Well, three polls confirm it now. The post-Biden, pre-DNC polls all show a bump-up for McCain, or a bump-down for Obama.
Gallup has McCain up 2 for Sat.-Mon. polling. Rasmussen has it tied for those three days, and CNN has it tied for Saturday and Sunday.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/generalelectionmccainvsobama-225.html
All this polling occured before Michelle Obama’s serviceable speech last night.
Expect, of course, these poll numbers to move significantly in Obama’s direction over the next few days, especially as many of Clinton’s supporters come back home to the Democratic Party. But my gut tells me that Obama’s average post-convention lead (which will be clear in polls coming out on Sunday and Monday) will be only 5-7 points–easily surmountable.
Moe Lane
Steve Maley
Dan McLaughlin
Neil Stevens
Daniel Horowitz
i dunno
Brandon (Diary) Tuesday, August 26th at 12:49PM EST (link)we expected that kind of bounce out of the euro-trip and it never came.
I think they will bounce back to +2 or +3 in the trackers.
- Brandon
McCain 08
Texan, Does it mean Biden is really that bad?
Rod_Patrick (Diary) Tuesday, August 26th at 1:35PM EST (link)These numbers are totally unexpected.
I'm not surprised
MrBrown Tuesday, August 26th at 2:13PM EST (link)I had said if he (obama) nominated someone to “sure up” his national security credentials, it would make him seem weak. That the reps would pounce on the decision asap and pick him to shreds. Well, they didn’t really have to it seems.
Compromise is the way of the future…not partylines…
The Bounce
RJD (Diary) Tuesday, August 26th at 4:17PM EST (link)Usually, these bounces are predicated on the public getting its first big dose of the candidate.
The big Dem convention plays out, polling goes crazy. Big numbers for the Dem candidate. Then the GOP convention happens. The polling goes crazy. And the numbers start to even out.
This year? Unless people suddenly want a big wet one from Obama, they’ve had their fill. And the media isn’t helping.