The Voters Of PA-12 Will Choose A New Representative Through A Special Election


Looking Forward

The important practical question following the death today of Congressman John Murtha is what happens to the House seat he held on behalf of the people of Pennsylvania’s 12th District. The good news, so far as I can tell from early reports, is that Ed Rendell won’t get to appoint an interim replacement, but rather the voters will have to choose one in a special election. As the Washington Post’s Chris Cillizza reports:

According to state law, the governor has ten days once the vacancy is officially declared to decide on the date for the special election, which can come no sooner than 60 days following that proclamation.

That likely means the special election will be held on May 18, which is the date already set for federal primaries around the state. (Special elections costs the state huge sums of money and it’s likely that Gov. Ed Rendell will choose to go with an already established election day to save some cash.)

This is yet another critical election; recall that Obamacare passed the House with a 3-vote margin of victory, and any effort to run it back through the House with the watered-down Senate langauge on abortion will cost at least two of those votes (Bart Stupak and Joseph Cao), while now two others (Robert Wexler and Murtha) have left the House since the vote was cast. Mike Memoli at RCP notes the continuing flux with special elections already coming up to replace Wexler and the yet-to-resign Neil Abercrombie in Hawaii:

Democrats have won every [House] special election in this Congress, including one pick-up from the GOP in New York 23. Another is set in the Florida 19th on April 13, with yet another seat opening soon when Rep. Neil Abercrombie (D-HI) steps down to run for governor.

In other words, there will be a couple more opportunities for voters to affect the composition of a House already narrowly divided on President Obama’s signature issue, and for now, at least, there are no longer the votes to pass anything unless and until Nancy Pelosi turns some “no” votes into “yes” votes without losing more of the original “yes” votes.

PA-12 has trended Republican in recent years – Cillizza notes that it was the only district carried by John Kerry in 2004 to flip to McCain in 2008 – although it’s hard to tell how much of that is due to Murtha-specific issues and to the hangover from Obama’s ham-handed comments during the Pennsylvania primaries. My best advice to the PA GOP is to study carefully the mess made in NY-23 (the behind-closed-doors selection of a thin-skinned and too-liberal member of the dysfunctional, corrupt and discredited state legislature) before a candidate is chosen for this special election.


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Good call, and here are three particular lessons.

Moe Lane (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 4:06PM EST (link)

1). Pick somebody full-throttled on his or her opposition to the stimulus, cap-and-trade, and health care rationing.

2). Pick someone using the full input of the local party apparatus.

3). Pick somebody ready to come out swinging, because the Democrats are going to seriously try to protect this seat.

Give us that, and the money will be there from the base.

Col Russell is already ready

Raven (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 8:20PM EST (link)

His machine is already in gear, he has funds in hand, and had already announced his plans to run against Murtha again this year.
And seeing how close he came to beating Murtha even in ’08, I’d say he will be PAs newest Congressman. No contest.

“If you do not have a sword, sell your cloak and buy one.”
Luke 22:36

I followed the Colonel in '08...

soljerblue Tuesday, February 9th at 11:44AM EST (link)

and he’d make a great House member for PA-12, as well as a great example for the rest of the GOP. I hope he gets it!

 
 
 

For Murtha's Immediate Family

Repair_Man_Jack (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 4:07PM EST (link)

I express condolences and hope that God will bring them relife from their suffering.

To Murtha’s Party – You’re Going Down!

” I side impenitently with the human race against the modern reformer.” – C.S. Lewis

Murtha's immediate family

Dan McLaughlin (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 4:14PM EST (link)

is not likely to take any solace from anything I write on the internet anyway, so I’m just moving on to what this means for the far larger number of families who live in PA-12, or anywhere else the House of Representatives makes law for.

“No compromise with the main purpose, no peace till victory, no pact with unrepentant wrong.” – Winston Churchill

 

yes, a Family suffering knows NO Politics....

JLenardDetroit (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 4:36PM EST (link)

and we must be true to our ConserValues and ConSpeak of Faith and Family and understand that and extend our heartfelt condolences and sympathy…. Beyond that, we are certainly NOT going to just say nothing about the pathetic Politics he tried to push upon the rest of us…. The two are completely different!!!! The left (see another of my comments below) is already declaring Murtha a HC Takeover Martyr much as they USED Senator Deady Kennedy – already!!!!

Regards from NoMoTown (the MOTORlessCITY)
“Liberals, looking to do for? America what they’ve done for? Detroit! which is DESTROY IT!”
“I think, therefore I am Conservative”
“Conservative by choice, Republican by necessity”
“You can lead a Liberal to the Truth/Facts, but you cannot make them THINK!”
“Romney [No, not my first choice] does NOT have a MORMON problem. He has a, far too many Americans; these days; are MORONS problem!”


(RS:Help) (JLD) (Hollyweird) (Brain-deads) (SPIN-cycle) (Obamaocare) (Party of kNOw) (Conservatism) (TEApeats) (respectful) (message) (Warning: Children Will Die!!)
Heil “O” Hell No Obamao is NOT MY PRESIDENT! “No U won’t”
I want “O” to FAIL (here, here, & whole Diary (Ofail) here, is why)
The first Liberal was Satan” – a Rush caller (other Quotes)

 

One of his families

Raven (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 8:22PM EST (link)

Was just brought relief from suffering by God. The Marines no longer have a need to make sure he’s not there now.

This is one death I absolutely WILL celebrate.

“If you do not have a sword, sell your cloak and buy one.”
Luke 22:36

Classy.

joebgardener Monday, February 8th at 9:25PM EST (link)

n/t

I’m a retread who keeps coming back after getting banned for trolling.

I don't frankly care

Raven (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 10:53PM EST (link)

Not on this one.

“If you do not have a sword, sell your cloak and buy one.”
Luke 22:36

Goodby and Good Riddance

leehazel Tuesday, February 9th at 6:33PM EST (link)

You definitely have company. This man should roast for a thousand years and I would be happy to light the fire.

PC is Thought Control
LEE

 
 
 
 
 

I don't think there are any states where governors can appoint congressmen...

Third Street (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 4:10PM EST (link)

…that only happens with senators. PA-12 is R+1; McCain edged out Obama there; and Bill Russell has raised several gazillion dollars, so the odds should favor us.

Still, this is the only congressional district in the nation that McCain picked up from Kerry, and its inhabitants don’t even seem to blink when their own congressman insults them, so who knows what might happen.

“Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure nineteen nineteen six, result happiness. Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure twenty pounds ought and six, result misery.” –Wilkins Micawber, “David Copperfield”

That's how it works in Oregon

JoeG Monday, February 8th at 5:09PM EST (link)

The caveat is that the appointee must be picked from a list given by the party of the previous seat holder.

 

We Had Murtha as Likely to Lose Anyway

gemimail Tuesday, February 9th at 11:29AM EST (link)

We had Murtha as having a 54.2% chance of losing in November. For the time being pending any poll information, we are inclined to leave it that way since Murtha’s pluses and minuses canceled each other out and left what any decent Democrat candidate could do. See: http://www.marstonchronicles.info/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=296&Itemid=1130.

 
 

When will Oboma deploy his Acron and

Greg (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 4:14PM EST (link)

black panther friends to canvas the hood for votes?

I don't think there's much "hood" in PA-12

Dan McLaughlin (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 4:17PM EST (link)

Check the district’s profile & geography.

“No compromise with the main purpose, no peace till victory, no pact with unrepentant wrong.” – Winston Churchill

Gerrymandering district

Greg (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 4:22PM EST (link)

if I ever saw one

Ain't that the truth...

Third Street (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 4:24PM EST (link)

“Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure nineteen nineteen six, result happiness. Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure twenty pounds ought and six, result misery.” –Wilkins Micawber, “David Copperfield”

If we can retake this district

Dan McLaughlin (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 4:33PM EST (link)

I prescribe a round of Rolling Rock for everyone.

“No compromise with the main purpose, no peace till victory, no pact with unrepentant wrong.” – Winston Churchill

No Rolling Rock please

buzzyboop Tuesday, February 9th at 7:47AM EST (link)

Since A-B bought Rolling Rock, it’s not brewed in Latrobe anymore, but in Newark. However, good ol’ Iron City is now brewed there in its stead, and it shows in its improved taste. So I’ll be pumpin’ an Iron instead.

Cheers, Frank

 
 

I imagine CD's as a Rorscharch test...

varia (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 10:17PM EST (link)

and this one looks like the hand of a corpse…

Ecclesiastes 10:2 “The heart of the wise inclines to the right, but the heart of the fool to the left.”

 
 
 
 
 

Murtha (and District race) become latest (Deady Kennedy style) HC Takeover Martyr

JLenardDetroit (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 4:31PM EST (link)

moron from TN (Democrat, of course) was on Cavuto talking with Varney and went on about how Murtha was basically KILLED by his Doctors and HC System and that was clear evidence of how/why we cannot have TORT Reform because (further he went on to imply) a Lawsuit should be filed so the truth would come forth…. Varney called him out directly on making Murtha a HC Takeover Martyr….

Likewise, the moronic Democrat Congressman from TN (sorry, don’t remember his name, but does it matter? all these Democrats/Liberals/Progressives intend to USE an incident to trump up the usual Liberal Emotional Over-reaction over Thoughtful and Reasoned Examination and Response to a situation, Issue, problem, etc…..) went on to suggest that the MA/Brown revolt was NOT a rejection of Natl. HC Takeover, but that MA wants to keep its HC but also wants the other 49 States to have such….. Oh really?!?!? The guy said it with a straight face too… HILARIOUS!!!!! Exactly the specific and correct CONSTITUTIONAL POINT that the Federal Govt. HAS NO RIGHT and under the 10th Amendment that is left to each State to decide for itself, within the confines of each State’s own Constitution, whether or not to enact HC Reforms.

Regards from NoMoTown (the MOTORlessCITY)
“Liberals, looking to do for? America what they’ve done for? Detroit! which is DESTROY IT!”
“I think, therefore I am Conservative”
“Conservative by choice, Republican by necessity”
“You can lead a Liberal to the Truth/Facts, but you cannot make them THINK!”
“Romney [No, not my first choice] does NOT have a MORMON problem. He has a, far too many Americans; these days; are MORONS problem!”


(RS:Help) (JLD) (Hollyweird) (Brain-deads) (SPIN-cycle) (Obamaocare) (Party of kNOw) (Conservatism) (TEApeats) (respectful) (message) (Warning: Children Will Die!!)
Heil “O” Hell No Obamao is NOT MY PRESIDENT! “No U won’t”
I want “O” to FAIL (here, here, & whole Diary (Ofail) here, is why)
The first Liberal was Satan” – a Rush caller (other Quotes)

Cohen. He was filibustering all Varney's questions.

joayn (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 6:27PM EST (link)

The guy just wouldn’t shut up.

America is an idea; a noble idea that essentially boils down to the shocking belief that the masses are in fact not asses. John Nolte

Exactly,

realskinny (Diary) Tuesday, February 9th at 6:34PM EST (link)

I had to turn it off–couldn’t stand to hear the SOB.

 
 
 

Has the NRCC found someone left of Murtha to run yet? -nt

bk (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 4:34PM EST (link)

JC is looking to move

Greg (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 4:36PM EST (link)

some some to a place that is not so cold on him

I meet to type JM and don't know how I typed JC

Greg (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 4:37PM EST (link)

how 'bout Chrissy (NoBalls) Matthews?

JLenardDetroit (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 5:08PM EST (link)

he’s been floating the chances of running for something (he’d prefer the more secure Senate seat, of cousre, since he’s above us all) in PA. Maybe he could shuffle into that District.

If we ask him nice!?!? Please, pretty please Chrissy, make a fool of yourself even more for us.

Regards from NoMoTown (the MOTORlessCITY)
“Liberals, looking to do for? America what they’ve done for? Detroit! which is DESTROY IT!”
“I think, therefore I am Conservative”
“Conservative by choice, Republican by necessity”
“You can lead a Liberal to the Truth/Facts, but you cannot make them THINK!”
“Romney [No, not my first choice] does NOT have a MORMON problem. He has a, far too many Americans; these days; are MORONS problem!”


(RS:Help) (JLD) (Hollyweird) (Brain-deads) (SPIN-cycle) (Obamaocare) (Party of kNOw) (Conservatism) (TEApeats) (respectful) (message) (Warning: Children Will Die!!)
Heil “O” Hell No Obamao is NOT MY PRESIDENT! “No U won’t”
I want “O” to FAIL (here, here, & whole Diary (Ofail) here, is why)
The first Liberal was Satan” – a Rush caller (other Quotes)

 
 
 
 

GOP challenger for Murtha seat...

JLenardDetroit (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 4:44PM EST (link)

I thought that we were already pretty well set for tthe rematch (Conservative Candidates (the Diary) PA)?? Is there any reason to think he wasn’t going to go on to reclaim the GOP Primary and chance to go at Murtha?!?!? Shouldn’t he then be nominee???

Regards from NoMoTown (the MOTORlessCITY)
“Liberals, looking to do for? America what they’ve done for? Detroit! which is DESTROY IT!”
“I think, therefore I am Conservative”
“Conservative by choice, Republican by necessity”
“You can lead a Liberal to the Truth/Facts, but you cannot make them THINK!”
“Romney [No, not my first choice] does NOT have a MORMON problem. He has a, far too many Americans; these days; are MORONS problem!”


(RS:Help) (JLD) (Hollyweird) (Brain-deads) (SPIN-cycle) (Obamaocare) (Party of kNOw) (Conservatism) (TEApeats) (respectful) (message) (Warning: Children Will Die!!)
Heil “O” Hell No Obamao is NOT MY PRESIDENT! “No U won’t”
I want “O” to FAIL (here, here, & whole Diary (Ofail) here, is why)
The first Liberal was Satan” – a Rush caller (other Quotes)

William Russell

JLenardDetroit (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 4:49PM EST (link)

the guy Murtha suggested I’ll have you sent back to the War is his name. I hadn’t checked his website at all recently.

Regards from NoMoTown (the MOTORlessCITY)
“Liberals, looking to do for? America what they’ve done for? Detroit! which is DESTROY IT!”
“I think, therefore I am Conservative”
“Conservative by choice, Republican by necessity”
“You can lead a Liberal to the Truth/Facts, but you cannot make them THINK!”
“Romney [No, not my first choice] does NOT have a MORMON problem. He has a, far too many Americans; these days; are MORONS problem!”


(RS:Help) (JLD) (Hollyweird) (Brain-deads) (SPIN-cycle) (Obamaocare) (Party of kNOw) (Conservatism) (TEApeats) (respectful) (message) (Warning: Children Will Die!!)
Heil “O” Hell No Obamao is NOT MY PRESIDENT! “No U won’t”
I want “O” to FAIL (here, here, & whole Diary (Ofail) here, is why)
The first Liberal was Satan” – a Rush caller (other Quotes)

William Russell IS the guy to run for Murtha's seat....

JadedByPolitics (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 5:34PM EST (link)

he did very well for an unknown and he is NO LONGER an unknown. He is someone that I have donated to and he is a shining example of Conservatism. Here is a site not his site because I have to go grocery shopping again because we are expecting 10-20 inches AGAIN tomorrow night…

He is the perfect guy for this district

Yes

Return to Revolution (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 5:53PM EST (link)

Russell is solid as they come. He lost to Murtha by about 17 points in 08 which disappointed me but as noted, isn’t bad for an unknown. PA-12 is perplexing because it trends slight R or neutral yet they keep reelecting him even as he insults them.

There is also a dynamic no longer at play (hopefully) – the republican state committee chairman (Robert Gleason) was a lifelong friend of Murtha’s, had a business relationship with him (Gleason insurance co. insured many of Murtha’s businesses that drew federal pork), and appeared to work vigorously behind the scenes to keep Murtha in office, which meant sabotaging Republican challengers. While Gleason needs to go, hopefully he will now leave this district alone.

Russell’s website is

http://russellbrigade.com/

Out of hand Constitutional fetishist

 

replacing Murtha, join the Russell Brigade

JLenardDetroit (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 7:59PM EST (link)

I agree Jaded and why I’ve kept him highlighted in my Conservative Candidates (the Diary) PA section (scroll down once past the Toomey discussion to get to Russell), but we hadn’t had much news from Murtha (and his Airport to nowhere) other than his health – plus our attentions have been focused on more immediate needs/concerns with Special Elections. This now becomes another focal point Special Election. The reason I ask is because if anyone has any reason why someone else should be the considered favorite now would be the time to put forth who and why!?!?

I, for one, think this is NOT the time to backtrack from the guy many had been previously supporting. The great concern, of course, is a DoDo repeat, as people come out of the woodwork “interested” alll of a sudden now that the seat might be considered a little easier to claim. That alone, IMO, is reason to REJECT them (w/o some really darn good excuse/reason we should, and I mean really, really, really, good reasons) for the guy willing to have been doing the work all along!!!!!

Also, if anyone hasn’t visited the Russell Brigade site today, go there now:
Rusell Brigade site
and see some real class! I have a Campaign Donation link from my Conservative Candidates (the Diary) PA section for him, Russell Brigade donations (directly here).

Regards from NoMoTown (the MOTORlessCITY)
“Liberals, looking to do for? America what they’ve done for? Detroit! which is DESTROY IT!”
“I think, therefore I am Conservative”
“Conservative by choice, Republican by necessity”
“You can lead a Liberal to the Truth/Facts, but you cannot make them THINK!”
“Romney [No, not my first choice] does NOT have a MORMON problem. He has a, far too many Americans; these days; are MORONS problem!”


(RS:Help) (JLD) (Hollyweird) (Brain-deads) (SPIN-cycle) (Obamaocare) (Party of kNOw) (Conservatism) (TEApeats) (respectful) (message) (Warning: Children Will Die!!)
Heil “O” Hell No Obamao is NOT MY PRESIDENT! “No U won’t”
I want “O” to FAIL (here, here, & whole Diary (Ofail) here, is why)
The first Liberal was Satan” – a Rush caller (other Quotes)

Well, Me.

Raven (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 8:27PM EST (link)

Except I don’t live in his district, won’t be available to campaign, don’t really qualify, and am not better than Col Russell at this time…

“If you do not have a sword, sell your cloak and buy one.”
Luke 22:36

 
 
 

His machine is in gear

Raven (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 8:26PM EST (link)

He already made his announcement that he was running again. He has cash on hand and name recognition in the district and came within 5 points (iirc) in ’08. Yeah. He’s our guy.

“If you do not have a sword, sell your cloak and buy one.”
Luke 22:36

 
 
 

Not hopeful about this

moldog Monday, February 8th at 5:24PM EST (link)

After all, these voters re-elected Murtha fully aware of his outrageous slander of his fellow marines and history of shady deals. They sold their souls for pork. Why should they change

Because the new guy can't deliver pork like that old guy

civil truth (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 5:27PM EST (link)

The flip-side of seniority. Live by the sword, die by the sword.

The greatest evil…is conceived and ordered (moved, seconded, carried, and minuted) in clean, carpeted, warmed, and well-lighted offices, by quiet men with white collars and cut fingernails and smooth-shaven cheeks who do not need to raise their voice. Hence, naturally enough, my symbol for Hell is something like the bureaucracy of a police state or the offices of a thoroughly nasty business concern. -C.S. Lewis

http://www.gmsplace.com/

 
 

My understanding

duke87 (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 5:26PM EST (link)

was that Rep. Murtha’s initial surgery was performed at Bethesda Naval Hospital, This would imply that it was an error within the VA medical system. Rep. Murtha was then moved to the Virginia Hospital Center. Thus, this should NOT be the poster child for government healthcare since the alleged “malpractice” would have been committed by the highly touted VA medical system. This should work against governement takeover of healthcare, not for it. However, I am not purporting to have access to all of the facts.

you are correct

thurman Monday, February 8th at 8:22PM EST (link)

Not to rush to judgment, but Murtha’s death is a stunning argument against HCR and government run health care by any rational analysis

The quality of surgeons in VA and military hospitals is actually pretty poor on average compared to the private sector. The VA system is despicable. Most military surgeons don’t get enough routine procedures, and the system has some major issues.

From the details I know, this was a pretty bad complication. I guarantee none of the surgeons would make this error.

But negligence like this is all too common in the VA system

This case would be a bit of an argument AGAINST government run health care by any rational scrutiny– mediocre standards with no accountability

 

you are correct

thurman Monday, February 8th at 8:22PM EST (link)

Not to rush to judgment, but Murtha’s death is a stunning argument against HCR and government run health care by any rational analysis

The quality of surgeons in VA and military hospitals is actually pretty poor on average compared to the private sector. The VA system is despicable. Most military surgeons don’t get enough routine procedures, and the system has some major issues.

From the details I know, this was a pretty bad complication. I guarantee none of the surgeons would make this error.

But negligence like this is all too common in the VA system

This case would be a bit of an argument AGAINST government run health care by any rational scrutiny– mediocre standards with no accountability

 
 

PA legistlature and Gov. Rendell could always just change the law.

SoFiMil (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 5:34PM EST (link)

They wouldn’t dare. …Would they?

www.suvstrategery.blogspot.com

No. No they wouldn't

Raven (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 8:30PM EST (link)

Folks like State Senator Eichelberger would crucify them. And if they thought the hit to the PA GOP in ’05 over the pay raise scandal was bad, they REALLY don’t want to experience their own version of it. Not with the DNCs healthcare proposals and Cap and Tax still hanging over their heads as well.

“If you do not have a sword, sell your cloak and buy one.”
Luke 22:36

 
 

May the God of Abraham, Issac and Jacob have mercy

Bill Monday, February 8th at 5:48PM EST (link)

on the soul of John Murtha. May Jesus Christ strongly remind Mr Murtha of His admonition to “judge ye not lest ye be judged” to remind Rep Murtha of his pre-mature judgment of his fellow marines from Haditha! My smypathy to the Murtha family.

Thank God! November 3, 2010. U.S. House, GOP 290, DEM 145; U.S. Senate, GOP 70, DEM 28, IND 2. Keep on praying!

 

obamacare

winterhawk Monday, February 8th at 6:08PM EST (link)

Do you suppose that had he had obamacare that would not have happened?

I’m a banned troll who thought I could disguise my identity with a dynamic IP address.

umm NO since he was at Bethesda Medical....

JadedByPolitics (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 7:03PM EST (link)

he was taken care of by the GOVERNMENT. What an absolutely ridiculous thing to say. Do you suppose if you had a brain you wouldn’t be trolling Obamacare at a Conservative site?

sounded like snark to me

JLenardDetroit (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 8:04PM EST (link)

and as I pointed out elsewhere, at least one Democrat has basically accused the Mutha’s Doctors Killed Him!!!! and Murtha becomes the next Senator Deady Kennedy HC Takeover Martyr….. Pathetic.

As for whether or not the comment above was snark or not, I’ve yet to check the commenters Profile.

Regards from NoMoTown (the MOTORlessCITY)
“Liberals, looking to do for? America what they’ve done for? Detroit! which is DESTROY IT!”
“I think, therefore I am Conservative”
“Conservative by choice, Republican by necessity”
“You can lead a Liberal to the Truth/Facts, but you cannot make them THINK!”
“Romney [No, not my first choice] does NOT have a MORMON problem. He has a, far too many Americans; these days; are MORONS problem!”


(RS:Help) (JLD) (Hollyweird) (Brain-deads) (SPIN-cycle) (Obamaocare) (Party of kNOw) (Conservatism) (TEApeats) (respectful) (message) (Warning: Children Will Die!!)
Heil “O” Hell No Obamao is NOT MY PRESIDENT! “No U won’t”
I want “O” to FAIL (here, here, & whole Diary (Ofail) here, is why)
The first Liberal was Satan” – a Rush caller (other Quotes)

 
 

HE wouldn't have had ObamaCare.

Third Street (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 7:23PM EST (link)

WE would. Murtha would have been exempt along with the other 534 Members of Congress, and would still have had access to the best medical care money could buy while the rest of us were having ours rationed — and you wouldn’t believe how cheap he’d be getting it.

“Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure nineteen nineteen six, result happiness. Annual income twenty pounds, annual expenditure twenty pounds ought and six, result misery.” –Wilkins Micawber, “David Copperfield”

 
 

The easy choice is William Russell

Jill1066 Monday, February 8th at 7:45PM EST (link)

Bill Russell came the closest that anyone has come in decades to beating Murtha in 2008. He essentially announced he’d be back when he gave his concession speech. He started fundraising for 2010 immediately. I’d say he’s the most feasible Republican nominee for this seat. I know there’s another candidate, but with the short time period and given his prior efforts Russell should get the nod.

Do retreads win much? (nt)

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 7:47PM EST (link)

RS contributing editor, technical administrator, and “a hardy variety of crabgrass.”
Read the RedState Posting Rules

Unlikely Voter: Poll Analysis, Election Projection.

“I rejoice that America has resisted.” – William Pitt, the Elder

I got an email last week from Russell so he is running again....

JadedByPolitics (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 7:54PM EST (link)

he is probably the best positioned at this moment.

 

yes, they do win much

pilgrim (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 7:57PM EST (link)

Newt Gingrich, Dick Lugar, Dick Nixon, Ronald Reagan, George HW Bush are just a few examples of folks who lost an election before they won an election.


Activists Taking Action: Unified Patriots

That's not what I me an

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 8:22PM EST (link)

I mean someone who immediately runs again for the same office they just lost for in the general.

RS contributing editor, technical administrator, and “a hardy variety of crabgrass.”
Read the RedState Posting Rules

Unlikely Voter: Poll Analysis, Election Projection.

“I rejoice that America has resisted.” – William Pitt, the Elder

This one will

Raven (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 8:33PM EST (link)

There’s no one else in the district positioned for a win. The PA GOP likes him, the locals like him, the PA Dems fear him.
He has name Rec, money, an already functioning campaign apparatus, and he’s the right guy for the job.

“If you do not have a sword, sell your cloak and buy one.”
Luke 22:36

 

I understood you

JLenardDetroit (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 8:48PM EST (link)

but voters can be shown that they made a mistake and that they can now corret it…. Again, depends entirely on the scope of the office and each race has to be examined on its own merits, but I understand your concern as to whether one is just rushing headlong to a repeat loss. Didn’t CA flop between a couple of Gov’s that went head-to-head more than once (I don’t recall, something about Gov. Moonbeam ;-) lol) but anyway, I have seen it happen and work out okay for Republicans in a rematch for local/State level Offices…. I think it is “do-able” at the CD level (still small enough in scope, IMO, but I don’t have examples to cite), it gets alot murkier and unlikely the wider the Office Election base (but I could be wrong on that).

Take Care and God Bless.

Regards from NoMoTown (the MOTORlessCITY)
“Liberals, looking to do for? America what they’ve done for? Detroit! which is DESTROY IT!”
“I think, therefore I am Conservative”
“Conservative by choice, Republican by necessity”
“You can lead a Liberal to the Truth/Facts, but you cannot make them THINK!”
“Romney [No, not my first choice] does NOT have a MORMON problem. He has a, far too many Americans; these days; are MORONS problem!”


(RS:Help) (JLD) (Hollyweird) (Brain-deads) (SPIN-cycle) (Obamaocare) (Party of kNOw) (Conservatism) (TEApeats) (respectful) (message) (Warning: Children Will Die!!)
Heil “O” Hell No Obamao is NOT MY PRESIDENT! “No U won’t”
I want “O” to FAIL (here, here, & whole Diary (Ofail) here, is why)
The first Liberal was Satan” – a Rush caller (other Quotes)

The one CA retread lost worse than the first time

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 9:14PM EST (link)

We’ve gone..

Schwarzenegger over Angelides
Schwarzenegger over Bustamante and McClintock
Davis over Simon
Davis over Lungren
Wilson over K. Brown
Wilson over Feinstein
Deukmejian over Bradley
Deukmejian over Bradley
Brown over ..

and that’s the limit of what I can tell you off the top of my head :-) so looking it up

E. Brown Jr. over Younger
E. Brown Jr. over Flournoy
Reagan over Unruh
Reagan over E. Brown Sr.
E. Brown Sr. over Nixon

So the one retread we had was Tom Bradley. He lost in a squeaker in the election that inspired talk of The Bradley Effect, then tried again and lost by a larger margin the second time.

RS contributing editor, technical administrator, and “a hardy variety of crabgrass.”
Read the RedState Posting Rules

Unlikely Voter: Poll Analysis, Election Projection.

“I rejoice that America has resisted.” – William Pitt, the Elder

Oh yes

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 9:19PM EST (link)

And E. Brown Jr. is Edmund G. “Jerry” Brown Jr, also known as “Moonbeam”, who’s cleared the field this time for the Democrats.

He’s gone from 2 term Governor to 2 time failed Presidential candidate to a long break to Mayor of Oakland to Attorney General to clear favorite to be Governor again.

RS contributing editor, technical administrator, and “a hardy variety of crabgrass.”
Read the RedState Posting Rules

Unlikely Voter: Poll Analysis, Election Projection.

“I rejoice that America has resisted.” – William Pitt, the Elder

Gov. Moonbeam

JLenardDetroit (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 10:09PM EST (link)

(and somewhat easy for me from here to confuse JR/SR perhaps as part of the memory) I knew I might not be remembering that right, but he has always been in and out of so many discussions and the ultimate Insider ReTread (as opposed to specific head to head rematches, but I had thought he ran and lost only to win next time out, I still contend there might be some examples out there where it has happened where the “folks” were conviinced they “errored” and reversed themselves, other than local Mayor races and a couple State districts (and don’t have links) it just may not happen for grander scale Races) and therefore understandable why you may be so dead set against such and suspicious. I just still hold that each Do you think he really will be odds on out there? But again, I won’t dismiss out of hand the situations, but hold each for specific review – with your point being a part of the whole over-all “concerns” on whether it is the best strategy and any person in question being the best choice. As another one of those “general rules” to go by, you have laid out appropriate concern but I am open to occasional exceptions to all the general rules of thumb – depending on person, location, specific circumstances, etc…. Russell is not the complete unkown this time out and with the TEApeaters pushing his outsider benefits may be able to be cashed in ,

Regards from NoMoTown (the MOTORlessCITY)
“Liberals, looking to do for? America what they’ve done for? Detroit! which is DESTROY IT!”
“I think, therefore I am Conservative”
“Conservative by choice, Republican by necessity”
“You can lead a Liberal to the Truth/Facts, but you cannot make them THINK!”
“Romney [No, not my first choice] does NOT have a MORMON problem. He has a, far too many Americans; these days; are MORONS problem!”


(RS:Help) (JLD) (Hollyweird) (Brain-deads) (SPIN-cycle) (Obamaocare) (Party of kNOw) (Conservatism) (TEApeats) (respectful) (message) (Warning: Children Will Die!!)
Heil “O” Hell No Obamao is NOT MY PRESIDENT! “No U won’t”
I want “O” to FAIL (here, here, & whole Diary (Ofail) here, is why)
The first Liberal was Satan” – a Rush caller (other Quotes)

Now there's an interesting first sentence to parse :-)

MF (Diary) Tuesday, February 9th at 12:38PM EST (link)
 
 

Reagan over E. Brown Sr. gave birth to

jetman Tuesday, February 9th at 1:53PM EST (link)

the best campaign bumper sticker ever seen in California:

IF IT’S BROWN, FLUSH IT.

Thanks for the memories Nell Stevens.

 
 
 
 
 

should I stop my support for Toomey then?

JLenardDetroit (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 8:18PM EST (link)

not entirely the same thing, Primary/General, I know…. and I understand your concern to question…. However, Russell is NOT the normal Political insider and I had been planning on supporting him all along in a rematch as I had been Toomey with disreSpecter to come out of the Primaries, and as with Toomey (Specter changing Party) doesn’t change my thoughts/support, this becoming a Special Election doesn’t change my support for Russell either (again, not-withstanding a really good reason to convince me otherwise – some stellar Candidate – that we should have been hearing about all along before then, which will make me suspicious). Each case specifics need to be examined, old long term Political hacks retreading, I understand the questioning, but not in these PA cases. Sometimes, time proves the voters were wrong and they recognize such, where then the “re-tread” (as labled) can very well win. As I said up thread, if the PA GOP has a really, really, really, good reason why we shouldn’t support Russell who has been putting in the long work over someone that wants to just pop up now last minute because the seat has become perhaps a little easier to win – I’m open to it, but it can’t be Political Payback of/for some other Insider in some form of another DoDo deal.

Regards from NoMoTown (the MOTORlessCITY)
“Liberals, looking to do for? America what they’ve done for? Detroit! which is DESTROY IT!”
“I think, therefore I am Conservative”
“Conservative by choice, Republican by necessity”
“You can lead a Liberal to the Truth/Facts, but you cannot make them THINK!”
“Romney [No, not my first choice] does NOT have a MORMON problem. He has a, far too many Americans; these days; are MORONS problem!”


(RS:Help) (JLD) (Hollyweird) (Brain-deads) (SPIN-cycle) (Obamaocare) (Party of kNOw) (Conservatism) (TEApeats) (respectful) (message) (Warning: Children Will Die!!)
Heil “O” Hell No Obamao is NOT MY PRESIDENT! “No U won’t”
I want “O” to FAIL (here, here, & whole Diary (Ofail) here, is why)
The first Liberal was Satan” – a Rush caller (other Quotes)

Primary vs General is a huge difference

Neil Stevens (Diary) Monday, February 8th at 8:23PM EST (link)

It’s my whole point.

RS contributing editor, technical administrator, and “a hardy variety of crabgrass.”
Read the RedState Posting Rules

Unlikely Voter: Poll Analysis, Election Projection.

“I rejoice that America has resisted.” – William Pitt, the Elder

 
 
 
 

FL-19 is Hopeless but HI-1 is Not

gemimail Tuesday, February 9th at 11:51AM EST (link)

The Democrats could run the donkey in FL-19 and it would get elected. It has been Democrat since it was created after the 1980 census and never came close to electing a Republican. The closest was the first election in 1982 when the Republican candidate got 41.15% of the vote and it has been downhill ever since. Wexler got a margin of 38.93% in 2008 and Obama carried it by 31.5%.

On the other hand, in Hawaii 1, we have an excellent candidate in Charles Djou and we give him a 47% chance of winning in a regular general election. In a special election Djou should have the edge. His website is: http://www.djou.com/. This district is basically the city of Honolulu.

I think they said the same things about an R in MA.

Xasteius (Diary) Tuesday, February 9th at 11:58AM EST (link)

I don’t live in FL-19, but throwing up our arms in despair will certainly give D’s the seat.

Don’t leave the party, hijack it back!

The only poll that counts is the one at the ballot box.

I don’t want to be Reagan. I want to be a Chance/Soros hybrid.

 

As hopeless as LA-02?

Moe Lane (Diary) Tuesday, February 9th at 12:03PM EST (link)

And MA-SEN?

We fight everywhere. EVERYWHERE. Make them defend places that no sane Democrat would have thought needed defending. Every dime that their national parties dump into FL-19 is a dime that they were going to use elsewhere.

choose wisely, young Jedi

MF (Diary) Tuesday, February 9th at 12:43PM EST (link)

Every dollar the Repubs spend on a truly lost cause also means a dollar that isn’t spent on a winnable battle that can then turn into defeat. I’m not saying to give up every seat that is likely blue, but don’t throw good money on bad bets, either. There is only so much money available. Choose wisely.

There are no lost causes

realskinny (Diary) Tuesday, February 9th at 6:43PM EST (link)

for people who know not the meaning of can’t.