Yesterday Arlen Specter said that despite his switch to the Democratic party, he would not be changing his position on Card Check. It doesn’t seem as if Card Check backers are taking him seriously though. Despite his comments yesterday – which were widely portrayed as a strong statement against the bill – they’re pushing harder than ever:
But [Specter] left himself some wiggle room when he announced his opposition to the bill in March by outlining revisions he says could improve it and gain his support…
Specter has said that he doesn’t support replacing the election process and that the arbitration section would have to be significantly changed to win his support.
But he’s also voiced sympathy with the concerns that labor leaders are trying to address through the legislation. If a deal can be struck, it could well address similar concerns raised by several moderate Democrats and clear the way for passage.
But labor leaders say negotiations will intensify and a breakthrough would carry big political dividends for the Democrats’ newest darling.
“He has indicated to the labor movement that he was willing to review some modification in the present bill and to give reconsideration to the bill,” said Bill George, president of the Pennsylvania AFL-CIO.
The Pennsylvania AFL-CIO boasts 1.7 million members and supporters. The Teamsters have 80,000. The Service Employees International Union has nearly 50,000. And the teachers have thousands more.
Even Specter acknowledged Tuesday that: “You can’t win an election in Pennsylvania without labor.”
But George notes that while Specter’s 68 percent voting record on labor issues is pretty good for a Republican, the average of the Keystone State’s Democratic caucus is about 85 percent.
According to Eileen Connelly, executive director of SEIU’s state council, union members already had a field operation knocking on Republican doors and urging voters to call Specter and ask him to support the legislation.
Now, she said, they will start knocking on Democratic doors and get them to put pressure on him.
Specter had promised to oppose Card Check, and he says that position won’t change. But his opposition pointedly did not extend to a bad Card Check compromise – which is exactly what seems to be in the offing. Lobbyists working against the bill now tell me that Labor is preparing to accept the compromise that people have been speculating about for months – one that would delete the provision to eliminate the secret ballot, and retain the mandatory arbitration provisions. If and when Al Franken is seated in the Senate, Democrats will have 60 votes – enough to break a filibuster.
This half-measure would impose dramatic new costs on businesses, hamper their ability to innovate, and give unions far more clout in labor negotiations. It would destroy jobs in the U.S. and chase jobs offshore. It’s a terrible bill. But Arlen Specter needs to prove that he is a loyal Democrat. And as he says, it’s hard to win a race in Pennsylvania without the support of labor. Is there any way Specter doesn’t support a Card Check compromise?
Update: A friend who follows Card Check very closely sent me this video. What can I say? I hope Rendell is right:
Neil Stevens
Steve Maley
It would be quite unusual for a party member to break with the party on a procedural vote
Mike gamecock DeVine (Diary) Wednesday, April 29th at 5:43PM EST (link)This is an ominous sign and we now know that Specter’s word isn’t worth a dime.
Mike DeVine’s Examiner.com, Charlotte Observer and The Minority Report columns
“One man with courage makes a majority.” – Andrew Jackson
more of that Bi-Partisanship Disease
JLenardDetroit (Diary) Wednesday, April 29th at 6:00PM EST (link)disreSpecter left himself that “wiggle” room when he was a RINO
now that he is in the Democrat Party he won’t have to PRETEND anymore to disguise his Left-agenda under Bi-Partisanship…. he will be happy to accept Card-Check outright as a bid to garner Union support for his re-election.
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He'll sell his vote on card check for union backing
Old_Crow (Diary) Wednesday, April 29th at 6:03PM EST (link)during the democrat primary. Oh, he’ll drag it out some and call it a ‘soul searching and agonizing decision’ but in the end it’s ONLY about money and getting re-elected.
“Enlightened statesmen will not always be at the helm.” — James Madison
The substantive vote is inconsequential anyway;
Achance (Diary) Wednesday, April 29th at 6:14PM EST (link)they have the votes to pass it with or without him. The only thing that would make a difference would be a caucus vote on cloture and now that he’s a for-real D, he ain’t doing that, doubt he would have anyway.
In Vino Veritas
Again, Specter has always had labor support
civil truth (Diary) Wednesday, April 29th at 6:11PM EST (link)He only spoke against EFCA in order to try to weaken Republican opposition in the primary. He probably planned after being reelected to throw his support to EFCA (unless he thought he could sell a compromise this year).
But now, he’s got no restraint. He does need a fig leaf because otherwise his flop back would be too flagrent. It’s what labor will settle for this time – and as Art has pointed out, the arbitration provision is the most dangerous and revolutionary portion.
Card check they can always come back with later, or perhaps in 2011 when they may have an even more favorable Congress. But the arbitration provisions will be an earthshaking precedent.
I’m sure Arlen will not only support a “compromise” – he will be trying to close the deal.
The greatest evil…is conceived and ordered (moved, seconded, carried, and minuted) in clean, carpeted, warmed, and well-lighted offices, by quiet men with white collars and cut fingernails and smooth-shaven cheeks who do not need to raise their voice. Hence, naturally enough, my symbol for Hell is something like the bureaucracy of a police state or the offices of a thoroughly nasty business concern. -C.S. Lewis
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I agree 100% on every point
bk (Diary) Wednesday, April 29th at 6:17PM EST (link)He lives for PROCESS. As soon as they go through any sort of compromise process, he’ll support it even if it’s worse than the original.
If Specter will change parties to save his seat
bannedtroll Wednesday, April 29th at 6:46PM EST (link)does anyone doubt he’d change his position on card check if it further increased his chances of re-election?
As a purple state, you can expect Specter to do his best red/blue chameleon impression as the prevailing political winds blow. Unfortunately, it’s anyone’s guess if Toomey can defeat Specter. I guess it all depends on how excited Democrats get about voting for Specter versus how many Republicans have had enough of him. (It’s one thing to call yourself a fiscal-conservative, but when you don’t even have that going for you anymore, you’re not a Republican at all. And when you vote to blow trillions of tax dollars, it’s not the right which has moved right, it’s the representative who have moved left.)
Unfortunately, I suspect it won’t be until after the next election cycle that the average Pennsylvanian or American sees through the pro-Obama media filters. On the flipside, as Obama’s numbers start to inevitably slide, so will his support base – Specter, the first among them. We can then get this amateur out of there in 4, and hopefully start paying down the debt.
I’m a banned Democrat who came here to promote the idea that Republicans are racists for disliking Barack Obama.
He won't need to change his position
Old_Dominion (Diary) Wednesday, April 29th at 8:19PM EST (link)The Democratic leadership will likely make some cosmetic change that gives Specter cover to change his vote, take credit for the “compromise” language, and vote for cloture. He can even vote against the legislation afterward along with Lincoln, Pryor, Landrieu and Nelson and face no repercussions.
What about Lincoln & Pryor?
St_Louis_Conservative (Diary) Wednesday, April 29th at 7:35PM EST (link)They hail from the home of Wal-Mart. I can’t imagine they would support it. Lincoln has to face re-election in 2010. Arkansas is also a right-to-work state where unions have little power – certainly far less than Wal-Mart & Tyson Chicken does.
Then there’s folks like Ben Nelson, Mary Landreu, Tim Johnson, Jon Tester, Byron Dorgon, etc. All of whom come from right-to-work states where EFCA is unpopular. The Dems cannot afford one defection, even with Specter & Franken.
“…..women and minorities hardest hit”
I work for WM in the Home Office
DerKrieger (Diary) Wednesday, April 29th at 7:49PM EST (link)… and trust me, Lincoln knows which way the AR wind blows.
“In questions of power, let no more be heard of confidence in man, but bind him down from mischief by the chains of the Constitution.” – Thomas Jefferson
“I cannot undertake to lay my finger on that article of the Constitution which granted a right to Congress of expending, on objects of benevolence, the money of their constituents.” – James Madison
Whenever the legislators endeavor to take away and destroy the property of the people, or to reduce them to slavery under arbitrary power, they put themselves into a state of war with the people, who are thereupon absolved from any further obedience.” — John Locke, 1690
Both Warner and Webb hail from a right to work state as well...
JadedByPolitics (Diary) Wednesday, April 29th at 8:18PM EST (link)it will be interesting to see if the businesses here keep their feet to the fire. We are not seeing the unemployment numbers especially here in Northern VA that the rest of the country is seeing so to give the unions carte blanche to ruin our economy will be job killers for both!
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Activists Taking Action
One last thing on Specter and then I will have nothing to say...
JadedByPolitics (Diary) Wednesday, April 29th at 8:16PM EST (link)about this traitor to America…for all those who think that Toomey cannot win and for all those who think we will not have a sweep in 2010 I give you what the Republians have NOT had since 2005…
http://www.bluegrasspundit.com/2009/04/republicans-top-democrats-in-generic.html
Thats RIGHT Republicans are leading in a generic poll and that number will only grow because things are only going to get worse and NO amount of money that BO throws at it will make it go away HIS spending is destroying ANY recovery we might have had so while it may be painful mark my words WE will have a Congress in 2010 that will put the STOP to his insanity!
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The 18 Months Until Then
Swamp_Yankee (Diary) Thursday, April 30th at 3:31PM EST (link)Card Check = Y
National Health Care = Y
Amesty = Y
Far Left Judges = Y
The damamge being done now is too devastaing for everyone to be looking to 2010. We need roadblocks now. Every single one. Everybody. Everything. Every tactic. This is no time for whining. Block. Block
This Is Dreadful
Swamp_Yankee (Diary) Thursday, April 30th at 10:36AM EST (link)Specter defects and Conservtives act like children. He’s going to be around for eighteen months regardless. One less road block for EFCA. People who celebrate this are utterly clueless.