Marco Rubio Gaining on Charlie Crist


Despite the spin being applied to this polling, Marco Rubio is making significant gains on Charlie Crist more than a year before the Florida Primary.

The Mason-Dixon Florida Poll, conducted last week among 625 registered voters, indicated 51 percent support for Crist — compared to 23 percent for Rubio. But that was largely a factor of Crist being far better known statewide than the former West Miami legislator.

What, that doesn’t sound good to you? Well, consider the relevant part:

Among Republicans who recognized both names, Crist’s lead was 33 percent to 31 percent. With an error margin of 6 percent, and 36 percent of GOP voters saying they are undecided, the figures were encouraging for Rubio.

“Half of the Republicans have never heard of Rubio but among the half that have, the race is essentially tied,” said Brad Coker, director of the Mason-Dixon poll. “If Rubio gets a little money and gets a little momentum going, it’s a dead heat.

The Governor of Florida and Speaker of the Florida House, among those who know them, are essentially tied.

And the race is more than a year away — plus it will be a closed primary.


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11 Comments Leave a comment

Another donation to Mr. Rubio on the way.

Kenny Solomon (Diary) Tuesday, June 30th at 10:27AM EST (link)

Just one question and I think Art Chance might be best to answer this.

When Mr. Rubio is about to pass Governor Crist, can he bump-draft the Governor and send him to the garage ?

;)

Cheers !

 

You should have heard the breathless panting on the news last night

Dave_in_Fla (Diary) Tuesday, June 30th at 10:28AM EST (link)

They were all over this poll ready to declare the election over now.

“If they were merely incompetent, then at least SOME of their actions would have been to the benefit of the country.” – Joe McCarthy

 

Just wait till this quarter's fundraising numbers

redloft Tuesday, June 30th at 10:48AM EST (link)

come out and you will know exactly why this election will not even be close.

 

I HEART closed primaries -nt

E Pluribus Unum (Diary) Tuesday, June 30th at 11:10AM EST (link)

Kill the Terrorists
Protect the Borders
Punch the Hippies h/t IMAO

 

To the left and MSM, Rubio = Estrada...

czs (Diary) Tuesday, June 30th at 11:17AM EST (link)

…meaning they want to get him early, in the primary, for fear he will later become a compelling national figure and show that you do not have to be a white male to be conservative or Rebublican. Hence, the unusual interest in this primary I have seen in national news and left-wing publications and blogs.

If you are as tired as I am of the powers-that-be shooting down any non-white or female conservative as soon as (or even before) they reach prominence, then turning around and crowing about what a “white male party” we are, then please send Rubio some dough.

 

Along with your donation

olsmithie (Diary) Tuesday, June 30th at 11:19AM EST (link)

send out an email to your buds. Give them a chance to make a difference. do it quick. Midnight is coming!
Mine runs thus:

You can help decide if the next Senator from Florida is a conservative or a squish.

http://clicks.electionemail.com/v/?u=f67f8e7218a406fcb4de2d903e203e42&g=496&c=2616&p=c836ae593afd01865caea900e56cc878&t=1

Hear what Jim DeMint had to say about Rubio:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=npCqVEB61BQ&feature=player_embedded

Regards

 

I'll be sending another pitance in July

The_Gadfly (Diary) Tuesday, June 30th at 1:14PM EST (link)

but its the best I can manage at the moment. I’ll try to make sure I send him my pitance at least once a quarter until the election. Well, the pitance + 2 cents.

 

People need to understand

Mayhem (Diary) Tuesday, June 30th at 4:56PM EST (link)

That Rubio would shift this seat to the right. We aren’t just battling to keep control, we are battling to make the GOP caucus more conservative in the aggregate. We need Rubio!

James Madison, Jim DeMint, Margaret Thatcher, Ronald Reagan… You get the picture.

 

I'm just being my usual cynical self

scarlos (Diary) Wednesday, July 1st at 5:42AM EST (link)

but who has the power to decide whether or not the state holds open or Closed Primaries? I remember John Warner won the Republican primary in Virginia in 2002 by changing the rules to make it open, allowing “independents” to vote for him, and seeing as Crist is a sitting governor, it might be in his power to change the primary rules in his favor.

Socialism is Oligarchy in disguise

It's the party's decision.

Achance (Diary) Wednesday, July 1st at 5:54AM EST (link)

If the open primary is codified in state law, the party may have to sue but the USSC has held on 1st Am. grounds that the party gets to determine who can act to choose its candidates.

In Vino Veritas

 
 

Crist going Indie (or even Dem)?

naraht Thursday, July 2nd at 10:20AM EST (link)

I’ve seen some speculation that Crist would have a better change of getting elected if he were to change his bid to Independent. Can he do what Lieberman did and change to Indie after losing in the Republican Primary or is there a “sore loser” law in Florida?

While Daily Kos would probably scream (it appears they actually like Meeks), could Crist survive if he were to actually cross the Aisle and run as a Democrat?

Would information indicating that Crist had actually been in the closet more likely to come out in a primary or the general?