Much has been said about the need for the Republican Party to create a “Contract with America 2.0.” It seems hopeful that party officials are thinking about this, particular leaders in the Republican House caucus. Such a Contract should include all of the major areas of interest to the traditional conservative alliance (Social, Financial, and Defense conservatives). I’m of the decided opinion that such a Contract, appealing to these three factions by offering common-sense solutions and ideas to current hot-button issues (abortion, immigration, defense, budget, government spending, etc.) would deliver a majority in the House for the Republican Party. Such a Contract may even deliver a majority in the Senate.
However, I think there is another group of constituents that the Republican Party should try to win over that could offer Republicans a chance at a super-majority in the next two election cycles. This is the group of people, most likely conservative or moderate in sensibilities, who habitually stay at home on Election Day or vote third party simply because they no longer think that the current two parties represent them. This is, I think, a logical outcome of many of the current political realities of our current Republic and the continued disintegration of the form of government our Founders designed the Republic to be.
The last 5 years have shown us that corruption is rampant in both parties. It has also shown us that, while politicians talk strongly about “ethics” and “cleaning up the corruption,” once they get to Washington, very few of them actually do it. There are reasons for this, especially in the election of Representatives: very few incumbents actually face competitive races. In 2008, for example, four (out of 435) Representatives lost their primary reelection bids. Only 19 lost their general election campaigns. This meant that only 5.3% of the House actually turned over because of an incumbent losing his or her reelection bid. In 2006, the year Democrats seized control of the House, only two members lost their primary reelection bids while 22 incumbents lost their reelection bids. Again, this represents only 5.5% of the House membership. In 1994, the year of the Republican Revolution, a whopping 34 incumbents lost reelection, bringing the percentage of incumbents who lost their reelection to an anemic 7.8% of the total membership of the House.
For comparison, in 2006, six incumbent Senators (out of 33 races) lost their reelection bids. This represents an 18.2% of the seats up for reelection in 2006. Five incumbent Senators (out of 35) lost reelection in 2008, representing 14.3% of the seats up for reelection.
The power of incumbency should not work this way. The Founders believed that the House of Representatives should represent the current mood of the populace, whereas the Senate should be a more steady check on the passions of the day. House Members should be more vulnerable to the shifting to the current mood of the country. Unfortunately, a host of small, large, gradual, and sudden changes have chipped away at form of government our Founders gave us.
One of the greatest problems in our Republic right now is that voters simply feel disconnected and frustrated with our elected officials. This is true of registered Republicans, Democrats, and Independents and citizens from all political persuasions: libertarian, liberal, conservative, or moderate. In short, through corruptions of the Founders’ original intentions, the political structure in Washington has become disconnected from the common people. The average citizen, despite the recent Tea Parties and Moveon.org-type organizations, feels that they really have no power over their government.
Our Republic has lost many important elements of Democracy.
I firmly believe that the Republican Party should be able to answer these voters’ concerns. Below are several ideas that I think Republicans should present as ideas for helping to beat corruption and make Congress more accountable to voters. I hope to discuss each one in future diaries.
1. Term Limits – This was in the 1994 Contract with America, and should have been hammered away throughout Republican control of Congress.
2. Outlaw gerrymandering – Both parties have practiced this heavily recently to protect incumbents, thus working against the basic premises that the Founders had that the House should be in a constant state of change.
3. Increase the size of the House – Representatives currently represent anywhere from 544,270 constituents to almost a million, with an average of 650,000 constitutions per Representative. The Founders required 1 Representative for no more than 40,000 constitutions, and George Washington argued that even this was too many for one Representative and wanted it reduced to 30,000. For comparison, most other representative bodies in the West have members who represent between 80,000 and 130,000 constituents.
4. Electoral College Reform – Require States to award votes based on congressional district results instead of the current “winner takes all” approach that we currently have.
5. Require States to cover House Members’ budgets.
6. Pass universal suffrage – Allow minors’ guardians to vote in abstentia for them.
7. Cede the residential areas of DC back to Maryland.
These are not ideas that are Republican v. Democrat or conservative v. liberal. These solutions are sensible solutions to some very real problems that have developed in our Republic.
However, from a pragmatic standpoint, since I feel that the vast majority of Americans are decent, conservative, traditional, hard-working citizens, I believe these changes would represent a long-standing net benefit for the Republican Party, since we are the party that currently represents those types of citizens.
I must emphasize that, while I think most of the above solutions would benefit Republicans in the long-run, that is NOT the reason I am suggesting them. I am suggesting them because they are steps to help return the U.S. government to U.S. citizens.
Victoria Coates
Daniel Horowitz
Electoral Reform
mvymvy Monday, February 1st at 12:53PM EST (link)The congressional district method of awarding electoral votes (currently used in Maine and Nebraska) would not help make every vote matter. In NC, for example, there are only 4 of the 13 congressional districts that would be close enough to get any attention from presidential candidates. A smaller fraction of the country’s population lives in competitive congressional districts (about 12%) than in the current battleground states (about 30%) that now get overwhelming attention , while two-thirds of the states are ignored Also, a second-place candidate could still win the White House without winning the national popular vote.
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the National Popular Vote bill
mvymvy Monday, February 1st at 12:55PM EST (link)The National Popular Vote bill would guarantee the Presidency to the candidate who receives the most popular votes in all 50 states (and DC).
Every vote, everywhere, would be politically relevant and equal in presidential elections. Candidates would need to care about voters across the nation, not just undecided voters in a handful of swing states.
The bill would take effect only when enacted, in identical form, by states possessing a majority of the electoral votes–that is, enough electoral votes to elect a President (270 of 538). When the bill comes into effect, all the electoral votes from those states would be awarded to the presidential candidate who receives the most popular votes in all 50 states (and DC).
The Constitution gives every state the power to allocate its electoral votes for president, as well as to change state law on how those votes are awarded.
The bill is currently endorsed by over 1,659 state legislators (in 48 states) who have sponsored and/or cast recorded votes in favor of the bill.
In Gallup polls since 1944, only about 20% of the public has supported the current system of awarding all of a state’s electoral votes to the presidential candidate who receives the most votes in each separate state (with about 70% opposed and about 10% undecided). Support is strong in every partisan and demographic group surveyed.
see www.NationalPopularVote.com
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The concept of the National Popular vote is a fiction
Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, February 1st at 12:58PM EST (link)To award the Presidency on that basis is not only a defiance of the Constitution, as an illegal interstate compact, but is to beg for fraud.
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Current system magnifies incentive for fraud
mvymvy Tuesday, February 2nd at 2:34PM EST (link)The potential for political fraud and mischief is not uniquely associated with either the current system or a national popular vote. In fact, the current system magnifies the incentive for fraud and mischief in closely divided battleground states because all of a state’s electoral votes are awarded to the candidate who receives a bare plurality of the votes in each state.
Under the current system, the national outcome can be affected by mischief in one of the closely divided battleground states. One fraudulent vote could mean 45 electoral votes, 28 electoral votes. Under a direct popular vote system, one fraudulent vote would win only one popular vote.
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Hello are you ok there
Richard Mullins (Diary) Monday, February 1st at 1:11PM EST (link)Because it seems to me that it all down for the count a chance for Mob rule in the way the founders knew. I’m sure they knew what happens when the popular votes becomes the deciding factor. You want to put us down the path of Huey Long or for us in Texas, Pappy O’Daniel for a President. All a person would have to do is very hard in getting lots votes than the other guy. Not a great idea.
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Joe Biden is like a Decrepit Park owner with a Meth lab that happens to not only be a dealer but a user.
Let’s Bankrupt the Democratic paty. Make spend all the money to defend thier candidates.
A Great Part of Our Anxiety: Budget Growth vs. Population Growth
Ausonius (Diary) Monday, February 1st at 1:30PM EST (link)I am sure some Economics Ph.D. has a thesis on this, but to summarize the anxiety gnawing at most people, allow me to throw some simple math, using however some very large numbers.
A billion is a thousand million: a trillion is a thousand billion.
In 1957, America had c. 170 million people. In that year, Eisenhower proposed a controversial budget of c. 75 Billion dollars, controversial because it was the largest peace-time budget in American History at that time.
Our population has not quite doubled since 1957.
Today we read that the MAObama budget is c. 4 TRILLION dollars.
Even if you adjust for inflation ($1.00 in 1957 = c. $7.00 today) to make the budget equivalent to 1957 and then adjust it to match population, we should just now be approaching the 800-900 billion level: but that was the budget level of more than 20 years ago.
This is the cause of our anxiety!
Ausonius: 310-395 A.D. Teacher, Poet, Consul, General, Farmer.
Personal Tutor to the future St. Paulinus of Nola and to young Gratian, heir to the throne during the turbulent final years of the Western Roman Empire. When his former student Gratian was assassinated, Ausonius threw up his hands and retired to his farm in Gaul. Rome was captured by barbarians 14 years after his death.
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Ehhh... not sure how I feel about most of these ideas...
kyoufuu (Diary) Monday, February 1st at 2:12PM EST (link)1. Term limits are a good idea in theory, but I find them to be awfully opposed to the spirit of federalism. If someone in California wants to keep sending the same idiot to Congress, what right is there for people of other states to tell them this is not allowable.
2. I can certainly agree with bringing an end to gerrymandering
3. I agree that we have a problem with the House of Representatives. It was not the Founders intent that a state would have fewer representatives than senators. But I’m not sure that simply increasing the size of the house would be the way to go. For instance, having each member of the house represent, on average, 150,000 citizens would require almost 1900 representatives. Imagine the madness of there being 2000 electoral votes every presidential election.
4. Some states do base electoral votes on districts won, but I think to require all of them to do so would violate article 2, section 2.
5. I agree yet disagree on states paying house members’ budgets. I agree becasue I don’t want to pay Nancy Pelosi’s $110,000 bar tab. Yet I disagree because doing this would leave House members from smaller, more fiscally conservative states at a disadvantage to states that flush money away, in terms of being able to hire aides and whatnot. Probably better to set limits overall and set explicit rules for what is covered under their budgets. Housing, yes. Bar tabs, no.
6. In this day and age it’s easy enough for minors to be able to vote if they’re not home for whatever reason. This would basically give some people the ability to double vote, since ballots are secret.
7. I could agree to this, insofar as it would give the people of D.C. a voice in the House and Senate, and be one less thing for the Fed to have to concern itself with.
“There are more instances of the abridgment of the freedom of the people by gradual and silent encroachments of those in power than by violent and sudden usurpations.” — James Madison
“I swear by my life, and my love of it, that I will never live for the sake of another man, nor ask another man to live for mine.”
The Constitution
mvymvy Monday, February 1st at 2:20PM EST (link)The Founding Fathers said in the U.S. Constitution: “Each State shall appoint, in such Manner as the Legislature thereof may direct, a Number of Electors . . .” The U.S. Supreme Court has repeatedly characterized the authority of the state legislatures over the manner of awarding their electoral votes as “plenary” and “exclusive.”
Neither of the two most important features of the current system of electing the President (namely, universal suffrage, and the 48 state-by-state winner-take-all rule) are in the U.S. Constitution. Neither was the choice of the Founders when they went back to their states to organize the nation’s first presidential election.
In 1789, in the nation’s first election, the people had no vote for President in most states, Only men who owned a substantial amount of property could vote.
In 1789 only three states used the state-by-state winner-take-all rule to award electoral votes.
There is no valid argument that the winner-take-all rule is entitled to any special deference based on history or the historical meaning of the words in the U.S. Constitution. The current 48 state-by-state winner-take-all rule (i.e., awarding all of a state’s electoral votes to the candidate who receives the most popular votes in a particular state) is not mentioned in the U.S. Constitution, the debates of the Constitutional Convention, or the Federalist Papers. The actions taken by the Founding Fathers make it clear that they never gave their imprimatur to the winner-take-all rule.
As a result of changes in state laws enacted since 1789, the people have the right to vote for presidential electors in 100% of the states, there are no property requirements for voting in any state, and the state-by-state winner-take-all rule is used by 48 of the 50 states.
The normal process of effecting change in the method of electing the President is specified in the U.S. Constitution, namely action by the state legislatures. This is how the current system was created, and this is the built-in method that the Constitution provides for making changes.
I am a Leftist spreading agitprop on this topic.
Reply To This
Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, February 1st at 2:21PM EST (link)If you don’t use the reply to this buttons, nobody knows what you’re talking about.
And you didn’t even address the interstate compact issue. Cut the canned spam and debate us without copy and paste, please.
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the National Popular Vote bill
mvymvy Monday, February 1st at 2:22PM EST (link)The people vote for President now in all 50 states and have done so in most states for 200 years.
So, the issue raised by the National Popular Vote legislation is not about whether there will be “mob rule” in presidential elections, but whether the “mob” in a handful of closely divided battleground states, such as Florida, get disproportionate attention from presidential candidates, while the “mobs” of the vast majority of states are ignored. 98% of the 2008 campaign events involving a presidential or vice-presidential candidate occurred in just 15 closely divided “battleground” states. Over half (57%) of the events were in just four states (Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania and Virginia). Similarly, 98% of ad spending took place in these 15 “battleground” states.
I am a Leftist spreading agitprop on this topic.
I don't think you can reasonably take a modern day phenomenon...
kyoufuu (Diary) Monday, February 1st at 2:43PM EST (link)And say it will apply in perpetuity.
What does it matter where vast majority of 2008 money was spent? Electoral trends change constantly. To throw out 200+ years of history, and to step all over the constitution and intent of the founders for political convenience is reckless.
“There are more instances of the abridgment of the freedom of the people by gradual and silent encroachments of those in power than by violent and sudden usurpations.” — James Madison
“I swear by my life, and my love of it, that I will never live for the sake of another man, nor ask another man to live for mine.”
2004 campaign also ignored 34 states
mvymvy Tuesday, February 2nd at 2:24PM EST (link)Similarly, in 2004, candidates concentrated over two-thirds of their money and campaign visits in five states and over 99% of their money in 16 states.
I am a Leftist spreading agitprop on this topic.
I would still call 2004 a fairly "modern" period...
kyoufuu (Diary) Tuesday, February 2nd at 2:46PM EST (link)What about 1996? ’92? ’84? Go back even furtherl. I’d still posit that the system is not worth disbanding if this has only been the case for a few election cycles. The fact is that the mood and electorate change. There will be periods where certain areas are important, and periods where the whole country is in play. That’s the nature of the beast.
“There are more instances of the abridgment of the freedom of the people by gradual and silent encroachments of those in power than by violent and sudden usurpations.” — James Madison
“I swear by my life, and my love of it, that I will never live for the sake of another man, nor ask another man to live for mine.”
Every voter, in every election should matter equally
mvymvy Tuesday, February 2nd at 5:37PM EST (link)The only way a candidate for president can be legitimate according to democratic principles is to win the popular vote of the entire country, and to campaign in and care about the entire country, not just in the so-called “swing” states. Every voter in every state, in every presidential election, and every campaign worker must know that each vote counts and each effort to elect a candidate counts. That is not so in our present system.
It is a simple matter that every vote, everywhere, every presidential election, should count as much as anyone else’s, as it does in elections for other offices. In elections, under the National Popular Vote system, every vote is equal and politically relevant., The winner and loser(s) would simply be determined by the greatest number (small or large) of individual votes, like other elections.
I am a Leftist spreading agitprop on this topic.
1789 called, they want their argument back (nt)
Neil Stevens (Diary) Tuesday, February 2nd at 5:55PM EST (link)RS contributing editor, technical administrator, and “a hardy variety of crabgrass.”
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Unlikely Voter: Poll Analysis, Election Projection.
“I rejoice that America has resisted.” – William Pitt, the Elder
Except we're not a democracy, we're a republic. There's a difference, and it's that way for a reason. (nt)
kyoufuu (Diary) Wednesday, February 3rd at 8:45AM EST (link)“There are more instances of the abridgment of the freedom of the people by gradual and silent encroachments of those in power than by violent and sudden usurpations.” — James Madison
“I swear by my life, and my love of it, that I will never live for the sake of another man, nor ask another man to live for mine.”
A great argument for mob rule.
Danielle Davis (ocleverone) (Diary) Wednesday, February 3rd at 8:51AM EST (link)How did that work out for Socrates in the Athenian society?
To me, “consensus” seems to be the process of abandoning all beliefs, principles, values and policies. So it is something in which no one believes and to which no one objects … There are still people in my party who believe in “consensus” politics. I regard them as Quislings, as traitors … I mean it. — Margaret Thatcher
let's change the rest of the Constitution
streiff (Diary) Wednesday, February 3rd at 9:07AM EST (link)while were at it. I have a problem with a lot of the 1st and 4th Amendments.
“What keeps me here is the reek of beer, the ladies and the craic”
Interstate Compacts
mvymvy Monday, February 1st at 2:23PM EST (link)Article I-Section 10, Clause 3 of the U.S. Constitution specifically permits states enter interstate compacts. In fact, there are hundreds of major compacts currently in force (and thousands of minor ones), as can be seen at
http://www.csg.org/programs/ncic/default.aspx
I am a Leftist spreading agitprop on this topic.
So where's the approval for your compact? (nt)
Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, February 1st at 2:25PM EST (link)RS contributing editor, technical administrator, and “a hardy variety of crabgrass.”
Read the RedState Posting Rules
Unlikely Voter: Poll Analysis, Election Projection.
“I rejoice that America has resisted.” – William Pitt, the Elder
And one more time
Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, February 1st at 2:25PM EST (link)If you don’t start using Reply to This we’re just going to have to start making fun of you.
RS contributing editor, technical administrator, and “a hardy variety of crabgrass.”
Read the RedState Posting Rules
Unlikely Voter: Poll Analysis, Election Projection.
“I rejoice that America has resisted.” – William Pitt, the Elder
Neil - he might be having a problem with the "Reply to this" button...
kyoufuu (Diary) Monday, February 1st at 2:30PM EST (link)I tried to reply to one of his posts, and found that clicking on the button simply launched me back to the top of the page.
It similarly occurred when I clicked on any “reply to this” button. Is this a common problem? I’ve noticed it now and then.
“There are more instances of the abridgment of the freedom of the people by gradual and silent encroachments of those in power than by violent and sudden usurpations.” — James Madison
“I swear by my life, and my love of it, that I will never live for the sake of another man, nor ask another man to live for mine.”
And it started working when I x'd out of RS and then reopened a new tab...(nt)
kyoufuu (Diary) Monday, February 1st at 2:35PM EST (link)“There are more instances of the abridgment of the freedom of the people by gradual and silent encroachments of those in power than by violent and sudden usurpations.” — James Madison
“I swear by my life, and my love of it, that I will never live for the sake of another man, nor ask another man to live for mine.”
Ehh... not sure how I feel about
aesthete (Diary) Monday, February 1st at 2:44PM EST (link)#6. For one thing, it could lead to voter fraud, but more importantly, since there is no correlation between having children and being an informed voter, I don’t see what social benefit universal suffrage would confer.
The act of defending any of the cardinal virtues has today all the exhilaration of a vice – G.K. Chesterton
term limits
streiff (Diary) Wednesday, February 3rd at 9:08AM EST (link)have been ruled unconstitutional.
“What keeps me here is the reek of beer, the ladies and the craic”
streiff, can you post a case in reference or a link to a decision?
kyoufuu (Diary) Wednesday, February 3rd at 9:20AM EST (link)Not because I don’t believe you, but just because I want to read about it.
“There are more instances of the abridgment of the freedom of the people by gradual and silent encroachments of those in power than by violent and sudden usurpations.” — James Madison
“I swear by my life, and my love of it, that I will never live for the sake of another man, nor ask another man to live for mine.”
see below
streiff (Diary) Wednesday, February 3rd at 9:37AM EST (link)http://www.ncsl.org/Default.aspx?TabId=14838
These are state cases but each time the courts have addressed term limits they have struck them down on the grounds that states cannot impose qualifications upon the election of federal officials above those in the Constitution.
“What keeps me here is the reek of beer, the ladies and the craic”
Cool, thanks. I'll be sure to give a read (nt)
kyoufuu (Diary) Wednesday, February 3rd at 10:12AM EST (link)“There are more instances of the abridgment of the freedom of the people by gradual and silent encroachments of those in power than by violent and sudden usurpations.” — James Madison
“I swear by my life, and my love of it, that I will never live for the sake of another man, nor ask another man to live for mine.”
And, thanks largely to our friend NT, I've come more and more around...
randy streu (Diary) Wednesday, February 3rd at 9:25AM EST (link)to the idea that they’re pointless. We get the government we deserve. If enough idiots keep voting in idiots, kicking them out isn’t going to change anything; we’ll just keep voting in more idiots.
Plus, having term limits creates situations where candidates can vote for bad legislation without fear of reprisal from their constituents.
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