Recount Limbo


Trading Impartial Inaccuracy For Partisan Overreach

My State Senator is still in limbo due to Democratic recounts and court challenges to his election. While we hear a lot of complaints these days about needing to have one president at a time, at least we have one; Frank Padavan’s constituents don’t entirely have a State Senator at all, nor do Norm Coleman’s constituents have a U.S. Senator. And it’s January 13.

You know, I haven’t followed all the twists and turns of the battle over Padavan’s seat, but one thing I have concluded from watching it, and the Al Franken, Christine Gregoire and Al Gore efforts to overturn Election Day results, is that we really do not have any way as a system to deal with these kinds of challenges in a way that gives the supporters of the losing candidate – especially a candidate who was ahead on Election Day – even the slightest bit of confidence that counting decisions made after the election, under the auspices of lawyers and partisans, are at all fair and honest.

This is, as I have been saying for 8 years now, the real point of the Supreme Court’s Bush v. Gore opinion. There are, to be sure, opportunities for ballot fraud and other shenanigans before and during an election, and the system has to provide some remedy for those, at least in provably serious cases. But before 2000 there was an ethos – not always respected, by any means, but to which politicians (most famously Nixon in 1960) at least needed to pay tribute – that the loser of an election did not open a second scorched-earth front designed at refighting every ballot that could conceivably be quibbled over, and that you needed a really serious reason to try to overturn the Election Day Count. That is Al Gore’s lasting legacy to our democracy, and it’s a deeply malignant one.

Machines, of course, can make mistakes, and if we had confidence that the counts produced by heavily lawyered recounting processes were really a more accurate and precise count, it would be worth the cost in money, time, disruption of transitions and hard feelings about democracy to review them. But we have no such confidence; we are, as a society, simply throwing resources at a series of additional counts that give us no reason to think they are any more accurate, and many reasons to think they are much less impartial than a machine count. A machine count is done behind your basic Rawlsian veil of ignorance: both sides may know they stand a chance of getting a raw deal in a close race, but they know it’s basically an even chance. When lawyers and partisan vote-counters get involved, all that goes out the window, and the race to amass a superior quantity of umbrage is on.

Or think about it this way: up until the day of an election, the forces of partisanship have limited resources, less than perfect information about which elections will be closest, and face the reality of having to spread those resources over races for different offices that may be close in different geographic locations. Thus, the sheer effort that has to go into stealing elections will naturally be disbursed. That doesn’t stop election fraud from happening, but it mitigates its influence, making it less practical to use as a routine tool of nationwide partisan combat. But recounts are just the opposite: once the initial counts are in, both sides know exactly which race results can be overturned in the courts, and exactly how many vote changes they need to do it. This is unhealthy in the extreme.

Restoring public confidence in the electoral system requires work on a lot of different fronts, but one major candidate should be a serious effort in state and federal races across the country to raise the showing required to trigger a recount or lawsuit over election results, to preserve the option only for the most serious and severe cases of malfeasance. The current system is unsustainable and ultimately dangerous to democracy.



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5 Comments Leave a comment

Let the Little Twerp Whine All He Wants

ggross56 (Diary) Tuesday, January 13th at 7:20PM EST (link)

Today, al Franken’s recount attorneys filed suit that, if he wins, would potentially ignore the will of the people of Minnesota. I wrote about it here. Suffice it to say that Franken’s got reason to be concerned. As a Minnesotan who’s watched this from the front row, there are some geuine conflicts that haven’t been resolved yet.

The MN Supreme Court will paper those over

zuiko (Diary) Tuesday, January 13th at 7:27PM EST (link)

Franken’s suit will just give them the excuse they have been looking for to officially install him in the Senate.

Underlying most arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. – Milton Friedman

 
 

This is the critical point

zuiko (Diary) Tuesday, January 13th at 7:30PM EST (link)

A recount is not necessarily any more accurate than the initial count. Judging by the kind of shenanigans that go on during a recount, there’s a good argument to be made that the recount is bound to be less accurate.

Underlying most arguments against the free market is a lack of belief in freedom itself. – Milton Friedman

Certainly the recount is less accurate here

bk (Diary) Wednesday, January 14th at 8:30AM EST (link)

where what seems to be happening for the most part is “if the recount benefits Al we’ll take it; if it benefits Norm we’ll ignore it; and if we got caught double-counting for Al then we’ll decry the ‘missing ballots’ and let the original flawed count stand”. It’s unbelievable.

 
 

Scorched Earth

MikeO Wednesday, January 14th at 8:26AM EST (link)

So long as my “confidence in the electoral system” depends on the integrity of the vote while the enemy version of it is winning by any means at any cost, then anything but scorched earth is a losing half-measure.