Chuck Devore’s Mission


CHECK OUT www.chuckdevore.com

Late last week, I interviewed Chuck Devore, a California Assemblyman representing Orange County. Mr. Devore intends to challenge Barbara Boxer in 2010 for the United States Senate. He is an interesting candidate and a compelling choice for Republicans to embrace early.

Devore represents the Republican bastion of Orange County that, demographically, is slowly turning from red to blue. Despite the demographic change, Devore has been able to hold on the area in a way others have not. In 2004, Devore won a greater percentage of votes in his district than George Bush did, despite Devore having a Libertarian candidate on the ballot opposing him. In 2008, again Devore won a greater percentage of the vote than John McCain. “The GOP vote was depressed this year,” he tells me. The party ran with “a muddled vision of Democrat lite” and voters chose the real thing over the pretender, Devore explained.

Devore is one of those candidates who likes to make clear there are real differences between the Republicans and Democrats. “A majority of Californians now agree nuclear power is needed,” he tells me, pointing out Barbara Boxer disagrees. “A plurality also favor offshore drilling,” he tells me, again pointing out Barbara Boxer disagrees. Boxer, he emphasizes, “is an unreconstructed extremist liberal.” That’s red meat rhetoric that will play well to the Republican base.


Devore is committed to picking off Boxer. In 2010, an political earthquake is coming to California. He is taking advantage of it. This year, voters in California sided with the Governator and approved a proposal to have a non-partisan redistricting commission draw the redistricting lines. The commission will begin after the 2010 census. The proposal does not apply to congressional districts, but will shake up the California General Assembly.

“Right now, less than 10% of seats are competitive,” Devore fills me in. “60% will still be non-competitive after the new redistricting.” But the competitive 40% is still enough to shake things up. The Democrats in California have a simmering civil war competitive redistricting just might shake back into political fratricide. Urban white power brokers are more and more often clashing with the growing numbers of Latino and black voters in the state — voters who have helped lock in Democratic dominance.

Right as things are shaking up, Devore will be seizing the initiative against Boxer. She opposed Proposition 8 in hostile terms. Black and Latino voters, who have never been willing to embrace her too strongly, were on the other side — on Devore’s side. They are on his side on energy too. In fact, on many social issues and day to day life issues, Devore and the conservatives in California are much more in line with Latino voters and black voters than Barbara Boxer and the urban white elites whose policies have made it even more difficult for poorer families to survive.

It is not going to be easy, but Devore is an attractive candidate. He is a veteran, he is very articulate, and he relates well to regular people. As the Republican party seeks to rebuild its farm team across the country and conservatives look for new faces and new champions, all eyes should be on Chuck Devore and California.


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I'm sure I'll vote for DeVore gladly

Neil Stevens (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 11:30AM EST (link)

I apologize for the gloom ahead. But I’ve watched one exciting conservative after another fall badly in this state.

The thing is, I’m not sure that if this election turned on marriage, that DeVore could win. If the exit polls are even remotely accurate, Proposition 8′s win was driven by new Obama voters. I’m not so sure those voters will continue the habit in less ‘historic’ elections, as Boxer is only historic in her mental faculties (challenging the Ohio electors anyone?).

Prop. 8 won because it ran basically even in LA County. Without the leading source of left-wing votes behind it, the No on 8 coast couldn’t beat the Yes on 8 inland regions. But do we think people who voted for Maxine Waters will vote for Chuck DeVore?

Unfortunately I don’t see marriage being able to turn this election anyway. Garry South has written the Democratic playbook on making elections about abortion, especially when the Democrat is uncontested and a ‘moderate’ Republican runs against the race’s leading conservative.

The first play becomes to run ads on the ‘moderate’ explaining how that moderate is pro-abort, inflaming Republicans and killing his chances.

Then, once Republicans are all riled up on abortion, in the general the next play is to run ads on how the Democrat is for “a woman’s right to choose,” which will be more effective to the squishy left in this state coming from Boxer than it was coming from Davis.

Can she be beaten? Certainly. This isn’t Massachusetts. This is a state with large numbers of conservative Republicans. If something happens, we could take this seat the same way the Democrats took the seat soon to be vacated by Barack Obama.

So it’s great to have a legislator like DeVore running, and I’m sure he’d be a fine candidate to support in the general.

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Erick, he sounds like an ideal candidate in Georgia, not California

red_oakster (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 11:35AM EST (link)

I’m a pro-life social conservative, and would encourage candidates like Devore in every House district where the GOP is competitive.

There has not been a pro-life California senator since, I really don’t know when-certainly not since Roe v. Wade

We need someone who has statewide potential-Meg Whitman or Bill Simon (both happen to be pro-life btw). And frankly, as much as I dislike many of his positions, if Arnold is the only pol who has a realistic chance of beating Boxer, I prefer a Senate vote for us 60% of the time over a Boxer 100% opposition.

Picking obscure under-funded nominees is no way to take on the Democrats in deep blue states.

We already ran Simon statewide

Neil Stevens (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 11:43AM EST (link)

We already ran Simon statewide. He couldn’t beat Gray Davis. If you’re pro-life, you get hammered on that, and you lose. That’s California.

And if you think we’re going to run a pro-abort, forget. California has parts of the state that do vote like Georgia, parts that vote like Massachusetts, and parts in between that lean one way or the other.

And guess which parts control the Republican primary? Hint: the places with more Republicans :-)

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ummm yeah...

merkurfan Wednesday, November 12th at 11:44AM EST (link)

Not sure liberal light is the answer either.

I’d rather see someone go down standing for conservative principals than lib light.

you can’t out left the left.

 
 
 

Here is the situation in California...that dot is Neil's house

speciallist (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 11:47AM EST (link)

We need to Knock Out Boxer!!!

Oh that's only the Presidential map :-)

Neil Stevens (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 11:49AM EST (link)

Do the Assembly map. It’s less anomalous!

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We can't make the top of the ticket a drag on the rest

Neil Stevens (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 11:55AM EST (link)

If we run some body at the top of the ticket who depresses Republicans, that could threaten our Assembly, State Senate, and House races.

And we cannot afford to lose more state Legislative seats. Our conservative firewall against runaway tax and spend policies must be preserved.

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wait a second....I need to look up 'anomalous'.....

speciallist (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 11:58AM EST (link)

wut?…lol…u r da BMB

 
 
 
 

DeVore is my Assemblyman...

CSUFBomb (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 12:05PM EST (link)

…a strong, principled guy who has steadfastly stood up to the Democrat majority (and our former Republican governor) on spending and taxes.

Boxer is saved from being the country’s dimmest Senator only by Jay Rockefeller, but she has been untouched because the CA Republican party has dissolved into obscurity and withers in the face of the almighty public labor unions.

DeVore faces a huge uphill battle to build name recognition – he’s been effectively playing the local talk radio circuit this year, but still remains unknown to much of Orange County, let alone California.


“We want great men who, when fortune frowns, will not be discouraged.” – Colonel Henry Knox

I forgot about Fbomb!...he is 'duking it out' with Boxer also..

speciallist (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 12:09PM EST (link)

a socially moderate GOP candidate is not without precendent

Mose Wednesday, November 12th at 12:09PM EST (link)

Sen. Pete Wilson. Socially moderate (e.g., pro-choice), fiscally conservative, strong on defense. Two out of three ain’t bad, as they say.

I think Pete Wilson is the model for a successful GOP senate candidate in CA – someone like Jeff Sessions (God love him) just isn’t going to win here.

Mose

Simon almost beat Gray Davis

red_oakster (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 12:15PM EST (link)

Whoever the candidate is needs to raise big bucks. Devore is a lost cause before we start. Simon and Whitman and Arnold are not.

I have a mean jab...

CSUFBomb (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 12:16PM EST (link)

…but Babs Boxer is California’s biggest Rope-A-Dope!


“We want great men who, when fortune frowns, will not be discouraged.” – Colonel Henry Knox

Yeah and that was 18 years ago

Neil Stevens (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 12:17PM EST (link)

Wilson last won a contested primary 18 years ago. He won the primary 14 years ago, but that was as the sitting governor.

14 years ago a pro-abort could win a California primary, but 14 years ago a pro-life candidate could win the Attorney General’s office.

Democrats have polarized things since.

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Hey $peciallist!!!!

From ME to You (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 12:19PM EST (link)

How did you manage to get all that prime beachfront property????

How much of it will still be there after “the big one”??? (earthquake that is…nothing to do with “The One™” !!) Although after “The One™” changes the tax code and gets all the extra money from super rich guys like you…. LOL!

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I know Chuck DeVore.

Joshua Trevino (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 12:21PM EST (link)

And, full disclosure: I was briefly his press secretary, and I’m helping his campaign on a volunteer basis now. Suffice it to say that I’m 100% enthusiastic about his potential.

The points raised in this thread are all fair: there’s no question that Barbara Boxer would much rather blare warnings about the transformation of California into a Handmaid’s Tale-style nightmare under Republican rule, than engage on substantive issues. And there’s no question that the left-wing base in California will respond to this, as they always do.

But….

Chuck’s appeal goes far, far beyond the social issues. On energy, in particular, he’s done a great job of peeling off union support from local Democrats. That’s a big deal in California, and I believe it can be done statewide. To oversimplify a bit: if we make the campaign about things like that, we win. If we let Boxer control the messaging, we lose.

And, if I may say so, we also lose if, in the primary season, we focus on selecting someone whom we think is “winnable,” rather than whom we think is best. California Republicans know this all too well — and I think much of the national party, after November 4th, grasps this too.

Thanks to Erick and RS for putting the word out about Chuck Devore!

We are but warriors for the working-day.

My property won't be beachfront anymore after The One makes the Oceans recede

speciallist (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 12:25PM EST (link)

…dudes will start calling me an ‘Inlander’…ugg

 
 

Boxer and California Repubs

uhangtight (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 12:33PM EST (link)

The problem with Californian Conservatives is that they have allowed the one note Boxer to get away with her diatribe. I have one sentence that would end her Roe V Wade rant. California didn’t need Roe V Wade, California already had legalized abortion 3-4 years before Roe V Wade. I am living proof that Roe V Wade is moot. You know how that is? I was able to receive a legal, paid for by the government abortion in 1971 (I was 16). Roe V Wade would not exist until 1973.

She has been running on the Pro-Choice platform for how many years here in California and not one time did some one tell her she was stupid? That California did not need Roe V Wade!? That Roe V Wade is moot in California!? That Roe V Wade could be turned over and it would not impact California 1 second, we get to go on having our abortion mills running full time non-stop.

Instead of going into the Republican talking points which are based on the Democrat talking points, we Californian Republicans need to start thinking out-side-of the box, please for once! California was one of the first states to have legalized abortion. Roe V Wade happened because the dim wit didn’t want to go to another state to have one, she wanted to force her state to make it legal. In order to do that, she had to go through the Supreme Court because it would not make it through the legislature.

1969 is the year California State’s Constitution was amended. As a matter of fact, abortion was legal in California if life threatening to the mother back in the 1872! It went through modifications during the 50′s and in 1969 the Constitution was amended in California.

California Supreme Court ruled that women have a fundamental right to choose abortion under the state Constitution. (People v. Belous (1969) 80 Cal 2d 354).

 

Get a Palin fundraiser (volume I)

Change Jar Conservative (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 12:33PM EST (link)

You will be hearing me beat this drum loud and long during the next two years so get used to it.

While I am not a Palin ’12 kind of a guy (I’m more of a Fred ’12 or Jindal ’12 guy), I think that Palin can be a cash cow for a multitude of GOP candidates.

There are a lot of Republicans who would like to hear her speak and will pony up money as soon as possible.

So get those coffers set up legally for the positions that people are going to run for and get her scheduled to come in.

Make it a California GOP / Devore / Orange Country GOP fundraiser and spread the wealth.

Do it early and do it often and let’s help incent some people to part with their case for the good of the GOP.

********
Formerly know as “Oz” in these parts

My bad!!!!

From ME to You (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 12:44PM EST (link)

I forgot about “The One’s™” ability to correct the effects of Algore’s™ AGW on the environment.

Please don’t report me to the National Internal Security Police Administration!

Photobucket

You are absolutely right about

Aetius728 Wednesday, November 12th at 12:48PM EST (link)

thinking outside the box. Republicans are terrible at it. Your example is just one of many issues with which this strategy could succeed. I am reminded of the drilling debate, and how the environmental arguement was that it was ecologically unsafe, when empirical evidence was readily available that it is actually safer than shipping it in. That point was never made.

Republicans remind me of a sort of medieval comedy, they are trying to break into a castle by banging their heads into the stone walls, and getting nowhere and only banging harder, all the while ignoring the fact that what they should be doing is attacking the base of the wall. Dig underneath it and eliminate the supports and it will crumble.

I agree 100% She should definately campaign for the gop.

mom2oneson (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 1:10PM EST (link)

Women LOVE her!!! She would bring in huge donations and turnouts. She needs to to make a few videos on youtube for donating and volunteering. That will get more women volunteers involved.

 
 
 
 

Consider the Inland Empire (North & South)

David1502 Wednesday, November 12th at 1:26PM EST (link)

All of the referundums which liberal interest groups have presented in the past two election cycles have failed in CA. In the 2006 election only one referendum passed and that was for infrastructure. This time the global warming proposal requiring utilities to get 40% of their energy from renewable sources was soundly defeated. What this says is that the state is not as liberal as Boxer and co. After the ’06 election a columnist wrote an article in the WSJ stating that CA is trending more independent because all of the growth is taking place in the interior and these voters, as new home owners, have different priorities than they had when they were renters in San Francisco. The Republican Party needs to seize this opportunity to grab these voters and frame the Democrats as out of touch liberal activists beholden to unions, environmentalists and other special interest groups. The future of California lies in places like Tracy, Lathrop, Manteca and the Hwy 99 corridor in the North and Riverside County in the South. Also, during the recall election, the only counties which Gray Davis carried were those on the coast. so when you look at the map, those counties are really the true partisan Democrat strongholds and the others might be open to considering a Republican. Perhaps Chuck Devore can capitalize on these changes in the state.

Holding the IE would be key to our survival, yes

Neil Stevens (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 3:33PM EST (link)

I’d also like to see us upgrade some of our reps out here. Fewer Bono Macks, please.

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California has almost caught up to Massachusetts

Spiral (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 5:54PM EST (link)

The problem for Chuck Devore in my home state of California is this: It is gradually closing in on Massachusetts in the contest of most liberal state. (Set small states like Rhode Island, Vermont and Hawaii aside for a sec.)

In the 2004 Presidential race between Bush and Kerry, Massachusetts had a hefty lead on California in the contest for “most wacked out Lefty state in the union with over 3 million in population.

Massachusetts voted 62 percent for Kerry and 37 percent for Bush, a 25 point plurality.

California voted 54 percent for Kerry and 44 percent for Bush, a 10 point plurality.

“Ah, my home state might be liberal. But at least it’s not a far Left state like Massachusetts,” I thought as the 2004 presidential election results were finalized.

But now, ladies and gentlemen, take a look at the most up-to-date election returns from last week:

Massachusetts:
Obama – 62
McCain – 36
Plurality: 26 points

California:
Obama – 61
McCain – 37
Plurality: 24 points

Back in the late 1988 Republicans like the original version of George Bush (VP to Reagan) and Pete Wilson were able to win Presidential races and US Senate races in California. (A Republican hasn’t won the presidential race in California or a US Senate race there since 1988.)

How did they do it? They relied on huge vote margins out of Southern California in order to cancel out and surpass the Democrat vote in the San Francisco Bay area.

This was possible because Los Angeles county was only marginally Democratic, giving Democrat candidates a 2 to 5 percent margin in the heavily populated county. And also, in Orange county Bush Sr. got 69 percent of the vote to Michael Dukakis’ 31 percent. The GOP margin in San Bernardino, Riverside and San Diego counties were large too (but not as large as in Orange county).

Now? The San Bernardino, Riverside and San Diego counties voted for Barack Obama. Los Angeles county gave Obama a 39 percent margin voting for Obama by a more than 2 to 1 margin.

Orange county gave McCain a 51 to 47 percent victory, not enough votes to cancel out the losses in San Bernardino, Riverside county and San Diego counties. (Let’s not even talk about the 1.1 million vote margin Obama got in Los Angeles county).

Since each US Senator only counts for 1 vote in the Senate, regardless of how populous the state is, is the Republican party really going to spend millions of dollars in California instead of spending that money in, say, Arkansas, a Red State?

I doubt it.

That said. I’d love to see an upset and upsets are possible, especially in mid-term elections.

You can't judge based on the Presidential vote alone

Neil Stevens (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 6:44PM EST (link)

Obama was a one off vote. Downticket Republicans were still winning where Republicans are supposed to win.

We’re nothing like Massachusetts. They’re a uniformly left-wing state from end to end. We’re more diverse than that. We have far right areas and far left ones.

Look at the whole picture.

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Tom McClintock's state senate seat went blue

Spiral (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 7:40PM EST (link)

I agree that down ballot races did better for us.

But Tom McClintock’s state senate district elected a Democrat last week.

I did not know that. Argh.

Neil Stevens (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 7:46PM EST (link)

We don’t have a lot of margin for error in the Legislature. Well, we’d better get it back next time.

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Good grief

SteveLA (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 7:59PM EST (link)

Neil,

Tom McClintock may be the “prefect” guy as far as the R machine in CA goes, but in a district with 15 percent R advantage and one where McCain took the CA 4th by 10 percent, might, maybe, possibly, eek out a win?

Tom is the symbol of what’s wrong with the CA R machine right now, nominating people based on ideology, not competency or in the case of Tom, likability, or even living in the darn district.

We are about to see the CA R caucus in this budget crisis ether act responsibility and stop Arnie from raising the sales tax, or go hide under there desk. I hold no hope for R’s in the Assembly doing the right thing, cut spending…and cut some more before raising the sales tax.

______________________________________

Competency over ideological purity and litmus tests

I hate to disappoint you...

Neil Stevens (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 8:09PM EST (link)

But McClintock’s flaws, whatever they may be, had nothing to do with that district being lost. He didn’t run this time; he ran in CD 4, remember?

He won SD 19 61-39 last time. Strickland lost it this time, 50.2-49.8. 1,203 vote deficit. I just looked it up.

Strickland ran 65,000 votes behind McClintock four years earlier. Whatever you think of McClintock, his voters sure preferred him to the alternative Republican.

McClintock also won CD 4 this time, a seat targetted by Democrats nationally, and against a Democrat retread who suits the district well.

McClintock tends to win over California Republicans, whether you like it or not! (I wonder how many votes that Prop. 8 ad got us)

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And Steve, this years budget already passed

Neil Stevens (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 8:14PM EST (link)

Our ‘incompetent, ideological’ Republicans made Arnie irrelevant and forced a budget through with no tax increases.

What’s your problem?

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Talking about CA4

SteveLA (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 8:17PM EST (link)

If McClintock loses CA 4, it was for being a terrible match, and for not being all that good a legislator when in Sacramento if you measure success by accomplishing anything.

Outside of the Vehicle registration fee turn around, Tom can’t point to a single legislative accomplishment, outside of voting against every CA budget, even ones from previous R. Governors. McClintock is the Assembly’s hair shirt, plain and simple, for both R’s and D’s, and not in a good way.

In my view, any fool can say NO, it takes a real politician to figure out compromise like Reagan did, with the balance tipped on the conservative side, McClintock does not compromise on anything.

______________________________________

Competency over ideological purity and litmus tests

Special session

SteveLA (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 8:18PM EST (link)

Started Wednesday, last until Arnie get’s his )(**()& tax increase.

Ring a bell?

______________________________________

Competency over ideological purity and litmus tests

Well, I asked you this before, Steve

Neil Stevens (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 8:19PM EST (link)

What bills should he have voted Yes on? Which tax increases? Which spending increases?

Which “moderate” Democrats should he have allied with? Names and districts.

You’re so sure he’s wrong, but you never point out any specifics.

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Yup, but you're distorting the truth

Neil Stevens (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 8:23PM EST (link)

You misstate the Republican record by omitting through ignorance or malice all Republican victories, and doomsay for the future.

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Here's a few from last session

SteveLA (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 8:47PM EST (link)

http://www.votesmart.org/votingcategory.php?canid=9715

Vote to pass a bill that prohibits health insurers from canceling health coverage unless there was an intentional material misrepresentation or omission of information submitted by the applicant in the application, and establishes an independent review process to review cancellations of health coverage plans.

AB 2555 NO
Vote to pass a bill that makes an employer who violates the equity pay law liable for two times the amount of wages due and if the violation is determined to be willful, then the employer is liable for four times the amount of wages due in civil penalties.

McClintock takes saying NO to a new height.

All from this past legislative session.

______________________________________

Competency over ideological purity and litmus tests

Guess we disagree. Those look like good Nays to me. (nt)

Neil Stevens (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 8:51PM EST (link)

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And more

SteveLA (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 8:54PM EST (link)

SB 1613: Cell Phone Bill NO Vote

This bill prohibits, beginning July 1, 2008, a driver from using a wireless phone while operating a vehicle, unless the phone is specifically designed and configured to allow hands-free operation and is used in that manner and prohibits the use of a wireless phone while driving a schoolbus or transit vehicle, except as specified.

And the bill to prohibit texting while driving, and teenagers from using any cell phone.

Good governance, and not Liberal crud, Tom won’t even vote for this sort of thing. I can find more, but what’s the point. McClintock is good for one thing, voting NO on just about anything. If you think that’s great, then great, I don’t.

______________________________________

Competency over ideological purity and litmus tests

I meant no criticism of McClintock

Spiral (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 8:55PM EST (link)

I only meant that district, St Sen district 19, as an example of a down ballot race that went bad.

There were also two state assembly districts that flipped from Republican to Democrat: District 15 and District 80.

I think Tom McClintock is the type of Republican we need more of. Someone who stands on principle. Conservative principle.

I think he will end up victorious in the California 4th and will turn out to be a great Congressman.

Sorry if you thought I meant you

Neil Stevens (Diary) Wednesday, November 12th at 8:56PM EST (link)

SteveLA and I have this argument all the time. We just carried it into your reply, sorry, heh.

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I fixed the map for you

JoeG Wednesday, November 12th at 11:18PM EST (link)

California's Red Blue

Don’t forget 1/2 of the land mass of California is pretty RED!

Your neighborhood is looking a little pink specialist…

No, not the Presidential map!

Neil Stevens (Diary) Thursday, November 13th at 12:28PM EST (link)

Don’t remind me Riverside County went ever-so-slightly for Obama this year. Ugh.

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She needs to tend her own vegetables

Achance (Diary) Thursday, November 13th at 1:38PM EST (link)

for awhile. The Alaska she left isn’t here any more. Whether or not Stevens wins, Begich is likely to be the Senator soon. Don Young is damaged goods and in a powerless minority. The State Senate is 10-10 and controlled by a Democrat led coalition. The House has only a narrow and unreliable R majority. This in a state that had veto-proof majorities in both bodies when I worked there only eight or nine years ago. Alaska has not had a Democrat in federal office since 1980, yet if we don’t it will be the closest of close run things.

The problem is in the main that she like Murkowski before her has set up a Palin Administration not a Palin-led Republican Administration. Murkowski was criticized by Republicans for having a Murkowski Administration rather than a Republican one as well, but he did bring on most of the Rs who wanted to work and who had at least facial competence. She fired most of the Murkowski appointees, brought in a bunch of buddies from Wasilla, some anti-Murkowski malcontents, and has an administration that Governor Knowles would be fairly comfortable with because he appointed most of them at the director level.

In Vino Veritas