On New Jersey Exiting Polling


From a pollster friend:

I’m sensing the NJ exits maybe skewed to Dems…they had Health care at 18%, most important issue. Economy was #1 at 31% and property taxes 2 at 25%. Corruption was at 20%. Property taxes was always the #1 issue in everyone’s statewide.

UPDATE: North New Jersey Democrats are beginning to fret that Corzine did not pick up enough support in the area to over come exit pollings that, even skewed to the Democrats, show Christie picking up +50% of independents and Corzine less than 40%.


Category: , ,

RSS feed

21 Comments Leave a comment

Is that why Corzine...

swami7774 (Diary) Tuesday, November 3rd at 7:38PM EST (link)

…has blown it open on Intrade in the last couple of hours?

Today, there is a name for the political doctrine that rejoices in scarcity of everything except government. The name is environmentalism.

 

No Way

Swamp_Yankee (Diary) Tuesday, November 3rd at 7:41PM EST (link)

Everthing in New Jersey is always on the level. Always.

 

Huh?

lurker9876 Tuesday, November 3rd at 7:46PM EST (link)

what do you mean…skewed to the Dems?

That Corzine is winning?

Can’t believe that Fox News says it’s too close to call VA.

Or does that mean that the exits overrepresent the Dems

6eorge Jetson (Diary) Tuesday, November 3rd at 7:51PM EST (link)

As of 7:49PM on Intrade

McDonnell 99
Hoffman 85
Cristie 40 and slowly rising over the past half hour

 

lurker- Have you missed

Scope (Diary) Tuesday, November 3rd at 8:08PM EST (link)

that the VA trifecta is currently getting 60 something % of the vote, as reported by FOX. Go somewhere else to look for your losers, it ain’t the Republicans in VA. Like all Liberals, they just can’t get their heads wrapted around the truth.

 

lurker- Have you missed

Scope (Diary) Tuesday, November 3rd at 8:08PM EST (link)

that the VA trifecta is currently getting 60 something % of the vote, as reported by FOX. Go somewhere else to look for your losers, it ain’t the Republicans in VA. Like all Liberals, they just can’t get their heads wrapted around the truth.

that guy needs to change his name

leftylurker (Diary) Tuesday, November 3rd at 8:10PM EST (link)

got me all confused

=)

Cleanup needed over here

Scope (Diary) Tuesday, November 3rd at 8:13PM EST (link)

To falsley say that FOX is calling VA to close to call is a troller. You really need to go, big time. On Redstate no one reports false information, NO ONE.

 
 

Actually, Scope

lurker9876 Tuesday, November 3rd at 8:15PM EST (link)

I want the VA trifecta to win and it looks like it is going to be a trifecta.

Yahoo!

Let’s make sure that this IS a referendum.

 
 
 

Fox and VA

regent2009 (Diary) Tuesday, November 3rd at 7:49PM EST (link)

I thought that they were saying its too early to call, which means that there is just isn’t enough raw vote, not that it is necessarily close.

“I hope I live to see the day when, as in the early days of our country, we won’t have any public schools. The churches will have taken them over again and Christians will be running them. What a happy day that will be!,” Jerry Falwell

That's true.

swami7774 (Diary) Tuesday, November 3rd at 7:52PM EST (link)

If you go back and look at Election Night coverage from 2000 and ’04, VA was never called right away or W–yet he won the state twice by double-digits.
Most networks are loathe to make quick calls since Florida ’00–and rightly so.

Today, there is a name for the political doctrine that rejoices in scarcity of everything except government. The name is environmentalism.

 

I was messing with y'all...

DONTREADONME (Diary) Tuesday, November 3rd at 7:53PM EST (link)

that was kind of meant as a joke, knowing that the polls closed only 23 minutes ago, I am looking at the numbers now and every county that I expected to go Deeds is going Deeds and vice versa. I will make a prediction and the percentages will look like Bush to Kerry 2004 ratio, which of course is not a great breakthrough as we would hope. Of course, the VA delegate breakdown is also important to us in VA, an all R Richmond means good things.

 
 

A Tweet from PPP

Sundayjack (Diary) Tuesday, November 3rd at 7:50PM EST (link)

ppppolls Exit shows Christie up 25 with independents, we had him up 23

“Of all tyrannies, a tyranny sincerely exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It would be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies.”

 

Comparing Exits to PPP Polling:

sacody Tuesday, November 3rd at 8:01PM EST (link)

In the PPP poll giving Christie a six point lead, he only had a 52 percent share of the independent vote. I can see why Democrats are upset with his projected 58% share.

 

According to CNN exit polls

nycenterright Tuesday, November 3rd at 8:23PM EST (link)

If corzine wins all dems and Christie wins all reps, Corzine needs 40% of turnout to be dems. It was 44% in 2008, so I doubt he’ll get there.

 

Fox had....

wolfgang Tuesday, November 3rd at 8:26PM EST (link)

…Christie polling 68 per cent of the white male voters, less of the white female vote. That still leaves the Democrats needing a lot of votes from the other ethnic groups. They may be more votes shy than they will be able to muster from the cemetary’s voters

 

From NJ.com

Republican_Michigander (Diary) Tuesday, November 3rd at 8:32PM EST (link)

Way early, and I DON’T know what’s in.

Christie – 16191 – 51%
Corzine – 12720 – 40%
Daggett – 8%

Less Government, More Freedom

http://republicanmichigander.blogspot.com

 

1% in

sharonmcp (Diary) Tuesday, November 3rd at 8:32PM EST (link)

FOX is reporting Christie at 50%, Corzine 41%.

“Above all, we must realize that no arsenal, or no weapon in the arsenals of the world, is so formidable as the will and moral courage of free men and women.” ~ Ronald Reagan

 

5% in

sharonmcp (Diary) Tuesday, November 3rd at 8:46PM EST (link)

FOX reporting Christie at 55%, Corzine 38%.

“Above all, we must realize that no arsenal, or no weapon in the arsenals of the world, is so formidable as the will and moral courage of free men and women.” ~ Ronald Reagan

 

12% In

redtillimdead (Diary) Tuesday, November 3rd at 8:53PM EST (link)

Christie 51.3%
Corzine 42.4%
Daggett 5.5%
http://elections.nytimes.com/2009/results/new-jersey.html
Bergen beginning to come in
If Christie can win Bergen, he stands a good chance of winning

Nancy Pelosi can kiss my asstroturf.

 

29% in

sharonmcp (Diary) Tuesday, November 3rd at 9:09PM EST (link)

FOX showing Christie at 50%, Corzine 43%

“Above all, we must realize that no arsenal, or no weapon in the arsenals of the world, is so formidable as the will and moral courage of free men and women.” ~ Ronald Reagan