Big 3 Bailout Unlikely?


Hoyer: Democrats Won't Stick Necks out for Detroit

Blackhedd has given an excellent analysis of where the Big 3 bailout stands, and why Congressional leaders are having a hard time building support for quick action. It therefore should come as no surprise that House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer is now warning automakers that Congress will not act unless leaders reach a bipartisan agreement in the next few days:

House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-Md.) said on Tuesday that the House will not come back into session next week unless a deal is reached in the coming days to aid the sinking auto industry.

Hoyer gave a definitive response of “no” when asked if the chamber would schedule votes even if Democratic leaders are unable to reach a bipartisan agreement on a multibillion-dollar rescue package for auto manufacturers.

“If we believe that there is a possibility to pass legislation that would lead to continued viability … then we would return,” Hoyer said.

Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) is expected to hold a press event later today to address the issue.

Across the Dome, the Senate is scheduled to come back on Monday at 3 p.m. but Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) wouldn’t say on Tuesday whether the chamber would hold votes. He deferred to the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee, which is holding hearings on the matter this week.

“We hope we can work something out with them, but it’s up to them to show that there will be accountability and viability,” Reid said. “We don’t want to throw a lifeline if the lifeline doesn’t get them to shore.”

Speaker Pelosi is expected to make the final call on whether to return for a lame duck session on Friday. Hoyer’s warning might be setting the stage for Pelosi to announce that the automakers’ recovery plans aren’t good enough to merit tens of billions in taxpayer money, or it might be an attempt to generate more heat on Members who oppose the bailout.

But if the comments of House Democrats are open to multiple interpretations, Reid’s test appears to all but rule out a bailout for Detroit. After all, if the automakers really need between $100 and $200 billion to be genuinely viable, any action that takes place next week will fall short. No one in Congress is even suggesting that much money right now; so there’s no way Congress can take action in the next week ‘to get them to shore.’

Of course, Reid might just be saying something stupid. It’s been known to happen before.


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11 Comments Leave a comment

Everyone needs to call and/or email their Senators/Reps

jeffreywturner (Diary) Wednesday, December 3rd at 10:08AM EST (link)

We should really put pressure on Congress to kill this for now. Let’s make the Dems bail out the unions all by themselves so we can not be blamed. And make no mistake, that is what this is. The non-unionized auto makers are not asking for money. They are going to make it through just like any other slow economic times. If GM is to be believed, they will default on debt within a month. I would love to see them forced into bankruptcy, so they could get out of these rediculous union contracts and reorganize down south where we appreciate businesses that provide good jobs.

“Life is too short, can’t we all just eat pork and kill some terrorists?”

 

Not Enough

Scope (Diary) Wednesday, December 3rd at 10:13AM EST (link)

Haven’t seen or heard anything about the Big 3′s plans to be submitted to Nancy in detail, but, from what I hear the big concession is that the CEO’s will work for $1 a year, they will give up their bonuses and bonuses for top management, and I think they already gave up on the incentive payments to dealerships. No word at all yet as to what will be done about the UAW committments. And, they are driving their hybrids to Washington.

If I am not mistaken, hasn’t Obama already previously promised help because they are too big to fail? So will this come up again in January if it fails now?

While Congress is demanding that the companies make tremendous concessions, they themselves are not willing to concede some of their mandates, like delaying the CAFE standards?

BTW- What is Pelosi going to do when Obama does his many many pressers, is she going to try to talk over him or around him?

 

What am I missing?

woodsman (Diary) Wednesday, December 3rd at 10:57AM EST (link)

CEO’s working for $1 a year, no raises or bonuses, and driving to DC in Hybrids seems like a dog & pony show on parade.

How does any of this correct decades of poor management practices, union greed, and defunct business models established maybe a century ago?

It seems to me the Detroit automakers have based their entire life expectancy on the basis of making it up on volume sales. Once the sales declined due to the other factors their cash flow ceased.

For me, giving them money without something more substantial than driving hybrids or taking pay cuts in management is bad medicine.

This is going to require major surgery for them to survive, but it should not be at the taxpayers expense.

And Congress should not be the ones managing anything. They can’t even manage their normal duties let alone expect them to produce viable results in a business model that is terrible to be begin with.

 

$100 Billion is insufficient

Steven Willis (Diary) Wednesday, December 3rd at 11:26AM EST (link)

Examining GM’s financial statements – which likely overstate asset values and understate liabilities, $100 billion would not be sufficient. They were at least $60,000,000.00 underwater in September and it is likely far worse now.

It cannot be saved. It must be liquidated through a bankruptcy procedure. Yes, that will mean a lot of people in the Midwest will have a very unhappy Christmas – that is if their joy comes from materials things. For others, however, I suggest they spend $12 on Josh Groban’s album Noel. It is sheer beauty and near perfection (at least so far as earthly things can be). It brings tears to my eyes. Give it a chance: it may do the same for you.

We have tough times in Florida, too. But, our state has been more frugal and has kept taxes low. We have a much greater cushion than do many states.

I do not want to lose that cushion to save Ohio and Michigan. Sorry, but you should have thought about that some years ago.

“Saving” GM and Chrysler by designing cars in the White House puts off the inevitable. We can inflate our way out of this and thereby create an unfathomable mess in a few years. Or, we can take our lumps now and return some reality to the market.

Notice some things about U.S. history. I love this country, but no law of physics holds it together. Our first twelve years as the United States of North America was dysfunctional. We wrote a new Constitution. Approximately 75 years later, we fell apart – and nearly stayed that way. Approximately 75 years later, we struggled with a Great Depression and flirted with socialism – and worse. We joined two World Wars which we darn near lost. Now, approximately 75 years later we face another crises. Will we survive as a nation?

Six months ago, that question was laughable. Well, no one is laughing now.

We are all suffering and we will all suffer more. But, if we start to save some regions at the great expense of other regions . . . well, that could get out of hand quickly. And we cannot save everyone and everything, though the Fed and Treasury and Congress seem to be thinking otherwise.

Here is a thought: let the Fed purchase all U.S. debt – not just a few hundred billion. All of it. $5 trillion, $10 trillion, whatever it takes. Give the Chinese newly printed currency . Cancel the debt (in civil law, the doctrine of debtor and creditor being the same is called confusion – an apt term). Exporters and education (mostly an exporter these days) and holders of commodities will have a big party.

It will not last, but it will be a heck of a ride for those who put their value in things.

“Let it be said, I fought the good fight, I finished the race, I kept the faith.”
Paul, Second Timothy 4:7, The New Covenant.

Steve Willis
Professor of Law
University of Florida College of Law

Union "concessions"

discombobulated (Diary) Wednesday, December 3rd at 11:51AM EST (link)

I heard on the radio this morning that the unions are going to lower the starting salary for workers and freeze pay. I don’t see how either actually accomplishes anything for the big 3.

I haven't followed this as well as I should have

CuriousBrit Wednesday, December 3rd at 11:52AM EST (link)

Typically I’d say that if a company/organisation can’t survive on it’s own, then we have no business in propping it up. However, couldn’t you make the argument that in our bleak economic circumstances, losing a giant employer like this could leave us all worse off? A domino effect of sorts…

But then I guess, where do you draw the line? We want a free market, we can’t go bailing out any company that struggles.

I wish that were possible.

Steven Willis (Diary) Wednesday, December 3rd at 12:43PM EST (link)

It has become a giant Ponzi scheme.

GM cannot be saved.

The notion of “too big to fail” must leave our vocabulary. Instead, we need to learn the notion of “too big to audit.”

GM, Citi, Freddie, Fannie . . . all were too large for a reasonable, trustworthy audit. Many of their investments and liabilities were too convoluted for even very good accountants to evaluate. They should have disclaimed an opinion . . . and the matter would have ended before it really started. No one would invest in a company without a clean audit opinion.

The domino effect is now inevitable. Do it now, when the result will be awful. Or, do it later when the result may break up our Nation.

Overly apocalyptic? I think not.

“Let it be said, I fought the good fight, I finished the race, I kept the faith.”
Paul, Second Timothy 4:7, The New Covenant.

Steve Willis
Professor of Law
University of Florida College of Law

The Unions claim to have already done that

Scope (Diary) Wednesday, December 3rd at 1:35PM EST (link)

The concessions you named have already been done back when they renegoiated last fall, according to Gettlefinger. A week or so ago he said the UAW was not willing to concede any more. Then most recently, when the bailout started looking doubtful, he said they would consider more concessions. The only way the UAW could help the Big 3 is to disband the union completely.

Yes Woodsman

Scope (Diary) Wednesday, December 3rd at 1:41PM EST (link)

You have stated it perfectly- it is a Dog and Pony Show on Parade. I believe that Blackhedd is correct, probably only Ford will survive, that is unless the incompetent and corrupt Dem Congress can get off their thrones and realize that they shouldn’t be master of that parade.

Amen

VanishingNYRep (Diary) Wednesday, December 3rd at 3:07PM EST (link)

Well Said

Thanks

woodsman (Diary) Wednesday, December 3rd at 5:37PM EST (link)

I learn more from reading Blackhedd’s diaries on financial matters than any other public source. He probably is right about Ford.

The only way I can see GM come out of this with a bailout tab (or several) is by a managed bankruptcy. But then, I’m not on the same par as Blackhedd so I might be wrong…

Congress should be worried about other issues than trying to tell failed businesses how to run themselves out of a deep hole.

 
 
 
 
 

Capitalism

Redman_Blueworld Friday, December 5th at 1:06AM EST (link)

This is a capitalist country. Companies that are failing adn are no longer viable in this new market climate, then they should be let to die so that new companies that are more adaptive and better suited can take their place. Economic Darwinism.

The illuminati left wants to prop up these dying companies whose business structure is no longer effective, but all this accomplishes is a massive waste of taxpayers money and a perpetuates a non-functioning company. We should all be praying for Congress to reject this bailout and allow the American economic system continue on.