Morning Briefing for August 25, 2010


RedState Morning Briefing

For August 25, 2010

Go to www.RedStateMB.com to get
the Morning Briefing every morning at no charge.

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1. Marco Rubio is Solidly Ahead in Florida.

An untrained observer, looking at the RCP Average of polling conducted in the Florida Senate race, might conclude that Marco Rubio and Charlie Crist are in a virtual tie. A fool might look at these numbers and conclude Charlie Crist is more likely to win. However, a person with an even casual understanding of how polls are conducted will understand that this polling shows Marco Rubio to be a solid favorite in this race, with a lead roughly as comfortable as that of Kelly Ayotte in New Hampshire and Rand Paul in Kentucky.

The explanation for this, of course, lies in sample of persons polled by the respective organizations polling this race. From the beginning of this race, Quinnipiac University and the St. Petersburg Times have polled registered voters, a set which purports to winnow out at least those adults not eligible to vote. Rasmussen and Mason-Dixon, on the other hand, have consistently polled “likely voters,” which purports to be a subset of registered voters who are judged to be more representative of the people who can be counted on to actually cast a vote on Election Day.

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2. Rick Scott Wins

It was one of the nastiest primaries anyone could remember in Florida. Scott and McCollum spent millions attacking each other — Scott with his own fortune and McCollum with a great deal of third party group money.

McCollum’s campaign orchestrated stunt after stunt to highlight the baggage Scott would bring to the general election, but it was not enough.

Rick Scott, a conservative businessman and healthcare executive, won the Republican nomination — barely even losing to McCollum in McCollum’s own home county.

Scott ran as an outsider and the entire GOP establishment in Florida lined up against him. Most of the conservative establishment in Washington also lined up against him.

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3. Charlatans and the Horse They Rode In On

I have been biting my tongue so hard for so long that I’m surprised I haven’t developed gangrene, but the time has come to open my mouth, or at least put fingers to the keyboard.

I have for years been shouting into the wind about those I believe are conservative charlatans abusing the money of donors, burning bridges, and making it all the more difficult for solid conservative activists to gain the trust of large conservative donors.

As I told Ken Vogel a few weeks ago, “Every movement — left, right, center or no political affiliation whatsoever — attracts its contingent of scammers and con artists and charlatans, and it takes a while for that to sort itself out . . . . And that’s why a lot of the money is still sitting on the sidelines.”

And now there is this.

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4. Intel CEO Otellini: The Democrats Are Destroying our Economy

This is a stunning indictment from the leader of one of America’s most successful technology companies.

The most disturbing part of Otellini’s comments is that he says nothing groundbreaking, nothing unexpected, and nothing that we have not heard many times before. Otellini talks about regulation, taxation, litigation and transparency – all issues that have been cited by business leaders for years. But our ‘leaders’ in Washington ignore these concerns, and instead pile on more taxes, more regulation, more litigation costs, greater uncertainty about the climate going forward. And they do all this while claiming to be ‘pro-jobs.’

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The real

rdelbov Wednesday, August 25th at 7:46AM EST (link)

drama did not take place like many thought in AZ but in AK? Murkowski is trailing Miller. There are tons of votes to still be counted. I need check out Anchorage Times or SOS for latest results. Looks like a huge upset could be happening.

Big wins for Scott in FL-Kelly in AZ8-Quayle in AZ3.

Its early but the indications are that turnout records for midterm primaries-on the GOP side-apparently were set in Florida/AZ/AK. There are over 20 states where that has happened in 2010. Republicans are turning out. I think that’s a huge untold story for 2010. You want to see where the passion is? Its the republicans/conservatives turning out to vote

 

Congratulations to Joe Miller

Coop Wednesday, August 25th at 8:56AM EST (link)

He’s ahead of Lisa Murkowski 51-49%, with absentee ballots remaining to be counted. Whether he holds on or not (and of course I hope he does), he succeeded in once again showing the GOP establishment it had better govern/legislate from the right or its days are numbered. For her part, Ms. Murkowski has already taken a petty shot at Sarah Palin. [grin]

And to think that the first article I read this morning, on Yahoo, was by some “journalist” talking about how the TEA Party’s influence is waning. Of course, the author also mentioned how John McCain needed to spend over $20 million to win his primary race!

here's the information from Alaska

rdelbov Wednesday, August 25th at 10:25AM EST (link)

that is available right now. There are 9 precincts out–7 of them are mostly small. There are two precinct that have about 2500 registered voterst. They are in Barrow and Browerville. Not sure how many votes were cast in GOP primary. This was an area that Murkowski carried. You might see several vote edge to her in these last 9 precincts. Maybe–not sure.

There are still the absentee ballots to be counted. There were 16 thousand ballots sent out. About halve have been returned. None are counted.

I suspect about 90% of the 16K will be returned. 2/3 or so will be GOP absentee. So maybe 8K ballots to be counted next Tuesday the 31st.

No idea how the absentee ballots will go.

Thanks, rdelbov

Sean (SIConservative) (Diary) Wednesday, August 25th at 10:31AM EST (link)

Great info. Where’d you get it?

There are two good sources

rdelbov Wednesday, August 25th at 10:51AM EST (link)

of AK information that I use.

The AK SOS site (Secretary of State) and then clink on elections. There are a series of PDF’s for statewide results and legislative districts. Alaska does not have counties–at least not that I know of. They keep track of votes based on the 40 house legislative seats. There are 10 precincts or so within every legislative district.

Anchorage daily news has good election info as well.

Not being a native Alaskan I am not sure when you request an absentee whether its party spefic or you just fill out the correct section or the correct choice. So its strictly a guess on absentee ballots.

Your place to vote might be 40 miles away so absentee voting is common-saves time and gas. Its common in urban and rural areas. So how those votes break is a guess.

 
 
 
 

Jimmy Carter in North Korea negotiating release of American.

Kenny Solomon (Diary) Wednesday, August 25th at 9:09AM EST (link)

http://www.breitbart.com/article.php?id=D9HQH2F80

Former President Jimmy Carter arrived Wednesday in the capital of communist North Korea on a private, humanitarian mission to bring home an American sentenced to eight years’ hard labor for trespassing.

U.S. State Department spokesman P.J. Crowley said in Washington that he would not comment on Carter’s trip.

“We do not want to jeopardize the prospects for Mr. Gomes to be returned home by discussing any details related to private humanitarian efforts to get him released and back here safely to the United States,” Crowley told reporters Tuesday.

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Smell test – Fail.

Plausible denial – Send Carter to apologize for America – Call it a ‘private mission’.

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Kim Jong Mentally-Ill says: OK Cahtah, we lerease Amelican, but Amelica must folget we make nooks. You go terr boy plesident that the onry way Gomes see any so-carred fleedom.

I'm up for a trade. nt

mbecker908 (Diary) Wednesday, August 25th at 9:38AM EST (link)