Just returned from a Tom Tancredo rally in Longmont, CO. Note that Longmont is in Boulder County, one of the few places left where there are still plenty of Obama ’08 bumper stickers.

The rally was held at the VFW hall on Main. There were about 60 people seated and twice that many again standing around the walls. To put this in context, we’ve had about 75 people total at each of the 2 Ken Buck rallies I’ve attended.

Tom spoke for nearly a half hour. He was personable, amiable and well informed. He talked about how he first got in to politics. He talked about how he has always been the same guy, and will continue to be the same guy as Governor. The crowd was clearly excited.

Tom’s campaign has the feel of a 2 minute, hurry up offense. We were told that donations made online today would be playing back as ads this weekend. They are buying media by the day.

There is a debate tonight, and Tom shared a fun anecdote. The Hickenlooper campaign sent out requested rules which included the following: Tom may not ask Hickenlooper questions, and Tom may not look at Hickenlooper. Don’t look at me? Seriously?

Tom has all the momentum in this race, but it’s going to be tight. Could be that one of 2010′s biggest upsets is in the making.

PPP released a new poll today on the Colorado Governor’s race. While I’m no expert on dissecting polls, I would like to share some thoughts.

PPP is the official Pollster for Dailykos. To my mind, that implies some bias. You can decide for yourself if this is a factor. Note that the Denver Post has also come out with a poll which is so partisan it’s not even worth bothering with.

PPP shows Democrat Hickenlooper’s support at 47%. That would be a surprise, as Hickenlooper has been stuck at 44-45% for months now. If this is true it means that every single undecided in the race just broke democratic a week before the election. Grain of salt on this number.

PPP also has Maes at 5%, down from 9% in Friday’s Magellan poll. Not buying this either. The few supporters Maes has left are hard core. He didn’t lose half of them in a week. I think Maes will continue to erode, but that erosion will slow down now that he is left with only the true believers. There are still Maes yard signs around.

PPP has Tancredo at 44%. Magellan had him at 43% three days ago (and one day before the PPP poll started running). That’s two confirming data points within the margin of error.

My take on all this – unless Maes supporters are flocking to Hickenlooper, I’d guess that PPP has the Dem a little high and Maes a little low. If that is so, and if Tancredo is really polling 43-44%, that means we have a real shot at winning this race. The key will move another couple of points worth of support from Maes to Tancredo and get the message out that it’s OK to vote Tancredo to those on the right who still haven’t voted.