A writer at Huffington Post makes precisely the points I expected they would:
In this past election, we won the fight for a Democratic majority. We now need to win the fight for a progressive majority who will stand up for the interests of the American people over the corporate lobbyists and their millions in campaign contributions…
We don’t need Blue Dog Democratic Senators in relatively safe Democratic states like Connecticut (where Lieberman lost the Democratic primary but narrowly retained his seat only because there was a 3-way race), New York (where unfortunately Gov. Patterson appointed Blue Dog Congresswoman Kirsten Gillibrand to replace Hillary Clinton in the Senate and where there will hopefully be a viable progressive Democrat to oppose her in the Democratic primary in 2010), nor in increasingly Blue Pennsylvania…
The Pennsylvania Democratic establishment, the Senate Democratic leadership, and even President Obama may have seen short-term political advantage in cutting a deal with Specter to support him in the 2010 Democratic primary, and to try to clear the field of serious opposition…
What’s needed in the 2010 Pennsylvania Democratic Primary is a Pennsylvania equivalent of Ned Lamont, who, despite the opposition of the state and national Democratic party establishment, and after starting out with a double-digit deficit in the polls, defeated conservative Democrat Joe Lieberman in the 2006 Democratic Primary. Lieberman only retained his Senate seat by running as an independent in a 3-way race in which he received 70% of the Republican vote and only 33% of the Democratic vote.
If Specter were to lose the 2010 Pennsylvania Democratic Primary to a more progressive challenger, he wouldn’t have the same opportunity as Lieberman to run as an independent in a 3-way race. Pennsylvania has a so-called “sore loser” law which bars the loser in a major-party primary from running as an independent in the general election. If a more progressive Democratic challenger can defeat Specter in the Democratic primary, Specter’s career in the Senate will likely be over.
And there’s every reason why Pennsylvania Democrats should hope for a more genuinely Democratic Senate candidate in 2010 than Specter. Although he’s changed the letter after his name from “R” to “D”, there’s little to indicate that he’s changed his generally conservative views. He joins Joe Lieberman as among the most conservative Democrats in the Senate.
Specter’s first vote as a newly-minted Democratic Senator was to oppose President Obama’s budget. One of his next votes was to oppose the bankruptcy reform bill. Having shepherded the nominations of conservative Supreme Court justices Roberts and Alito through the Senate, he has made clear it that he feels no obligation to support President Obama’s nominee to replace Justice Souter, or even to help break a Republican fillibuster…
Do Pennsylvania Democrats really need 6 more years of this kind of “Democrat”? With Specter now a nominal Democrat, the likely 2010 Republican Pennsylvania nominee is the extreme right-wing former Congressman Pat Toomy who now heads the ultra-free market Club for Growth. Toomy’s [sic] Congressional voting record also earned him a 100% rating from the Christian Coalition, an “A” from the National Rifle Association, and a 90% rating from the Chamber of Commerce. A Republican like Toomy [sic] might win a state-wide Senate election in a state like South Carolina or Mississippi. But as long as the Democratic candidate cannot easily be depicted as representing the most left-wing elements of the Democratic Party, just about any credible, moderately progressive, Democrat would likely handily defeat Toomy in an increasingly Blue Pennsylvania.
My question is why Pennsylvania liberals don’t simply nominate Ned Lamont. I mean, he didn’t win, so it’s not like he’s doing anything.
Steve Maley
Neil Stevens
Daniel Horowitz
Typical Leftist hypocracy
scarlos (Diary) Monday, May 4th at 5:21PM EST (link)When we try to go after our own moderates, we’re radical extremists. When they try to do it, it’s an ‘effort to make their state more representative of the people who live there’
Socialism is Oligarchy in disguise
Funny thing is
reldim (Diary) Monday, May 4th at 5:48PM EST (link)If you look at ACU ratings, Specter isn’t even the most conservative Democrat in the Senate. Specter’s lifetime ACU rating is 44.47. Ben Nelson’s is 47.26. (If you’re wondering the ladies from Maine rate 47.88 for Snowe and 49.55 for Collins – meaning that with Specter out every member of the Republican caucus is more conservative than any member of the Democratic caucus, even if just barely).
As for the idea that Joe Lieberman is some arch-conservative the HuffPo needs to do some homework. Lieberman has a lifetime ACU rating of 15.96 – and in both 2007 and 2008 he scored only an 8 each year (which means he’s gotten MORE liberal since his re-election).
I count, not including Specter, 12 Democrats with higher lifetime ACU ratings:
Tester (MT) – 16.00
Dorgan (ND) – 16.57
Pryor (AR) – 18.33
Johnson (SD) – 18.36
Lincoln (AR) – 18.70
Reid (NV) – 18.96
Conrad (ND) – 19.57
Bayh (IN) – 20.70
Landrieu (LA) – 23.20
Byrd (WV) – 28.26
Nelson (FL) – 37.28
Nelson (NE) – 47.26
Now, it may be true that the “conservativeness” of these Democrats should be forgiven because they represent red or purple states and that a Senator from CT should be more “pure” in his liberalism – but where exactly can Lieberman go? I mean even Joe Biden had an ACU lifetime over 12.5 at the end of 2008 – and I doubt anybody would call him “among the most conservative Democrats in the Senate.”
Of course, Lieberman may be “among the most conservative” – but if that’s the case, with Specter’s defection, that group of Democrats would have to number 14 members to get all the way down to Joe. Hell of a group when it constitutes nearly 25% of your total membership.
Gosh, Who Didn't See This Coming?!
IJB Monday, May 4th at 5:49PM EST (link)And, the thing is, the HuffPo/DKos/Move On axis (or evol!!!) will win this fight.
I fully expect that Specter will lose the Dem Primary to a Dem that is significantly further to the Left. I don’t know who in PA fits that bill, but the HuffPo gang will find someone who will.
Poor Arlen
Karina (Diary) Monday, May 4th at 6:04PM EST (link)Who does he turn to from here? The Republicans don’t want him back and them Dems think he’s not progressive enough for them. He’s homeless! Does he qualify for a bailout?
Super stuff
SteveLA (Diary) Monday, May 4th at 7:41PM EST (link)I actually think the best thing for R’s to do is contribute to
Arlen’s Democratic challenger. Say something like a bunch of $.99 contributions….Oh my!
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Competency over ideological purity and litmus tests