……. How many minutes after the official notice arrives does our Dictator In Training Pants hit the hardwood for some 3-on 3, or set the guest list for the next White House par-tay ?
The other part of that question is……… As China unpegs from The US Dollar, does the FDIC order pension plans to buy into ‘failed’ banks and how much more will The Fed monetize things ?
Four news stories from the wire services………
China 1…..
President Barack Obama vowed in early February to “get much tougher” in trade disputes with China and to press for an end to currency regimes that he said depress export prices and put US companies at a disadvantage. The US Treasury has the option of declaring Beijing a currency manipulator in a report due out in April, which could set the stage for a complaint to the World Trade Organization and possible sanctions on Chinese goods.
— — — — —
China 2…..
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109&sid=a0SAtnNhx70w
China plans to nullify all guarantees local governments have provided for loans taken by their financing vehicles as concerns about credit risks on such debt increases.
The Ministry of Finance will also ban all future guarantees by local governments and legislatures in rules that may be issued as early as this month, Yan Qingmin, head of the banking regulator’s Shanghai branch, said in an interview.
— — — — —
FDIC Wants Pension Plans To Buy Banks…..
The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. is trying to encourage public retirement funds that control more than $US2 trillion to buy all or part of failed lenders, taking a more direct role in propping up the banking system, said people briefed on the matter.
snip
“Financially sophisticated people do not assume that banks have recognized all of their real estate losses,” Kramer said, adding that it can still be a bad deal if a buyer overpays for a deposit franchise or if loans perform worse than expected. “We are in the early innings for commercial real estate.”
— — — — —
The Fed…..
The US Federal Reserve says it is making more financial institutions eligible for a program to drain some of the unprecedented liquidity it added to markets during the credit crisis.
snip
The challenge for the Fed is to withdraw the stimulus it has pumped into the system and raise rates before its efforts to jump-start the economy spur inflation. At the same time, if it withdraws its supports too quickly, it could undermine the nascent recovery.
=================
Lovely.
Just bloody lovely.
Kenny Solomon
DC Works For Us
www.dcworksforus.com
Steve Maley
Neil Stevens
The Federal Reserve is as federal
Viet71 (Diary) Monday, March 8th at 6:33PM EST (link)as is Federal Express.
Formed in 1913, the Federal Reserve System has become an out-of-control monster. It prints our currency. It buys T-bills from the Treasury and is paid interest by the U.S. taxpayer.
JFK wanted to shut it down. I have some of his “silver certificates.”
Any surprise he was gunned down?
Interest rates are going to take off.
RoguePolitics (Diary) Monday, March 8th at 10:13PM EST (link)The amazing thing will be to watch the defenders of the FED here at RS and at DKos make excuses for the coming disaster.
“So much of left-wing thought is a kind of playing with fire by people who don’t even know that fire is hot.” George Orwell
“Ancient Rome declined because it had a Senate, now what’s going to happen to us with both a House and a Senate?” Will Rogers
When the American spirit was in its youth, the language of America was different: Liberty, sir, was the primary object. Patrick Henry
http://theprecinctproject.wordpress.com
Because the Republican Party is NOT going to fix the Republican Party.
http://americanamendment.com/
Because Washington is NOT going to fix Washington.
Yup. There will be some inflation.
revivefederalism (Diary) Tuesday, March 9th at 3:54AM EST (link)Inflation is a lot better than insolvency. Inflation means businessmen need to deal with ‘menu costs’, which means renegotiating contracts to reflect new relative costs and benefits. Insolvency results when there isn’t enough money to flow through the system of existing debts. When the pipes of credit go dry, lawyers get involved, Congress decides it must do something, and then all economic activity grinds to a halt.
Admittedly, a lot of these problems could be mitigated if we didn’t have a tax code that induced corporate leverage, an antiquated corporate bankruptcy system whose main current advantage is that it affords companies an opportunity to cancel union contracts that they should never have had to enter in the first place, public pension funds that would become underfunded if poorly chosen securities in their portfolios were to default, or a national housing policy that redirects massive amounts of capital away from more productive activities.
If you think that the only way that people will figure out the folly of all of the aforementioned policies is if tight monetary policy allows them to cause a crash, this has some merit. It’s not at all clear that an economic collapse that is actually due to the distortions of government policy won’t get spun as a failure of capitalism and used as an excuse for an even larger government role. It would be good to eventually disabuse investors of the belief in the Bernanke put option, but I don’t think it should be the first item on the agenda of economic reform.
If you really think that inflation is going to be a truly severe problem, the solution is simple. Sell any non-inflation linked bonds. Take out fixed rate loans. Buy any real asset. Cases of WHISKEY qualify! If you turn out to be wrong on inflation expectations because there are massive unforeseen productivity improvements and technological advances, there’s a good chance that you’ll fell the need to start drinking heavily.
Whiskey for my men, Beer for my horses.
RoguePolitics (Diary) Tuesday, March 9th at 8:59AM EST (link)Look at the math. If we hit interests rates as high as the early 80′s, and these times seem worse, then what will debt service be?
Rates hit 20% before.
Congress shows no inclination to stop spending.
The debt is at $14,000,000,000,000. (seems like too many zero’s)
Most of our current debt is short term debt. We financed our country with an ARM essentially.
Thanks to that ARM, we will pay whatever the highest interest rates are.
The current debt at 20% means $2,800,000,000,000 per year in interest.
The total receipts estimate for FY 2010 is $2.381T.
From (The United States Federal Budget for Fiscal Year 2010, titled A New Era of Responsibility: Renewing America’s Promise) Obama’s budget.
As congress keeps borrowing, the debt is projected to hit $24T within 10 years.
or $4.8T in annual interest payments if rates haven’t come back down.
OK. What if we don’t hit interest rates THAT high? Maybe only 10%.
Still leaves debt service at $1.4T. Over half of the actual revenue of the government going to pay interest. After 10 years interest will be $2.4T. Of course the assumption is inflation is going to save us all. When a cheeseburger from the discount menu at McDonald’s costs $1,000,000 a Trillion dollar debt doesn’t seem so bad right? (Million Dollar Menu, I should trademark that for future use.)
The budget projections aren’t forecasting even the smaller rate of 10%. When the rates hit 10% or 20% the $10T in new borrowing will become $20T or $30T.
This is a snowball. As the higher borrowing becomes necessary to service a higher than planned for debt then the payments also get higher and so on.
As the cost of living in dollar terms gets higher so does the costs of government. So $4T budgets become $10T budgets. If the proportional rate of borrowing persists then we’ll borrow at least $4T to make that $10T budget. Before accounting for the noted increase in debt service.
There comes a point in the lives of many Americans where they sit down in front of a little bald headed guy who has three calculators on his desk and he is able to use all three simultaneously. And he begins to explain how things are going to be from now on. The fancy house is gone, the cars are gone, the boat is no more.
We don’t yet know Hu the accountant will be that will preside over our national bankruptcy. We might be able to guess Hu. First we’ll need to figure out Hu we owe the most money to. Hu has the most to gain? Hu would like to see us suffer?
If we can put that all together then we will know Hu. Or Hu will know us.
On the topic of hard assets I agree. Anybody who doesn’t have them will certainly lose a lot in a high or hyperinflationary period.
Another thing to remember about inflating your way out of this. The purpose of inflating your way out of debt is to reduce the REAL value of the debt by reducing the REAL value of the medium the debt is denominated in. In this case the dollar. It is a way of ripping off your debt holder.
Who will we be screwing when we do this? China? Grandma? The small but successful business that has managed to put away a little in a rainy day fund? The idiots bought government bonds; what were they thinking?
Once again the guy who did the right thing, lived within his means, will be getting burned by Big Brother.
“So much of left-wing thought is a kind of playing with fire by people who don’t even know that fire is hot.” George Orwell
“Ancient Rome declined because it had a Senate, now what’s going to happen to us with both a House and a Senate?” Will Rogers
When the American spirit was in its youth, the language of America was different: Liberty, sir, was the primary object. Patrick Henry
http://theprecinctproject.wordpress.com
Because the Republican Party is NOT going to fix the Republican Party.
http://americanamendment.com/
Because Washington is NOT going to fix Washington.
That's what the Fed's opponents have been saying for what, 35 years?
Neil Stevens (Diary) Tuesday, March 9th at 4:45AM EST (link)We’ll see.
RS contributing editor, technical administrator, and “a hardy variety of crabgrass.”
Read the RedState Posting Rules
Unlikely Voter: Poll Analysis, Election Projection.
“I rejoice that America has resisted.” – William Pitt, the Elder
100 years
RoguePolitics (Diary) Tuesday, March 9th at 9:03AM EST (link)The conservatives who opposed the creation of the FED knew this is where it would eventually go.
It has always been the inevitable result of living beyond your means.
The FED was designed to allow the government to live beyond its means.
btw, How do you format text in comments like smileys and bold, etc?
“So much of left-wing thought is a kind of playing with fire by people who don’t even know that fire is hot.” George Orwell
“Ancient Rome declined because it had a Senate, now what’s going to happen to us with both a House and a Senate?” Will Rogers
When the American spirit was in its youth, the language of America was different: Liberty, sir, was the primary object. Patrick Henry
http://theprecinctproject.wordpress.com
Because the Republican Party is NOT going to fix the Republican Party.
http://americanamendment.com/
Because Washington is NOT going to fix Washington.
The smileys are automatic
Neil Stevens (Diary) Tuesday, March 9th at 10:54AM EST (link)Formatting is html.
RS contributing editor, technical administrator, and “a hardy variety of crabgrass.”
Read the RedState Posting Rules
Unlikely Voter: Poll Analysis, Election Projection.
“I rejoice that America has resisted.” – William Pitt, the Elder