The game is not over, but the clock is running out. And signs are starting to point to what we’ve thought all along.
Creigh Deeds is toast in Virginia. Now, the rats are scurrying from the ship.
Democratic candidates for Virginia’s House are subtly distancing themselves from Creigh Deeds’ struggling bid for governor as the top of their ticket faces mounting troubles.
While not denouncing Deeds or supporting his Republican opponent, Bob McDonnell, down-ballot Democrats are downplaying the importance of the marquee race’s outcome and emphasizing themselves as self-contained candidates.
All polls are showing Bob McDonnell ahead of Deeds and a sizable number are showing McDonnell outside the margin of error. Even more disastrous for the Virginia Democrats is that the polls are also showing the other statewide races to be in the Republicans’ favor — Lieutenant Governor and Attorney General.
Not since Dathan campaigned against Moses in the the Ten Commandants has a campaign been so disastrously craptacular. Well, there is Kay Bailey Hutchison, but I’m talking the 2009 election cycle and before.
Fortunately for Deeds, McDonnell has no stone tablet to throw at him and the ground will most likely not open up and swallow him whole as it did Dathan.
Still, when the Democrats are asking “Creigh who” when people ask them about Deeds’ campaign, he can’t be happy.
Moe Lane
Neil Stevens
Steve Maley
Dan McLaughlin
1st person perspective
mbauer (Diary) Sunday, October 11th at 11:09AM EST (link)In Charlottesville (town of University of Virginia) I’d say Obama stickers / signs outnumbered McCain 8 to 1.
For McDonnell to Deeds, I’d say it’s very close to even in Charlottesville – and outside of town McDonnel has a large advantage. The ONLY part of the state Deeds may win is NOVA.
Awesome.
NeoKong (Diary) Sunday, October 11th at 11:28AM EST (link)Things are looking good for Christie in Jersey too.
RCP average.</a.
If Jersey goes red it will be a tectonic plate shift.
Follow me on Twitter.
Look at the line
redtillimdead (Diary) Sunday, October 11th at 11:44AM EST (link)Corzine is staying steady, but Christie is dropping. That is NOT good. The Independent who is taking many votes from Christie was just endorsed by the states largest newspaper. Not looking good.
Anyway, in VA, we can’t let our guard down. In the new Mason-Dixon poll, McDonnell is up 48-40, the same exact numbers as Mason-Dixon’s 2005 poll of the AG race between Deeds and McDonnell, this far out. It looks good now, but we can’t get cocky….yet.
Nancy Pelosi can kiss my asstroturf.
So if the independent forces a run off
mbauer (Diary) Sunday, October 11th at 12:22PM EST (link)Has anyone ever looked at the R/D win % for run offs. I’ve been under the assumption that R’s tend to gain a few points in run offs.
Indie Bids Tend To Fade Down The Stretch (re: NJ)
IJB Sunday, October 11th at 4:23PM EST (link)A good example of that was Perot.
My guess is that the Indie in NJ is back below 10% support by the weekend before the election. If that happens, expect Christie to pull out the pick-up.
And to answer mbauer’s question, I don’t believe NJ has a run-off – so if someone wins even with just 40%, they’ll win the whole thing…
New Jersey and it's twin, California
Janice Cantore Sunday, October 11th at 12:22PM EST (link)Apparently, Christie has done his best to flush a double digit lead down the toilet in NJ. New Jersey is the California of the east coast. That state will reelect a corupt, inept, democrate because the republican is a buffoon. Same here, Moonbeam Brown is leadng every poll, Boxer is not the least worried about any of her challengers, I want to ask why people are so stupid, but where are the dynamic, engaging leaders with clear messages?
Janice Cantore
In the Peoples Republic of Michigan, I'm asking the same thing
gekster (Diary) Sunday, October 11th at 7:59PM EST (link)After Granb…holm trashed the state in her first term, these idiots voted her in again and got another term of trash.
This after three terms of Engler and no major statewide problems.
Low unemployment, low taxes and healthy state revenues.
When Engler left office, he got the income tax down to 2.1%.
Under Granb…holm, it is 4.9% for this year, we have a huge budget deficit,
and they’re going to raise taxes again for this next budget..
We also have one of the highest buisiness taxes in the WORLD.
The worst part is that she did this with a REBUBLICAN House and Senate.
I better stop cause I’m starting to go on a rant,
but I will tell you I have proof in The Peoples Republic of Michigan
that Republican and Conservative are NOT the same thing.
And I know everyone knows about Michigan.
Socialism at its best.
They say Republicans are for the rich, Democrats are for the poor.
If they need more voters,
then they have to make more of who they are for.
We are there in the various Tea Party groups, leaderless, but not rudderless.
We steer always toward the Constitutional principles this nation was founded upon.
Erick Brockway
Ok folks, 2012 is here. Get involved
Hopefully Deeds is as bad as Fieger was in 1998.
6eorge Jetson (Diary) Sunday, October 11th at 11:04PM EST (link)Running as the Democratic candidate against Engler in the general, Fieger imploded and lost 62-38 in the People’s Republic of Michigan. (Fieger rose to fame as the attorney for Dr Death Jack Kevorkian.)
Geoffrey Fieger
Best headline ever...
KeepOhioRed (Diary) Monday, October 12th at 12:04AM EST (link)Stealing this one!
Are we even sure NoVa is a lock for Deeds?
ddstrain (Diary) Sunday, October 11th at 12:58PM EST (link)In my part of Fairfax (Mount Vernon) the GOP has a strong delegate candidate (Jay McConville) running against the Fairfax County Dem Chairman. I’ve already plugged for Jay on RS but you can see his website at www.gojay.org. We have more signs in the 44th district than I saw during the McCain-Obama campaign.
Usually the Dems run for delegate unopposed in Fairfax. Not now. We have Barbara Comstock running TV ads. We have some “atypical” GOP candidates, or so the Dems would like to think, like Sasha Gong (former Chinese political prisoner) running in the 46th district and Vicki Vasques running in the 45th. Jim LeMunyon out in western Fairfax is getting attacked.
The Dem candidates are getting rather nasty, in part because I think they see a shift. Maybe not tectonic shift, but definitely a “we sure as hell didn’t want this kind of change” shift. Like the national Dems, the locals thought that the Obama election was a wholesale abdication to the Neo-Prog agenda. They were wrong…and surprised that they were wrong.
I’ve seen no Wagner or Shannon bumper stickers or signs anywhere in the area, just the 3-candidate signs that are hard to read. No large format Dem signs. Virtually no Deeds bumperstickers. Little support or NoVa just being taken for granted? Not sure, but it is a different feel.
I’m not sure that Deeds will
have a huge margin in NoVa.
Wow
mbauer (Diary) Sunday, October 11th at 1:58PM EST (link)a VA dem failing to secure NOVA is like a dem presidential candidate failing to secure the North East. Ask McGovern, Carter, Mondale, and Dukakis how that went.
Charlottesville as an indicator
vamoose Sunday, October 11th at 10:07PM EST (link)“For McDonnell to Deeds, I’d say it’s very close to even in Charlottesville – and outside of town McDonnel has a large advantage.”
I visited Charlottesville this weekend and I too was surprised at the scarcity of Deeds campaign signs. It was noticeable to me as an outsider from Richmond. In addition, Deeds signs feature light blue on dark blue colors are tended to blend in with the vegetation and shadows. OTOH, McDonnell’s stood out and were easy to read.
I think Deed’s campaign plan was to emulate Webb: ride in the back seat and let the WaPo do the driving. This is quite encouraging for future elections in the Obama era. If the WaPo can no longer drag a Democrat across the finish line then very few newspapers anywhere in the country will be able to do so for other Dems in 2010.