We need some threads on focusing on where the party goes from here and how we can start planning on working our way back into majority or chipping our minority status up some
I very much fear the US Senate Races in 2010 already points to us being on defense and in some cases you have to wonder if some Republican Senators are going to call it quits. Many things can change of course but I think its important to look all points that can happen (the Dems thought after 2 years they’d gain seats we gained them)
2010 Republican:
NH Judd Gregg- the last Republican in NH delegation and Schummer is going to put a lot pressure on Gov Lynch to run
PA Specter- the GOP is in disarray in PA but Specter does well in suburbs and perhaps him being socially liberal works to his advantage?
NC Burr- after the Dems knocked off Dole you know they will make this a race
KY Bunning-Bunning is weak candidate and many Dems are already saying Chandler is running against him and if Bunning retires who does GOP have as statewide candidate to replace him?
LA Vitter- LA is Republican and hopefully he continue to improve his image after his troubles
FL Martinez- no question the Dems will give him a race and unlike us who gave Nelson a free ride the Dems won’t
IA Grassley- if Grassley retires I fear this seat is gone the IA GOP is in tatters
KS Brownback- I am willing to make a prediction if Obama does not give Sebelius a job or even if he does she is going to run against Brownback and either way this will be close race
SD Thune- Thune is popular but Herseth may challenge him you never know
OH Voinovich- Voinovich is basically the last GOP statewide and he may retire; either way the Dems will make this a race
AZ McCain- I will be shocked if McCain runs again and Napoliatano is going to run and if she does she wins at this point
MO Bond- Bond may retire and if he does the GOP needs a top tier person; you can bet Dems make this a race either way and have many statewide office holders already to do so.
AK Murkowski- Murkowski will probably be challenged again possibly by Begich
While the Dems up for re-election are:
Schumer NY- the NY GOP is dead they will probably put up a lamb
Dorgan ND- The ND GOP never puts up any credible candidates for Congress/Senate Races we need to start pressuring Hoeven now and lets say Dorgan retires you know Pomeroy will run
Feingold WI- the WI Gop is in tatters even a Thompson running would lose
Lincoln AR- Pryor did not even get GOP opponent if someone like Huckabee wants to help party he needs to help us here
Milkulski MD- MD GOP is in tatter too one could hope a Powell would run but forget it and Steele could not win this either
Inouye HA- Inouye may or may not run again but Hawaii Dems have a lot candidates and even if Lingle were to run I am of opinion HA would not elect a Republican to federal office
NV Reid- the Republican will target him it looks like Porter won’t be running against him seeing he went down the NV GOP needs to hope someone like Fmr Gov Guinn makes the run but I fear he won’t and Heller is underperforming in his election
CA Boxer- I doubt Arnold runs and at this point CA GOP is basically dead
WA Murray- the WA GOP is dead its sad that someone like Rossi is basically non-electable now he had promising future
OR Wyden- OR GOP is basically dead
What does this underscore? That Dems can still get elected in red states while in blue states the GOP has no bench at all and that prevents us from even playing and the stakes are the Dems very much could get over 60 and if they do this we have no say whatsoever in gov’t.
- Start making some donations to Republican senators and if u live in their states u better start working on ground game now
Steve Maley
Neil Stevens
Daniel Horowitz
Brownback
sturner Friday, November 7th at 12:16AM EST (link)I was under the impression that Senator Brownback would not be running in 2010.
Is he?
dld1717 (Diary) Friday, November 7th at 12:22AM EST (link)Hey may not? … and Congressman Moore may run against him too or if its open race
KS could be another race the Dems make a race of it
Doom and Gloom
McKinley (Diary) Friday, November 7th at 12:55AM EST (link)Although not unsubstaniated. All those close races we won when the G.O.P. was riding high are coming back now. Why the Republican Party has not recruited top level challengers in friendly states is beyond me. Is there something about service in the Senate, perhaps the six year commitment, that repels otherwise successful Republicans? But two years is an eternity in politics: who’d have thought George Allen would lose?
ND,SD,MT,AR,WV
dld1717 (Diary) Friday, November 7th at 1:17AM EST (link)The GOP would be very smart to start building the GOP in Dakotas (we do have many statewide office holders in state), MT, AR (GOP state level is a mess), and WV (start bldg GOP party)
Recommend! :-)
mom2oneson (Diary) Friday, November 7th at 1:40AM EST (link)You Forgot
adamsweb (Diary) Friday, November 7th at 3:10AM EST (link)Salazar is up in Colorado. I think you’re kind of sitting here expecting another wave to hit. Hate to be psychologist but you’re burning yourself. Hopefully, John Cornyn will take over at the NRSC and we’ll start recruiting conservatives.
I would't say the OR GOP is dead
I was previously Tlaloc, and I was banned last year. (Diary) Friday, November 7th at 3:53AM EST (link)This was obviously a bad year but Smith came very close. Granted he’s an RMSP style repub, which many here don’t like. He was also a long term incumbent which gave him an edge.
As far as statewide offices I think Oregon is in play for the GOP. It’s leaning Dem but not a lock. In a dem year probably give up unless you have an insanely strong candidate but in an even year with a decent candidate (which here means socially moderate, fiscally conservative, like Smith) there’s no reason you can’t win. As far representatives, eastern Oregon is strongly republican and I’d be amazed to see OR-2 go dem in any foreseeable future. The other four districts are probably a lost cause for the GOP.
OR GOP is not dead
SeriousLaff (Diary) Friday, November 7th at 4:22AM EST (link)The GOP candidate statwide does well almost every time.
Smith would have won (probably seats in NH, NC, as w well as the close ones in MN and GA as well) had they not voted for the bailout. It could have passed without them.
Te lesson is not to do something extermrly unpopular a month befor reelection.
I made a brief note about this in another thread
bk (Diary) Friday, November 7th at 7:15AM EST (link)Because of how it’s happened to work and the big Dem gains in ’06 and ’08, we have a big minority in the Senate and yet are defending 19 seats in ’10 vs 15 for the Dems. All but maybe a couple of theirs are surely safe, while several of ours are at risk.
It seems to me if there is going to be any huge change in Washington, it’s more likely to be in ’12 and not ’10.
And we are 75-80 seats behind in the House.
After listening to Ensign whining about how bad 1008 was going to be for Republicans for the last two years...
AceInTX (Diary) Friday, November 7th at 9:33AM EST (link)can we give the gloom and doom a rest for a while!
I’m sick of the self fulfilling prophesy that we can win…if we psych ourselves up to lose…and continually tell ourselves we have no chance…we will lose
Man, you're old Ace. -nt-
NightTwister (Diary) Friday, November 7th at 9:39AM EST (link)-nt-
The best argument against democracy is a five-minute conversation with the average voter. – Winston Churchill
We need to start convincing Arnold to run for the Senate in 2010 now
Finrod (Diary) Friday, November 7th at 9:56AM EST (link)Really, the only chance we have to take out Boxer is with a GOP celebrity, and Arnold is the best option there. Sure, we could make a go of it with Dennis Miller, Clint Eastwood or Ben Stein, but Arnold would just be coming off being governor.
Let’s get down to brass tacks here. How much for the ape?
The 2010 dye has yet to be cast
paintedCubbyBear Friday, November 7th at 10:23AM EST (link)The factors that will impact the 2010 races are unknown, but will surly center on the deeds or misdeeds of 44 (I can’t bring myself to say it yet).
We just need to stay positive and be confident in a “True” Conservative Message.
Also, With Dems in total control I doubt we will lose House seats at the mid-term, there will be some (if not alot of) blowback.
Republicans Don't Want To Be Senators, For Good Reason!
IJB Friday, November 7th at 10:54AM EST (link)Although not unsubstantiated. All those close races we won when the G.O.P. was riding high are coming back now. Why the Republican Party has not recruited top level challengers in friendly states is beyond me. Is there something about service in the Senate, perhaps the six year commitment, that repels otherwise successful Republicans?
No sane person (and, let’s face – a few of the Republicans are the only sane people around!) wants to be in the Senate!
I literally laugh out load when the people around here whinge and complain that former GOP Governors won’t run for Senate – why would they?!
Would you want to be in the Senate?! I sure as heck wouldn’t!
Let’s face it – the Senate is a place that’s the tailor-made for end-of-the-road Democrat hack politicians.
There are far, far few “hack” Republican politicians (and the few we have don’t really work out well – see, for example, Chuck Hagel), and so there is much, much less interest among GOP’ers in being Senators.
In general, Republicans want to be Governors (smart), while Democrats dream of being Senators (yuck!).
Would you want to hang around with Chuckie Schumer, Babs Boxer and John Kerry?! Oy…
Dude! I feel like a kid again...
mbecker908 (Diary) Friday, November 7th at 11:21AM EST (link).
I vote for Clint Eastwood!
Aetius728 Friday, November 7th at 11:31AM EST (link)It would make my day.
But by 2010 he would be 80 years old.
Older people have been elected
Herodotus Friday, November 7th at 1:34PM EST (link).
Sign Newt’s Drilling Petition. I have included a link to it in the below. Thank you.
http://www.americansolutions.com/
2010 is still two years away.
Herodotus Friday, November 7th at 1:35PM EST (link).
Sign Newt’s Drilling Petition. I have included a link to it in the below. Thank you.
http://www.americansolutions.com/
OR GOP
dld1717 (Diary) Friday, November 7th at 2:57PM EST (link)I should probably clarify the OR GOP is not dead but its not electing statewide candidates anymore and name 1 Republican who could topple Wyden?
2 Years But Start Planning
dld1717 (Diary) Friday, November 7th at 3:00PM EST (link)Yes, it may be 2 years away but what I hope happens is that if any Republican Senator retires they do so as a last option, we can avoid a primary (NM) and most importantly the NRSC can actually raise funds again this time
I agree Wyden is safe
I was previously Tlaloc, and I was banned last year. (Diary) Friday, November 7th at 4:13PM EST (link)barring a GOP sweep. He’s a popular long term incumbent.
I’ve seen him live and I rather like him. Not the best public speaker but he’s a policy geek. We had a Q&A at my old work site with him and people got to ask unscripted questions. He didn’t resort to dodging questions and never seemed stumped, he just knew the material. I also like the relationship he and Smith had.
I doubt it
dld1717 (Diary) Monday, November 10th at 11:26PM EST (link)I doubt Arnold would run and I bet he takes a noise dive in his popularity as a result of financial crisis
Nevada Race
dld1717 (Diary) Saturday, November 15th at 7:22PM EST (link)Harry Reid (D)
Nevada Lieutenant Governor Brian Krolicki confirmed in an interview Friday that he was inching closer to a 2010 challenge to U.S. Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Searchlight), and said that he had begun the process of reaching out to national Republicans in an effort to lay the groundwork for a bid.
It looks like some races are taking shape early.