Ben Bernanke Goes For The Commercial-Paper Market


Big Weapons

So why is the stock market up this morning? Because the Fed released a plan under which they will become direct purchasers of term commercial paper.

CP, loosely, is a short-term borrowing (less than 270 days) by creditworthy businesses, and it’s unsecured more than half of the time. (Sometimes it’s secured by assets.) Over the last three weeks, issuance of CP has been severely impaired, primarily because the institutional money-market funds that are the key buyers of CP have been holding cash out of the market.

I haven’t read the Fed’s plan yet, but I’ll update this when I do. In essence, it appears that the Fed will literally step into the shoes of the private market and fund the short-term borrowings of American businesses.

The Fed is a bank now. Nothing like this has ever happened before.

How big? Well, the total CP market is more than $1.5 trillion, but the vast majority of that is in financial businesses and insurance. The industrial segment of the market is somewhere in the neighborhood of $300 billion. That’s the part that everyone wants to backstop, because it directly addresses recent fears that perfectly healthy businesses might start failing to meet payrolls due to lack of capital.

So what’s the question you’re asking? What will the rates of interest be? How can the Federal Reserve set the market for term financing without swamping signals from free markets?

Very good questions. At this point, the only available answer is Yes.

Updates as events warrant.

-Francis Cianfrocca


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23 Comments Leave a comment

I sure hope my buy order got in

Dave_in_Fla (Diary) Tuesday, October 7th at 9:09AM EST (link)

Before the market starts going up. :)

“If they were merely incompetent, then at least SOME of their actions would have been to the benefit of the country.” – Joe McCarthy

 

crazy

wsjreader (Diary) Tuesday, October 7th at 9:12AM EST (link)

This is insane but perhaps necessary measures. Better than the $700 B bailout plan which has done nothing to alleviate the severe crunch in credit markets.

The central bank is now officially the biggest commercial bank, which will likely take over everything from credit card debt to car loans. Crazy indeed.

 

Government as Regulator and Competitor... The Mildew Spreads

Crowe (Diary) Tuesday, October 7th at 9:14AM EST (link)

So the same outfit that regulates interest rates and is supposed to act as an impartial regulator of this mammoth organism known as the American (and therefore international) market has stepped from behind the glass and forced itself into the room to begin actively to compete with the entities that still do this the free market way… At first blush, it sounds like a decent thing for the Fed to do, stepping in temporarily to do what no one else is willing to do with some level of expectation that they will eventually disentangle themselves and step back behind the glass when the situation is normalized — but the problem is this is the government we’re talking about, and this situation has fast become quite SNAFU.

Government involvement in anything is like mildew — once it’s in, you can’t get the stain out; and it will always stink.

The end of the free market indeed.

“We sleep soundly in our beds only because rough men stand ready in the night to visit violence upon those who would do us harm Dear Leader Obama gives us leave to do so.”

 

Thank you, Francis

sdillard Tuesday, October 7th at 9:15AM EST (link)

I looked for you all day yesterday but figured you were in the thick of it. You are really helping non-finance guys like me understand what’s going on. It really helps. Thanks so much.

 

How is this different than socialism?

liberalrepublican (Diary) Tuesday, October 7th at 9:24AM EST (link)

Because to me, it sure looks like socialism.

“Broadly speaking, liberalism emphasizes individual rights and equality of opportunity. … including extensive freedom of thought and speech, limitations on the power of governments, the rule of law, the free exchange of ideas, a market or mixed economy”

 

"Buy...BUY..Buy....Buy...Buy.."..my stoock brooker

speciallist (Diary) Tuesday, October 7th at 9:28AM EST (link)

Anyone else

Adelthemystic Tuesday, October 7th at 9:31AM EST (link)

Read this and get the “emergency powers” scene from “Attack of the Clones” run through their head?

And we all know how THAT turned out…

wtb less socialism.

 
 

Blackhedd

Shoebox (Diary) Tuesday, October 7th at 9:34AM EST (link)

Given the concerns about “credit tightening” that the “Bail out” was supposed to have addressed, wouldn’t this have been the preferred approach? Yes, interest rates will get skewed but doesn’t this directly address the problem?

 

When does it end....

MSU_Charles Tuesday, October 7th at 9:37AM EST (link)

Having a knowledge of how capital markets work, I understand (do not necessarily agree with) each move the Fed has made. However, I think a big question that many people are not talking about is *when *the Fed plans to cease these activities. I am not asking for a certain date, but I think they should set guidelines for the suspension of these activities based upon economic and financial indicators. Without these indicators one must assume that these government actions will become a permanent (like the vast majority of all government programs). If this is the reality, then we are very close to quasi-socialized markets. And that is scary.

I think it's more like fascism

enrique Tuesday, October 7th at 9:42AM EST (link)

which is when corporations run the government functions as opposed to the government doing it. Either way it is a massive loss of our freedoms.

There is really no good ending to this mess right now. The Fed and treasury department are exerting dictatorial-like powers over the financial and monetary market right now. There is very little we can do since Congress is in their pocket. We are getting setup for a deep and long depression.

The only question right now is whether the Federal Reserve’s massive increase in liquidity will fuel hyperinflation (best seen in present day Zimbabwe) or if deflation will trump that.

“There are a thousand hacking at the branches of evil to one striking at the root.” Henry David Thoreau

Nope

LAWizard (Diary) Tuesday, October 7th at 9:48AM EST (link)

Though some think what’s going on with Michael Bloomberg in NY is far closer.

5...this deserves a diary

speciallist (Diary) Tuesday, October 7th at 9:57AM EST (link)

The Fed believed that enabling legislation was required

Francis Cianfrocca (Diary) Tuesday, October 7th at 10:07AM EST (link)

The stated authority for this move is section 13(3) of the Federal Reserve Act, but they certainly wanted the legislative backup from the bailout bill.

 
 
 
 
 

What I Called a "Radical" Action Has Occurred

quill67 (Diary) Tuesday, October 7th at 10:15AM EST (link)

In a earlier post I suggested what I termed a radical action, to guarantee the commericial credit market. http://www.redstate.com/diaries/blackhedd/2008/oct/02/a-note-about-libor/#c45403My Previous Post

But I have since spoken to a finance person in a large corporation who advised that most credit worthy corporations depend upon Lines of Credit for their financing needs.

Last night, I heard a report that companies are drawing on their lines of credit BEFORE they need them as a way to make sure they have the cash they need. The Fed stepping into the commercial credit market will help aleviate these draws and cause corporations to pull money from the commerical paper market instead. In other words, while the commericial paper market may only be $300 billion, the total capital that will be drawn from using them will likely be HUGE because companies will use them rather than lines of credit. This is not necessarily a bad thing but just to get an idea of how radical an approach this really is.

The authority to purchase CP under the new facility...

Francis Cianfrocca (Diary) Tuesday, October 7th at 10:18AM EST (link)

…expires at the end of April 2009. Of course it can be extended indefinitely.

The far more interesting question is: once the CP market starts mainlining on risk-free capital, will they ever be able to get off it?

We need some Pain-o..

speciallist (Diary) Tuesday, October 7th at 10:21AM EST (link)

The thing about bank lines right now is that...

Francis Cianfrocca (Diary) Tuesday, October 7th at 10:21AM EST (link)

…banks are going out of their way to renegotiate them or pull them. I’ve heard scads of stories of this happening.

In some cases, banks are even trying to invoke force majeure to keep companies from drawing their lines.

OK, does that mean

Shoebox (Diary) Tuesday, October 7th at 10:29AM EST (link)

that this counts towards the $700B? I’m guessing you’re just saying they got a CYA from the bill but the $ are outside of those in the bill?

Thanks

 
 
 
 
 

So why the push for the $700,000,000,000.00 bailout package?

AStoner Tuesday, October 7th at 10:48AM EST (link)

I thought the whole point all the Senators were saying was. I know every citizen who pays taxes and vores for me is telling me that I should not vote for this legislation, but i got calls from businesses that said, if I do not pass this bill, then they will have to shut the doors by friday. Car dealerships are unable to sell cars, suppliers cannot supply parts and resources, farmers cannot buy fertilizer and pest spray. Here we have a no legislation fed move that alleviates all of that.

I don't know if it counts toward the $700 bn

Francis Cianfrocca (Diary) Tuesday, October 7th at 10:54AM EST (link)

My guess, from reading the tiny bit of documentation the Fed put out, is no.

Crisis power grab

enrique Tuesday, October 7th at 11:39AM EST (link)

This, much like the Bear-Stearns, AIG, Freddie/Fannie bailouts, is an example of how government uses crises to grab new powers. If it wasn’t a crisis that needed “Immediate Attention NOW!” then we would have discussed it and realized that it was throwing money down a rat hole.

Governments use crises to enact stuff that ordinarily would never see the light of day. The PATRIOT Act (stopped by the GOP when Clinton officials proposed it) is a good example. We’ll see how popular we find the government snooping when its Obama’s snoops. Or how about Obama’s treasury hacks overpaying on securities from their friends at Goldman Sachs, etc.

If you ever start a sentence, “I oppose this in principal but in this case…” you should look in the mirror and ask yourself what you believe in.

“There are a thousand hacking at the branches of evil to one striking at the root.” Henry David Thoreau

 
 
 

Dead cats bounce too.

MrSandman (Diary) Tuesday, October 7th at 1:00PM EST (link)

Unless you are really adept at catching falling knives I would stay out of the fray.

The market actually started falling immediately after the Bernanke speech. LOL
How’s that for a vote of confidence?

Short selling ban set to expire Wed night.
If I were holding bank stocks I would be very nervous.

“Holding bank stocks”….

LOL….sometimes I crack myself up.

“Americans can no longer trust the economic information they are getting from this Administration.”

— Republican Senator Jim DeMint

Thanks Blackhedd, that's

Shoebox (Diary) Tuesday, October 7th at 4:58PM EST (link)

another $1.5 trillion or so no one was counting in the bailout bill!