AP: the “Most Toxic Environment for Democrats since 1994,” When they Lost 54 Seats


Go ahead, pass the toxic ObamaCare, and get your heads handed to you.

You collectively could (proudly) pull a Eric Massa (D-NY) – and not listen to your constituents.

After all, ObamaCare is directly responsible for the polls and current really bad public attitude towards Congress.

Why not continue to do as your told by the White House, and walk off the cliff? (I mean, it will be historic — and the White House really does care more about your re-election than it does about ObamaCare. Really, really.)

Congress continues to look like Obama’s puppets. First, Democrats say illegal aliens will not get health care, and their is no need for an explicit prohibition, because the President says so. Then the White House changes their mind and says there will be an explicit prohibition in the bill. What does Congress say? The President is wrong? Or does Congress say “we were wrong?”

And now the President is beginning to make the same noises on abortion. Will Congress be triangulated again by Obama? Will Congress dance to the new tune, when it starts to be sung?

And now that it is clear the reason there will be no public option “trigger” is because the Senate can’t pass any kind of Public Option, even a trigger — then what is the President going to say to the House liberals?

Or how about the half trillion in Medicare cuts that some Senate Democrats are backing away from — particularly with regard to the $178 billion in cuts from Medicare advantage. What tune will the House dance to now? The walk the plank on the seniors vote tune, it sounds like. Please, go first, before the Senate, the White House insists — and we your leadership want you to go first too — it will be better — trust us.

And it has come to this, the Associated Press is finally reporting the obvious, 2010 will be a very bad year for the Democrats — echoing Charlie Cooks warning that Democrats in Congress should “be terrified.”

From AP:

“From New Hampshire to Nevada, House Democrats also will be forced to defend votes on Obama’s $787 billion economic recovery package and on energy legislation viewed by many as a job killer in an already weak economy.

“Add to that the absence of Obama from the top of the ticket, which could reduce turnout among blacks, liberals and young people, and the likelihood of a highly motivated GOP base confused by the president’s proposed health care plan and angry at what they consider reckless spending and high debt.

“Taken together, it could be the most toxic environment for Democrats since 1994, when the party lost 34 House incumbents and 54 seats altogether. Democrats currently have a 256-178 edge in the House, with one vacancy. Republicans would have to pick up 40 seats to regain control.”

And,

Without Obama on the ticket, a lower predicted black turnout in 2010 could also affect Democrats in several tight races in the South. These include Reps. Bobby Bright and Parker Griffith of Alabama, Travis Childers of Mississippi, and Tom Perriello of Virginia, who won by just 745 votes last year in a district that is 24 percent black.

Concerns about Obama’s health care plan and the mounting federal debt could ensnare two first-term Florida Democrats, Alan Grayson and Suzanne Kosmas. Both represent districts along the state’s competitive I-4 corridor, which is heavily populated by independent voters and retirees. Polls show Obama has lost ground among both of those demographic groups nationwide.



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41 Comments Leave a comment

...or, they could just censure each other...

antisocialist01 Sunday, September 13th at 10:06PM EST (link)

What does Congress say? The President is wrong? Or does Congress say “we were wrong?”

Or they will say nothing

Dan Perrin (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 10:47PM EST (link)

and pretend they were for an explicit exclusion of benefits for illegal aliens all along.

 
 

1994 Temper Tantrum: Ritalin Nation?

Ausonius (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 10:14PM EST (link)

Peter Jennings infamously called the Republican victory in 1994 a “temper tantrum.”

We need a full-scale, throwing dishes against the wall meltdown, and it will take another year of everyone concerned staying focused, and then another 2 years of staying focused!

Can the short-attention-span society focus for that long? I know the people here can focus like Ahab on Moby Dick.

But what about the rest of the nation, many of whom need Ritalin? Will this anger against Dems fade? Have we peaked too early?

If NObama keeps handing us fresh outrages, it will be no problem!

Ausonius: 310-395 A.D. Teacher, Poet, Consul, General, Farmer.

Personal Tutor to the future St. Paulinus of Nola and to young Gratian, heir to the throne during the turbulent final years of the Western Roman Empire. When his former student Gratian was assassinated, Ausonius threw up his hands and retired to his farm in Gaul. Rome was captured by barbarians 14 years after his death.

Cato@rock.com

the pain of the disillusioned

Dan Perrin (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 10:46PM EST (link)

is not easily forgotten, among both independents and seniors.

They have been had by Obama, and they know it, and they are not happy and will not forget being betrayed.

They really and very naively thought they were voting for a moderate.

The D's will have help remembering...

roscopico (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 11:14PM EST (link)

As the legacy media will serve their masters with much more than due diligence. They’ll not rest until drones everywhere cast a ballot (or three) against the “excess and failure of the last eight years ™”

We face an uphill battle, but the mass media exerts less influence than well-informed neighbors. This war will be won not by mass-hypnosis, but on the local level.

May God Bless America.

Im Himmel gibt’s kein Bier…

 
 
 

Wow, the AP is actually reporting on this?

TNJim (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 10:19PM EST (link)

Someone lose their guidelines? This is too cool!

Of course Beth Fouhy may join the ranks of the unemployed soon. It’ll be interesting to see how many AP clients run this story unedited.

Activism: What to do after the TEA party rally. Unified Patriots

No, that would be new guidelines from The Campaigner in Chief

The_Gadfly (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 10:46PM EST (link)

Charlie Cook has been warning them, and they are starting to take him seriously. The really tell-tale line is a bit further down the article:

With history as a guide, Rep. Chris Van Hollen, D-Md., who heads the party’s House campaign committee, said he has warned colleagues to be prepared for an exceptionally challenging environment going into 2010.

I have the unfortunate “pleasure” of having this tool as my representative in Congress. He is incapable of having an original thought, so if he’s prepping the party for problems, they know from the top down that they are on the wrong side of the American people but they can’t give up their ideology for long enough to make the politic decision.

As for how much of a tool he is, I live in the most People’s Republic county of the People’s Republic of Maryland, but use to be represented by Connie Morella (Republican squish). Van Hollen couldn’t win against her in an even race, they had to gerrymander the district so he could win.

As for how bad the trouble the Dems are in, I’ve seen a couple of news articles the last few days about him “working” with auto dealers who were RIFFed as part of the Chrysler “bankruptcy.” Seems some of the rather large and potentially voter influencing dealers got burned and they’ve been letting the Dem leaders know they aren’t happy, probably along with the notes about why they are currently withholding their donations to the Dem party.

 
 

GOP base confused by the president’s proposed health care plan????

USNJIMRET (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 10:30PM EST (link)

Huh?
There’s no confusion.
There’s anger and disgust at yet another Democrat President who looks the Nation in the TV Eye and lies.
Lies about his proposed health care plan, about his “No pork” Stimulus plan, about his “Don’t want to run a car company”, about all of his “Deficit Neutral” deficit spending, the list keeps growing.
But confusion?
I think not.

yeah, I didn't get that either

Cheryl (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 11:15PM EST (link)

read it a couple of times, unless they meant to say independents

“A general dissolution of principles and manners will more surely overthrow the liberties of America, than the whole force of the common enemy.” –Samuel Adams

“The administrative state has inserted its big paws into our houses, from the toilet bowl to the light socket. Now if it would just stretch those paws from the one to the other at the same time, we might begin to recapture the spirit of ’76.” –Scott Johnson, Powerlineblog.com

 

Exactly what jumped out at me, USN Jim.

Loren Heal (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 11:19PM EST (link)

The only confusion we feel is when we wonder why our politicians don’t get it.


Join the Concord Project, and follow @lheal, if you dare.

 

Their assumption

DerKrieger (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 11:35PM EST (link)

…is that since we don’t agree with the Marxist in Chief that we must not understand what he’s selling.

“In questions of power, let no more be heard of confidence in man, but bind him down from mischief by the chains of the Constitution.” – Thomas Jefferson

“I cannot undertake to lay my finger on that article of the Constitution which granted a right to Congress of expending, on objects of benevolence, the money of their constituents.” – James Madison

Whenever the legislators endeavor to take away and destroy the property of the people, or to reduce them to slavery under arbitrary power, they put themselves into a state of war with the people, who are thereupon absolved from any further obedience.” — John Locke, 1690

 
 

I see 1994

redtillimdead (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 10:37PM EST (link)

I just wish Cantor or Boehnor would step up and be a leader and spokesman like Gingrich was. I can even now envision a scenario where we take back the House and Senate

Nancy Pelosi can kiss my asstroturf.

is it that they aren't stepping up?

Cheryl (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 11:17PM EST (link)

or that they aren’t getting heard?

“A general dissolution of principles and manners will more surely overthrow the liberties of America, than the whole force of the common enemy.” –Samuel Adams

“The administrative state has inserted its big paws into our houses, from the toilet bowl to the light socket. Now if it would just stretch those paws from the one to the other at the same time, we might begin to recapture the spirit of ’76.” –Scott Johnson, Powerlineblog.com

 

Holding pattern

Mayhem (Diary) Monday, September 14th at 12:11AM EST (link)

I think they are wisely holding off until healthcare is either defeated or it passes. To do anything right now that would distract from beating this bill, or to bring unnecessary attacks on the GOP, would give the Dems a hand that they don’t have right now. Once the shoe falls, I think we’ll see a “contract” of sorts come out. First, the GOP needs to know what they will be working with, which, until the bill is voted on, they won’t.

James Madison, Jim DeMint, Margaret Thatcher, Ronald Reagan… You get the picture.

 
 

It's what we've been saying all along.

NightTwister (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 10:40PM EST (link)

Elections Have Consequences

The best argument against democracy is a five-minute conversation with the average voter. – Winston Churchill

Candidate Recruitment

proudgop (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 11:01PM EST (link)

I see a lot of 1994 in 2010 and if it comes true then its still going to come down to candidate recruitment.

People like the Holden PA, Pomeroy ND, Petterson MN, Moore KS, Synder AR, Mattheson UT, Salazar CO etc . Many of these people represent GOP districts they must not be given free ride again this cycle

Where's the conservative agenda?????

Duane White (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 11:15PM EST (link)

In 1994 there was a very clear conservative agenda being promoted as an alternative to Clinton. As near as I can tell, the only agenda being pushed by our side right now is “NO”.

As I stated in a post here yesterday, being in opposition to the socialist agenda promoted by the left is good, but it’s not enough.

“The trouble with our liberal friends is not that they’re ignorant;
it’s just that they know so much that isn’t so.” — Ronald Reagan

If you aren't hearing it, you aren't listening.

NightTwister (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 11:21PM EST (link)

The candidate agenda is there, it’s just not a national movement. This time it’s different. There are candidates the grassroots are supporting, because their unique tone resonates with the local communities. Candidates like Ryan Frazier in Colorado.

The best argument against democracy is a five-minute conversation with the average voter. – Winston Churchill

That is some kind of awesome, NT!! *This* is the

eburke (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 11:31PM EST (link)

kind of uplifting message that will resonate *huge* with moderates, independents, and the GOP base. *This* is the message of Ronald Reagan which contrasts so clearly with the gloom and doom and America sucks rhetoric of the Left.

Only one quibble with the tape….the ‘ad’ never says what he’s running for. My wallet’s starting to get the itch

“All that need be done for evil to triumph is for good men to do nothing.”

Unified Patriots

Colorado Senate.

NightTwister (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 11:50PM EST (link)

We can Senator Who? back home in 2010.

You can donate to Frazier’s campaign here. His biggest need is name recognition beyond the grassroots. That will take some money, but there’s still time to get it done.

The best argument against democracy is a five-minute conversation with the average voter. – Winston Churchill

 
 
 

We are the cavalry.

Loren Heal (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 11:25PM EST (link)

The Contract with America only came in the summer of ’94, which was after the Post Office scandal, Congressional Bank scandal, and buyer’s remorse on Clinton.

Look for it to come from outsiders like Sarah, Fred, and … wait for it … you.


Join the Concord Project, and follow @lheal, if you dare.

I like Fred and some of the stuff Sarah has said,

The_Gadfly (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 11:42PM EST (link)

but I don’t think this will be coming from them. Much as I like them, they are still insiders. I think this has to come from us. Fred and Sarah may join in afterward and I will certainly welcome the publicity they will be able to bring to the ideas, but this has to be bottom up.

And frankly after it comes from us, keeping in mind the Gipper’s dictum about getting things done, I won’t particularly mind assigning them credit for it. I just don’t want to lose track of who is going to have to do the actual work.

I wish I'd said that.

Loren Heal (Diary) Monday, September 14th at 12:17AM EST (link)

It really was what I was thinking. This conservatarian surge we’re seeing really is different.

I think it’s like abolition. If we Republicans aren’t careful, we could go the way of the Whigs, Federalists, and Democratic-Republicans.


Join the Concord Project, and follow @lheal, if you dare.

You're welcome.

The_Gadfly (Diary) Tuesday, September 15th at 7:45PM EST (link)

And use it any time. After all, I sort of have to share with the person who inspired my screen name.

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

The GOP needs a galvanizing "event"

texas214 (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 10:58PM EST (link)

By “event”, I mean they need something, ala the Contract With America, to focus the anger that not only we in the GOP have, but the growing discontent of independents and disenchanted Democrats. We have to have more than “they suck” as our platform. The common themes of the discontent are:

1) The economy. Reagan understood that the only way out of the economic hole of the 70′s was to grow the economy.

2) The debt. See item #1 the best way to pay down the debt is to grow the economy and by default tax reciepts.

3) Limit the growth and size of government. Explain how if government quits being a referee and starts playing the game it takes away from item #1 which by default efects item #2.

The RNC, GOP House leadership, Senate GOP leadership, GOP Governors, and unelected leaders such as Palin, Gingrich, Romney…. need to be involved in forming the “event” or mechanism that conveys the message succinctly, clearly and in stark contrast to Obama and the Democrats. No one needs to excluded nor should they be putting they’re interest above the Party’s in ’10, a rising tide lifts all boats.

And remember Keep It Simple Stupid (KISS).

The answer is to devolve power back to the states...

MacAoidh (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 11:20PM EST (link)

…which has appeal on several levels:

1. It’s WHAT THE CONSTITUTION CALLED FOR IN THE FIRST PLACE.

2. States compete with each other for tax base and population. They are laboratories for innovative ideas in ways the federal government is unable to be.

3. States can’t run a printing press and thus must held be accountable from a budgetary standpoint.

All of this fits together, and it just happens to be a perfect prescription for an electorate which hates Washington with a passion. And it has a final benefit in that Republican politicians who willingly devolve power away from Washington are acting against their own interest, and that lends to them instant credibility.



Check out MacAoidh’s commentary on Louisiana and national politics at TheHayride.com

 

BINGO !!

Duane White (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 11:20PM EST (link)

All very good points. These and many other ideas created by the base need to be put into a newer version of the “Contract with America” and then select candidates for office who will promote and follow that platform.

“The trouble with our liberal friends is not that they’re ignorant;
it’s just that they know so much that isn’t so.” — Ronald Reagan

 

I don't think so.

The_Gadfly (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 11:36PM EST (link)

You nailed the way out of the recession on point #1, but after that your ideas won’t take you where you think they will.

MacAoidh and NightTwister’s posts are the real keys here. The Contract with America was a top down approach to the problem, and that was why it failed. This needs to be a bottom up correction, and NightTwister is right, this one is going to be that kind of change. It needs to be that kind of change because the solution MacAoidh points to is also the better pathway. You can balance the budget by raising taxes, but that isn’t necessarily good for the country. And this is one of those places where I do agree with libertarian conservatives, even the ones who need the big ‘L’: The fundamental problem at the moment in the size of government. The corruption we see from outfits like ACORN and the guy we lost because of the military contract scam arise because of the size of government. It isn’t sufficient to simply freeze it, it needs to actively be reduced. That reduces the benefits of corruption, thereby reducing the temptation to it. It also makes it possible to more quickly reduce the deficit and eventually the debt. But because it necessarily reduces the power of those in office, I doubt you can get the current crop to do it.

 
 

Anything more than 40 is acceptable

antisocial (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 11:05PM EST (link)

for us that is….. For dims that will be nuclear.

Obama Doctrine – Boot On The Throat
—————————–
What is to be done?
——————————
No. You can’t – Moe Lane
——————————
The Emperor has no clothes!!!

 

As I've sat here reading your posting, my subconscious knocked on the door

The_Gadfly (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 11:09PM EST (link)

of my conscious thinking to deliver a message. It apparently has been ruminating on a number of things and chose to highlight one of the things Glen Beck has been closing his broadcasts with: Don’t let the media or the DC politicians divert you from the truth.

It doesn’t matter whether or not whatever healthcare bill passes includes provisions prohibiting illegal aliens from getting benefits. And it doesn’t matter whether or not those provisions are backed by other enforcement provisions in the bill. Judge Andrew Napolitano, a pretty bright retired federal appellate court judge has stated it is likely SCOTUS would overturn those provisions as unconstitutional. He said there are two extant opinions legally binding court districts on this already, one of which is the decision that overturned California’s proposition 187. And apparently my subconscious believes the same thing will happen with respect to paying for abortions if universal healthcare is enacted. Think about it. Nobody believes SCOTUS is willing to overturn Roe vs Wade. Which means that the right to kill an unborn child continues to be a civil right in our country (yeah, I think that’s an obvious contradiction too, but stick with me for a minute here). Now if government mandates certain procedures be covered by any insurance policies sold in the US, and the federal government is obliged to protect civil liberties, doesn’t that also imply that the federal government must mandate that those insurance policies cover abortion?

So these questions about whether or not there are provisions for this or that in the bill are completely irrelevant. Whether or not they listen to Obama, or the nutroots doesn’t matter at all. The only thing that matters is whether they are doing the jobs they were sent there to do. And right now, it is pretty obvious they aren’t.

 

I'm growing worried

Mayhem (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 11:15PM EST (link)

that all this protesting and push-back is only emboldening President Obama. If I were in his head, I would be thinking, “Gee, we are totally and utterly screwed next year. I’m going to pass this no matter what, because I’m going to lose everything anyway. Plus, I just become that much more of a martyr for my followers.”

Protesting is doing wonders for our side. We are finally organizing and getting involved. However, I’m beginning to wonder whether it will do anything to stop this evil beast. Such is the delusional stubbornness of cultic leaders.

James Madison, Jim DeMint, Margaret Thatcher, Ronald Reagan… You get the picture.

Still better than the alternative

civil truth (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 11:34PM EST (link)

the alternative being that we keep silent and let the Democratic roll over us all.

At least this way they know that there’s pushback, which may give them pause. And if our opposition pushes them to go completely out on a limb, so much the better.

And as far as cultic leaders, they don’t do so well when people realize that they have no clothes.

And bullies lose their power when people start to stand up to them and fight back.

Which is what is starting to happen, the people who were totally intimidated by Porkulus and the auto bailout are starting to resist and are not getting crushed, but finding more support. This can snowball quite quickly once people start to cross the fear threshold, emboldened by those who are forging a trail ahead.

The greatest evil…is conceived and ordered (moved, seconded, carried, and minuted) in clean, carpeted, warmed, and well-lighted offices, by quiet men with white collars and cut fingernails and smooth-shaven cheeks who do not need to raise their voice. Hence, naturally enough, my symbol for Hell is something like the bureaucracy of a police state or the offices of a thoroughly nasty business concern. -C.S. Lewis

http://www.gmsplace.com/

Right,

Mayhem (Diary) Monday, September 14th at 12:15AM EST (link)

but I’m afraid that “pushing them out on the limb” will translate into the Dems passing an even more radical bill (“screw you, conservatives, we’re going down with the ship!”) that will be impossible to overturn.

James Madison, Jim DeMint, Margaret Thatcher, Ronald Reagan… You get the picture.

If it dies in the Senate

Dan Perrin (Diary) Monday, September 14th at 2:57AM EST (link)

it will not pass.

The next four weeks are going to decide what happens to ObamaCare.

 
 
 

Put the protest sign down and pick up the campaign sign

Cheryl (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 11:49PM EST (link)

or something like that, Erick’s words a couple weeks ago.

“A general dissolution of principles and manners will more surely overthrow the liberties of America, than the whole force of the common enemy.” –Samuel Adams

“The administrative state has inserted its big paws into our houses, from the toilet bowl to the light socket. Now if it would just stretch those paws from the one to the other at the same time, we might begin to recapture the spirit of ’76.” –Scott Johnson, Powerlineblog.com

Amen. Want to influence NOW how our Party acts?

ColdWarrior (Diary) Monday, September 14th at 3:36AM EST (link)

Contact your county Republican Party HQ NOW and tell them you are a conservative and you want to become a precinct committeeman.

Go here to learn more:

http://www.redstate.com/coldwarrior/2009/09/02/434-new-conservative-precinct-committeemen-and-counting/

Believe me, the Party “leaders” will only be frightened into action if you demonstrate that you ae willing to become a Party activist, a precinct committeeman. Because only PCs get to vote for the Party leadership and cast a vote to endorse candidates in the Republican primary elections.

Just do it. Now.

Thank you.

ColdWarrior

In 2012, will YOU become a “voting member” of the Republican Party in your precinct?

Where it all started. Twitter @kaltkrieger
Learn how to GOTV at The Concord Project and at Procinct and Unified Patriots.

 
 

Well

Dan Perrin (Diary) Monday, September 14th at 2:55AM EST (link)

his relentless pushing of ObamaCare has cost him massively in terms of support from independents, seniors and whites.

He is destroying the coalition that elected him.

And he is destroying his own credibility with this statements about no new taxes, not increasing the deficit etc.

And, he is doing it in a way that is making the hard left really angry, like his deal with Phrma.

He is neither effective or smart.

Dan, Obama being "neither effective or smart"

penguin2 (Diary) Monday, September 14th at 4:40AM EST (link)

leaves me thinking about that saying “knows enough to be dangerous.” Add in the arrogance he and the leftists Dems have, and I see disaster. I don’t believe that there won’t be a back door. Somewhere else in that bill is a loop hole.

Do you see this bill passing? No matter how they “modify” it, it is still bad. A shell game.

Resistance to tyrants is obedience to God. – Benjamin Franklin
When Good stands up to Evil, Evil blinks. – Vassar Bushmills

Conservative Education: Suggested Reading List

Activists Taking Action: Unified Patriots

No, I don't

Dan Perrin (Diary) Monday, September 14th at 5:27AM EST (link)

did you see Durbin on Meet the Press trying to convince the nation they were going to pass a health care bill and that he WANTED and NEEDED Republican help?

What happened to going it ALONE?

 
 
 
 

Will Redstate post a list of the 50 most vulnerable House Dems?

smagar (Diary) Sunday, September 13th at 11:16PM EST (link)

If we can target these folks early, and get the word out—through the filter of the Dem-friendly media—that these Dems are vulnerable, then we can muster monetary support for them.

Specifically, I’ll bet these Dems are busy telling the big money sources in their districts to support them in 2010 or stay on the sidelines. If, however, these Dems can be ID’ed as vulnerable, then perhaps some purses will open for the R challengers. Also important—maybe some of the Dem big-money supporters might be persuaded to hold up, for just a bit, on their 2010 giving.

“Who will stand/On either hand/And guard this bridge with me?” (Macaulay)

 

All in the numbers

1stRichard (Diary) Monday, September 14th at 12:13AM EST (link)

I don’t think many noticed but. Moveon, Health Care Now and other leftist Astroturferes had a protest this Sunday Sep 13 in support of Obamacare. They are they had “massive numbers”, maybe 500?

Could this be telling of the support democrats have?

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2009/9/13/781527/-Healthcare-Reform-Rally-in-Washington,-DC9-13-09Small,-but-Mighty!-UPDATED

According to these numbers democrats have done died?