escalation of the war.  At best, with Obama, maybe the defense of Israel is the second priority.  Who knows?  No one knows what Obama would do in such a scenario.  He most assuredly would give a heartfelt speech, saying that the Israelis acted “Stupidly.”  From past experiences any response from Obama would be weak.

However, I do not believe that Obama is alone in this.  I do not believe that America has the will for an “All-In” War.  The last time America was “All-In” was World War II.  We had to be.  Our way of life was at threat.  I am astonished at America’s reaction to 9/11.  Within six months most Americans not directly affected by the attack on 9/11 pretty much went on with their lives.  The thing that I did not understand, and still do not understand, is that if there are two billion Muslims in the world, and ten percent are radicalized, equates to 200 million potential combatants!  I’m not being racist here; I am simply taking ten-percent from a quantity of two- billion.  That is roughly two-thirds the population of the United States!  Post 9/11, there was no draft, no bond sales, no rationing of materials, and no national mobilization of any type.  And remember that this was an asymmetric war from the start.  We could have to be fighting in all points of the globe, most not immediately known.  It was a very large equation that started with 200 million potential combatants with a gigantic unknown.   Where are they all?  So for America not going “All-In” after 9/11 I don’t know what it would take.  Iran may force the United States to finally go, ”All-In” in confronting terror in the Middle East.

The really big problem with Israel attacking alone is time.  They most likely will only get one shot.  Time-on-target.  Much like a scuba diver that is going deep, they only have minutes on the bottom.  The time is spent getting there and back.  Assuming that Israel only uses conventional munitions the damage will be moderate at best.  And it will be only the surface targets that get hit the worst.  Buried targets below five-hundred feet could be hit with bunker-busters.  But beyond that it would take repeated sorties to hit target deeper.

Unfortunately for either Israel or the United States the best weapon to reach deeply buried structures would be tactical nuclear bunker-busters.  Such a program was fast-tracked several years ago.  Such weapons would do several things well; they would destroy either directly or by seismic blast wave any structure buried a thousand feet or more, and the radiation would make repair of any structure impossible.  Since the blast occurs underground, there would be less fallout as compared to an air-burst nuclear bomb.  Do we have a President, and as American’s, are we willing to go “All-In”?  Are we willing to use a nuclear bomb if that was the perfect weapon for the mission?  I don’t think so.  Not yet.  Hezbollah may change all that.

Recent congressional testimony indicated that Hezbollah may have a thousand or more funding organizations, and hundreds of sleeper-cells in the United States.  No doubt Iran would not think twice about activating them if America entered into the fray.  With our porous borders it would not be a stretch of the imagination to think that those sleeper-cells have chemical WDM’s here in the United States.  Imagine a cool, crisp, fall Saturday at a college football game.   Several college stadiums capacities are in excess of one-hundred-thousand people.  Imagine Hezbollah using chemical WMD during at such a game?  Several tens-of-thousands would be killed on live TV.  Would we be willing to go “All-In” then?

The problem with any country using nuclear weapons is that if one country uses it, then other counties think they are within their right to use them.  Then suddenly all past grievances and insults between counties are to be paid for in full.  India may attack Pakistan using nuclear weapons.  The Soviet Union would look at its own expansion.  With a nuclear diversion, China may finally try to overtake Taiwan which they see as China’s property.  It would be very possible that the United States, South Korea, and Japan, if they did not have their hands too full with China’s attempt at expansion, would finally put North Korea out of its suffering.

My point here is that an attack by Israel may not only open one Pandora’s Box, but a whole series of them in rapid succession.  This could not come a worst time; when we have a sixteen trillion dollar debt (World Wars cost money), and when we have the weakest President in the history of the United States history leading the fight.  It is fight that I believe is coming soon.


What happens if ObamaCare passes?


Everyone, or most everyone, seems to think that at least the ObamaCare mandate will be struck down by the Supreme Court.  What if it isn’t?  What if ObamaCare remains intact?  How will the country react?  I believe with the arrogance of this President, he will be a poor winner, and gloat.  I also believe that it many ways it would be a gift to the GOP nominee (Romeny?).  The Tea-Party would be even more fired up than it was pre-2010 elections.  There would be a majority of Americans, like there is now, DEMANDING total repeal of ObamaCare.  It would push Romeny even more to the right than he has been pushed already.

Like in football games, a team should never rely on a field goal, or overtime to win.  Relying on the Supreme Court to make ObamaCare go away is much the same thing.  We need to repeal ObamaCare by legislative action once and for all!


A tribute to Steve Jobs


I am taking a break from the frustrating, scratch that, infuriating actions that Obama is done to weaken this great country the past two-plus years.  We are the “shining city on the hill” as Ronald Reagan once said.  I am so sick of worrying about the fate of this great country.  Will we have a country in a bit less than two years?  Will the GOP nominee win in 2012?  If so, will they cave like a wet suit which the GOP is known for?  For now, I am not going to worry about that.  I want to talk about Steve Jobs.

With his recent resignation from Apple, a company that he co-created, one can only imagine that his end from cancer is near.  I am a nurse, and have worked third shift most of my career.  It is in the grace of the early morning hours that I have sat with people who have just found out that they were dying, or in the process of dying.  It is the ultimate lesson in “Being.”  One needs to be very comfortable in their skin to just sit, in silence at times, and be there for the dying.  Paradoxically, it is one of the most rewarding acts of caring one human-being can do for another.  It is a sacred honor.  Education, income, political affiliation, status, no longer matters.  It is just human being to human being.

I just had a birthday and received a couple of Apple iTunes gift cards as Birthday presents.  Steve Jobs is a genius.  I am not saying anything that nobody already knows.  I just downloaded Pink Floyd”s “Animals.”  I know everyone raves about “The Wall,” but I like “Animals” better…but I digress.  What completely blows my mind is how listening to “Dogs” takes me back, an puts me in my first car, a 1972 Ford Torino with a 350-something cubic inch Super-Cobra Jet engine.  I was 19 or 20 again.  Amazing!  I no longer have to transfer the actual album to cassette as I had to back then, I download music from iTunes to my computer which I can manipulate it to multiple playlists.  I can even listen to it from my Apple TV.  I don’t have to concern myself with whether the album I just bought has a scratch in it, I know that the music I download will be scratch free.  I also realize, that anyone born after 1983 has no idea what I am talking about when I talk about “albums”.

Steve Jobs saved the music industry.  The music industry, and let me be clear, the RIAA, is a dirty, disgusting, reprehensible, greedy entity.  It is despised by both music lovers and musicians alike.  During the “free music” days of Napster, in the early 00,’ it was (and still is) illeagal to swap music with other users.  However, people were swapping music in the days of the album and CD, as friends swapped and copied albums to cassette tape.  The difference between then, and swapping music via the internet and computer; is that the RIAA could now TRACK who was doing it and then sue the hell out of them.  I understand why the RIAA went for big dollar settlements; they wanted to “make an example of” the downloading violators.  Yet, I believe that the RIAA was still fighting a loosing battle.  They would never be able to sue EVERYBODY.  It was Steve Jobs that suggested changing the music buying paradigm.  It was Steve Jobs that found the price point of ninty-nine cents per song.  Ninety-nine cents was the sweet spot where music lovers would pay for the song, rather than pirate it off the internet.  It was Steve Jobs that fought with the RIAA for that price point.  Make no mistake, the RIAA went along kicking-and-screaming.  How Steve Jobs got the RIAA to agree to the ninety-nine cent price point without putting a gun to someone’s head is beyond me.

Steve Jobs knew what we wanted BEFORE we knew we wanted it!  First it was the iPod, then the iPhone.  It was an insidious marketing plan.  Much like marijuana is considered the “gateway drug” that led to harder drugs, the iPod, led to the iPhone, the iPhone in turn led to the iMac/Mac book.  Why?  Because it all works!  Something that Bill Gates, and Microsoft never grasped.  Apple’s operating system and hardware are tight, elegant, an intuitive.  Have you seen and instruction manual for an Apple product?  They could put it on a postage stamp if  they needed to.  Even the packaging is a work of art.

Let me get back to the iPhone for a second.  Who ever thought that a “computer” company would create a cell phone?  I didn’t.  But Steve Jobs did.  Until Apple, computer companies made COMPUTERS, and software….not cell phones!  Who do they think they are?  And who would think that Apple would create a cell phone that is also a iPod?  Do they think they are a deity of some sort?  Don’t answer that.  To make this cell phone even more awesome it would have enough space for applications  that you could buy from Apple’s app store.  Just for kicks, they threw in GPS.  Microsoft could never create an iPhone.  If they had, it would probably cause your tires to fall off your car if you were driving while using their cell phone.

When Steve Jobs was removed from Apple, he invested in a start-up company called Pixar.  What Pixar did was lead in feature movie quality computer animated movies.  Pixar had to create it’s own software platforms (like rendering software) from scratch to make the computer generated characters come to life.  We would not have movies like “Toy Story,” among others if it was not for Steve Jobs.

It saddens me that such a creative, dynamic human being should see their life cut short.  Any life for that matter.   The materialistic, gadget-loving side of me wonders what Steve Jobs would have created if he had another 30 or 40 years?  But now, the most important thing is that he is a human being.  Steve has a wife and children.  No amount of wealth will bring their Husband and Father back.  That he is an icon, co-founder of Apple, billionaire, no longer matters.  All that stuff just gets in the way of where is is now going.  God speed Steve Jobs, you will be missed.

 

 


The “Donald,” the “Mama Grizzly,” and the Establishment GOP


For the life of me, I cannot understand the head scratching of the establishment GOP insiders when they try to wrap their DC infected minds around the “Donald’s” popularity.  It is the same reason for Sarah Palin’s popularity.  The common denominator is this…they FIGHT!

I am no fan of Mr. Trump.  But I marvel at how he handles the media, and make no mistake, the media is in attack mode when they interview him.  He shuts them down!  I am so shocked by the media being backed down by and alleged conservative, I think my eyes and ears are playing tricks on me.

Sarah Palin is a fighter, albeit a radioactive one at that.  She has learned much since running as V.P. with whats-his-name.  I was struck by her speech that she gave in Madison, Wisconsin this past Saturday.  She took no prisoners and pulled no punches.  She was calling out Obama, the mainstream media, the union protestors that were aggressively heckling her, and the establishment GOP in Washington.

She is what we want in Washington, Mr. Trump SOUNDS like what we want in Washington.  I do believe that Sarah Palin is going to run.  I was half expecting her to announce it while speaking in Madison.  I hang my assumption on two words from her speech, “GAME ON!”  We will have to wait and see how this plays out.

The establishment GOP in Washington clearly does not get this.  They think that fighting is about compromise.  In compromise, both parties loose.  One more than the other.  And sorry, the GOP does not know how to compromise without giving the democrats both their arms and legs FIRST!  Congressman Boehner blinked when Obama would not budge on de-funding Planned Parenthood.  Are you fricking kidding me?

Our leaders have to understand that politics as usual is over.  It was over 29 months ago.  The democrats have shown us how far they will go to achieve their agenda.  We are at war.  This is a war for the future of this great country.  Palin knows this and Trump appears to know this.  When will Boehner, and the establishment GOP learn this?