NY 20 Open Seat (D)
Democrat Scott Murphy’s lead is slipping in the too-close-to-call special congressional election in eastern New York.
The state Board of Elections reports that unofficial counts show Murphy leads Republican Jim Tedisco by 25 votes. The lead has seesawed since the March 31 election and absentee ballots are expected to decide the winner.
VA Open Seat Gov (D)
Republican Bob McDonnell raised $2.2 million for his campaign for governor in the last three months, outpacing all but one of his three Democratic rivals. McDonnell, who is unopposed for the Republican nomination, had $3.5 million in cash on hand through March 31, more than any of his Democratic opponents.
TN Open Seat (D)
Former U.S. Rep. Harold Ford Jr.(D) announced Monday he won’t run for Tennessee governor in 2010.
CA Open Seat (R)
Georges Marciano, a co-founder of the Guess clothing empire, is the latest person seeking to become governor of California.
The one-time fashion magnate’s paperwork was recorded on Monday with the secretary of state’s office, allowing him to run as an independent in 2010, when Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger is termed out.
NV Reid (D)
Mr. Reid now has more than $5 million on hand after starting the year with $3.3 million, said a Democratic official familiar with the Reid campaign’s first-quarter contribution reports, which are due Monday.
A Few Congressional Updates:
PA 6 Gerlach (R)
A former newspaperman from Lower Merion will seek the Democratic nomination to run in 2010 for the 6th District congressional seat held by Republican Jim Gerlach.
Doug Pike, 59, said he’s starting his campaign early to allow ample time to introduce himself to voters.
Pike is willing to put $1 million of his own money toward his campaign. Gerlach is considering a run for Governor Seat; he won re-election with 52% in 2008 while Obama won district with 58%.
NH Porter (D)
The mayor of the state’s largest city says he will run for higher office next year instead of seeking a third term.
Manchester Mayor Frank Guinta told the New Hampshire Sunday News that he will announce by the end of the month which office he will seek. He says he’s been asked to run for governor, Congress and the Senate.
Its been highly hinted he is running for Congress Seat.
IL 10 Kirk (R)
State Sen. Susan Garrett said she is seriously considering a bid for 10th Congressional District seat in 2010 should U.S. Rep. Mark Kirk decide to run for U.S. Senate or governor.
Garrett, D-29th, of Lake Forest said she has been contacted by national Democratic Party officials in Washington to consider the 10th District post if it becomes an open seat.
Steve Maley
Moe Lane
Dan McLaughlin
Neil Stevens
KY Senate Update
dld1717 (Diary) Monday, April 13th at 11:27PM EST (link)Bunning (R)
Two big-name Democrats have decided not to run in next year’s U.S. Senate race, announcing today that they will instead endorse Jack Conway for the job.
U.S. Rep. Ben Chandler and state Auditor Crit Luallen had been considering the race, but decided instead to get behind Conway, Kentucky’s attorney general.
Conway was the second major Democrat to enter the race. Lt. Gov. Daniel Mongiardo announced in February that he would run. Endorsed by Gov. Steve Beshear, Mongiardo has already raised more than $420,000 for his campaign.
Gerlach should forget about PA governor
Aetius728 Monday, April 13th at 11:30PM EST (link)And concentrate on keeping his seat. The best chance we have for picking up the PA governorship is Attorney General Tom Corbett.
Virgil Goode
Herodotus Tuesday, April 14th at 5:11PM EST (link)It looks more and more like Virgil is going to run agian in 2010. He is suppose to speak at the Lynchburg, VA Taxday TEA Party (that sounds to me like he is starting his campaign for 2010).
http://www.lynchburgtaxdayteaparty.blogspot.com/
Sign Newt’s Drilling Petition. I have included a link to it in the below. Thank you.
http://www.americansolutions.com/
I think Goode wins 10/10 times in this district without Obama coattails
mbauer (Diary) Tuesday, April 14th at 9:24PM EST (link)nt
A lot Rematches and They Tend To Not Work
dld1717 (Diary) Tuesday, April 14th at 9:53PM EST (link)We can say this in regards to Melissa Hart, Anne Northrup, Jeb Bradley, and many others. In fact, they tend to lose more then they did the previous cycle
So far we have:
Sali in ID
Chabot in OH
Harris in MD
Sali, Again, in ID Would Be a Disaster
IJB Tuesday, April 14th at 11:28PM EST (link)I hope that somebody beats Sali in the Primary. He was the original problem with that district – replace him with another Republican, and I think that problem solves itself.
As to your general point, not all rematches go bad – Nothrup’s first winning KY-3 was actually a rematch, IIRC. I’m pretty sure there are other examples of that happening too. Second-time rematches seem to go roughly 50-50.
It’s *third*-time rematches (after losing twice) that are the problem…