This will likely be my last post before Election Day. I have company coming into town, and won’t be near a computer (other than my iPhone Neil, hint hint).
I found this over at American Thinker, posted by Thomas Lifson. Now this is obviously third hand, but I’m comfortable that the chain of custody for the letter is honestly reported, given the reputations of those involved.
I also note, that in a campaign the size of Obama’s these kind of slips are inevitable. This source may be the Obama version of an Eeyore, but if Obama has this in the bag, why is she scared? Another note on validity, the YouTube video pointed at is produced specifically to denigrate Republicans in Pennsylvania, giving a lot of credibility toward the author’s motivations.
This post is a copy of a letter left by mistake on a shared hotel computer. The author is very worried about Obama winning Pennsylvania (bolding NOT mine):
I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but there is something that I want all of my blue state friends to know before it’s too late, and I’m not sure who else is going to tell you. I CAN’T SEE HOW OBAMA CAN WIN PENNSYLVANIA.
She links to the following YouTube video that shows the line of people waiting to enter a McCain event. This video is supposed to make us look like angry racists, but what I took from it (as did the author) is the level of anger and commitment in the PA GOP this year.
Well our author was pretty disturbed by this video and her personal travels (bolding mine):
Although I live in Pittsburgh, I’ve been spending a lot of time traveling and talking to people in south west and now south east PA for my job. It’s really not a pretty picture at all. I came back in such a panic last night that I’ve spent the morning crunching numbers and reading political analysis in an effort to convince myself that my perspective has been skewed, that there is a rational basis for believing that Obama will pull through here. And now I’m more depressed than ever.
She also offers a pretty good analysis of the PA demographics (PaRep if you can confirm this is correct?):
PA is a fundamentally rural state – meaning a much larger portion of the population lives outside of the big cities. If you add together the entire populations of the counties that include Philly, Pittsburgh, Harrisburg, Scranton and throw in all of Bucks County for good measure, you still only come up with 3.5 million out of a state-wide population of over 12 million. That’s roughly the same population that lives within a 50 mile radius of Bethlehem.
Now we get to the meat of the problem in the author’s mind. I am going to quote directly, without comment, other than to note that this is a Democrat, not a Republican:
Second, PA is an overwhelmingly white, fundamentally racist state. And I am talking openly, flagrantly racist. Especially in the south west, folks have no problem throwing around the N-word in casual conversation.
The author is then absolutely dismayed to find that the racists of the electorate are now politically active:
In August, I sat in a diner in the middle of Fayette County and listened to an older white man at the next table talk about how he’d always been a Democrat, he supported Clinton but couldn’t bring himself to vote for a N-word. But he also made it sound like he wouldn’t vote at all, and I took some solace in that, and in the almost total lack of any political signage in the area at all. Let them sleep, I hoped. My hopes were dashed during a three day trip to the area last week, after McCain and Palin had made a couple of swings through the area (Palin was back there, in Coraopolis, while I was in Bethlehem). It’s as if the area had been infected with a virus, one with horrible, foam at the mouth, green bile spewing symptoms. Forget about what you’ve heard about Obama’s ad advantage. The televisions (playing non-stop everywhere) were flooded with dozens of Republican affiliated 501c organizations’ 30-60 second rants, the worst kind of fear mongering, flag waving trash you’ve ever seen. The rabid dogs have been unleashed, and they have the numbers.
The author becomes further depressed by a trip to eastern Pennsylvania, finding that it isn’t localized to the west:
I followed that up with my two day trip to eastern PA and found the virus was if anything in a more advanced stage there. Out there, you aren’t hearing from PA Dems like Murtha and Casey, but I am. They know now they can’t deliver their base. They may never get their base back again. While I was in Uniontown last week, Murtha came right out and called his own constituents racist, hoping perhaps that a little straight talk might get people back to just being shamed into not voting. But it’s too late – these folks are now fully committed to saving the country from a terrorist loving, Muslim communist. And they will be voting, in enough numbers to outweigh the urban centers.
The author isn’t giving up hope on Obama yet, but has to hope the western US is going to deliver. We even get an added tease about the state of the race in Virginia:
Why am I telling you this? BECAUSE IT IS SO IMPORTANT NOT TO BECOME COMPLACENT!!!!!!!! We are so close, so close, to such an important victory. It may be too late for PA, Virginia may be hopeless as well (I just got a very discouraging report from my sister in that regard), but Obama can still win if every Western swing state is sewn up, and things go well elsewhere. We cannot underestimate the power of the hate/fear message coming from the Republicans. We can’t leave anything up to chance, or hope, alone.
Make of this what you will, but as Pam has been telling us for months now: TURN OUT, TURN OUT, TURN OUT
Steve Maley
Neil Stevens
Daniel Horowitz
This to me sounds right EXCEPT the Racist
PaRep (Diary) Saturday, November 1st at 2:24PM EST (link)Part!!!
As James Carville Once derisively declared
Pa. is Pittsburgh & Philly with Alabama in the Middle
well she did get 1 thing right also
But it’s too late – these folks are now fully committed to saving the country from a terrorist loving, Muslim communist
Progressives, a code word.
Michael DeWeese (Diary) Saturday, November 1st at 2:39PM EST (link)It gladdens my heart to see the public at large is learning that Obama is a socialist. And that the lessons of what socialist democrats did to Eurasia in the early 1900′s has not been lost. There is a vitriolic hatred for socialism, and renaming it ‘Progressive’ does not fool anyone.
Brain Dead Republican
The only time I'll thank Jack Murtha
SG_Lominac (Diary) Saturday, November 1st at 2:42PM EST (link)Perhaps John McCain can thank Haditha Jack at his victory speech for that rousing denigration of his own constituents and Gee, a Presidential battleground state too. Thanks Jack. A special kudos to Barney Frank for that 25% cut in national defense remark. They must have “loved” that one in Va. You can’t pay for this kind of advertising.
From the movie “Hard Times”
Jill Ireland: “What does it feel like to knock somebody down?”
Charles Bronson: “It makes me feel a hell of a lot better than it does him.”
Some unfortunate language, there.
Moe Lane (Diary) Saturday, November 1st at 2:51PM EST (link)But they were probably just-converted, or in the process of converting, Democrats. We’ll have to work on that.
Bet the video guy wasn’t expecting a comment about ACORN, Obama, and Fannie Mae / Freddie Mac from that guy with the sign. And some of you wondered why we harped on it so.
The Kim Kardashian of blogging.
Check out my blog at http://moelane.com/.
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My (combined) wish list.
I believe it
clove Saturday, November 1st at 3:08PM EST (link)I heard on the news, this weekend until election day some group was spending 6 million dollars to air Rev. Wright in those states. The arrogance of Obama, could very well guarantee the “Bradley Effect”. If, it wasn’t already a factor. Like I said, Tn isn’t being fought over. And, in past elections it always was. However, Obama’s ideology overwhelms his race. It just, right or wrong, due to anger makes race a factor once people are angered. I know, from what I’ve been around out in public, people’s concerns over socialism has driven anger in everybody. You can’t go anywhere without hearing people talk about it. It’s more of a concern here, now, than it ever was a issue with Gore and Kerry combined. If anything, Obama’s pride cost him the election, not his race. We’ll just have to wait and see come Tuesday. Or, it could be that legitimate excuse people were looking for, other than blaming race. However, we’ll all know soon.
Dave, I'm praying you're right.
swami7774 (Diary) Saturday, November 1st at 3:34PM EST (link)But I just can’t see that ALL the polls will be that wrong. I wanted to see movement toward McC starting 2 or 3 days ago, but–apart from the fluky, one-day Zogby poll–there’s been no movement at all.
Somebody give me reason to hope(other than some radio guy flogging some ridiculous “internal” polls showing McC romping).
Today, there is a name for the political doctrine that rejoices in scarcity of everything except government. The name is environmentalism.
The testimonies of the people are totally different from what the poll numbers are telling us.
Rod_Patrick (Diary) Saturday, November 1st at 4:15PM EST (link)Dave, I pray that PA and OH will go to McCain’s column. That is a total of 41 EVs.
May God bless the McCain/Palin ticket!
Swami, got to Wizbang
Dave_in_Fla (Diary) Saturday, November 1st at 4:34PM EST (link)look up the articles by DJ Drummond. I’m on my phone so can’t get links. He explains why all the polls can be wrong, it at called co-linearity. His Secret Poll where he normalizes the date is showing a very slight McCain lead.
Keep in mind ALL of the polls were wrong by about 10 points for Obama in the PA primary.
“If they were merely incompetent, then at least SOME of their actions would have been to the benefit of the country.” – Joe McCarthy
And as Dave said,
pwest (Diary) Saturday, November 1st at 6:52PM EST (link)the polls will all be right if we don’t Turn out, Turn out, Turn out the Vote for McCain/Palin.
So get to work.
What ever you can do: send out some e-mails; all of us have e-mail lists of friends, and they have lists of their firiends. I’m not one for e-mail chain letters, but I’m make an exception in this case.
Send article or a note, just to remind your friends to go vote. I can tell you have some good Christian friends who are so mad about the bailout that they don’t want to vote for McCain, so I sent them Dr. Dobson’s Oct newsletter just as a reminder that the Judical issue is so important to us because it effects our culture on so many levels.
So whatever you can do, do it. And Turn out, Turn out, Turn out the vote!
Pam
Or DJ's Own Site stolenthunder.com
PaRep (Diary) Saturday, November 1st at 7:00PM EST (link).
Here it is
PaRep (Diary) Saturday, November 1st at 7:09PM EST (link)http://stolenthunder.blogspot.com/
I read DJ Drummond's stuff.
swami7774 (Diary) Saturday, November 1st at 8:23PM EST (link)As much as he tries to knock down the Gallup poll, it comes off as grasping at straws.
Ten points??? Good God. At that rate we’re looking at a filibuster-proof Senate. From the Gallup chart is appears BHO’s snake-oil infomercial worked.
Why didn’t McCain do the same thing? Or is America just not the country I once knew?
Call me an Eeyore but I don’t really see any hope here.
Today, there is a name for the political doctrine that rejoices in scarcity of everything except government. The name is environmentalism.
It's not racist to vote McCain
ssohara (Diary) Saturday, November 1st at 8:29PM EST (link)I’m not white – I’m Indian. And I’m voting McCain. One of my neighbors is an immigrant from El Salvador. She is voting McCain. She has a sign up in her yard – “Spreading the wealth around is code for stealing”.
There are lots of brown-skinned folks who believe in the American dream – you work hard, be ethical, take care of your family and friends – and you can have a good life. I have no idea why black people vote so heavily Democratic – they are often religious, pro-life, against gay-marriage, they want more school choice, they want to start businesses, privatizing social security will actually help them, etc. Yet they vote for the party that keeps them on the Plantation.
It’s not racist to point out that Obama hangs out with terrorists and racists. You know, everyone makes mistakes, and if it was just Rev. Wright, or just Rezko… I could excuse it. Even Ayers – if Ayers was Obama’s ONLY questionable association, and if Obama had ONLY served on a board with the guy… but he wrote a blurb about the guy’s book, launched his campaign in his house… I mean, c’mon. you have to try really hard to have this many really radical people in your life.
It’s also not racist to point out that Obama is a socialist – spreading the wealth around – that’s a Marxist statement.
While I have occasionally had to deal with racism in my own life, I don’t assume that all white people are racist because there are a few bad eggs. Most of my friends are white, my husband is white, and so were most of my bosses. They are not racists. Saying all white people are racists is just as bad as saying all black people are thugs. Most whites, like most blacks, are decent people. I am just really sad that this country has become so racially polarized, and Obama and the Democrat party have contributed to this problem, that instead of voting for the party that will actually improve their lives, so many blacks will vote for the paty that will keep them enslaved.
Swami,
pwest (Diary) Saturday, November 1st at 9:22PM EST (link)you are an Eeyore, but go vote anyway. Stay away from the polls, and the trolls. I’m not gonna say the only poll that counts is Nov 4th; that’s loser talk. What am gonna say is do your part to turn out the vote. Worry about things Nov 5th!
The polls will only be true if we don’t Turn out, Turn out, Turn out the vote!
Pam
swami7774,
NewlyIndependent Monday, November 3rd at 12:14AM EST (link)I am a former Hillary Clinton supporter. I’ve followed this race closely since January. And I’m here to tell you:
You’re being suckered by all of the major pollsters.
I’ve known that the major pollsters are corrupt since Obama ran against Hillary in New Hampshire during the primary. The MSM were gleefully predicting Hillary’s “death” since she lost the first state – Iowa. ALL of the major polls had Hillary losing New Hampshire. Even her internal polls had her losing New Hampshire by at least 10 points!
What happened?
Hillary WON New Hampshire – by approximately 3 points!
And the MSM were ABSOLUTELY SICK about it!!
The manipulation of all of the major polls continued all through the primary. They ALL had Hillary losing states she won big: CA, MA (even after senators Kerry and Kennedy endorsed Obama), NJ, NY, PA, IN, and on and on….
Those same former Hillary supporters are now extremely angry having witnessed the theft of the Democrat nomination by the Obamacrats & the DNC. We haven’t gone anywhere.
The MSM has by large ignored our presence because it makes Obama’s chances of winning the Presidency look extremely bleak. They and the rest of the Obamacrats ignored us in the vain hopes that we would “get over” the extreme injustice inflicted on Hillary and her supporters and vote for Obama on Election Day.
Their tactics have failed. Miserably.
Not only have we NOT “gotten over” the primary, we are now more determined than ever to help the Republicans and Independents elect John McCain to the White House in one more day. And our numbers have increased. But DON’T expect this reality to show up in the polls. The MSM and major pollsters are heavily Obama – and they will be to the very end.
Just make sure that you go vote for McCain on November 4th. And use these last two days to spread the truth about Obama to as many voters as possible.
VoteVoteVoteVote
StrongProud Monday, November 3rd at 6:25AM EST (link)From day one, the polls have been skewed and bias! The reason, common sense! Look at BHO’s history:
He won the senate seat by default-other candidate had to drop out of race.
After only 14 months, he decided to run for president-no experience!
His platform is that of a “socialist”
in which Government generates revenue by taxing small and corporate business and individual “middleclass” and business owners to support bigger Government. These programs support the non-tax paying class(35 to 40% of America).This “re-distribution of income” over a period of time skrinks the “middleclass” and grows the “WELFARE STATE” of America.! He flip-flops on most issues such as taxation! He will “TAX”, not reduce! He associates with racist(Rev. Wright), is non-patriotic, gun control advocate, abortionalist, friend of terrorists(Ayers-met in 1995 when he was 35 yrs old), and associated with John Sinclair who stated he had sex and drugs with BHO!
Is this the type of candidate that we
want to run America?? Voter registration
fraud, crooked pollsters(under the table deals with the rich left),bias media, etc. All of these contribute to the fact
that this candidate is being forced down
our throats by the far left and biased
media! Americans, stand up and go to the polls tomorrow and save our country from
disaster!! Independent and veteran for McCain/Palin.
One of the links a commentor had this
JimS (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 9:20AM EST (link)This quote was in an article two hundred miles long but well put:
“but for now polling (agencies) seems to have gone the way of responsible mainstream journalism.”
Recurring Theme
MuskegonCritic Monday, November 3rd at 10:51AM EST (link)There’s a recurring theme in the Obama campaign.
At least three times during the past six months the Obama campaign let leak a concern that they would not reach their funding numbers. The press on both sides of the aisle picked up the ball (the leaky ball) and ran with it, giving it high billing. Not a week later the Obama campaign slams a wad of money on the ground BAM Hey! We broke another fundraising record. Every time there was a leak, a week later another record was broken.
A pattern.
Now…I’m not saying the Obama camp isn’t terrified of losing. But there is arguably a pattern of leaked fears of shortfall just before another record is shattered.
Why would a campaign do this? To light a fire under its’ supporters butts, drive them to contribute, drive them to the polls…especially the young complacent ones.
Identity Politics are the way of Fascists....
Attack Mode (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 11:53AM EST (link)Whether it be Black vs White, Poor vs Rich, Workers vs Owners….And Fascism is Progressivism and Socialism and Communism and modern day Liberalism. Unity is the enemy of the individual. Conformity is the enemy of Freedom.
“Land of the Free and Home of da Whopper” Peter Griffin…Family Guy
conform and celebrate diversity….or else!!!
Steel-Belted Radial Right Winger

“I’ll create 5 million jobs from out of unicorn farts and pixie dust” Justatron paraphrasing Obamessiah…yes I love it that much.
The post matches my expectations, but not my own observations
The_Gadfly (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 3:24PM EST (link)I was at a Halloween party the other weekend in north east PA. I’m concerned about how PA goes, but since I no longer reside there, can’t do much about it. The people in this group have slowly been drifting leftward during the time I’ve known them. All college educated, pretty much all have good jobs. I expected they would be voting for Obama, what I didn’t expect was the number of Obama buttons I saw on clothing, purses, etc. The fact that these people are advocating for Obama causes concern. My guess is that PA is still a toss-up state, but only barely. It certainly isn’t looking as good for McCain as the letter portrays. In the 80′s and 90′s PA was a good bell-weather state precisely because the population of the urban centers about balanced out the population of the rural areas. I’m not sure that continues to be true. The biggest opening I see in PA, is that hunting is still a major part of the psychology of a big part of the state, and I know some Dems who won’t pull the lever for a gun grabber, which Obama emphatically is.
So if you are in PA, and you are sitting on the fence, do me a favor: go out and vote for McCain. My vote here in the People’s Republic of MD won’t change a darned thing, but yours just might. You just might be able to stop a Marxist from coming to power in these United States. And yes, I will be going to the polls early to vote for McCain, even here in the People’s Republic.
Poll-arizing America: It's the pollsters dirty work
GregInFla (Diary) Monday, November 3rd at 11:50PM EST (link)I think the pollsters have had a role in poll-arizing America (no, i have not trademarked the term yet.) The worst polling category I’ve seen was Sunday night on CNN. They were looking at PA and had numbers for “White Men Without a Degree”. They said this covered about half the electorate (of white men, I assume). The numbers were 55-58% for McCain. Now, this tells me that the category means absolutely nothing. Given the error margin. you are nearly saying you can flip a coin. So to me this had zero worth, except to divide people into worthless groups. I wonder if Sharpton or Jackson would complain if they had a category “Black unmarried fathers without a diploma”. Just saying. Or “White Senators from Scranton who ride Amtrak “
– A true evolutionist would let endangered species die off. Think about it.
– The sign outside the courthouse said no signs allowed. So I took it down.
– Atlas Shrugged is now on the non-fiction aisle at Amazon.
uhhh
whizkid (Diary) Tuesday, November 4th at 12:10AM EST (link)The only poll that counts is Nov. 4. That’s not “loser talk”, its reality.
Dan Barr
Please join us in reality
Quietlike Tuesday, November 4th at 11:18AM EST (link)This is a note to all of you tin foil hat wearing folks out there:
There isn’t a polling conspiracy out there. The PA primaries ended up falling into the margin of error versus the average of polls(this is the only reliable indicator, since polls generally have leans based on question styles). Go to pollster.com for some analysis on that one.
Let’s face it guys, our party left true conservatism behind a long time ago. Goldwater would roll over in his grave if he saw what had happened to the deficit. Because the GOP has abandoned fiscal conservatism, we don’t really stand FOR anything anymore, except for life and guns. That’s enough to win Texas, but it’s not going to get you Virginia or Pennsylvania.
The real canary in the coal mine for our party is Colorado. How the *$&# are we behind in Colorado? My theory is that we have become a southern party catering to moral Christians, at the expense of being a small government party catering to the libertarian, independent west.
There is nothing better for our party in the long term than losing this election. This will let the people see the liberals for what they really are, and we will be able to trim the fat and get back to what we should be: real conservatives.
And one other thing: I don’t beleive for a second that anyone who actually voted for Hillary Clinton would vote for McCain. Who on earth would vote for that woman, and then call themselves a conservative? She’s no different than Obama. I guess until they have an IQ requirement for the polls, we’ll get morons who vote for a candidate who shares their gender, or in Obama’s case, their skin color.
Libertarian is the new Republican
You bet
Vuk Zoric Tuesday, November 4th at 9:59PM EST (link)We tried to replace fiscal conservatism with social conservatism.
And now we’ll have neither.
Some of you may not like it, but the numbers started going down right after the convention.
This was Sarah Palin’s election night.
I’m sure she’s a nice lady, and an effective governor of a state with 600,000 people. You can see from the number of registered Republicans who split their ticket to vote for Obama just what effect Gov Palin had.
The radio talk show hosts did the rest of the damage by trying to push the Muslim/Terrorist/NotACitizen/Secret Tape nonsense.
Sorry, but Palin was not even approching the problem...
dbecraft Tuesday, November 4th at 10:18PM EST (link)Social conservatism comes from within (and will remain after this election I might add) and has no effect with voters who favor her…
Now when you mention Socialism, I would agree that way too many of our unfortunate folks (less than rich) will favor the one who promises riches to those that do not have it… Such is life…
I would guess that when the less unfortunate become the over-class, you may change your mind…heh, but it will be too late… After all, they will wnat all that the over-achievers have…and they will have move out to other more excepting countries…heh.
Formally known as Deagle… “Golf is a way of life…”
Well I'm A Colorado Voter
JHancock (Diary) Tuesday, November 4th at 10:39PM EST (link)and I can tell you that the minute the Republican party stops standing for God and guns-I stop standing for the Republican party. The problem with the Republican party is that no candidate this primary season encompassed all three arms of the party. We had Social conservatives, military conservatives, and fiscial conservatives, but no one candidate who voted reliably on all three aspects of the platform. We need someone with Palin’s morals, McCain’s military knowhow, and Romney’s buisness sense. If we find a candidate who has this (and is a woman or minority) we can win. If we abandon all in favor on big spending on nation building (which essentially amounts to massive foreign aid to people who don’t like us), bailing out failing industries and unwise consumers, and insisting that healthcare is a right and not a comodity we lose every time…because we become like Democrats except, well…less Democrat than Democrat. And given the choice between “Democrat Lite” ant the feel good, hope message, libral orgy that is the Obama campain “Democrat Lite” can’t win. We need Regan Republican with a bit of Bible banging thrown in. But never leave out the God and guns–or you may find that the Christian base leaves you (and we’re the only Demographic that still voted reliably Republican this election)
Social conservatism
Justin_Case (Diary) Tuesday, November 4th at 10:42PM EST (link)has never been a substitute or replacement for fiscal conservatism the way I see it.
Republicans are most successful when the two forces work hand in hand.
Any negative campaigning wrt Obama’s associations became necessary in the absence of a personal background he is hell-bent on concealing.
Palin gave McCain a chance of winning that he would never have been afforded had he chosen Pawlenty, Ridge, Romney or Leiberman.
Hey, you're talking to the choir...
dbecraft Tuesday, November 4th at 10:45PM EST (link)I agree with you 100% percent! It is just a shame that too many Conservatives decided on stupid issues…
Love Palin and hope she becomes the Republican icon…
Formally known as Deagle… “Golf is a way of life…”