Rickard Mourdock  is leading Dick Lugar in a new poll from the Club For Growth…

“BREAKINGS NEWS …

Dear Dewayne,

The first public poll of the campaign shows us winning the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate!

The Club for Growth poll of 500 likely Republican primary voters shows:

Mourdock 34%
Lugar 32%”

I’ve ran across 2 polls showing Christine O’donnell down by only 6 points in Delaware to Chris Coons.

This is a poll from The Conservative Journal. The person that polled it doesn’t give their methodology or track record. It just says that the person doing the polling is experienced at polling outside of politics. So I take this one with a grain of salt.

http://theconservativejournal.wordpress.com/2010/10/26/tcj-research-1023-1025-poll-christine-odonnell-continues-to-close-gap-on-chris-coons-in-delaware-senate-race/

However, here’s an announcement from Tea Party Express with a separate poll showing her down 6% as well. They have a different pollster.

http://paracom.paramountcommunication.com/hostedemail/email.htm?h=c2733e72ba755753caa712de5345cab6&CID=7237800043&ch=49F95546BEE857CCC672AB57956A287B

Coons has stopped debating her and seems to be laying low. I wonder if he is dropping in the polls when people actually listen to him drone on.

I wish Rasmussen, SurveyUSA or another reputable pollster could confirm this.

This could be a huge upset.

From the start of the Republican primary race Larry Bucshon has been touted by the RNCC as one of the contenders for their Young Guns program. He has been able to raise about $250,000 so far, more than anyone else. However, most of the donors are doctors. Larry is a doctor also.

I started to follow his Facebook and he doesn’t really voice his opinion. Most of his posts are telling followers to follow a link or to speak of an event. All well and fine but I’ve found it hard to find out what he is really for. Last week, he came to the local Tea Party and spoke, so I’m finally getting to see the guy in person . He avoided issues and seemed like he didn’t want to be on the stage. It was uncomfortable. This goes to show you how much raising money goes into what the RNCC thinks of you. I understand money is necessary but a candidate needs to be well-spoken enough to get his point across and not be afraid to speak out. I’m sure he’s a smart guy, he’s a heart doctor for goodness sake. But the ma inspires me not.

The Democrat who’s running is taking over for Ellsworth is Trent Van Haaften and he is the former prosecutor in my hometown. He was also next in line for the state house leader for the Dems if he didn’t drop that job to run for national office. If Bucshon debated with him he’d be eaten alive. This district should go Republican. It has a heavy pro-life population.

Thankfully there are 7 other candidates and I’ve found one much better than Bucshon. His name is John Lee Smith. He’s a Financial Advisor for Edward Jones here in Evansville. He also appeared at the local tea party which I attended. He was energetic, well-spoken and looked comfortable on the stage speaking to everyone. He’s the first one that got a radio spot up. The ad mentions repealing the bill, lowering taxes and a Reagan quote… a well done spot. He hasn’t raised much money but I have a feeling Smith is going to start raising much more. I’m going to donate to him this week a little bit. Smith has ran unsuccessfully for congress before in a different district. I think he’s the best candidate for the job. I think he’ll add to, in a good way, what we have in the house already.

The remaining field are tea partiers that have a lot of energy but lack in most other areas.

Star Parker for California 37 Congressional District

She has regular columns on Townhall.com and 3 books that I wouldn’t mind reading. I first seen her on C-SPAN give an amazing speech. She had a hard life and overcame some tough obstacles to be where she is. She would make a great leader in Congress!

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/florida/election_2010_florida_gop_senate_primary

Rubio – 43%

Crist – 43%

This is great news. Among 431 likely voters, Rubio has a 34% very favorable rating compared to Crist’s 19% very favorable. The passion is with Rubio as Crist has iffy so-so support among most.