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	<title>chemjeff2's blog</title>
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		<title>More info on Cerberus</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/12/11/more-info-on-cerberus/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/12/11/more-info-on-cerberus/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Dec 2008 02:04:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a class="user" href="/users/chemjeff2/">chemjeff</a> (<a href="/chemjeff2/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[1]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA["Big 3"]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cerberus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chrysler]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/?p=20</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.forbes.com/feeds/afx/2008/06/02/afx5068953.html">Last June</a>, Cerberus sold more than half of Chrysler and significantly cut its investment in GMAC in order to &#8220;lower its risk&#8221;.</p>
<p>Cerberus seems desperate to get rid of Chrysler.  It&#8217;s <a href="http://http://www.detnews.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20081108/AUTO01/811080376">talking</a> to everyone willing to listen to take it off its hands.  Hyundai looks like a potential &#8220;strategic partner&#8221;. </p>
<p>So, vote no on the bailout.  It won&#8217;t mean the end of the world for the car companies.  They will merge or be bought up by foreign companies like Hyundai.  Don&#8217;t buy into the Armageddon hype.</p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.forbes.com/feeds/afx/2008/06/02/afx5068953.html">Last June</a>, Cerberus sold more than half of Chrysler and significantly cut its investment in GMAC in order to &#8220;lower its risk&#8221;.</p>
<p>Cerberus seems desperate to get rid of Chrysler.  It&#8217;s <a href="http://http://www.detnews.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20081108/AUTO01/811080376">talking</a> to everyone willing to listen to take it off its hands.  Hyundai looks like a potential &#8220;strategic partner&#8221;. </p>
<p>So, vote no on the bailout.  It won&#8217;t mean the end of the world for the car companies.  They will merge or be bought up by foreign companies like Hyundai.  Don&#8217;t buy into the Armageddon hype.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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		<title>Senate Debate NOW on Car Bailout</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/12/11/senate-debate-now-on-car-bailout/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/12/11/senate-debate-now-on-car-bailout/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 12 Dec 2008 01:53:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a class="user" href="/users/chemjeff2/">chemjeff</a> (<a href="/chemjeff2/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[1]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA["Big 3"]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Senate]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/?p=16</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>So apparently they are thinking that maybe a Senate vote on this can happen tonight.  They are in the middle of a quorum call.  Dingy Harry spoke earlier and urged a bailout.  He said that times are tough and that Congress shouldn&#8217;t &#8220;pile on&#8221; by not approving a bailout.  What a load of crock.  Congress had no problem &#8220;piling on&#8221; with onerous regulations and taxes all these many years&#8230;  Then Mitch McConnell came on.  He led off with the famous quote &#8220;a government big enough to give you anything you want is big enough to take it all away&#8221;.  I couldn&#8217;t help but think &#8216;boy I wish he would have remembered that quote when he was in the majority&#8217;.  Anyhoo he is touting Corker&#8217;s amendments.  According to McConnell the amendments would require reform now rather than later.  They would require that the Big 3 reduce their debt load by 2/3rds via some sort of equity swap.  I don&#8217;t know how that works.  They would also <span style="text-decoration: underline">require</span> that the labor costs at the Big 3 must become the same as Toyota, Honda, et al.  That&#8217;s pretty remarkable.  I&#8217;m cheering, but I don&#8217;t know how any company could reduce its labor costs by that much in 3 months&#8217; time. </p>
<p>And I can&#8217;t help but think that even with Corker&#8217;s amendments this is a bad idea.  Will the terms be so onerous that the companies won&#8217;t be able to comply.  They will then come back in 3 months, to a more pliant Congress, saying that they couldn&#8217;t meet the terms, and Congress will say &#8220;that&#8217;s okay, we&#8217;ll take care of those pesky health care costs for you by nationalizing health care&#8230;&#8221;</p>
<p>Right now Ensign is speaking.  He says &#8220;go Chapter 11&#8243;.  Bankruptcy judge then wouldn&#8217;t be influenced by the political process as it would be by the quasi-bankruptcy that would happen with this bailout loan dealie.  &#8220;Why does Congress think it can succeed where so many businesspeople have failed?&#8221;  Good question, Ensign.  Vote no on the bailout please.</p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So apparently they are thinking that maybe a Senate vote on this can happen tonight.  They are in the middle of a quorum call.  Dingy Harry spoke earlier and urged a bailout.  He said that times are tough and that Congress shouldn&#8217;t &#8220;pile on&#8221; by not approving a bailout.  What a load of crock.  Congress had no problem &#8220;piling on&#8221; with onerous regulations and taxes all these many years&#8230;  Then Mitch McConnell came on.  He led off with the famous quote &#8220;a government big enough to give you anything you want is big enough to take it all away&#8221;.  I couldn&#8217;t help but think &#8216;boy I wish he would have remembered that quote when he was in the majority&#8217;.  Anyhoo he is touting Corker&#8217;s amendments.  According to McConnell the amendments would require reform now rather than later.  They would require that the Big 3 reduce their debt load by 2/3rds via some sort of equity swap.  I don&#8217;t know how that works.  They would also <span style="text-decoration: underline">require</span> that the labor costs at the Big 3 must become the same as Toyota, Honda, et al.  That&#8217;s pretty remarkable.  I&#8217;m cheering, but I don&#8217;t know how any company could reduce its labor costs by that much in 3 months&#8217; time. </p>
<p>And I can&#8217;t help but think that even with Corker&#8217;s amendments this is a bad idea.  Will the terms be so onerous that the companies won&#8217;t be able to comply.  They will then come back in 3 months, to a more pliant Congress, saying that they couldn&#8217;t meet the terms, and Congress will say &#8220;that&#8217;s okay, we&#8217;ll take care of those pesky health care costs for you by nationalizing health care&#8230;&#8221;</p>
<p>Right now Ensign is speaking.  He says &#8220;go Chapter 11&#8243;.  Bankruptcy judge then wouldn&#8217;t be influenced by the political process as it would be by the quasi-bankruptcy that would happen with this bailout loan dealie.  &#8220;Why does Congress think it can succeed where so many businesspeople have failed?&#8221;  Good question, Ensign.  Vote no on the bailout please.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<title>Bailing Out the Buses, Too</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/12/09/bailing-out-the-buses-too/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/12/09/bailing-out-the-buses-too/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Dec 2008 02:31:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a class="user" href="/users/chemjeff2/">chemjeff</a> (<a href="/chemjeff2/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Business & Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA["bailout mania"]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA["Big Three"]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bailouts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Democrats]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wordpress.redstate.com/chemjeff2/?p=14</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Here is <a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081210/ap_on_go_co/congress_autos">yet one more reason</a> to say no to bailouts:</p>
<blockquote><p>Democrats also inserted a provision in the bill to bail out some of the nation&#8217;s largest transit systems. The bus and rail systems could be on the hook for billions of dollars in payments because exotic deals they entered into with investors — which have since been declared unlawful — have gone sour with the collapse of <span class="yshortcuts">American International Group Inc</span>. and other financial institutions.</p></blockquote>
<p>What the heck is <em>this</em> about?  So bailing out the car companies wasn&#8217;t enough &#8211; now Democrats are going to use this as an excuse to bail out mass transit systems too?  How much is THIS going to cost?  Argh.  The initiative to bail out the car companies has given the Democrats one more opportunity to implement yet another hare-brained scheme.  Oh, and of course there&#8217;s an AIG connection.</p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here is <a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081210/ap_on_go_co/congress_autos">yet one more reason</a> to say no to bailouts:</p>
<blockquote><p>Democrats also inserted a provision in the bill to bail out some of the nation&#8217;s largest transit systems. The bus and rail systems could be on the hook for billions of dollars in payments because exotic deals they entered into with investors — which have since been declared unlawful — have gone sour with the collapse of <span class="yshortcuts">American International Group Inc</span>. and other financial institutions.</p></blockquote>
<p>What the heck is <em>this</em> about?  So bailing out the car companies wasn&#8217;t enough &#8211; now Democrats are going to use this as an excuse to bail out mass transit systems too?  How much is THIS going to cost?  Argh.  The initiative to bail out the car companies has given the Democrats one more opportunity to implement yet another hare-brained scheme.  Oh, and of course there&#8217;s an AIG connection.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/12/09/bailing-out-the-buses-too/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Stopping Bailout Madness</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/12/09/stopping-bailout-madness/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/12/09/stopping-bailout-madness/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Dec 2008 05:07:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a class="user" href="/users/chemjeff2/">chemjeff</a> (<a href="/chemjeff2/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Business & Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://wordpress.redstate.com/chemjeff2/?p=12</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>We shouldn&#8217;t be bailing out anyone, period, end of story.  This is a capitalist nation for heaven&#8217;s sake, with both risks and rewards.  Take away the risks and you increase the risky behavior until everyone is behaving irrationally.  So what can we do to stop the bailout madness?  The polls are against bailouts but Congress still approves them anyway.  Evidently advocating for lower taxes doesn&#8217;t work to choke off the supply of funds for bailout madness because the government just borrows the money instead.  Can we stop the government from borrowing more and more money?  What can we as individuals do, and what should we advocate that the Republicans do?</p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We shouldn&#8217;t be bailing out anyone, period, end of story.  This is a capitalist nation for heaven&#8217;s sake, with both risks and rewards.  Take away the risks and you increase the risky behavior until everyone is behaving irrationally.  So what can we do to stop the bailout madness?  The polls are against bailouts but Congress still approves them anyway.  Evidently advocating for lower taxes doesn&#8217;t work to choke off the supply of funds for bailout madness because the government just borrows the money instead.  Can we stop the government from borrowing more and more money?  What can we as individuals do, and what should we advocate that the Republicans do?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/12/09/stopping-bailout-madness/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>11</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>The Universe Shares Our Pain</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/11/05/perhaps-we-shouldnt-feel-so-bad/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/11/05/perhaps-we-shouldnt-feel-so-bad/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Nov 2008 12:55:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a class="user" href="/users/chemjeff2/">chemjeff</a> (<a href="/chemjeff2/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aliens]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ENDORSEMENTS]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[McCain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UFOs]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false"></guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.weeklyworldnews.com/election-08/alien-weeps-for-mccain-loss/">We are not alone in our sadness.</a></p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.weeklyworldnews.com/election-08/alien-weeps-for-mccain-loss/">We are not alone in our sadness.</a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Shades of &#8217;93</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/11/05/shades-of-93/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/11/05/shades-of-93/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 Nov 2008 03:15:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a class="user" href="/users/chemjeff2/">chemjeff</a> (<a href="/chemjeff2/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[aftermath]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GOP]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Republican Party]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[the way forward]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false"></guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>On a night like tonight, I cannot help but reflect upon my experiences in the summer of 1993.  It was at this time that I was an undergraduate living in Pittsburgh, spending my first summer away from home.  Bill Clinton had just been elected the previous year, with a sizable Democratic majority in Congress.  The honeymoon hadn’t yet worn off from his presidency, and the mood was hopeful that Hillary would finally make health care a right in this country.  Everywhere I turned, liberalism seemed ascendant, especially in the tony university district of Pittsburgh which I inhabited.  And it was the first time that I seriously questioned my own political views.  I knew on some gut instinct that it was wrong to nationalize health care.  But I couldn’t articulate a logical argument on why that was so.  Aren’t people “entitled” to decent health care?  Isn’t it just plain cruel to maintain the status quo and leave people at the mercy of the market?  Aren’t doctors, hospitals, HMOs and drug companies engaged in a conspiracy of greed to maximize profits at the expense of people’s health?  I knew all of these arguments were flawed.  But why?  And if I can’t explicitly establish why, maybe it’s because I’m the one that’s wrong.  Maybe I should follow the crowd and hop on board the Clinton bandwagon.</p>
<p><span id="more-1"></span><br />
And then I discovered Rush Limbaugh.  Rush uncovered within me the reasons for my objections to statism.  He encouraged me to stand firm in my views and don’t just go with the flow of the liberal mainstream.  He inspired within me the – dare I say it – hope to believe that the fundamentals of conservatism were not based in bigotry, ignorance and greed, but in dignity and respect for individual liberties, the power of the free market, and the time-honored traditions of the past.  Looking back, I am certain that if I had not discovered my “inner conservative,” I would have drifted into a milquetoast moderate, and I’m almost certain that the chemjeff of 1993 would have voted for Obama in 2008.  Instead I’m proud to have supported McCain.</p>
<p>The moral of this story is that it took the disaster of the 1992 election to strengthen me as a conservative.  Had Clinton not won, I never would have had any reason to hone and refine my conservative views.  I now know precisely why I am a conservative: because I deeply respect the dignity of the individual.  Nationalizing health care doesn’t respect the individual; it lumps people into a collective, robbing them of their identities and subjugating them to the coercive power of an ever-expanding state.  And that is what all liberal big-government schemes do.  That is the message I took away from Rush.  That is what inspired me about Newt Gingrich’s Revolution of 1994.  And that is what continues to inspire me to this day.</p>
<p>So this current election disaster can also serve as an opportunity.  It was repeated over and over again on FNC and elsewhere that Obama won despite the fact that we remain a center-right country.  Campaign rhetoric aside, Obama didn’t actually promise European-style socialism, and he would have lost if he had.  But, like the scorpion in the famous parable, there is a reason why Obama has a D behind his name, and it will not be long before he reveals his true nature.  When he does, it will be in ways that will give pause to the center-right citizens of our nation, like myself in 1993.  If we truly are still a center-right nation, then there are millions of people out there just waiting to make the type of personal transformation that I made.</p>
<p>So I believe that our mission, as Obama’s agenda unfolds, should be to facilitate these transformations.  We need to each be our own Rush Limbaughs and spread the word on personal liberty, free markets, and the values of traditions.</p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>On a night like tonight, I cannot help but reflect upon my experiences in the summer of 1993.  It was at this time that I was an undergraduate living in Pittsburgh, spending my first summer away from home.  Bill Clinton had just been elected the previous year, with a sizable Democratic majority in Congress.  The honeymoon hadn’t yet worn off from his presidency, and the mood was hopeful that Hillary would finally make health care a right in this country.  Everywhere I turned, liberalism seemed ascendant, especially in the tony university district of Pittsburgh which I inhabited.  And it was the first time that I seriously questioned my own political views.  I knew on some gut instinct that it was wrong to nationalize health care.  But I couldn’t articulate a logical argument on why that was so.  Aren’t people “entitled” to decent health care?  Isn’t it just plain cruel to maintain the status quo and leave people at the mercy of the market?  Aren’t doctors, hospitals, HMOs and drug companies engaged in a conspiracy of greed to maximize profits at the expense of people’s health?  I knew all of these arguments were flawed.  But why?  And if I can’t explicitly establish why, maybe it’s because I’m the one that’s wrong.  Maybe I should follow the crowd and hop on board the Clinton bandwagon.</p>
<p><span id="more-1"></span><br />
And then I discovered Rush Limbaugh.  Rush uncovered within me the reasons for my objections to statism.  He encouraged me to stand firm in my views and don’t just go with the flow of the liberal mainstream.  He inspired within me the – dare I say it – hope to believe that the fundamentals of conservatism were not based in bigotry, ignorance and greed, but in dignity and respect for individual liberties, the power of the free market, and the time-honored traditions of the past.  Looking back, I am certain that if I had not discovered my “inner conservative,” I would have drifted into a milquetoast moderate, and I’m almost certain that the chemjeff of 1993 would have voted for Obama in 2008.  Instead I’m proud to have supported McCain.</p>
<p>The moral of this story is that it took the disaster of the 1992 election to strengthen me as a conservative.  Had Clinton not won, I never would have had any reason to hone and refine my conservative views.  I now know precisely why I am a conservative: because I deeply respect the dignity of the individual.  Nationalizing health care doesn’t respect the individual; it lumps people into a collective, robbing them of their identities and subjugating them to the coercive power of an ever-expanding state.  And that is what all liberal big-government schemes do.  That is the message I took away from Rush.  That is what inspired me about Newt Gingrich’s Revolution of 1994.  And that is what continues to inspire me to this day.</p>
<p>So this current election disaster can also serve as an opportunity.  It was repeated over and over again on FNC and elsewhere that Obama won despite the fact that we remain a center-right country.  Campaign rhetoric aside, Obama didn’t actually promise European-style socialism, and he would have lost if he had.  But, like the scorpion in the famous parable, there is a reason why Obama has a D behind his name, and it will not be long before he reveals his true nature.  When he does, it will be in ways that will give pause to the center-right citizens of our nation, like myself in 1993.  If we truly are still a center-right nation, then there are millions of people out there just waiting to make the type of personal transformation that I made.</p>
<p>So I believe that our mission, as Obama’s agenda unfolds, should be to facilitate these transformations.  We need to each be our own Rush Limbaughs and spread the word on personal liberty, free markets, and the values of traditions.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/11/05/shades-of-93/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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		<title>Trying to stay hopeful&#8230;</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/10/13/trying-to-stay-hopeful/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/10/13/trying-to-stay-hopeful/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Oct 2008 18:13:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a class="user" href="/users/chemjeff2/">chemjeff</a> (<a href="/chemjeff2/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2008]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Democrats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hope]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[McCain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Republicans]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false"></guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I really am trying to remain hopeful that Obama will stay out of the White House.  But, in truth, it&#8217;s looking more and more likely that he will win.  And that the Senate will have 60 D&#8217;s &#8211; or at least 59 D&#8217;s and a RINO who will promptly switch parties in exchange for a committee chairmanship.  And that the House will have a solid D majority.</p>
<p>But it&#8217;s not just the polls that depress me.  There is virtually no historical precedent of a candidate succeeding a 2-term president of the same party.  The last time it happened was in 1908, when Taft succeeded Theodore Roosevelt.  And it&#8217;s safe to say that Roosevelt at the time was a tad more popular than Bush is today.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s also about McCain&#8217;s campaign.  It&#8217;s obvious that his personal desire is to run an honorable campaign.  But we all want him to take the gloves off and go after Obama, especially on his shady connections with shady characters.  I think that he is trying to accommodate our desires on this score, but the impression is that he is trying to have it both ways.  You can&#8217;t really call Obama &#8220;a good man&#8221; one day and &#8220;a liar&#8221; on the next, and expect anyone to take you seriously.</p>
<p>But I gotta tell you, though, I have the sinking feeling that even if McCain were to bring up Ayers&#8217; and Wright&#8217;s and Rezko&#8217;s names 20 times in the next debate, I don&#8217;t think it will sway anyone who wasn&#8217;t already committed.  Even though it is absolutely true that Obama pals around with a terrorist, I think it&#8217;s because people don&#8217;t want to believe that a person like Obama, the leading candidate, &#8220;clean and articulate&#8221;, a guy whom even McCain calls &#8220;a good man,&#8221; could ever really do that.  It would be like hearing a rumor that Superman goes to porn shops.  Would you really believe it at first glance?  And even if McCain did get down and dirty into the mud, all Obama has to do is throw them all under the bus &#8211; as we have all seen he is more than capable of doing so &#8211; and then the issue is over.  We should have learned this lesson from 2006, but we didn&#8217;t.  You don&#8217;t win elections by merely trying to scare people about how dangerous the other guys are.  If that were a successful strategy, then Kerry would have trounced Bush in 2004, because that was the entire basis of Kerry&#8217;s campaign.</p>
<p>But I hope I&#8217;m wrong.  I hope McCain can pull it out and save us from a Democrat Congress run amok.  I hope McCain will be the one nominating Supreme Court justices.  I hope McCain will be the one leading the GWOT.  The hope, though, can&#8217;t last much longer.  There&#8217;s 22 days to go.</p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I really am trying to remain hopeful that Obama will stay out of the White House.  But, in truth, it&#8217;s looking more and more likely that he will win.  And that the Senate will have 60 D&#8217;s &#8211; or at least 59 D&#8217;s and a RINO who will promptly switch parties in exchange for a committee chairmanship.  And that the House will have a solid D majority.</p>
<p>But it&#8217;s not just the polls that depress me.  There is virtually no historical precedent of a candidate succeeding a 2-term president of the same party.  The last time it happened was in 1908, when Taft succeeded Theodore Roosevelt.  And it&#8217;s safe to say that Roosevelt at the time was a tad more popular than Bush is today.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s also about McCain&#8217;s campaign.  It&#8217;s obvious that his personal desire is to run an honorable campaign.  But we all want him to take the gloves off and go after Obama, especially on his shady connections with shady characters.  I think that he is trying to accommodate our desires on this score, but the impression is that he is trying to have it both ways.  You can&#8217;t really call Obama &#8220;a good man&#8221; one day and &#8220;a liar&#8221; on the next, and expect anyone to take you seriously.</p>
<p>But I gotta tell you, though, I have the sinking feeling that even if McCain were to bring up Ayers&#8217; and Wright&#8217;s and Rezko&#8217;s names 20 times in the next debate, I don&#8217;t think it will sway anyone who wasn&#8217;t already committed.  Even though it is absolutely true that Obama pals around with a terrorist, I think it&#8217;s because people don&#8217;t want to believe that a person like Obama, the leading candidate, &#8220;clean and articulate&#8221;, a guy whom even McCain calls &#8220;a good man,&#8221; could ever really do that.  It would be like hearing a rumor that Superman goes to porn shops.  Would you really believe it at first glance?  And even if McCain did get down and dirty into the mud, all Obama has to do is throw them all under the bus &#8211; as we have all seen he is more than capable of doing so &#8211; and then the issue is over.  We should have learned this lesson from 2006, but we didn&#8217;t.  You don&#8217;t win elections by merely trying to scare people about how dangerous the other guys are.  If that were a successful strategy, then Kerry would have trounced Bush in 2004, because that was the entire basis of Kerry&#8217;s campaign.</p>
<p>But I hope I&#8217;m wrong.  I hope McCain can pull it out and save us from a Democrat Congress run amok.  I hope McCain will be the one nominating Supreme Court justices.  I hope McCain will be the one leading the GWOT.  The hope, though, can&#8217;t last much longer.  There&#8217;s 22 days to go.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/10/13/trying-to-stay-hopeful/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
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		<title>Could this be why the credit markets are screwed up?</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/10/10/could-this-be-why-the-credit-markets-are-scre/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/10/10/could-this-be-why-the-credit-markets-are-scre/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 Oct 2008 13:13:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a class="user" href="/users/chemjeff2/">chemjeff</a> (<a href="/chemjeff2/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Business & Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[borrowing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FED]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[LIBOR]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false"></guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I am no financial wizard, so let me just throw this suggestion out there.  Perhaps this is the reason why the credit markets are screwed up and the LIBOR is so high:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,435524,00.html">http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,435524,00.html</a></p>
<p>Why borrow from each other when you can borrow from Ben Bernanke instead, with far lower risk, and maybe even a chance that the government will forgive your debt at some point down the road?</p>
<p>Just a thought.</p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I am no financial wizard, so let me just throw this suggestion out there.  Perhaps this is the reason why the credit markets are screwed up and the LIBOR is so high:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,435524,00.html">http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,435524,00.html</a></p>
<p>Why borrow from each other when you can borrow from Ben Bernanke instead, with far lower risk, and maybe even a chance that the government will forgive your debt at some point down the road?</p>
<p>Just a thought.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/10/10/could-this-be-why-the-credit-markets-are-scre/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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		<item>
		<title>Election Advice from a Therapist</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/10/07/election-advice-from-a-therapist/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/10/07/election-advice-from-a-therapist/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Oct 2008 12:00:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a class="user" href="/users/chemjeff2/">chemjeff</a> (<a href="/chemjeff2/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[alcohol]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Democrats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Republicans]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false"></guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Up until a couple of weeks ago, I was feeling pretty good about McCain&#8217;s chances.  He was doing pretty well in the important battleground states, Palinmania was still sweeping the nation, and Obama couldn&#8217;t seem to find his legendary voice.  I was beginning to think that, perhaps, despite all the naysaying and the gloom-and-doom about Republicans&#8217; chances this year, McCain is the guy who can pull it off.</p>
<p>And then the financial panic struck.  Everybody&#8217;s attention shifted to the economy and the market.  Democrats were cast in the role of the responsible saviors of the economy while Republicans were cast in the role of rigid, ideological nihilists.  McCain tried to ride to the rescue but it was for naught.  And now, not only is Obama doing well in the battleground states, according to <a href="http://www.rove.com/uploads/0000/0038/McCain-Obama_10_03_08.pdf">Karl Rove&#8217;s most recent map</a>, even if Obama lost all of the tossup states, he would still win!  It began to appear that maybe the pundits were right &#8211; Democrats would run the table.</p>
<p>I started to get more and more depressed.  I envisioned my liberal colleagues gloating for 4 years straight.  I had nightmares of William Ayers as secretary of Homeland Security, and Al Sharpton in charge of the newly-created Department of Race Relations.  Oh and let&#8217;s not forget the two new liberal Supreme Court justices that would be installed once Ginsburg and Stevens retire (on or about January 20).</p>
<p>So I decided to consult a therapist.  His name is Jack Daniels.</p>
<p>It took several sessions before we finally reached a breakthrough.  After about the seventh session, Jack gave me some good advice.  He said:</p>
<p>&#8220;Son, what the Democrats offer is a seduction.  They promise all sorts of goodies.  They promise to solve your problems and make someone else pay for it.  In essence, Democrats are like Don Juan: they promise four years of no-strings-attached pleasure.  Republicans, on the other hand, offer sobriety.  They don&#8217;t tell you that you can have anything you want.  They don&#8217;t try to solve everybody&#8217;s problems because they know they can&#8217;t.  Instead they offer a tried-and-true method to solve your own problems: work hard, play by the rules, live below your means, make wise choices, and you will get ahead.  Republicans are like Mr. Reliable: he&#8217;s not sexy and he doesn&#8217;t drive a fast car, but he will be there for you when you need him.</p>
<p>&#8220;Sometimes people want to be seduced.  This looks like one of those times.  But seductions never last.  You&#8217;ve got to have faith in the people that they will wake up the next morning and realize they want something more than just pleasure.  They want someone who will respect them in the morning.  Democrats can&#8217;t offer that, because all they can offer is just more goodies.  And that is when Republicans will win again.&#8221;</p>
<p>And that was some good advice.</p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Up until a couple of weeks ago, I was feeling pretty good about McCain&#8217;s chances.  He was doing pretty well in the important battleground states, Palinmania was still sweeping the nation, and Obama couldn&#8217;t seem to find his legendary voice.  I was beginning to think that, perhaps, despite all the naysaying and the gloom-and-doom about Republicans&#8217; chances this year, McCain is the guy who can pull it off.</p>
<p>And then the financial panic struck.  Everybody&#8217;s attention shifted to the economy and the market.  Democrats were cast in the role of the responsible saviors of the economy while Republicans were cast in the role of rigid, ideological nihilists.  McCain tried to ride to the rescue but it was for naught.  And now, not only is Obama doing well in the battleground states, according to <a href="http://www.rove.com/uploads/0000/0038/McCain-Obama_10_03_08.pdf">Karl Rove&#8217;s most recent map</a>, even if Obama lost all of the tossup states, he would still win!  It began to appear that maybe the pundits were right &#8211; Democrats would run the table.</p>
<p>I started to get more and more depressed.  I envisioned my liberal colleagues gloating for 4 years straight.  I had nightmares of William Ayers as secretary of Homeland Security, and Al Sharpton in charge of the newly-created Department of Race Relations.  Oh and let&#8217;s not forget the two new liberal Supreme Court justices that would be installed once Ginsburg and Stevens retire (on or about January 20).</p>
<p>So I decided to consult a therapist.  His name is Jack Daniels.</p>
<p>It took several sessions before we finally reached a breakthrough.  After about the seventh session, Jack gave me some good advice.  He said:</p>
<p>&#8220;Son, what the Democrats offer is a seduction.  They promise all sorts of goodies.  They promise to solve your problems and make someone else pay for it.  In essence, Democrats are like Don Juan: they promise four years of no-strings-attached pleasure.  Republicans, on the other hand, offer sobriety.  They don&#8217;t tell you that you can have anything you want.  They don&#8217;t try to solve everybody&#8217;s problems because they know they can&#8217;t.  Instead they offer a tried-and-true method to solve your own problems: work hard, play by the rules, live below your means, make wise choices, and you will get ahead.  Republicans are like Mr. Reliable: he&#8217;s not sexy and he doesn&#8217;t drive a fast car, but he will be there for you when you need him.</p>
<p>&#8220;Sometimes people want to be seduced.  This looks like one of those times.  But seductions never last.  You&#8217;ve got to have faith in the people that they will wake up the next morning and realize they want something more than just pleasure.  They want someone who will respect them in the morning.  Democrats can&#8217;t offer that, because all they can offer is just more goodies.  And that is when Republicans will win again.&#8221;</p>
<p>And that was some good advice.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/10/07/election-advice-from-a-therapist/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>3</slash:comments>
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		<title>Bailout Bill Blues</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/10/04/bailout-bill-blues/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/10/04/bailout-bill-blues/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 04 Oct 2008 12:17:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a class="user" href="/users/chemjeff2/">chemjeff</a> (<a href="/chemjeff2/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Bailout]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Conservatism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Free Market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[libertarianism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[limited government]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false"></guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>From my perspective the essence of the bailout bill can be summarized as follows: We want government to &#8220;help&#8221; us, where &#8220;us&#8221; is defined as hardworking average Joe American, and of course not greedy Wall Street bankers. And hence the final death knell of fiscal conservative/libertarian thinking of the role of government. The fiscal conservative/libertarians among us don&#8217;t want government &#8220;help&#8221; because we know that government help (a) comes with many, many strings attached that deprive us of our liberty; (b) force us to serve the state, thereby depriving us of our dignity; and (c) in the end, cause more problems than they solve. The Republicans who defeated the original bill on Monday weren&#8217;t characterized as bold defenders of libertarian thought, they were instead characterized as rigid ideologues or, worse, nihilists. And they &#8220;came around&#8221; anyway; so much for their vaunted principles, right? But really this isn&#8217;t surprising. We really haven&#8217;t learned the lesson of 1995, with the <a href="http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=42827" target="_blank">government shutdown</a>. There the choice to the public was crystal clear: do you reall want less government, or more? The public chose &#8220;more&#8221;. The winter of 1995-6 was the tipping point, the Gettysburg if you will, of the campaign to reduce government. From that point on it&#8217;s been a lost cause.</p>
<p>The only reason George Bush won as narrow a victory as he did in 2000 was because he was a &#8220;compassionate conservative&#8221;, not that evil Gingrich-type conservative who ruthlessly wanted government to wither on the vine. No, Bush was supposed to be this new kind of conservative, one who didn&#8217;t want to slash and burn government, but instead mould government to serve conservative principles. Hence his signature achievemnt, No Child Left Behind, didn&#8217;t reduce government at all; it grew government far more than Clinton&#8217;s wildest dreams. Medicare Part D was another example: don&#8217;t reduce government, instead create a new government program that was supposed to work according to free-market principles in dispensing drugs to Grandma.</p>
<p>And the bailout bill is the final blow. Limited-government conservatism is in a serious coma, and may not survive much longer. Everywhere we look, both from Democrats and Republicans, we see the insatiable desire to grow government. We don&#8217;t have a champion anymore who believes that the most helpful government is the one that gets out of people&#8217;s ways to let them pursue their own dreams unfettered from bureaucratic red tape and mindless regulation. No, instead, the business that is unregulated is regarded with suspicion and mistrust; it can&#8217;t be trusted to do the right thing, only Washington bureaucrats can do that.</p>
<p>But this is reality. It is good that we recognize it now, because when Obama gets elected (which I think is almost a certainty now), we will have to work hard to find our new standard-bearer of limited-government conservatism, someone who can resuscitate it from its coma and reaffirm its principles to a public that now believes government is the path to prosperity.</p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>From my perspective the essence of the bailout bill can be summarized as follows: We want government to &#8220;help&#8221; us, where &#8220;us&#8221; is defined as hardworking average Joe American, and of course not greedy Wall Street bankers. And hence the final death knell of fiscal conservative/libertarian thinking of the role of government. The fiscal conservative/libertarians among us don&#8217;t want government &#8220;help&#8221; because we know that government help (a) comes with many, many strings attached that deprive us of our liberty; (b) force us to serve the state, thereby depriving us of our dignity; and (c) in the end, cause more problems than they solve. The Republicans who defeated the original bill on Monday weren&#8217;t characterized as bold defenders of libertarian thought, they were instead characterized as rigid ideologues or, worse, nihilists. And they &#8220;came around&#8221; anyway; so much for their vaunted principles, right? But really this isn&#8217;t surprising. We really haven&#8217;t learned the lesson of 1995, with the <a href="http://www.humanevents.com/article.php?id=42827" target="_blank">government shutdown</a>. There the choice to the public was crystal clear: do you reall want less government, or more? The public chose &#8220;more&#8221;. The winter of 1995-6 was the tipping point, the Gettysburg if you will, of the campaign to reduce government. From that point on it&#8217;s been a lost cause.</p>
<p>The only reason George Bush won as narrow a victory as he did in 2000 was because he was a &#8220;compassionate conservative&#8221;, not that evil Gingrich-type conservative who ruthlessly wanted government to wither on the vine. No, Bush was supposed to be this new kind of conservative, one who didn&#8217;t want to slash and burn government, but instead mould government to serve conservative principles. Hence his signature achievemnt, No Child Left Behind, didn&#8217;t reduce government at all; it grew government far more than Clinton&#8217;s wildest dreams. Medicare Part D was another example: don&#8217;t reduce government, instead create a new government program that was supposed to work according to free-market principles in dispensing drugs to Grandma.</p>
<p>And the bailout bill is the final blow. Limited-government conservatism is in a serious coma, and may not survive much longer. Everywhere we look, both from Democrats and Republicans, we see the insatiable desire to grow government. We don&#8217;t have a champion anymore who believes that the most helpful government is the one that gets out of people&#8217;s ways to let them pursue their own dreams unfettered from bureaucratic red tape and mindless regulation. No, instead, the business that is unregulated is regarded with suspicion and mistrust; it can&#8217;t be trusted to do the right thing, only Washington bureaucrats can do that.</p>
<p>But this is reality. It is good that we recognize it now, because when Obama gets elected (which I think is almost a certainty now), we will have to work hard to find our new standard-bearer of limited-government conservatism, someone who can resuscitate it from its coma and reaffirm its principles to a public that now believes government is the path to prosperity.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/10/04/bailout-bill-blues/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
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		<title>VP Kay Bailey Hutchinson?</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/08/22/vp-kay-bailey-hutchinson/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/08/22/vp-kay-bailey-hutchinson/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 22 Aug 2008 20:35:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a class="user" href="/users/chemjeff2/">chemjeff</a> (<a href="/chemjeff2/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hutchinson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[McCain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Vice President]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[VP]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false"></guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Dick Morris just suggested it on H&#38;C.  It seems tantalizing but I don&#8217;t really know all that much about her, other than I love her accent.  Thoughts?</p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dick Morris just suggested it on H&amp;C.  It seems tantalizing but I don&#8217;t really know all that much about her, other than I love her accent.  Thoughts?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/08/22/vp-kay-bailey-hutchinson/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>15</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>This is very bad.</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/08/21/this-is-very-bad/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/08/21/this-is-very-bad/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Aug 2008 18:57:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a class="user" href="/users/chemjeff2/">chemjeff</a> (<a href="/chemjeff2/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[domestic terrorism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[McCain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[white powder]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false"></guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/08/21/mccain-office-receives-envelope-with-white-powder-threat/">http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/08/21/mccain-office-receives-envelope-with-white-powder-threat/</a></p>
<p>As McCain might say, I expect &#8220;our friends&#8221; on the left side of the aisle to vigorously denounce such actions of domestic terrorism.</p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/08/21/mccain-office-receives-envelope-with-white-powder-threat/">http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/08/21/mccain-office-receives-envelope-with-white-powder-threat/</a></p>
<p>As McCain might say, I expect &#8220;our friends&#8221; on the left side of the aisle to vigorously denounce such actions of domestic terrorism.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/08/21/this-is-very-bad/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>5</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Changing The Subject</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/08/20/changing-the-subject/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/08/20/changing-the-subject/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 Aug 2008 11:03:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a class="user" href="/users/chemjeff2/">chemjeff</a> (<a href="/chemjeff2/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[convention]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[domestic policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[McCain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[NCLB]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vouchers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Welfare]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false"></guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Imagine it&#8217;s August 29.  The DNC convention has ended and Obama leads by 20 points in the polls.  He gave a blockbuster of a speech at Invesco Field that even Republicans will applaud.  The MSM&#8217;s legs will still be tingling even two days later.  At the convention Obama will of course have proposed zillions of dollars in new spending as well as raise everyone&#8217;s taxes, not to mention repeat the rest of the DNC platform, under the guise of &#8220;hope and change&#8221;.  The world will be in awe at the grandeur and majesty that is Obama the Messiah.</p>
<p>Now it&#8217;s about time for the RNC convention to start.  There will be lots and lots of speakers who will devote their time and energy to justifiably bashing Obama&#8217;s plans.  They will cost too much, they won&#8217;t work, they represent big government imposing on everyone, etc.  All of that is true.  But, ultimately, that only plays into Obama&#8217;s hand.  It lets Obama define Republicans the way he has defined them all along, i.e., opposed to the hopeful change he will usher in.  And if Obama gets elected, that is precisely how he will govern &#8211; he is the agent of hope, light, salvation and prosperity (when all he really proposes is more standard DNC fare), and if only the Republican gentiles could see the truth then all would be well with the world!</p>
<p>Let the Senators and Governors stand up there and bash Obama.  But you, McCain, can&#8217;t and shouldn&#8217;t do that.  Well, maybe just a little.  But that shouldn&#8217;t be the theme of your acceptance speech.  You have to <i>change the subject</i>.  You have to be the maverick you always have been.  You have to propose something bold, new, exciting, unexpected, something that is in keeping with the spirit of &#8220;change&#8221; that this election represents.</p>
<p>And it has to be something tangible.  It can&#8217;t be something lame like &#8220;cut the deficit in half by 10 years&#8221; &#8211; everybody knows that these sorts of timetables are never followed and by expanding the deadline to 10 years it&#8217;s really just a copout.  It can&#8217;t be something like &#8220;reduce the size of government&#8221; &#8211; to be honest, not many people actually believe Republicans stand for that anymore.  It can&#8217;t be something like &#8220;victory in Iraq&#8221; &#8211; while of course Iraq should be a key aspect of your speech, WE ALL KNOW you stand for victory so it&#8217;s not particularly novel.  It has to be something within your grasp &#8211; either something you&#8217;ll be able to do on your own over the objections of a hostile Congress, or something for which you&#8217;ll have the backing of the American people to pressure Congress into adopting, a la Ronald Reagan.   And, to be blunt, it can&#8217;t be anything involving immigration.  You&#8217;ve lost pretty much all of your moral authority on this subject. </p>
<p>Furthermore &#8211; and here&#8217;s the really important part &#8211; it can&#8217;t be something that will be easily upstaged by Obama later on, so whatever it is, it has to be something that will force Obama to choose between his hope-and-change rhetoric and his toe-the-party-line reality.</p>
<p>So, here are a few of my suggestions.</p>
<ol>
<li>
<p>Nationwide school vouchers.  Everywhere school vouchers have been tried they&#8217;ve been a success &#8211; either with the vouchers themselves or by forcing sclerotic public school administrations into innovating, by doing things like create charter schools or magnet schools.  You can go one step further and propose that all that NCLB money will go to individual families to choose among public schools in their area, instead of sending it to the schools themselves.  The Democrats are absolutely beholden to teachers&#8217; unions and they will demand that Obama oppose this vigorously and ruthlessly defend the status quo.  Public education is absolutely one area in which change is called for and by proposing something revolutionary in this field you will force Obama to choose between actual change or just lip-service change.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>Wage subsidies.  Replace the minimum wage and the entire welfare state apparatus with a system of wage subsidies designed to reward hard work.  It might work something like this:  Firms that hire low-wage or entry-level workers would receive a subsidy, making up the difference between the wage that the firm pays and some fixed amount, say $8/hr.  That&#8217;s it.  No more paying people to watch Oprah.  No more paying people depending on how many kids they have.  No more gross distortions of the labor market by forcing firms to be the handmaidens of government welfare policy in the form of a minimum wage.  This idea is already out there and it&#8217;s already being implemented in places like Colorado (swing state, anyone?).  Yes there is more than a tinge of socialism in this proposal.  But it is new and bold in the sense of replacing the entire welfare state apparatus with one system that is purposefully designed to reward work.  And this is also one area in which Republicans still have some credibility, seen as architects of the previous welfare reform effort in the 90&#8242;s.  The left is beholden to the minimum wage because it, along with Social Security, represent the two &#8220;great triumphs&#8221; of their New Deal legacy &#8211; asking them to part with it strikes at the core of their very identity.  The left WILL NOT countenance any change in this area of the status quo and Obama, the hope-and-changer, will have to decide if he will just attack McCain on a proposal like this (thereby exposing his hollowness) or flip-flop and attempt to accommodate it (thereby pissing off his base).</p>
</li>
</ol>
<p>Those are two of my ideas.  What are yours?</p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Imagine it&#8217;s August 29.  The DNC convention has ended and Obama leads by 20 points in the polls.  He gave a blockbuster of a speech at Invesco Field that even Republicans will applaud.  The MSM&#8217;s legs will still be tingling even two days later.  At the convention Obama will of course have proposed zillions of dollars in new spending as well as raise everyone&#8217;s taxes, not to mention repeat the rest of the DNC platform, under the guise of &#8220;hope and change&#8221;.  The world will be in awe at the grandeur and majesty that is Obama the Messiah.</p>
<p>Now it&#8217;s about time for the RNC convention to start.  There will be lots and lots of speakers who will devote their time and energy to justifiably bashing Obama&#8217;s plans.  They will cost too much, they won&#8217;t work, they represent big government imposing on everyone, etc.  All of that is true.  But, ultimately, that only plays into Obama&#8217;s hand.  It lets Obama define Republicans the way he has defined them all along, i.e., opposed to the hopeful change he will usher in.  And if Obama gets elected, that is precisely how he will govern &#8211; he is the agent of hope, light, salvation and prosperity (when all he really proposes is more standard DNC fare), and if only the Republican gentiles could see the truth then all would be well with the world!</p>
<p>Let the Senators and Governors stand up there and bash Obama.  But you, McCain, can&#8217;t and shouldn&#8217;t do that.  Well, maybe just a little.  But that shouldn&#8217;t be the theme of your acceptance speech.  You have to <i>change the subject</i>.  You have to be the maverick you always have been.  You have to propose something bold, new, exciting, unexpected, something that is in keeping with the spirit of &#8220;change&#8221; that this election represents.</p>
<p>And it has to be something tangible.  It can&#8217;t be something lame like &#8220;cut the deficit in half by 10 years&#8221; &#8211; everybody knows that these sorts of timetables are never followed and by expanding the deadline to 10 years it&#8217;s really just a copout.  It can&#8217;t be something like &#8220;reduce the size of government&#8221; &#8211; to be honest, not many people actually believe Republicans stand for that anymore.  It can&#8217;t be something like &#8220;victory in Iraq&#8221; &#8211; while of course Iraq should be a key aspect of your speech, WE ALL KNOW you stand for victory so it&#8217;s not particularly novel.  It has to be something within your grasp &#8211; either something you&#8217;ll be able to do on your own over the objections of a hostile Congress, or something for which you&#8217;ll have the backing of the American people to pressure Congress into adopting, a la Ronald Reagan.   And, to be blunt, it can&#8217;t be anything involving immigration.  You&#8217;ve lost pretty much all of your moral authority on this subject. </p>
<p>Furthermore &#8211; and here&#8217;s the really important part &#8211; it can&#8217;t be something that will be easily upstaged by Obama later on, so whatever it is, it has to be something that will force Obama to choose between his hope-and-change rhetoric and his toe-the-party-line reality.</p>
<p>So, here are a few of my suggestions.</p>
<ol>
<li>
<p>Nationwide school vouchers.  Everywhere school vouchers have been tried they&#8217;ve been a success &#8211; either with the vouchers themselves or by forcing sclerotic public school administrations into innovating, by doing things like create charter schools or magnet schools.  You can go one step further and propose that all that NCLB money will go to individual families to choose among public schools in their area, instead of sending it to the schools themselves.  The Democrats are absolutely beholden to teachers&#8217; unions and they will demand that Obama oppose this vigorously and ruthlessly defend the status quo.  Public education is absolutely one area in which change is called for and by proposing something revolutionary in this field you will force Obama to choose between actual change or just lip-service change.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>Wage subsidies.  Replace the minimum wage and the entire welfare state apparatus with a system of wage subsidies designed to reward hard work.  It might work something like this:  Firms that hire low-wage or entry-level workers would receive a subsidy, making up the difference between the wage that the firm pays and some fixed amount, say $8/hr.  That&#8217;s it.  No more paying people to watch Oprah.  No more paying people depending on how many kids they have.  No more gross distortions of the labor market by forcing firms to be the handmaidens of government welfare policy in the form of a minimum wage.  This idea is already out there and it&#8217;s already being implemented in places like Colorado (swing state, anyone?).  Yes there is more than a tinge of socialism in this proposal.  But it is new and bold in the sense of replacing the entire welfare state apparatus with one system that is purposefully designed to reward work.  And this is also one area in which Republicans still have some credibility, seen as architects of the previous welfare reform effort in the 90&#8242;s.  The left is beholden to the minimum wage because it, along with Social Security, represent the two &#8220;great triumphs&#8221; of their New Deal legacy &#8211; asking them to part with it strikes at the core of their very identity.  The left WILL NOT countenance any change in this area of the status quo and Obama, the hope-and-changer, will have to decide if he will just attack McCain on a proposal like this (thereby exposing his hollowness) or flip-flop and attempt to accommodate it (thereby pissing off his base).</p>
</li>
</ol>
<p>Those are two of my ideas.  What are yours?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/08/20/changing-the-subject/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>On Torture</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/08/19/on-torture/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/08/19/on-torture/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 19 Aug 2008 00:33:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a class="user" href="/users/chemjeff2/">chemjeff</a> (<a href="/chemjeff2/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Iraq]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Torture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[War on Terror]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false"></guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>So I deigned to watch Jon Stewart and Colbert Report back-to-back tonight.  Both of them went on and on about torture and, in their usual offensive comic way, how ashamed we ought to be that the Bush Administration committed horrific acts of torture.  And this got me thinking to what I might say to either of them had I the opportunity to do so.  Three points came to mind:</p>
<ol>
<li>
<p>A lot of people on the political left &#8211; not all, but many &#8211; had a large political motivation to play up the torture angle as much as they could in order to win votes.  This is because &#8220;torture&#8221; is a term that carries with it a great deal of emotional baggage.  It really is no different than when some (not all) pro-lifers call Democrats &#8220;baby killers&#8221; &#8211; they do it really only to stir up emotion and not to contribute anything worthwhile.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>There is a huge grey area when it comes to torture.  Not every act can be classified in black-or-white.  For instance, I&#8217;m sure we can all agree that things like boiling oil and peeling off people&#8217;s skin constitutes torture.  But what about sleep deprivation?  If you call that torture, then would you say our current medical school system, which demands that residents stay on the job for 30 hours at a time, is a form of torture?  This would be absurd.  If we can all agree on the claims of torture that clearly belong on the &#8220;black&#8221; side, then in a time of war when lives are at stake, I for one am willing to give the benefit of the doubt to the military commanders to remain squarely in the &#8220;grey&#8221; zone and trust that military rules will effectively forbid going to the dark side.  But that leads to point number 3&#8230;</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>War changes everything, and not just for the combatants involved.  It changes everything for the civilians back home as well, even those like us who aren&#8217;t directly in harm&#8217;s way (at this moment).  I would argue that when there is a justified war, it is the duty of the patriot to, at the very minimum, advocate for victory for his/her country.  This means advocating things that a moral person normally wouldn&#8217;t advocate for in peacetime.  For instance, the patriot would naturally advocate for killing, or at least incapacitating, the &#8220;bad guys&#8221; on the enemy side.  But in peacetime, a moral person wouldn&#8217;t advocate killing those who hadn&#8217;t harmed them first directly.  So serving as a patriot in a justified war necessarily changes an acceptance of those things that the patriot would normally find morally acceptable.  In short, the standards for moral conduct <i>for everyone</i> are different in wartime than in peacetime.  But that only really applies if you think the war is justified in the first place.  What if you don&#8217;t?  Then there&#8217;s no change in thinking and the same old standards apply.  Which really is just a fancy way of saying that all the griping from the left about torture is just another way of them demonstrating that they don&#8217;t believe the war is justified in the first place.  That is fine, but they also fail to recognize that justified war does have a moral price to pay.  They fail to grasp this point entirely and instead stand on absurd absolutist statements about &#8220;torture is always wrong&#8221;.  Of course it isn&#8217;t, just like killing isn&#8217;t always wrong.  But in peacetime, torture would always be wrong.</p>
</li>
</ol>
<p>So, tell me what you think.  Am I justifying torture or offering a nuanced view of a complex situation?</p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So I deigned to watch Jon Stewart and Colbert Report back-to-back tonight.  Both of them went on and on about torture and, in their usual offensive comic way, how ashamed we ought to be that the Bush Administration committed horrific acts of torture.  And this got me thinking to what I might say to either of them had I the opportunity to do so.  Three points came to mind:</p>
<ol>
<li>
<p>A lot of people on the political left &#8211; not all, but many &#8211; had a large political motivation to play up the torture angle as much as they could in order to win votes.  This is because &#8220;torture&#8221; is a term that carries with it a great deal of emotional baggage.  It really is no different than when some (not all) pro-lifers call Democrats &#8220;baby killers&#8221; &#8211; they do it really only to stir up emotion and not to contribute anything worthwhile.</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>There is a huge grey area when it comes to torture.  Not every act can be classified in black-or-white.  For instance, I&#8217;m sure we can all agree that things like boiling oil and peeling off people&#8217;s skin constitutes torture.  But what about sleep deprivation?  If you call that torture, then would you say our current medical school system, which demands that residents stay on the job for 30 hours at a time, is a form of torture?  This would be absurd.  If we can all agree on the claims of torture that clearly belong on the &#8220;black&#8221; side, then in a time of war when lives are at stake, I for one am willing to give the benefit of the doubt to the military commanders to remain squarely in the &#8220;grey&#8221; zone and trust that military rules will effectively forbid going to the dark side.  But that leads to point number 3&#8230;</p>
</li>
<li>
<p>War changes everything, and not just for the combatants involved.  It changes everything for the civilians back home as well, even those like us who aren&#8217;t directly in harm&#8217;s way (at this moment).  I would argue that when there is a justified war, it is the duty of the patriot to, at the very minimum, advocate for victory for his/her country.  This means advocating things that a moral person normally wouldn&#8217;t advocate for in peacetime.  For instance, the patriot would naturally advocate for killing, or at least incapacitating, the &#8220;bad guys&#8221; on the enemy side.  But in peacetime, a moral person wouldn&#8217;t advocate killing those who hadn&#8217;t harmed them first directly.  So serving as a patriot in a justified war necessarily changes an acceptance of those things that the patriot would normally find morally acceptable.  In short, the standards for moral conduct <i>for everyone</i> are different in wartime than in peacetime.  But that only really applies if you think the war is justified in the first place.  What if you don&#8217;t?  Then there&#8217;s no change in thinking and the same old standards apply.  Which really is just a fancy way of saying that all the griping from the left about torture is just another way of them demonstrating that they don&#8217;t believe the war is justified in the first place.  That is fine, but they also fail to recognize that justified war does have a moral price to pay.  They fail to grasp this point entirely and instead stand on absurd absolutist statements about &#8220;torture is always wrong&#8221;.  Of course it isn&#8217;t, just like killing isn&#8217;t always wrong.  But in peacetime, torture would always be wrong.</p>
</li>
</ol>
<p>So, tell me what you think.  Am I justifying torture or offering a nuanced view of a complex situation?</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/08/19/on-torture/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Obama&#8217;s Running Mate: Hagel</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/07/12/obamas-running-mate-hagel/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/chemjeff2/2008/07/12/obamas-running-mate-hagel/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 12 Jul 2008 17:37:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a class="user" href="/users/chemjeff2/">chemjeff</a> (<a href="/chemjeff2/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[VP]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false"></guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s going to be Chuck Hagel.  From a <a href="http://journalstar.com/articles/2008/07/11/news/local/doc4877fc53a7f30599530712.txt">story</a> in today&#8217;s Lincoln Journal-Star:</p>
<blockquote><p>
A Wall Street Journal report that Sen. Chuck Hagel will accompany Sen. Barack Obama on a trip to Iraq and Afghanistan kicked up a frenzy Friday on credible political blogs.</p>
<p>The Journal reported online that two sources confirmed the Nebraska Republican will travel with the Democratic presidential nominee to the war zones.
</p></blockquote>
<p>Picking Hagel would give The Messiah of HopeChangeHope the facade of the bipartisanship that he has been claiming to advocate all along.  Of course Hagel stopped being a true Republican many years ago but that is besides the point.</p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s going to be Chuck Hagel.  From a <a href="http://journalstar.com/articles/2008/07/11/news/local/doc4877fc53a7f30599530712.txt">story</a> in today&#8217;s Lincoln Journal-Star:</p>
<blockquote><p>
A Wall Street Journal report that Sen. Chuck Hagel will accompany Sen. Barack Obama on a trip to Iraq and Afghanistan kicked up a frenzy Friday on credible political blogs.</p>
<p>The Journal reported online that two sources confirmed the Nebraska Republican will travel with the Democratic presidential nominee to the war zones.
</p></blockquote>
<p>Picking Hagel would give The Messiah of HopeChangeHope the facade of the bipartisanship that he has been claiming to advocate all along.  Of course Hagel stopped being a true Republican many years ago but that is besides the point.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>12</slash:comments>
		</item>
	</channel>
</rss>

