My Meddlesome Predictions


I am reminded this evening of a friend a few weeks ago who chastised me for chuckling over an interview request I’d gotten. I view myself as just me, a now thirty-something married guy in Macon, Georgia who blogs for a living. Apparently, some people regard me as something more than that. I’m very, very flattered. But occasional I forget this and get stunned by various reactions to things I’ve said or done.

There’s a case of this brewing tonight. Two weeks ago the Washington Post asked for predictions on how the election would turn out. They were due last Monday. Mine was, in essence, a narrow popular vote win for Obama and an electoral college win. Likewise, I saw the Democrats gaining in both the House and Senate, but not sixty seats.

I’ve got some good friends who now want to string me up for predicting that. Somehow it’s apparently demoralizing for me to have predicted that. I suppose I’m just not really conscious of the fact that what I say can have that great an impact. I’m very flattered by those who think it does and I’ll try to be more conscious of it in the future.

Let’s see where we are a week after I submitted by predictions, fully a week and a half after making them. I suspect I’m still right in the House, but the party ID numbers swinging in the recent polling suggests the GOP will not lose the 34 seats I predicted, but somewhere around 20 to 25. The Senate is pretty much in accord with where I was. But the Presidential race has, in fact, shifted.

Here is where I stand two days before the election: if McCain wins Pennsylvania, he’s the President. If McCain loses Pennsylvania, he is not the President. It’s that simple.

A week and a half ago as I wrote my predictions, the poll trends that had been creeping toward McCain stopped. Likewise, the McCain campaign totally dropped message. I could not fathom that anything would change. But by the grace of God, we’ve been handed a perfect opportunity to pick up Pennsylvania: Obama’s comments on coal.

Sarah Palin has already gone on offense with the issue. It’s a great issue for her to seize on. She knows energy.

So there you have it. A week ago I turned in a prediction that Obama would have a narrow win. Frankly, as I’ve said for a while now, it is still his to lose. That does not mean he will win, but the odds are in his favor.

What can we do about it? Hammer home the energy message. Get on the phones and phone bank for your local GOP. Go vote and get your friends and family to go vote. This is Obama’s race to lose. Let’s help him do it and you can prove me wrong in the process.


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Erick,

pwest (Diary) Sunday, November 2nd at 11:50PM EST (link)

I just posted a diary; please read it and go to the link I posted about PUMA support. Then please put it on the front page if you think it will lift our spirits.

This election is about Turn out; we seem to be losing heart. We cannot do it; not when we are so close.

Pam

 

Here is the link

pwest (Diary) Sunday, November 2nd at 11:55PM EST (link)

www.marstonchronicles.info/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=94&Itemid=118
You guys read this blog, and get out and vote. Send the link to all your wavering friends.

We can do it if we go and vote!

Pam

 

What, me? Demoralized?

kowalski (Diary) Sunday, November 2nd at 11:56PM EST (link)

Heck, no. Listen, nobody thinks this one is going to be easy. Karl Rove doesn’t think it’s going to be easy — he had Obama ahead 311/160 on Friday.

I forgive you :) .

The key point is this: we do have some momentum going — finally! That’s not a myth, it’s happening out there. So we have to keep that momentum going and build it and nurture it just like Barack’s friends did for him since 1990. We should be able to muster that kind of effort for a couple of days, I would think.

This race is going back toward the balance point, and right now it’s at a point where it can be reverse-tipped. The important thing is to work hard and instill a sense of very reasonable doubt in the minds of people who otherwise would vote for Obama with assurance. Get on the phones, get out there in person, and give them the moment where they’re standing there with the ballot in the voting booth, and they’re thinking: “Do I really want to risk this? Do I really want to bet the whole country on this guy from Kenya, from Hawaii, from Illinois? The friend of Bill Ayers and the one who wants to bankrupt American power companies? The one with relatives living in Boston slums who are here illegally and had to be discovered by a foreign newspaper because none of the media in this country had the guts to investigate what he wrote in his own book? The one who got thrust into power as a result of his connections? McCain is safer. Yes, Yes he is safer. Times are tough and the world is a dangerous place. McCain will not be everything I wanted but he is the safer choice for me and my family.”

We need to convince people in these final 48 hours that voting for “hope” is not a reason to be reckless. It’s not a reason to vote for someone untested, inexperienced, with a lot of questionable policies and despicable friends. It’s not a reason to vote against an experienced man who loves his country and will keep it secure in dangerous times. Security is the necessary precondition for the American economy to rebound — and it will. We’ve been through tough times before, but we’ve always rebounded because we’re a strong and secure country. Vote for McCain and keep it that way, don’t bet the house and home on the opportunist from Illinois.

 

This is our finest HOUR.

Joel Farnham (Diary) Sunday, November 2nd at 11:59PM EST (link)

I don’t care what the polls say. Too many people have been able to debunk them.

My personal poll? I have seen too many people all of a sudden aren’t worried about the election. Smiles on faces. I ask them about their politics and they are not for Obama’s change.

We just have to vote and let the naysayers naysay.

The fat lady hasn’t sung yet.

Call me what you want, just don’t call me late for dinner.

 

This is our finest HOUR.

Joel Farnham (Diary) Sunday, November 2nd at 11:59PM EST (link)

I don’t care what the polls say. Too many people have been able to debunk them.

My personal poll? I have seen too many people all of a sudden aren’t worried about the election. Smiles on faces. I ask them about their politics and they are not for Obama’s change.

We just have to vote and let the naysayers naysay.

The fat lady hasn’t sung yet.

Call me what you want, just don’t call me late for dinner.

 

I happen to agree with your assessment

Bill S (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 12:01AM EST (link)

I don’t think there’s anything wrong with making a prediction that happens to be negative. It’s called being realistic. One can be an optimist and say “We have a good chance, if we win PA” or something like that, but still predict a win for the bad guys.

My position is almost exactly the same as yours.

“It’s such a fine line between stupid, and clever.” – David St. Hubbins

Aside to Erick

kowalski (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 12:04AM EST (link)

Erick knows that ONLY I can forgive him for having occasional flashes of the heebie-jeebies because I have already felt his wrath.

“Suck it UP, Kowalski!!!” — Erick Erickson, to me, circa 2006.

I still use that line.

Erick Erickson (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 12:06AM EST (link)
 
 
 

Well said.

Adam C (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 12:08AM EST (link)

Well said.

______________________________________
Donate to the Rs in Close Senate Races through Slatecard

 

Your predictions don't count - your actions do

tankertodd (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 12:10AM EST (link)

I’ve predicted an Obama victory in my head. I predict it when I see my lonesome McCain sign outnumbered on my street seven to one.

But you never give up. Never never never never give up. It is our duty to do our utmost for our beliefs and the candidate that best represents those beliefs. Predictions don’t matter in that calculus. You must do your duty even if it’s a losing cause. (Besides, I’m banking on a TON of “I told you so’s” for the next four years if we lose.)

But I think we have a HUGE shot to win. Just got to follow through and do your duty. The great Robert E. Lee would expect no less.

———————————
The way to stop discrimination on the basis of race is to stop discriminating on the basis of race – Chief Justice Roberts

 

Not just good friends

Brian Simpson (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 12:10AM EST (link)

We’ve had a coward come over to The Minority Report and try to bash you. I wonder if he had the stones to actually contact RedState instead of whining all across the rest of the blogosphere.


| My RedState archive |
Important principles may and must be inflexible. ~ Abraham Lincoln

I hope you completely agree with Erick's last paragraph. n/t

pilgrim (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 12:11AM EST (link)

.


Activists Taking Action: Unified Patriots

yeah, except I failed on the "family" part

Bill S (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 12:13AM EST (link)

My mush-brained 18-yr-old is voting for Bob Barr. At least he didn’t take the blue pill.

“It’s such a fine line between stupid, and clever.” – David St. Hubbins

 
 
 

Did you all catch the Opening to.........

DavidS1787 (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 12:16AM EST (link)

Obama’s Speech? I hope they post it .

Barack Obama Thanked Bruce Springstein & his Wife and Kids for comming then came a name you all might or might not Recognize……. Rev. Otis Moss III.

Which Raises questions did Barack Obama really leave the Church or did he just say that for political Expediency?

Sorry I forgot to put that this was in Cleveland,OHIO, Today

DavidS1787 (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 12:21AM EST (link)

Sorry I forgot to put that this was in Cleveland,OHIO, Today

DavidS1787 (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 12:21AM EST (link)

Heh...sounds like a parent failure...

dbecraft Monday, November 3rd at 12:51AM EST (link)

geez, I hope my son does not do something foolish :^)

Formally known as Deagle… “Golf is a way of life…”

 
 
 
 

I think McCain will take it, 270-268

Finrod (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 12:52AM EST (link)

It’ll look like 2000, except with McCain taking the 2nd congressional district of Maine, and Obama taking Colorado. Pennsylvania and Colorado will take a while to resolve but it won’t matter because McCain will get to 270 without either, with Alaska officially putting him over the top.

Let’s get down to brass tacks here. How much for the ape?

Damn, I hope you are right and hope for a

dbecraft Monday, November 3rd at 12:55AM EST (link)

little more leeway… This is getting too scary for me – with an Obama presidency!

Formally known as Deagle… “Golf is a way of life…”

 
 

We've got a shot

JakePrime (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 12:56AM EST (link)

I think sometimes we forget that a week in the real world is a political lifetime. I’m with you. We’ve got a good shot for the number one and can keep the losses in Congress to a minimum.

I have almost the same...

DrOldSchool (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 1:21AM EST (link)

in a thread last night I lamented trying to make rational sense of this mess for a department-wide discussion tomorrow about the election. I decided to follow Moe’s advice and open with a coin flip to illustrate my point about the mistrust of polls.

Additionally, I shook out the results to the 269-269 tie. There are 4 states in there I am not comfortable with, PA, CO for Obama and NH, NV for McCain. I truly believe this is a possibility though. I don’t see either candidate splitting off an Maine or Nebraska elector. If this happens, we could be in for a fun few weeks.

“Is it a third party we need, or is it a new and revitalized second party, raising a banner of no pale pastels, but bold colors which make it unmistakably clear where we stand on all of the issues troubling the people?”

- Ronald Reagan, 1975 Speech to CPAC

I heard this on Hannity

cookcountyconservative (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 1:29AM EST (link)

while I was putting the kids today and could not believe my ears! Was that really today he did that?

Obama must really think he has it in the bag to pull that guy up on stage with him. It’s just more proof of the pudding as to what this guy is all about.

God help us all!

I agree..

dbecraft Monday, November 3rd at 1:30AM EST (link)

The polls are crap and all over the place except in favor of the Democrats. I think that it is a toss-up and will wait for the results.

Okay, if this post gets through… I am an optimist…heh. Well, anyway, with the problems regarding either reading or posting on this site, who knows what will happen… Give me another 200 error after posting … heh.

Formally known as Deagle… “Golf is a way of life…”

 
 
 
 

Stand up, men of the West

Mayhem (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 1:38AM EST (link)

The West faces the real possibility of dying this Tuesday. The true hope of the world’s people is with the United States, whether they realize it or not. Who will stand for what’s good and just, if not America? Who will defend the innocent against the blade of the wicked? Who will shine the beacon of liberty in a dark world? If there were any moment for us to fight, now is the time.

Against all odds:

James Madison, Jim DeMint, Margaret Thatcher, Ronald Reagan… You get the picture.

I heard this earlier on fox when Obama started to thank some people and then I heard the Name Otis Moss... I didn't think anybody elese heard it but me...

DavidS1787 (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 1:48AM EST (link)

But Sean Hannity Did a good caught it and reported on it! Good Job Sean.

Yes, I believe Obama may have never left the church and just denounced it and the Rev. Wright for political Expediency with the intent to tone down the negative publicity.

I heard this earlier on fox when Obama started to thank some people and then I heard the Name Otis Moss... I didn't think anybody else heard it but me...

DavidS1787 (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 1:54AM EST (link)

But Sean Hannity heard it and reported on it! Good Job Sean.

Yes, I believe Obama may have never left the church and just denounced it and the Rev. Wright for political Expediency with the intent to tone down the negative publicity.

corrected post

 
 
 

I'm Pretty Much With You...

adamsweb (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 2:25AM EST (link)

Pennsylvania is his best shot at the White House.

His other hope is to hold all the swing states, win Virginia, and pick up Colorado, Iowa, or New Mexico. Pennsylvania is probably easier at this point.

Adam's Blog

 

Yes Erick... PA is the key McCain's victory! That same Coal-dirty, gun-toting, religion-clinging state of PA according to Obama, Murtha and Biden.

Rod_Patrick (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 2:52AM EST (link)

I said early on Pennsylvania is the Key to McCain’s win!State polls give mixed results for PA. I just pray that the PA voters realize the following:

  1. Obama and Murtha lambasting white PAs as clinging to their guns and religion.

  2. Obama and Biden attacking Coal industry.

The Obama/Biden ticket want the total destruction of PA economy and social values.

Sarah Palin is making last attempt to make PA voters realize what Obama presidency is all about to PA… death to coal industry due to Obama’s own version of cap-and-trade policy:

That also applies to Ohio, SW Virginia and West Virginia.

May God annoint McCain as the next President of the United States!

 

McCain states

Tuck Monday, November 3rd at 3:37AM EST (link)

McCain has a good shot at Florida and Ohio, and Colorado’s improving, but Pennsylvania and Virginia are out of reach, IMHO.

The West will not die on Tuesday

JSobieski (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 3:50AM EST (link)

but this video clip is an excellent reminder of what were are called to do.

(1) Not despair, even in the face of hopelessness

(2) Struggle and strive with all that we have (strength, intelligence, wisdom, and powers of communication)

The outcomes are up to God. We just need to do what we can.

Frodo did not destroy the Ring, he merely did what was in his capacity to do.

So must we . . .

My rules of the road for primary season.
Rule #1: Vote for YOUR first choice in the primaries
Rule #2: Vote for the R in the general.
Rule #3: Don’t let anyone convince you to violate Rule #1 or Rule #2
Rule #4: When in a center-right argument, reaffirm Rules #1-#3–it will help us all to get along better.
Rule #5: If you are using the language of the left, you probably aren’t furthering conservativism
Rule #6: The priority is issues first, candidates second, and supporters third. Nobody is bigger than the issues. Conversely, if you spend your time focusing on supporters, you are wasting everyone’s time.

STOP THE MADNESS!

A reduction in the rate of spending increases is NOT a cut!
In-state tuition for illegals is NOT amnesty!
Requiring someone to pay their medical bills is NOT an individual mandate!
Reducing tax rates is NOT a tax increase!

I would rather hang my hat on Pennsylvania than any other battleground state

JSobieski (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 3:51AM EST (link)

If Palin moved to Pennsylvania, she could win the governor’s race.

Murtha has done a lot of damage.

Go Steelers!

My rules of the road for primary season.
Rule #1: Vote for YOUR first choice in the primaries
Rule #2: Vote for the R in the general.
Rule #3: Don’t let anyone convince you to violate Rule #1 or Rule #2
Rule #4: When in a center-right argument, reaffirm Rules #1-#3–it will help us all to get along better.
Rule #5: If you are using the language of the left, you probably aren’t furthering conservativism
Rule #6: The priority is issues first, candidates second, and supporters third. Nobody is bigger than the issues. Conversely, if you spend your time focusing on supporters, you are wasting everyone’s time.

STOP THE MADNESS!

A reduction in the rate of spending increases is NOT a cut!
In-state tuition for illegals is NOT amnesty!
Requiring someone to pay their medical bills is NOT an individual mandate!
Reducing tax rates is NOT a tax increase!

Virginia is so NOT out of reach I wish I could bet you money

JSobieski (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 3:55AM EST (link)

Virginia barely gave Webb a victory has never voted for someone as liberal as Obama.

Obama has NO chance in Virginia unless the election is a disaster in which case Virginia won’t matter.

My rules of the road for primary season.
Rule #1: Vote for YOUR first choice in the primaries
Rule #2: Vote for the R in the general.
Rule #3: Don’t let anyone convince you to violate Rule #1 or Rule #2
Rule #4: When in a center-right argument, reaffirm Rules #1-#3–it will help us all to get along better.
Rule #5: If you are using the language of the left, you probably aren’t furthering conservativism
Rule #6: The priority is issues first, candidates second, and supporters third. Nobody is bigger than the issues. Conversely, if you spend your time focusing on supporters, you are wasting everyone’s time.

STOP THE MADNESS!

A reduction in the rate of spending increases is NOT a cut!
In-state tuition for illegals is NOT amnesty!
Requiring someone to pay their medical bills is NOT an individual mandate!
Reducing tax rates is NOT a tax increase!

I don't know...

Tuck Monday, November 3rd at 4:17AM EST (link)

I know you guys are gonna fire-bomb me for mentioning polls, but when I look at all the published major “non-partisan” national polls that have come out in the past five weeks, only one of them went for McCain — by 3 points, and that in late September. Polls over the past week average around a 5-point edge for Obama.

I take your point on the history of state elections, and Obama’s definitely a liberal, so let’s say that halves the 5-point edge to 2.5% (no, I don’t have a clear rationale for that). 2.5% may not seem like alot, but it’s huge when you only have 24 hours left before election day.

So I guess I’d probably take that bet. But you agree, then, that PA’s a longshot?

 
 
 
 
 

hummmm....

Jack (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 5:15AM EST (link)

I would have thought that the events of the Russian invasion of Georgia, the financial boondoggle, and even just the Joe the Plumber would have taught us to be smart enough not to make predictions of political campaigns.

Jack

“If at age 20 you are conservative you have no heart. It at age 30 you are liberal you have no brains.” Sir Winston Churchill

 

GALLUP HAS OFFICIALLY LOST ITS MIND!

boomshak Monday, November 3rd at 6:43AM EST (link)

Gallup’s final poll gives Obama a 9 point win. Madness. But here’s the really crazy part. He is saying that Democrats now enjoy a 12% Party Affiliation Advantage over Republicans.

In the final poll, 38% of U.S. adults identified as Democrats, 34% as independents and 26% as Republicans.

Sorry, but that’s just crazy talk. 26% Republicans?! Down 12% from 2004? No friggin way.

Here is my prediction. As of Nov 5th, Gallup will become the laughing stock of the polling industry. It will be the most colossal miss by a major pollster in a presidential election… ever.

 

Thank you VERY much Erick for addressing this...

JadedByPolitics (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 6:50AM EST (link)

You have no idea how your words and the words of the Directors on Redstate influence the grassroots……I think it is a testiment to your site that my prior comment is TRUE!

ALL RIGHT MY FRIENDS……LETS ROLL!

 

I apologize upfront Erick, but find yielding to predictions impuissant

Marcus_Traianus (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 8:35AM EST (link)

Overall, it seems you have somewhat adjusted your predictions above and are of course unquestionably expert in the political field. I suppose the repetition of campaigns enables one to insouciantly demure to practicality and indispensable tools such as polls, etc.

So call me a fool, but I will not divine the outcome and have immeasurable faith in victory. I also will not hedge that statement with opines about what the alleged “facts” on the ground and insiders say. I am not apologetic in posture and quest for what I believe is right, knowing no matter what happens the fight does not end on Tuesday; this is just one battle in a war and I would rather die with the warriors than weep with the widows.

I will personally take 6 new voters I signed up to the polls on Tuesday. Some of those folks are even working directly for the McCain-Palin campaign in NY. Can you imagine, NY? Well, they must be partially insane or die hard, right wing nuts. Hardly and that is an ultimate goal of grass roots activities; believe in what is right, develop a sustained interest and actually vote.

Someone might want to share this with the RNC, since it appears they need to get up off their collective posteriors. Publishing statistics, articles, blogging and talking about GOTV are all nice accoutrements, but they don’t register on Election Day.

“Both of our political parties, at least the honest portion of them, agree conscientiously in the same object—the public good; but they differ essentially in what they deem the means of promoting that good. One side believes it best done by one composition of the governing powers; the other, by a different one. One fears most the ignorance of the people; the other, the selfishness of rulers independent of them. Which is right, time and experience will prove.”.Thomas Jefferson

I'll be more mindful of that in the future

Erick Erickson (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 8:36AM EST (link)

Sorry Jaded. I just see myself as a guy who loves his job. But my wife said the same damn thing last night and said I better get a clue.

I will.

Who will stand on either hand and keep this bridge with me?

 
 

PA will be tight

Jill1066 Monday, November 3rd at 8:48AM EST (link)

Normally, I would say that PA is going to be close but it would be won by the Democratic candidate. At this point, I’m not sure that’s the case. I think Sen. McCain has a chance to narrowly win the state. Barack Obama ran a much weaker race here than John Kerry, and John McCain is much more appealing to a broader spectrum of voters here than George W. Bush was.

The NRA has very strongly come out against Obama. My morning paper arrived in a bag advertising the NRA’s stance against Obama. Coal is a key industry here. Obama directly insulted the PA voters. Murtha directly insulted Western PA. We’ll see what happens!

At least he adds "UP" to that line

Raven (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 9:02AM EST (link)

He’s not so nice when talking to Colmes…

“If you do not have a sword, sell your cloak and buy one.”
Luke 22:36

 
 

I think McCain's gets the popular vote going away

Raven (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 9:07AM EST (link)

Because of California and Prop 8.

He may not win that state, and unless I’m mistaken, it’s a winner-take-all, but he’ll bring it VERY close.

But I also think he just barely snakes the EC with a low 270-something.

Unless he gets PA. Then he has both easily.

“If you do not have a sword, sell your cloak and buy one.”
Luke 22:36

Actually, Gallup's final poll

ColoKid Monday, November 3rd at 10:46AM EST (link)

has Obama by 11, 55-44. This is totally absurd. I agree that Gallup will be the laughingstock of the polling industry on Wednesday. No doubt they will cover their butts by saying there was an unforeseeable last minute change of mind by the voters, or they’ll point to the “Bradley Effect”.

For those interested in an excellent debunking of Gallup’s methods, I heartily recommend

http://stolenthunder.blogspot.com/

And to everyone, don’t be so quick to write off Colorado. Some have said that M-P has done so because neither of the candidates has spent time here recently. But Palin is in Colorado Springs today, and McCain is in Grand Junction tomorrow. would they bother if they saw Colorado as lost?

I would also bet that the polling in Pennsylvania turns out to be particularly inaccurate after the election is over

JSobieski (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 11:18AM EST (link)

nt

My rules of the road for primary season.
Rule #1: Vote for YOUR first choice in the primaries
Rule #2: Vote for the R in the general.
Rule #3: Don’t let anyone convince you to violate Rule #1 or Rule #2
Rule #4: When in a center-right argument, reaffirm Rules #1-#3–it will help us all to get along better.
Rule #5: If you are using the language of the left, you probably aren’t furthering conservativism
Rule #6: The priority is issues first, candidates second, and supporters third. Nobody is bigger than the issues. Conversely, if you spend your time focusing on supporters, you are wasting everyone’s time.

STOP THE MADNESS!

A reduction in the rate of spending increases is NOT a cut!
In-state tuition for illegals is NOT amnesty!
Requiring someone to pay their medical bills is NOT an individual mandate!
Reducing tax rates is NOT a tax increase!

Those wives are pretty smart aren't they?

JadedByPolitics (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 3:44PM EST (link)

you guys ROCK on here and you run one of the most respected and respectable sites on the RIGHT side of the political divide. We appreciate you all and the hard work you do WE just don’t say it to often because we are “CONSERVATIVE” that way!

 
 
 
 

Erick, if the Washington Post asked you to publish a prediction on your son's sport's team...

Mike gamecock DeVine (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 5:58PM EST (link)

would you publish it if you predicted a loss knowing he would see it?

of course not.

And you have a TEAM in this fight, some of whose members facing long lines and losing income tomorrow while in line, could use as an excuse to not vote.

Moreover, does your self worth depend on overtures from WashPo?

I hope not.

You are more than a married 30something, but not because people think you writing matters and can influence.

You are more (not that being married is chump change) because you stand for truth.

Conservative, Judeo-Christian values patriotic truth and one final truth

You don’t SEE anything re the outcome. No one can. People can read polls and watch tv and have anecdotes, but any fool can get elections right half the time flipping a coin.

So get over that sight arrogance.

What we know is that TURNOUT is ALL that matters.

Focus on getting your team to turn out.

luv ya

Mike DeVine’s Examiner.com, Charlotte Observer and The Minority Report columns
“One man with courage makes a majority.” – Andrew Jackson

 

Here's a compilation of other polls...

wannabeanncoulter Thursday, July 29th at 5:30AM EST (link)

This compilation of Angle/Reid polls is from Real Clear Politics.

The disturbing point is the trend: Angle had been up by 11 points at one point; now she’s behind by 2.

I do think anyone named B. Hussein Obama should avoid using “hijack” and “religion” in the same sentence. — Ann Coulter