I read it but missed the part about the “certain to vote” people being tied.

We need a bit more than that to win or at least a bit more than that in the right states to win though as I think Barak probably has an early voting edge.

And the MSM won’t report it; today’s IBD has an editorial, “Axis of Bias”, which everyone should read.

The LA Times’ refusal to release a 2003 video of Barry at a fundraiser for Rashid Khalidi may actually end up helping us. Voters’ fear of the unknown, combined with anger at a media which is essentially just an arm of the Obama campaign, may be a greater motivator than actually seeing the video. It is undoubtedly yet another clip of Obama trashing and smirking at America…and let’s face it, we have plenty of those already.

FOX has been giving plenty of coverage to two little creeps in West Hollywood who created the effigy of Governor Palin hanging from a noose, as a “Halloween decoration.” Imagine the outrage if someone–anyone–had created a similar image of Barack Obama. Of course, this would immediately be deemed a hate crime, if not a national emergency to be investigated by the FBI! But it’s OK to do it to the Governor of Alaska–a mother of 5 whose only sin is that she is a conservative who loves her country.

Rasmussen is good at jerking the chain.

They show a point or 2 move for McCain one day making us think their is momentum, then show a shift back then next day. Same with Zogby. They suck!

Imagine what the results would look like if they were reweighted to a more reasonable +4 Dem or less– that would probably shift everything 2 or 3 points towards McCain, at least.

Suddenly +3 to Obama overall could look like a tie or maybe even +1 to McCain.

The predictions are falling short of expectations.

According to Review Journal:

Analysts have predicted that new voters, young voters and Hispanic voters will turn out in record numbers in this election. But as Nevadans continue to flock to the polls, turnout among those three groups is lagging, at least in the early going.

David Damore, a political scientist at UNLV says that, in spite of the fact that many have predicted record numbers of youth, Hispanic and first-time voters, it is the older white voters who show actually show up to vote in greater numbers.

In counting the proverbial chickens… Mr. Damore predicts:

…it’s possible the Obama campaign faces a challenge turning out the untested voters it’s relying on to win

The predictions are falling short of expectations.

According to Review Journal:

Analysts have predicted that new voters, young voters and Hispanic voters will turn out in record numbers in this election. But as Nevadans continue to flock to the polls, turnout among those three groups is lagging, at least in the early going.

David Damore, a political scientist at UNLV says that, in spite of the fact that many have predicted record numbers of youth, Hispanic and first-time voters, it is the older white voters who show actually show up to vote in greater numbers.

In counting the proverbial chickens… Mr. Damore predicts:

…it’s possible the Obama campaign faces a challenge turning out the untested voters it’s relying on to win